I don't think you can really look at this issue without laying out where regression is likely to take hold. So, from my perspective: Likely increases in production: 1B, RF, DH, SP (as a whole, but probably a marginal increase) Likely decreases in production: SS, CF, C, RP Likely similar: LF, 2B, 3B So, if I were the Twins I'd be concentrating on places to bring that production up. To do that I'd start by moving Santana to SS and looking for one placeholder OF and one permanent fixture OF. I'd also get into talks with a guy like Shields and try to land him. I'd trust that 3B and CF (in two years) will be boosted by our young studs. I wouldn't, however, start convincing myself we're about to contend. Some of these positions are tied up largely by the name in the spot and not the reasonable expectations for production. Just because the corner is looking turned doesn't mean the team is going to play any better. Young kids need time to struggle and adjust. (See: Arcia) Just be patient.