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ESPN (insider) has an article up trying to figure out which team could help their playoff hunt with a move using the following method: To get an idea of which teams have the highest-leverage wins remaining, I instructed ZiPS to simulate the rest of the season a million times to get up-to-date playoff odds for each team. Then, I repeated the exercise 60 times, each time adding one or two wins to a team's bottom line to see how the change affected the playoff odds. By doing this, we can more easily see which teams have the most to gain from a big-name addition. Incidentally, these playoff odds include the Kazmir trade, boosting the Astros' playoff probability by 7 percentage points from Thursday morning. With one move the article suggests the Twins could increase their chance of making it into the playoffs by 7.2% (4th highest change percent). I have never been much of a ZiPS person but it is interesting. I understand not wanting to trade prospects for rentals but for long term help when there is no current answer in the farm? That I can't understand. http://espn.go.com/mlb/insider/story/_/id/13312117/teams-most-gain-trade-deadline

I'm glad someone brought up the Capps trade seeing that's the only truly interesting thing the Twins have done at a trade deadline in years. I expect them to move minor parts for other minor parts and call it a day. Same old same old. At least it gives us something to debate instead of working.

Trade for papelbon to give a killer 8th\9th inning combo. Shorten the game like the royals do.

Everyone take a deep breath and say these following words: minor league baseball is for development not stats. The fact that people are already writing off a 19 year old in low A because of his stats is literally insane.

If only there were leagues below the majors where stats didn't matter and development is the most important thing for young players......

The Twins have quantity but lack quality. Why not move several redundant prospects to try and get a proven big leaguer for this year and next year? There are only 25 big league spots.

I love following baseball prospects as much as the next person but the Twins have arguably the deepest farm system in baseball. If they can get a player that will not only help this year but next year go for it.

So which college relief pitcher are they drafting at 73? If they draft like they have the past few years you know more are coming. Already got 1!

The fact that when you go from pitching 1-2 innings a game to 6-9 innings a game your stuff typically diminishes in some way. Just because he has a plus to plus-plus fastball as a RPer doesn't mean he will have a plus to plus-plus fastball as a starter.

Turned off the TV after the pick. Just don't see it. Hopefully I'm wrong....

The last two years we have known who the pick will be. Definitely not like that this year. Should be fun! Hoping for it to be one of the SS, tucker, or Tate.

How about Hultzen? He was a "safe" and "quick to the bigs" arm who has failed to live up to either of those. Point is if you draft a guy, no matter where in the first round, because he is safe\quick riser and he fails to do so you lost value. I rather put stock in ceiling over how fast they can help a club. We have the deepest farm in baseball so why do we need a mid rotation arm up in 2 years? If you want safe and quick to the bigs why not bregman? College bats are statistically the safest picks. At least he has a ceiling worthy as a high pick. On a side note Wacha fell because of injury like Gibson. He also only had two big league pitches, some evaluators still think he only does, so I don't see him as a comparison to the rest of the names you and I have named.

Burdi was supposed to be big league ready according to draft gurus and he is struggling. Wimmers was the most polish college pitcher in his draft and he hasn't even made it to the show. When the braves drafted gilmartin he was another quick riser control pitcher and he got DFA a few years later. If you want to draft a quick to the bugs player with a low ceiling you do it at the end of the first round, not top 10.

I just don't get the love for buehler. I would be pretty disappointed if we drafted him. Give me ceiling or give me death!

Bregman or Tucker for me. I really like both bats.

This draft is definitely odd compared to the last few. By now we could pretty much narrow down the Twins pick to 3-4 possibilities. With so much uncertainty at the top I have no idea what they will do but it will be fun to watch.

Callis released his mock today and it has Tate falling to the Twins. Here is the article: http://m.mlb.com/news/article/125729150/pair-of-shortstops-headline-latest-mock-draft

Law just released his first mock and he has the Twins taking.....Allard! Here is what he had to say: If Allard's medicals check out -- he had a stress reaction in his lower back but was shut down before it progressed to a fracture -- he seems like the Twins' target. I've heard them with Cameron, although rumor has it he wants more than the slot number here. His top 5 were the following: 1. Swanson 2. Bregman 3. Tate 4. Rodgers 5. Tucker. He mentioned that Astros are focused on two bats. Here is his full post for insiders only: http://m.espn.go.com/mlb/mockdraft?source=keith-law-mock-draft&version=1&src=desktop

Would it be ideal to have Sano play 3rd? Definitely! Is it a deal breaker if he has to play DH? Definitely not! If we have to move Vargas and/or Arcia so Sano can get every day bats that's cool with me.

From Kiley mcdaniel's chat today: Any recent reports on Kolby Allard? He’s throwing again, right? Kiley McDaniel: As far as I know, not at 100% for scouts, but he is throwing on a mound. Kyle Funkhouser still a top 10 consideration on your big board? Kiley McDaniel: Outside the top 15 of my latest update, which is currently only on my computer, but will soon be on yours Comment From Brady Aiken Who drafts me? Kiley McDaniel: Way too early to know. I know of a couple teams picking in the top 20 that have already decided to not take an injured pitcher (Matuella, Aiken, Allard, Kirby). Aiken’s situation is so rare, we have to wait for the medicals before we know if it’s pick 10-15 or 40+ We’ve seen draft prospects is the past few drafts with TJS not really fall much due to injury; why are Aiken and Matuella projected to go so low in many mock drafts?… wouldnt the risk be the worth the reward even in the middle of the first round? Kiley McDaniel: Matuella hasn’t been healthy for longer than 30 innings at a time and lots of scouting directors haven’t seen him. Aiken may have the trainwreck elbow to end all elbows once we find out if the buzz is accurate or not. I’ve found that fans, particularly semi-informed ones, think their team should take Matuella or Aiken in the top 10-12 picks because rehabbing injuries are automatic (Giolito, Hoffman, etc.) for these guys and these guys are really good. It isn’t that simple and these guys are different than those guys. He had a few more team specific questions in the chat: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/kiley-mcdaniel-prospects-chat-51915/

I'm warming up to some of the potential twins targets. If the Twins walk away with one of Rodgers, Swanson, Tate, Allard, or Bregman I would be pretty excited. I would also be OK with Aiken, tucker, or Cameron but I have them behind the first 5.

Definitely in on Bregman even though I'm not sure he will stick at SS. Safest bat in the draft and would make sense at #6, if he lasts that long. Sounds like Bregmans floor is Boston at #7 if he makes it past the Twins. Both sickels and Law should have mocks out in the next week or two so it will be interesting to see which direction they go for the Twins pick.

Woot woot for mocks! Even though this draft class is significantly weaker than the last few, we will still get a solid prospect at #6. I totally support grabbing Allard at #6 if his medicals check out.

BA's top 100 draft chart and chat: http://www.baseballamerica.com/draft/top-100-draft-prospects/ http://www.baseballamerica.com/draft/2015-top-100-draft-prospects-chat/

BA is releasing their new draft board tomorrow. Will be fun to compare it to the others.