Danchat

I like the idea of breaking the tie between pitchers by picking how threw the most innings last year... so Ryan it is.

It was more that the Jays weren't as high on him as the prospects evaluators were, so they sold high on him. I couldn't find the source, but I'll post it if I can find it.

His numbers in the majors the past two years are pretty good, he'll find his way up sooner than later.

I agree with all this, I just don't get the Arraez comparisons. Martin hit .241 in his second go-around at AA with no power, Arraez hit in the .290s his first time around. Frankly I don't care a whole ton about the power, the issue is that outside of drawing walks he is a poor hitter against AA competition, and he's also not on track to be a plus defender. I don't get their insistence of keeping him at SS when it's obvious he won't stick there in the majors. His much better hitting in the fall league is encouraging, but he needs to do a whole lot more to regain his former prospect status - he was considered 1A/1B with Royce Lewis last year, now he looks like he might end up being a utility/bench bat. There was a tweet in the Berrios trade discussion about how the Blue Jays don't trade away top prospects that they believe in...

Disaster averted! Good hire.

Jeffers has a 161 wRC? Dang, it must be like 25 against righties, then. This isn’t exactly convincing me that we didn’t need Urshela, but it’s better than expected. Depends on how healthy the lineup can stay…

I agree, I would substitute Urshela for one of Kepler or Gallo and I think the lineup would be better. Gio probably doesn't have a 3.1 WAR season again in 2023, but I'm worried about where our run production is going to come from with Gio and Arraez removed from the lineup. Gotta hope the shift bans turn Gallo and Kepler into better hitters. It's not an egregious move, as I believe in Miranda and Correa is back, but I would have wanted more than a #30-40 prospect back for Gio.

I agree, get Sands and Henriquez in the pen at AAA as soon as possible and let's see what they've got. Ober definitely stays in the rotation, we will need him sooner than later. I'm torn on Winder, I'd keep him as a starter for now.

Chafin would certainly be an upgrade, obviously price is the issue there. I'd also take Fulmer back since it appears that teams aren't willing to pay what he's asking for. I'd ditch Megill in a heartbeat, and of course Pagan too but we know he's staying. I wouldn't be upset if we don't add another arm with our salary around $150M, but it also wouldn't shock me if we reach midseason and we need to make a couple bullpen trades to keep it together.

It feels like our #15-30 prospects are considerably worse than we've had the past, partly to due graduation to the majors, trades, and regression/release. Thankfully we have some quality prospects in the top 10, but overall the depth is lacking and our farm system is being ranked below average, which seems about right. And I don't say that to be a Debbie Downer, it's just pretty apparent when comparing these guys to previous years.

I think they could use another arm or two, but they've made it clear they hate paying relievers and they're also not very good at identifying them on the market, so I get why. Gotta hope Lopez rebounds and Alcala stays healthy, plus perhaps a couple young arms stepping it up (Winder/Sands/Henriquez). You also have to wonder how much longer Thielbar can keep pitching so well.

They can release him, but will they? I could easily see them stay stubborn while he's struggling at the plate. Our front office has shown they will stick with the guys they've paid well past their major struggles.

The Bucs should go into rebuild/retool mode with Brady done, they need to get young and find their QB of the future. This will leave open the division for Carolina or Atlanta to break out… or maybe the Saints, they did just get a 1st rounder after losing their top 10 pick this year in a silly trade last year. Winston is under contract but will be cut, he was benched below Dalton the whole year. Darnold is a FA for Carolina, they could really use an average QB. Good hire by the Texans, I dunno about Payton to Denver. He’s a great coach and Russell did play much better the final 2 games after Hackett was fired… that’s not enough for me to feel good about the Broncos.

I remember reading in minor league reports that Wallner was pretty slow, so I dunno... can we get them to all line up and sprint alongside each other?

Funnily enough, Brock Purdy is exactly what I'd call a "Bridgewater/White type".

Sure, why not. Sisk might turn out, but we didn't give him a shot last year and our relief prospects usually flame out, so it's no big loss. It's about time they find a real backup CF after pretending like Cave and Celestino/others were good enough backups to Buxton. It definitely feels like one OF is still going to be moved, I feel like Kepler is the odd man out. If Larnach is good to go I'd rather have his bat in the lineup, especially with plus defenders in Buxton, Gallo, and Taylor on the team.

Jefferson’s extension won’t have crazy cap hits until 2025, which is why I didn’t mention it, but I expect that will get done. At most it’ll raise his 2023 cap hit by $2-3M due to the signing bonus.

They've committed to a "competitive rebuild", so there isn't going to be a nuking of the roster, and ownership wouldn't allow it in the first place. They'll make changes on D, no doubt, but they'll be spending a good chunk of their cap space on getting Tomlinson, Peterson, and maybe Bradbury back. I would also guess we see Hockenson and Cousins get extensions to lower their 2023 cap hits to allow room for free agents (probably a few defensive ones). And we have perhaps the least amount of draft capital in football minus a few teams that traded their 1sts away. This isn't a year to rebuild, last year they had that chance and they passed.

Perhaps it will be if the Twins have a winning season in 2023, and it certainly will be over if they can finally win a single playoff game. But if they rattle off a third straight losing season, "woe is me" will not do it justice.

Wasn’t Arraez considerably better defensively at 1B than Sano? And if they need a lefty hitter (someone who can hit LHP) who is positionless, just bring Garlick back. As MILB depth, sure.

Didn’t AAA have a few teams use the Robo ump last year?

Urshela had a 3 WAR season last year, you think Farmer is doing to top that? I don’t see him slotting in as a starter like Gio was, he probably plays the Adrianza / Marwin G role. That’ll still get him a lot of ABs since nobody on this team can stay healthy, but I don’t see him in the #4-6 spots in the lineup and hitting like Gio did.

Canterino is on our 40 man right now.

I wonder what kind of package he'd return... though he's not in his prime any longer and had a down year, plus he hinted at retirement after the Super Bowl. It'd also cost the Rams more on the cap to move him, but if they're getting a haul then I could see it... but he seems like a guy who is going to retire with the Rams. Then again, Watt did move on with the Cardinals for a couple years before he rode into the sunset, so who knows?

Not sure why they bother to trade a young international prospect for a guy they are probably going to DFA soon, but whatever. Seems like another guy who should have been in the pen full-time last year, yet was starting games for Texas' AAA team. Moving failed starters to the pen is a rather fruitful strategy and it's worth a shot, I just don't know if it makes sense to keep him on the 40 man roster.