Everything posted by Thrylos
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Front Page: Twins and 2020 Arbitration
The difference is 9%. After the Twins drafted him way higher than he was rated and made him an 18 year old millionaire. And the truth of the matter is that he has been the same pitcher for 3 seasons without improving. And he is willing to go to arbitration for that 9%? The hey with him...
- Front Page: Twins and 2020 Arbitration
- Front Page: Twins and 2020 Arbitration
- Front Page: Twins and 2020 Arbitration
- Front Page: Twins and 2020 Arbitration
- Front Page: Twins and 2020 Arbitration
- Front Page: Twins and 2020 Arbitration
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Jimmy Sherfy DFA'd by Arizona? Worth a look?
No Enough with the bottom feeding, dumpster diving, etc. To be a champion the Twins need to behave like one.
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Front Page: Top 20 Minnesota Twins Assets of 2020: Part 4 (1-5)
The ranking of a team's assets is relative to a particular trade partner and their needs. For example: The Mets allegedly wanted Buxton for Syndergaard straight up. Would they have traded Syndergaard for Berrios straight up? I doubt it. Also, for a team that wants to save some money and rebuild, someone like Kirilloff and Lewis is much more valuable than someone like Kepler or Polanco. Like hitting and pitching, the greatest importance of value is situational
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Baseball Savant - Infield Outs (Below) Average
Got to wonder the significance of this metric. If for the duration of a season, Sano is allows 5 more PAs than the average third baseman (-5 OAA), which might translate to maybe 1 more run a season, or not. It is not that much of a deal. The importance of these outs are the situation in which they were given and their effect. Based on this metric if Gonzalez had the innings that Donaldson had at third base, he would have been twice as good
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4 Twins Prospects to Watch in 2020
Lawyerson has 4 pitches: FB, CH, CU, SL. FB is 92-94 right now with plus command and above average movement. CH and SL are above average with plus flashes. Needs to improve command. CU is a work in progress and might just drop, if the CH command improved. Definitely room for velo improvement with mechanics. Never pitched in top programs and coached with top coaches. More after I see him this coming ST...
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"Outside the box" trade targets?
Who is the Twins starting second baseman for the next 5+ seasons then? That's a hole.
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4 Twins Prospects to Watch in 2020
I think that the 4 most likely to contribute in 2020 at the MLB level (from the ones who have not been there in 2019) are: Brent Rooker, Jhon Duran, Brooks Raley, and Ryan Mason, in that order. Four relative unknowns I'd keep an eye on: Three 2019 picks who likely all will start the season at Cedar Rapids but seem to be fast movers: Pitchers Matt Canterino, 2nd round and Cody Laweryson, 14th round, and middle infielder Spencer Steer 3rd Round. I'd also watch Wander Valdez (okay he is not relatively unknown) who had a growth spurt last season, and will likely start in E-town with an outside change in also playing at Cedar Rapids.
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Keith Law Joins The Athletic
Other than certain redneck beat writers... It gets scary if you venture in some of those places.
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Front Page: Will José Berríos Be an Ace in 2020? What History Tells Us About the Age-26 Season
I would take their results with a huge grain of salt, basically because their sample is a. small, and b. restricted to a period 10 seasons ago. Their curve was introduced here, and here is how it was constructed: The other fail here is that they do not bother to show variation of range or even standard deviation from that data. Part of the issue here is that a lot of the pitchers who are not that great as starters just go away after age 26 or so (or they move to the pen; check Joe Nathan's or Glen Perkins's curves as starters - and both are included there.) Plus a lot of players just blow their arms. So, to talk about quality pitchers and what an aging curve looks like for a good pitcher, it would have been more meaningful to get pitchers who have satisfied the following criteria: a. They pitched for more than 10 seasons, b. their ERA+/FIP- is on the top 25% of the pitchers, and then look what happens. For every Greinke and Velander there are about 50 Duffys, Romeros, Guardados, Hawkinses, or Mayses, and including those pitchers in the graph, is just noise, not meaningful data...
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"Outside the box" trade targets?
Archer/Marte/Kela/Taillon (he is out in 2020) for Buxton/Kirilloff/Dobnak (the last 2 are from the Pittsburgh area)
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Front Page: The Remaining Options After Josh Donaldson
About 2 years ago I was really high on Buxton to the Pirates for Cole and Marte. That bird flew. However, they can trade him to the Pirates (along with some prospects if necessary) for Archer, Marte, and someone like Keone Kela and call it a day. it will be an improvement all ways.
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Front Page: The Remaining Options After Josh Donaldson
Good enough unless he is hurt again? The Twins should not count at him playing more than 87 games a season, because that was his average the last 4 seasons (he gets a mulligan for this first MLB season) along with below league average hitting. If the Twins could had trade him straight up for Syndergaard, they were not too smart not to do it...
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Front Page: The Remaining Options After Josh Donaldson
Kirilloff needs to get better than a .756 OPS in AA before he is considered an "option". Rooker had a .933 OPS in AAA. Maybe there was some confusion between the two, as far as internal options go.
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Front Page: Where Are We Now? (New Years Edition)
They need at least one more lefty in the pen, hopefully 2. Jake McGee is allegedly available and was very good away from Coors. Much more of a need than a corner IF. I'd love to see what Rooker can do. They can sign someone like Neil Walker for a utility type; much better than Astrudillo. They also need an ace, if they are to compete in the post-season, but they don't need one right now. They can wait until the trading deadline.
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Donaldson contract discussion - 4/100? 4/110?
I just don't see how playing Sano in a position he is not extremely familiar with and happens to touch the ball more than any other position than Catcher, will make the Twins better defensively...
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Donaldson contract discussion - 4/100? 4/110?
TBD. Rooker might not be a bad choice.
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Donaldson contract discussion - 4/100? 4/110?
Nope. It is all about $$$$. I'd rather see them take a starter and a closer contract than spend them for Donaldson. That will make them more competitive in the post season than a third baseman who is hitting slightly less than their current
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Donaldson contract discussion - 4/100? 4/110?
So are we all sure that Rooker plus the opportunity cost of $20ishM a year will not be better? He will not be replacing Cave or Adrianza for sure... Gonzalez is a utility player.
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Donaldson contract discussion - 4/100? 4/110?
Can he pitch? Last time I checked the Twins had a third baseman with .378 wOBA and 137 wRC+, which is slightly better than Donaldson's .377 and .132. Third base is not the problem...