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SarasotaBill

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Everything posted by SarasotaBill

  1. SarasotaBill
    It doesn't matter if Chih-Wei Hu is a good MLB pitcher or not. A good GM has to know to build up his assets when his team will have the best chance to make a run for the World Series. See Theo Epstein and the Cubs for example. Last year the Twins were not close to the Royals. The only reason they were as close to the playoffs (close doesn't count) was that Duffey exceeded everyone's expectations down the stretch.
  2. SarasotaBill
    Every move should be based on improving 2018-2022 teams. Trade Nunez and Dozier since they have peak value. Trade Suzuki and Obad if you can get anything good. Trade Plouffe because Sano needs to be playing 3rd base. Trade E. Santana if you get decent value. Park should be in AAA getting at bats every day for the next month or two.
  3. SarasotaBill
    Since the Twins are out of contention, it's in their best interests to maximize the evaluation of every player vs. wins. In fact since the top two picks in the draft have a significant advantage, there's additional incentive to view wins as secondary. Keep Buxton & Kepler in AAA until late August (there's no rush - they have options left). Play Arcia, Grossman, Santana, and Park as much as possible. Bring up and play Polanco after the ASG. But the Twins are short sighted.
  4. SarasotaBill
    Take BPA with upside no matter what they're asking. At worst case: Next year is loaded with college arms. Twins could really take advantage of #1-1, 1-16, 2-1. 1-1 and 1-2 teams have a significant advantage - millions above 1-3 and 1-4. To be honest, if the Twins were more aggressive like the Astros and Cubs, then the best move would be not to sign their top pick this year.
  5. SarasotaBill
    I don't disagree not doing the 150 mil pitcher which means you need to draft the high potential pitchers to get an ace. Draft the best available player which at 15 this year looks like a prep arm. Don't get scared by Boras or any others.
  6. SarasotaBill
    Take the best available player (most likely a prep pitcher). If he doesn't sign then at least you get a pick the following year. However, you need top of the line pitchers and you need to swing for the fences as much as possible to get them. Or bundle your future money on one pitcher instead of spreading it over Hughes, Nolasco, and E. Sanatana (unlikely to happen with Ryan in charge). The Twins have plenty of #3 and #4 pitchers in their farm system.
  7. SarasotaBill
    Kepler's stature reminds me of Von Hayes.
  8. SarasotaBill
    Seth, You need an insider account. http://espn.go.com/blog/keith-law/insider/post?id=4748 11-19 are in the text below 1-10 list.
  9. SarasotaBill
    KLaw 11-19 list: Jake Reed (11) Lewis Thorpe (12) Yorman Landa (13) Dereck Rodriguez (14) Amaurys Minier (15) Johan Quezada (16) Trey Cabbage (17) Travis Blankenhorn (18) Mason Melotakis (19)
  10. SarasotaBill
    Duffey will be the #4 starter. Milone and Nolasco fighting for #5 and long relief.
  11. SarasotaBill
    You may want Kepler now but that makes him more expensive every year compared waiting a month or two. I would rather have one more year of Kepler in his prime than two months as the fourth OF as a rookie. I believe you're overlooking Santana as the CF or 4th OF. I see Rosario-Santana-Arcia-Sano-maybe 5th defensive OF breaking camp. I doubt think Ryan wants to trade Plouffe (most probably think he's bluffing about Sano in the OF) and Buxton needs a big Spring to stay.
  12. SarasotaBill
    Even if not picked, Jones must be viewed lowly in the eyes of the Twins. The good thing is that the Twins are protecting most of the high velocity arms. I think Dean is a starter in reserve insurance policy in AAA next year. Remember the Twins will need to remove players from the 40 next year when Berrios, Burdi, Reed, or other non-40s get promoted.
  13. SarasotaBill
    RP and utility are the two places where teams can hide players on the MLB roster. Michael can't play SS. After Rogers and Walker, protect the hard throwing RP. No brainer - Chargois, Jones, Williams (LHP) Should - Melotakis (LHP) Probably - Bard (if healthy)
  14. SarasotaBill
    Twins will protect 5-7 this year not counting Berrios. Protection Order: Rogers Walker Chargois Jones Williams Melotakis Bard
  15. SarasotaBill
    Short Term: Line-Up: Murphy/Suzuki & Santana vs Suzuki/Fryer & Hicks 40 Man: (gain one spot) Murphy vs Hicks & Fryer Avoiding Buxton & Kepler call up but I assume before July. Long Term (2017 to 2019): Line-Up: Murphy/Turner & Kepler vs Turner/Fryer & Hicks Every trade has risk but I believe the benefits are greater than the costs. Kepler has the better MiLB track record than Hicks and OF is a position of strength. Murphy was on the fast track (like Pluffe) hopefully he has more upside than what his stats indicate.
  16. SarasotaBill
    Buxton needs some time in AAA. Start Santana in CF. Sign a cheap defensive OF to spell Arcia or Sano (if not at 3B) in the late innings. Sign an expensive top reliever. Trade Plouffe only if return value has upside (no Hoey caliber talent).
  17. SarasotaBill
    Comparing (ranking) two prospects, I believe the best method is which player would you be willing to trade. Javier vs Turner Javier vs Navaretto It's not close. Obviously the Twins think very highly to use their whole int'l pool on him.
  18. SarasotaBill
    Javier is top ten or the Twins made a large mistake.
  19. SarasotaBill
    Navaretto, Turner, and Rogers are too high. Navaretto and Turner look to be back-up catchers. Rogers looks like a LOOGY.
  20. SarasotaBill
    Ryan will say that they have Jepsen for 2016 ($4 mil). 2015 does not matter (Hughes and Gibson) is not enough for the playoffs especially after a one game wild card game. Instead they should have demoted Pelfry to the bullpen and hoped he was a Wade Davis II. Earlier this week Ryan said he would do Ramos for Capps again. Is he just being stubborn or does he just over values RP?
  21. SarasotaBill
    Don't trade a top ten (maybe not even a top twenty) prospect for any rental. 2015 has been a nice surprise but the Twins don't have E. Santana in the playoffs and young developing club. Any substantial trade must point to 2016 to 2022.
  22. SarasotaBill
    How about getting Ramos and Hardy to fill our C and SS holes? Do you think we could trade useless and ineffective RP for them?
  23. SarasotaBill
    Get quality instead of quantity. The Twins system has plenty of depth. It needs more elite players. Would you trade a top 5 pick in the draft for three second round picks? I understand baseball doesn't allow draft pick trading.
  24. SarasotaBill
    Stauffer's track record and contract made no sense. Hopefully Ryan learns to get only the cheap guys like Boyer for Spring training bullpen tryouts. Even better, hopefully the strong bullpen arms in AA make significant progress in 2015.
  25. SarasotaBill
    After watching Jay's start against Vandy, it's obvious he needs a change-up. He probably never used his change-up since most hitters couldn't catch up to his hard stuff. However, his fastball, curve, and slider look good. Send him down to TN (tax reasons) and then bring him up to Cedar Rapids and just let him develop.
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