Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

cHawk

Community Leader
  • Posts

    2,816
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    1

Reputation Activity

  1. Like
    cHawk reacted to glunn for a blog entry, Winning more games with better outfield wall padding   
    I believe that injuries to outfielders could be greatly reduced if the outfield padding at Target Field were replaced with high tech padding.  
    One option would be to replace the existing padding with much thicker padding that has a layer of low density foam on the outside (facing the players) and thicker densities closer to the concrete wall. I have a mattress that came in a box that has this arrangement and believe that this approach could be adapted to baseball to cut the trauma from hitting the wall by 80% or more.
    Or the Twins could borrow from Hollywood stunt people and use technology based on the air bags and crash mats that lets stunt people fall from high places without injury.  https://fall-pac.com/news/fall-protection-for-stunt-men/
    Based on some rough math, I believe that for $500,000 of R&D, $1 million of manufacturing cost and $500,000 of installation costs, the Twins could have an outfield wall that could cut the injury rate by more than 50%, perhaps more than 90%.  This would be peanuts compared with the loss of value if Buxton gets injured on the current wall.  To me this is a lot like adding roll cages to race cars -- a small cost for a lot of safety.  
    What value of WAR will be lost if Buxton gets injured by the wall?  And I firmly believe that Royce Lewis would not have been hurt at all last year by his wall collision if the high tech wall had been in place.  
    One small side benefit would be a slight home field advantage -- balls that hit the padding would tend to stick and die there, not bounce back into the field of play.  The Twins players would develop expertise in dealing with that.  Players from other teams would have to learn how to adapt, like with the ivy at Wrigley.  Another side benefit would be that players could be more aggressive when they are near the wall, knowing that it is by far the safest wall on the planet.
    I believe that eventually all teams will have this.  Why not get out in front of it and maybe even develop some patents to make other teams pay to get it?
     
     
     
  2. Like
    cHawk got a reaction from wabene for a blog entry, How will these Twins finish?   
    Our Minnesota Twins stand at 57-51 with 54 games remaining in the 2022 MLB season. Thus far, they've had an up & down season. They started out hot, reaching a record of 27-16 after the first 43 games of the season. At that time, pitching appeared to be the strength of the team. Since then, however, pitching has clearly made itself known as the weakness of the team. The numbers illustrate that.
    Team Pitching ERA: 4.02 (19th in MLB, 10th in the AL)
    Team Pitching WHIP: 1.24 (T-12th in MLB, 7th in the AL)
    Team Pitching BA Against: .237 (13th in MLB, 7th in the AL)
    Team Pitching ERA-: 103 (T-20th in MLB, 10th in the AL)
    Team Pitching HR/9 Against: 1.24 (26th in MLB, 14th in the AL)
    Team Pitching WPA: -0.06 (19th in MLB, 10th in the AL)
    Those numbers, especially the Team Pitching HR/9 Against number, are less than stellar. The Twins knew they needed to address their pitching staff at the trade deadline, and they did just that. They acquired closer Jorge Lopez from Baltimore, set-up man Michael Fulmer from Detroit, & starter Tyler Mahle from Cincinatti. So far, these additions have shown mixed results. Tyler Mahle was good on Friday night against Toronto through 5 innings, but the wheels fell off in the 6th inning. Jorge Lopez blew a save in aforementioned game. Michael Fulmer, while so far not allowing any runs in a Twins uniform, has a concerning 1.5 WHIP in that stretch.
    The Twins have also dealt with several injuries this season. Left-fielder Alex Kirilloff will be missing the remainder of the season. Byron Buxton has been on & off the bench throughout the year, as always. Royce Lewis tore his ACL for the second year in a row (ugh).
    The X-factors for the Twins in the next 54 games, IMO, are as follows:
    1.  The starting pitching. Currently, the Twins have Mahle, Gray, & Ryan in the rotation. After that there are question marks such as Dylan Bundy & Chris Archer.
    2. The bullpen. Jorge Lopez & Michael Fulmer need to be big contributors along with Jhoan Duran, Griffin Jax, & Caleb Thielbar in order to consistently close out wins.
    3. Byron Buxton & Carlos Correa. In order for this offense to get going, somebody needs to step up. The bats of both Buxton & Correa have been cold as of late.
    Now I will predict the rest of the Twins' schedule. I will organize their schedule by opponents & number of games against each opponent. Then, I will predict a record against each opponent.
    Twins' Remaining Opponents:
     · Chicago White Sox: 5-4 in 9 games
     · Cleveland Guardians: 5-3 in 8 games
     · Detroit Tigers: 2-1 in 3 games
     · Kansas City Royals: 6-3 in 9 games
     · Boston Red Sox: 2-1 in 3 games
     · New York Yankees: 1-3 in 4 games
     · Houston Astros: 1-2 in 3 games
     · Los Angeles Angels: 4-2 in 6 games
     · Texas Rangers: 3-1 in 4 games
     · Los Angeles Dodgers: 0-2 in 2 games
     · San Francisco Giants: 2-1 in 3 games
    Total Record over the Final 54 games: 31-23
    Twins End-of-Season record: 88-74
  3. Like
    cHawk got a reaction from ChineseGandalf for a blog entry, How will these Twins finish?   
    Our Minnesota Twins stand at 57-51 with 54 games remaining in the 2022 MLB season. Thus far, they've had an up & down season. They started out hot, reaching a record of 27-16 after the first 43 games of the season. At that time, pitching appeared to be the strength of the team. Since then, however, pitching has clearly made itself known as the weakness of the team. The numbers illustrate that.
    Team Pitching ERA: 4.02 (19th in MLB, 10th in the AL)
    Team Pitching WHIP: 1.24 (T-12th in MLB, 7th in the AL)
    Team Pitching BA Against: .237 (13th in MLB, 7th in the AL)
    Team Pitching ERA-: 103 (T-20th in MLB, 10th in the AL)
    Team Pitching HR/9 Against: 1.24 (26th in MLB, 14th in the AL)
    Team Pitching WPA: -0.06 (19th in MLB, 10th in the AL)
    Those numbers, especially the Team Pitching HR/9 Against number, are less than stellar. The Twins knew they needed to address their pitching staff at the trade deadline, and they did just that. They acquired closer Jorge Lopez from Baltimore, set-up man Michael Fulmer from Detroit, & starter Tyler Mahle from Cincinatti. So far, these additions have shown mixed results. Tyler Mahle was good on Friday night against Toronto through 5 innings, but the wheels fell off in the 6th inning. Jorge Lopez blew a save in aforementioned game. Michael Fulmer, while so far not allowing any runs in a Twins uniform, has a concerning 1.5 WHIP in that stretch.
    The Twins have also dealt with several injuries this season. Left-fielder Alex Kirilloff will be missing the remainder of the season. Byron Buxton has been on & off the bench throughout the year, as always. Royce Lewis tore his ACL for the second year in a row (ugh).
    The X-factors for the Twins in the next 54 games, IMO, are as follows:
    1.  The starting pitching. Currently, the Twins have Mahle, Gray, & Ryan in the rotation. After that there are question marks such as Dylan Bundy & Chris Archer.
    2. The bullpen. Jorge Lopez & Michael Fulmer need to be big contributors along with Jhoan Duran, Griffin Jax, & Caleb Thielbar in order to consistently close out wins.
    3. Byron Buxton & Carlos Correa. In order for this offense to get going, somebody needs to step up. The bats of both Buxton & Correa have been cold as of late.
    Now I will predict the rest of the Twins' schedule. I will organize their schedule by opponents & number of games against each opponent. Then, I will predict a record against each opponent.
    Twins' Remaining Opponents:
     · Chicago White Sox: 5-4 in 9 games
     · Cleveland Guardians: 5-3 in 8 games
     · Detroit Tigers: 2-1 in 3 games
     · Kansas City Royals: 6-3 in 9 games
     · Boston Red Sox: 2-1 in 3 games
     · New York Yankees: 1-3 in 4 games
     · Houston Astros: 1-2 in 3 games
     · Los Angeles Angels: 4-2 in 6 games
     · Texas Rangers: 3-1 in 4 games
     · Los Angeles Dodgers: 0-2 in 2 games
     · San Francisco Giants: 2-1 in 3 games
    Total Record over the Final 54 games: 31-23
    Twins End-of-Season record: 88-74
  4. Like
    cHawk got a reaction from Karbo for a blog entry, How will these Twins finish?   
    Our Minnesota Twins stand at 57-51 with 54 games remaining in the 2022 MLB season. Thus far, they've had an up & down season. They started out hot, reaching a record of 27-16 after the first 43 games of the season. At that time, pitching appeared to be the strength of the team. Since then, however, pitching has clearly made itself known as the weakness of the team. The numbers illustrate that.
    Team Pitching ERA: 4.02 (19th in MLB, 10th in the AL)
    Team Pitching WHIP: 1.24 (T-12th in MLB, 7th in the AL)
    Team Pitching BA Against: .237 (13th in MLB, 7th in the AL)
    Team Pitching ERA-: 103 (T-20th in MLB, 10th in the AL)
    Team Pitching HR/9 Against: 1.24 (26th in MLB, 14th in the AL)
    Team Pitching WPA: -0.06 (19th in MLB, 10th in the AL)
    Those numbers, especially the Team Pitching HR/9 Against number, are less than stellar. The Twins knew they needed to address their pitching staff at the trade deadline, and they did just that. They acquired closer Jorge Lopez from Baltimore, set-up man Michael Fulmer from Detroit, & starter Tyler Mahle from Cincinatti. So far, these additions have shown mixed results. Tyler Mahle was good on Friday night against Toronto through 5 innings, but the wheels fell off in the 6th inning. Jorge Lopez blew a save in aforementioned game. Michael Fulmer, while so far not allowing any runs in a Twins uniform, has a concerning 1.5 WHIP in that stretch.
    The Twins have also dealt with several injuries this season. Left-fielder Alex Kirilloff will be missing the remainder of the season. Byron Buxton has been on & off the bench throughout the year, as always. Royce Lewis tore his ACL for the second year in a row (ugh).
    The X-factors for the Twins in the next 54 games, IMO, are as follows:
    1.  The starting pitching. Currently, the Twins have Mahle, Gray, & Ryan in the rotation. After that there are question marks such as Dylan Bundy & Chris Archer.
    2. The bullpen. Jorge Lopez & Michael Fulmer need to be big contributors along with Jhoan Duran, Griffin Jax, & Caleb Thielbar in order to consistently close out wins.
    3. Byron Buxton & Carlos Correa. In order for this offense to get going, somebody needs to step up. The bats of both Buxton & Correa have been cold as of late.
    Now I will predict the rest of the Twins' schedule. I will organize their schedule by opponents & number of games against each opponent. Then, I will predict a record against each opponent.
    Twins' Remaining Opponents:
     · Chicago White Sox: 5-4 in 9 games
     · Cleveland Guardians: 5-3 in 8 games
     · Detroit Tigers: 2-1 in 3 games
     · Kansas City Royals: 6-3 in 9 games
     · Boston Red Sox: 2-1 in 3 games
     · New York Yankees: 1-3 in 4 games
     · Houston Astros: 1-2 in 3 games
     · Los Angeles Angels: 4-2 in 6 games
     · Texas Rangers: 3-1 in 4 games
     · Los Angeles Dodgers: 0-2 in 2 games
     · San Francisco Giants: 2-1 in 3 games
    Total Record over the Final 54 games: 31-23
    Twins End-of-Season record: 88-74
  5. Like
    cHawk reacted to BigJoeGun for a blog entry, Kirilloff is back up; Polanco to IL as Twins go to Phoenix   
    It has been announced just a little bit ago that 1B/OF Alex Kirilloff has been recalled from the Triple-A St. Paul Saints and second baseman Jorge Polanco has been put on the injured list retroactive to June 13th, due to lower back tightness. This comes as the Twins head to Phoenix to face the 30-35, 4th place Arizona Diamondbacks this weekend. It will be interesting whether Kirilloff is put in the lineup right away tonight or not as the Twins will face lefty Madison Baumgarner. 
    Here are the weekend pitching matchups:
    Devin Smeltzer vs. Madison Madison Baumgarner tonight
    Dylan Bundy vs. Luke Weaver Saturday
    Chris Archer vs. Merrill Kelly Sunday
    I will be interested to see how the Twins handle the Diamondbacks pitching going from an aging veteran in Baumgarner tonight to fresh faced guys the rest of the weekend and the Arizona bullpen which is not good. The Twins should be able to take 2 of 3 this weekend if not all three. Be sure to tune into the Twins Nation Podcast for our next episode where we will discuss this series as well as the just completed Mariners series and the upcoming schedule where the Twins will see a lot of the Cleveland Guardians, their closest competitor in the AL Central. You can find the podcast on my website https://www.podpage.com/twins-nation/ or anywhere you get your podcasts! 
     
  6. Like
    cHawk reacted to Will Goodwin for a blog entry, MLB Ballpark Rankings   
    The boys of summer are back. And with them comes every baseball fan’s urge to soak in the sun in one of the many beautiful ballparks around the continent (couldn’t leave you out, Toronto). With temperatures rising, summer vacation approaching, and unused PTO sitting and waiting to be burned, it’s the perfect time to plan a stadium tour. Baseball stadiums are undoubtedly the crown jewel of American sports venues: the expansive green grass, quirky outfields, skylines, and geographical landmarks are just parts of what make these American sports cathedrals magnificent and charming.

    Not all ballparks are created equal, however: some need to be renovated, some should be burned, and some will go down in history as great American landmarks. Let’s put these parks in their place. 
     
    30. Tropicana Field, Tampa Bay Rays
    Let’s just get this one out of the way. The worst place on earth to play any sport.
     
    29. RingCentral Coliseum, Oakland Athletics
    There’s a reason that there has been talk of moving the A’s out of Oakland. They play baseball in a football stadium that is no longer home to a football team. 
     
    28. Rogers Centre, Toronto Blue Jays
    Slightly better than Oakland and Tampa simply because there’s a view of the CN Tower from the 3rd-base line. Everything else about it is forgettable. Points for having a completely symmetrical outfield?
     
    27. American Family Field, Milwaukee Brewers
    You’ll notice a trend: retractable roofs and indoor stadiums will suffer on this list. Formerly known as Miller Park, this ballpark looks more like a corporate building. Not much to write home about. The best part is probably the left-field slide that Bernie Brewer slides down after a Brewers home run. 
     
    26. LoanDepot Park, Miami Marlins
    What is the statue thing in left-center field? It’s cool and big, but this place looks like it was built to be a Miami hangout spot rather than a place to watch baseball. 
     
    25. Globe Life Field, Texas Rangers
    They built a stadium with a retractable roof and artificial turf in Arlington because it got so damn hot in the summer time that it was borderline dangerous to play and watch baseball in the Texas sun. At that point it’s probably just time to move the team. 
     
    24. Minute Maid Park, Houston Astros
    Don’t be fooled by the team’s recent success as a measuring stick for the ballpark’s charm. The train tracks in left field are cute. But from the Chick-fil-a signs on the foul poles, indoor-feel (even with the roof open), and train-depot aesthetic, it’s just kinda meh. 
     
    23. Comerica Park, Detroit Tigers
    It’s the 8th wonder of the world that Miguel Cabrera hit 500 home runs while playing primarily in this massive ballpark. The view is subpar, unless you like industrial buildings; and the cars out in center field are a little awkward. As if they need to remind you that you’re in the Motor City. 
     
    22. Chase Field, Arizona Diamondbacks
    It has a beautiful feel to it, despite its stuffy, indoor nature. The contrasted, striped grass is fresh, and it has the perfect antidote to that desert sun: the right-center field pool. 
     
    21. Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago White Sox
    It’s an average ballpark with nothing special about it. A fine place for a ball game. I have always wondered what those candy cane things are out in center field. 
     
    20. Nationals Park, Washington Nationals
    Any place that is home to a recent World Champion and also sits in the nation’s capital is going to get some love. Unlike some of the new-age parks built in the last few years, the Nationals didn’t try and do too much when they built this beauty in 2008. Simple and sweet. 
     
    19. Progressive Field, Cleveland Guardians
    A solid place to play ball, although it is in need of renovation.The wall in left field is trying to be the Green Monster, but the trees in center are a nice touch. 
     
    18. Great American Ballpark, Cincinnati Reds
    Catch a game here on a sun-soaked afternoon and you won’t be disappointed. The view of the Ohio River and Newport, KY hills are breath-taking. A calm, peaceful place to watch a pitiful team.
     
    17. Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia Phillies
    The coniferous trees behind the short wall in center field next to the zig-zagging tall wall in left-center, the right-center field bell, and the distant skyline provide real charm.
     
    16. T-Mobile Park, Seattle Mariners
    The best of all the retractable-roof parks by far, this venue is the only hybrid stadium that truly has an outdoor feel. The grass just seems greener than most (probably because all it does is rain in the Pacific Northwest). The only downside is how much magenta is plaguing the architecture since the T-Mobile rebranding.
     
    15. Citi Field, New York Mets
    The blue and jagged outfield walls, orange foul poles, and Home Run “Big Apple” out in center field are all unique aspects that provide an individuality to this 21st-century park. A true upgrade to the old Shea Stadium that could seat about fifteen people in the outfield bleachers.
     
    14. Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles Dodgers
    It’s got history, it’s been the home to mythical teams with all-time great players. But nostalgia only counts for so much. It’s a relatively standard design without many distinctive qualities. And that storage-like batter’s eye in center field is an eye sore. The beautiful canyon that it sits in is what saves this park from not being lower on the list.
     
    13. Yankee Stadium, New York Yankees
    How dare I place this so low on the list. The reason it’s this high on the list is out of respect. First off, the field dimensions are atrocious. A lazy fly ball in almost every other park is a home run in left or right field. The skyline view is sorta meh considering it’s in New York. Most of all though, this is like owning a copy of the Declaration of Independence for your classroom. There is no history to this ballpark. It’s not the “House that Ruth Built”; and sorry, the “House that Jeter Built” doesn’t have the same ring. You’re welcome for not putting you lower, Yankees fans.
     
    12. Truist Park, Atlanta Braves
    Atlanta did it right when they moved from Turner Field in 2017. Built into the beautiful Battery district, its simple design wins in an era of over-architected stadiums (talking to you, Miami). The brick wall beneath the Chop House provides a variable that complicates things just enough for visiting right fielders. 
     
    11. Petco Park, San Diego Padres
    Nestled in-between shimmering skyscrapers in downtown San Diego, Petco is a glorious place to witness a Major League game. The historic Western Metal Supply Co. building built into the left-field line is unlike anything else in the sport, while the minimal center-field architecture allows for a beautiful view of the city; the palm trees out there don’t hurt either. 
     
    10. Coors Field, Colorado Rockies
    Location, location, location. The mediocre Colorado baseball franchise has one of the best ballparks in the land in large part because of its Rocky Mountain backdrop. I suppose the team is adequately named. The pine trees and greenery in the center-field batter’s eye and rocky streams in the right-center-field bullpens make it actually feel like you’re in the mountains.
     
    9. Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore Orioles
    A beautiful home for an abysmal baseball team. The historic and repurposed B&O Warehouse behind the right-field porch, (which rivals the quirkiness of the Western Metal Supply Co. building at Petco Park) and the great skyline view provide pretty things to look at since Oriole fans need to look away from their pathetic team every so often. The new left-field wall design is bad, and frankly dangerous for any left-fielder trying to cut off a ball deep in the gap.
     
    8. Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City Royals
    The crown jewel (get it?) of the lower Midwest. The crown on the center-field jumbotron. The waterfalls and fountains in the right-center field. It’s quite the picture. Only downside is that it feels a little dark there during night games.
     
    7. Oracle Park, San Francisco Giants
    There may not be a more unique place in the league. The giant (yes, the Giants did this intentionally) Coke-bottle slide and old-time four-fingered glove behind left field are just odd. And what’s the deal with that car-shaped bulge in the left-field fence? But the sneaky-big outfield, right-field garages and short porch backing up to the Bay are special. Don’t forget the kayak wars.
     
    6. Angel Stadium, Los Angeles Angels
    The grassy hills behind the left-center- and center-field walls would be highlights in most stadiums, but the rocky waterfall takes the cake here. It’s even more picturesque when Mike Trout is pulling a home run back in front of that waterfall. The massive Angels hats in front of the entrance are almost hilariously large and unique. 
     
    5. Target Field, Minnesota Twins
    If a Twins fan tells you they want the Metrodome back, just ignore them. Thank goodness that retractable roof idea was dismissed. There are many subtle aspects to Target field that make it unique. There’s the one-of-a-kind “living wall” batter’s eye sitting above the grassy berm behind the center field fence. The flower boxes behind the left-fence are a nice touch for a state that loves their summertime gardening (great photo ops here, too). If you’re going to play right field at Target Field, you’d better be ready for the four different surfaces to contend with: the Minnesota limestone overhang, the padded wall, the non padded section under the limestone, and the scoreboard. The skyline view with Minnie and Paul in the foreground is the perfect way to watch night fall on Minneapolis. 
     
    4. PNC Park, Pittsburgh Pirates
    Something with this franchise and Ps. You’ll be hard-pressed to find a better view in baseball. The Clemente Bridge crossing the Allegheny River, with the majestic skyline behind it is hard to beat. The variable outfield wall with the “PIRATES”-sculpted hedges behind center field are just quirky enough to make the park itself unique.
     
    3. Busch Stadium, St. Louis Cardinals
    Now this is a baseball stadium. Everything about this place just pops. The vibrant green grass, the “arch” mowed into the outfield grass, the red bleacher seats. The Old Courthouse historical landmark peeks out from behind the left-center field wall, bringing majesty and history to an already historic franchise’s home. What really brings this one home is the shimmering St. Louis Arch towering behind the center-field Budweiser sign. I’ve never understood the whole Big Mac Land thing, though.
     
    2. Wrigley Field, Chicago Cubs
    About the only negative things I can say about Wrigley Field are that it gets a little dark and shadowy at night (probably because they didn’t have permanent lights until 1988) and that playing outfield has to be about as dangerous as getting tackled by Ray Lewis. I wouldn’t have any interest in crashing into a brick wall covered in ivy to catch a flyball. The outfield basket is an oddity that must drive outfielders nuts. It’s got charm. It’s been around forever. It’s simple. There’s a reason it’s on every baseball fan’s bucket list.
     
    1. Fenway Park, Boston Red Sox
    The oldest ballpark in the Bigs, Fenway is the weirdest place to play baseball. The massive Green Monster is so close to home plate that singles off the fence are nearly as common as doubles. The short right field fence is just flat out dangerous. The triangle and garage doors in center field cause all sorts of problems. Oh and don’t forget Pesky’s Pole: a hitter can hit a lazy fly ball down the right field line that ends up a home run (and would very likely be a foul ball in 29 other stadiums). The Citgo sign is to Fenway as PB is to J. These quirks and its history are second to none. Congrats Boston, another thing to puff your chests out about.
     
    Honorable mention: Field of Dreams, Iowa
    Yes, it is heaven. Commissioner Manfred needs to seriously consider adding a 31st team in Iowa solely for the fact that there can be Major League baseball played in this haven 81 nights a year. I may start a petition for the All-Star Game to be held here every summer. You simply can’t beat it.

    Check out my other unique sports content at the Bad Loser Blog; covering basketball, football, baseball, and the human side of sports.
  7. Like
    cHawk got a reaction from Minny505 for a blog entry, MLB Power Rankings: May 2022 American League Edition   
    We are about a month of the way through the 2022 MLB Season. Some teams have overperformed expectations thus far, some have underperformed expectations thus far, and other teams have performed as expected. I want to rank the 15 American League teams based on their performance in the first month of the season. I will be considering not only the teams' Win-Loss records but also the way the individual parts of the teams have performed. Let's dive into it, shall we? (Yes, I will be doing a National League Edition too, probably tomorrow or Sunday)
    15. Detroit Tigers (8-16)
    The Tigers have been awful in the first month of the season. Offensively, they rank 29th in Runs Scored, 27th in Team OPS, and T-24th in Team wRC+. Their pitching staff has been decent, ranking 10th in Team ERA, T-10th in Team WHIP, and 13th in Team Pitching ERA-. However, the decent performance of the pitching staff has not been able to make up for the godawful performance of the offense.
    14. Kansas City Royals (8-15)
    The Royals have stunk in the first month of the season. Offensively, they rank 30th in Runs Scored, T-28th in Team OPS, and T-28th in Team wRC+. Their pitching staff hasn't been any better, ranking 27th in Team ERA, 26th in Team WHIP, 28th in Team ERA-, and 28th in K%.
    13. Baltimore Orioles (10-16)
    This Orioles team which was expected to be bad has been bad. Offensively they rank 26th in Runs Scored, 21st in Team OPS, and 25th in Team wRC+. On the pitching side they rank 19th in Team ERA, T-24th in Team WHIP, and 27th in K%.
    12. Oakland Athletics (10-15)
    The A's have been terrible offensively in the first month of the season, ranking 22nd in Runs Scored, 29th in Team OPS, and 26th in Team wRC+. Their pitching staff hasn't been any better, ranking 25th in Team ERA, T-18th in Team WHIP, and 25th in Team ERA-.
    11. Texas Rangers (10-14)
    The Rangers, despite some of their aggressive offseason moves, have not been a good team. Offensively, they rank 17th in Runs Scored, 23rd in Team OPS, and 22nd in Team wRC+. While their offense hasn't been great, their pitching staff has been dreadful, ranking 25th in Team ERA, T-22nd in Team WHIP, and 26th in Team ERA-.
    10. Boston Red Sox (10-16)
    The Red Sox had one of MLB's most explosive offenses in 2021. This group, however, has greatly disappointed thus far in 2022, ranking 24th in Runs Scored, 26th in Team OPS, and 29th in Team wRC+. On the pitching side they've been better but still not good, ranking 18th in Team ERA, 13th in Team WHIP, and 17th in Team ERA-.
    9. Seattle Mariners (12-14)
    The Mariners have been league average offensively. Their offense ranks T-15th in Runs Scored, 16th in Team OPS, and T-6th in Team wRC+. Their pitching staff has been average to slightly above, ranking T-12th in Team ERA, 16th in Team WHIP, and 18th in Team ERA-.
    8. Chicago White Sox (11-13)
    The White Sox have been arguably the most disappointing team in the league thus far in the season. Offensively, they rank T-27th in Runs Scored, 24th in Team OPS, and 23rd in Team wRC+. On the pitching side, they've been about league average, ranking 16th in Team ERA, 24th in Team WHIP, 15th in Team ERA-, and 4th in K%.
    7. Cleveland Guardians (12-13)
    Unlike many Guardians teams of the recent years, the offense has been the highlight for these Guardians. Offensively, they rank 8th in Runs Scored, 6th in Team OPS, and T-4th in Team wRC+. Also unlike many Guardians teams of the recent years, the pitching staff has been the lowlight for these Guardians. Their pitching staff ranks 21st in Team ERA, (surprisingly) 10th in Team WHIP, 23rd in ERA-, and 18th in K%.
    6. Toronto Blue Jays (16-11)
    Toronto has been the definition of mediocre. They've been average offensively, ranking 9th in Team OPS, 18th in Runs Scored, and 14th in Team wRC+. Their pitching staff has also been average, ranking T-17th in Team ERA, 13th in Team WHIP, and T-16th in Team ERA-.
    5. Minnesota Twins (15-11)
    The Twins' pitching staff has been surprisingly good in the first month of the season, ranking 8th in Team ERA, 8th in Team WHIP, and 9th in Team K%. Offensively they've been above average, ranking 13th in Runs Scored, 10th in Team OPS, and 6th in Team wRC+.
    4. Houston Astros (15-11)
    The Astros' pitching staff has been superb through the first month of the season, ranking 5th in Team ERA, 5th in Team WHIP, and T-6th in Team ERA-. Their offense, however, has not been as good, ranking T-20th in Runs Scored, T-19th in Team OPS, and 15th in Team wRC+.
    3. Los Angeles Angels (17-10)
    The Angels have been excellent offensively, ranking T-1st in Runs Scored, 3rd in Team OPS, 2nd in Team wRC+, and 8th in Team Offensive WAR. Pitching has been an issue for Angels teams of the recent years, but thus far their pitching staff has been above average, ranking 14th in Team ERA, 4th in Team WHIP, 14th in Team ERA-, and 13th in Team Pitching WAR.
    2. Tampa Bay Rays (16-10)
    The Rays have been led by their pitching staff which ranks 6th in Team ERA, 3rd in Team WHIP, and 5th in Team K%. Offensively they aren't as strong but still are respectable, ranking 11th in Team OPS, 11th in Runs Scored, T-4th in Team wRC+, and T-4th in Team Offensive WAR.
    1. New York Yankees (18-7)
    This Yankees team has been firing on all cylinders thus far. Offensively, they rank 2nd in Team OPS, 6th in Runs Scored, T-1st in Home Runs, T-1st in Team wRC+, and 2nd in Team Offensive WAR. On the pitching side, they rank 2nd in Team ERA, 2nd in Team ERA-, 7th in Team WHIP, 6th in K%, and 2nd in Team Pitching WAR.
     
    Those are my rankings. What are your rankings? Share them below!
  8. Like
    cHawk got a reaction from Melissa for a blog entry, Through 19 games, what are the strengths and weaknesses of this team?   
    Our Minnesota Twins start the 2022 MLB Season at 11-8 and are 1st Place in the American League Central Division.

    It’s a Small Sample Size, but the Twins have shown both areas of strength and areas of weakness in their first 19 games. Today, we’re going to analyze the following four items and label each as either a strength or a weakness:
    • Starting Pitching
    • Relief Pitching
    • Offense
    • Defense

    Starting Pitching: Strength
    One of the biggest surprises for the Twins thus far in 2022 has been the starting pitching. The Twins’ starting rotation was predicted by many to be an average to slightly above group. However, the numbers say this group has greatly exceeded expectations in the first 19 games. A few stats for you:
    Team SP ERA: 2.39 (2nd)
    Team SP Opp BA: .205 (5th)
    Team SP WAR: 1.9 (5th)
    Team SP WHIP: 1.01 (3rd)
    Team SP HR/9: 0.80 (8th)
    Team SP BB%: 6.1% (4th)
    Team SP K%: 22.5% (14th)
    Team SP WPA: 1.31 (4th)
    Team SP LOB%: 81.9% (2nd)

    It’s fair to say this group has greatly exceeded expectations through the first 19 games. Dylan Bundy, Chris Paddack, and rookie Joe Ryan have led the rotation, combining for 53.0 IP and 1.8 WAR (0.6 WAR each).

    Relief Pitching: Weakness
    The Twins’ relief staff was one of the main contributors the the team’s early collapse in 2021 (Mostly due to a reliever who shall not be named blowing several saves). While it hasn’t been as much of a burden on the team so far in 2022 as it was in 2021, it has been a problem and the numbers reflect that:
    Team RP ERA: 3.94 (21st)
    Team RP Opp BA: .241 (27th)
    Team RP WAR: -0.3 (28th)
    Team RP WHIP: 1.38 (27th)
    Team RP HR/9: 1.39 (28th)
    Team RP K%: 23.8% (16th)
    Team RP BB%: 10.8% (25th)
    Team RP WPA: 0.15 (18th)
    Team RP LOB%: 80% (5th)

    One of the main reasons that this group has struggled is that Tyler Duffey and Caleb Thielbar have struggled, despite being effective for the Twins in the past. Tyler Duffey has a team worst -0.76 WPA, and Caleb Thielbar has a -0.35 WPA. If this group is going to be league average, those two are going to need to figure it out.

    Offense: Middle of the Road
    This Twins offense had potential to be one of baseball’s most explosive units. In some ways it has. In other ways it hasn’t.
    Team Batting RS: 75 (17th)
    Team Batting BA: .225 (20th)
    Team Batting OBP: .314 (13th)
    Team Batting SLG: .369 (16th)
    Team Batting OPS: .683 (17th)
    Team Batting: wRC+: 107 (15th)
    Team Batting K%: 24.6% (25th)
    Team Batting BB%: 10.6% (4th)
    Team Batting HR: 20 (9th)
    Team Batting WAR: 2.1 (17th)
    Obviously this group has its strengths and weaknesses. It’s fair to say that it was expected that this offense would rank high in HRs. But what really sticks out to me about this group so far is the BB%. They ranked in the 15-20 range every year from 2019-2021, but they’ve jumped all the way to 4th in 2022. I don’t know what caused this large leap, but I do know that more walks lead to a better offense.
    And in case you didn’t hear, Byron Buxton is good at baseball.
    The biggest problem with this group by far has been the K%. They rank 25th in the MLB with a 24.6 K%.

    If you add all of the stats up, the Twins’ offense has been middle of the road. If the Twins want their offense to be Top 10 in MLB, they’ll need to lower the Team K% and increase the Team BA. As the weather gets warmer, that may very well happen. We’ll see.

    Defense: Middle of the Road
    From Jorge Polanco’s terrible defense at SS to Luis Arraez’s terrible defense at 3B, defense has been a problem for the Twins over the last couple of years. In theory, this defense should be pretty good. A speedy Buxton in CF combined with Carlos Correa at SS and Max Kepler in RF sounds awesome.
    So far in 2022, the Twins’ defense has a FP of 98.8% (11th) and has committed 4 Errors (12th). There isn’t a lot to say here. The Twins’ defense has been about average and hasn’t made any game-losing blunders thus far.

    To recap, the Twins’ starting rotation is the main reason for their winning streak. Their relief staff has coughed up multiple leads. Their offense and defense have been up and down. If the Twins want to be a contender in 2022, they will need to shore up their relief staff and lower their strikeout numbers. Their starting staff will also need to continue to perform well.
  9. Like
    cHawk got a reaction from Richie the Rally Goat for a blog entry, Through 19 games, what are the strengths and weaknesses of this team?   
    Our Minnesota Twins start the 2022 MLB Season at 11-8 and are 1st Place in the American League Central Division.

    It’s a Small Sample Size, but the Twins have shown both areas of strength and areas of weakness in their first 19 games. Today, we’re going to analyze the following four items and label each as either a strength or a weakness:
    • Starting Pitching
    • Relief Pitching
    • Offense
    • Defense

    Starting Pitching: Strength
    One of the biggest surprises for the Twins thus far in 2022 has been the starting pitching. The Twins’ starting rotation was predicted by many to be an average to slightly above group. However, the numbers say this group has greatly exceeded expectations in the first 19 games. A few stats for you:
    Team SP ERA: 2.39 (2nd)
    Team SP Opp BA: .205 (5th)
    Team SP WAR: 1.9 (5th)
    Team SP WHIP: 1.01 (3rd)
    Team SP HR/9: 0.80 (8th)
    Team SP BB%: 6.1% (4th)
    Team SP K%: 22.5% (14th)
    Team SP WPA: 1.31 (4th)
    Team SP LOB%: 81.9% (2nd)

    It’s fair to say this group has greatly exceeded expectations through the first 19 games. Dylan Bundy, Chris Paddack, and rookie Joe Ryan have led the rotation, combining for 53.0 IP and 1.8 WAR (0.6 WAR each).

    Relief Pitching: Weakness
    The Twins’ relief staff was one of the main contributors the the team’s early collapse in 2021 (Mostly due to a reliever who shall not be named blowing several saves). While it hasn’t been as much of a burden on the team so far in 2022 as it was in 2021, it has been a problem and the numbers reflect that:
    Team RP ERA: 3.94 (21st)
    Team RP Opp BA: .241 (27th)
    Team RP WAR: -0.3 (28th)
    Team RP WHIP: 1.38 (27th)
    Team RP HR/9: 1.39 (28th)
    Team RP K%: 23.8% (16th)
    Team RP BB%: 10.8% (25th)
    Team RP WPA: 0.15 (18th)
    Team RP LOB%: 80% (5th)

    One of the main reasons that this group has struggled is that Tyler Duffey and Caleb Thielbar have struggled, despite being effective for the Twins in the past. Tyler Duffey has a team worst -0.76 WPA, and Caleb Thielbar has a -0.35 WPA. If this group is going to be league average, those two are going to need to figure it out.

    Offense: Middle of the Road
    This Twins offense had potential to be one of baseball’s most explosive units. In some ways it has. In other ways it hasn’t.
    Team Batting RS: 75 (17th)
    Team Batting BA: .225 (20th)
    Team Batting OBP: .314 (13th)
    Team Batting SLG: .369 (16th)
    Team Batting OPS: .683 (17th)
    Team Batting: wRC+: 107 (15th)
    Team Batting K%: 24.6% (25th)
    Team Batting BB%: 10.6% (4th)
    Team Batting HR: 20 (9th)
    Team Batting WAR: 2.1 (17th)
    Obviously this group has its strengths and weaknesses. It’s fair to say that it was expected that this offense would rank high in HRs. But what really sticks out to me about this group so far is the BB%. They ranked in the 15-20 range every year from 2019-2021, but they’ve jumped all the way to 4th in 2022. I don’t know what caused this large leap, but I do know that more walks lead to a better offense.
    And in case you didn’t hear, Byron Buxton is good at baseball.
    The biggest problem with this group by far has been the K%. They rank 25th in the MLB with a 24.6 K%.

    If you add all of the stats up, the Twins’ offense has been middle of the road. If the Twins want their offense to be Top 10 in MLB, they’ll need to lower the Team K% and increase the Team BA. As the weather gets warmer, that may very well happen. We’ll see.

    Defense: Middle of the Road
    From Jorge Polanco’s terrible defense at SS to Luis Arraez’s terrible defense at 3B, defense has been a problem for the Twins over the last couple of years. In theory, this defense should be pretty good. A speedy Buxton in CF combined with Carlos Correa at SS and Max Kepler in RF sounds awesome.
    So far in 2022, the Twins’ defense has a FP of 98.8% (11th) and has committed 4 Errors (12th). There isn’t a lot to say here. The Twins’ defense has been about average and hasn’t made any game-losing blunders thus far.

    To recap, the Twins’ starting rotation is the main reason for their winning streak. Their relief staff has coughed up multiple leads. Their offense and defense have been up and down. If the Twins want to be a contender in 2022, they will need to shore up their relief staff and lower their strikeout numbers. Their starting staff will also need to continue to perform well.
  10. Like
    cHawk got a reaction from Karbo for a blog entry, Through 19 games, what are the strengths and weaknesses of this team?   
    Our Minnesota Twins start the 2022 MLB Season at 11-8 and are 1st Place in the American League Central Division.

    It’s a Small Sample Size, but the Twins have shown both areas of strength and areas of weakness in their first 19 games. Today, we’re going to analyze the following four items and label each as either a strength or a weakness:
    • Starting Pitching
    • Relief Pitching
    • Offense
    • Defense

    Starting Pitching: Strength
    One of the biggest surprises for the Twins thus far in 2022 has been the starting pitching. The Twins’ starting rotation was predicted by many to be an average to slightly above group. However, the numbers say this group has greatly exceeded expectations in the first 19 games. A few stats for you:
    Team SP ERA: 2.39 (2nd)
    Team SP Opp BA: .205 (5th)
    Team SP WAR: 1.9 (5th)
    Team SP WHIP: 1.01 (3rd)
    Team SP HR/9: 0.80 (8th)
    Team SP BB%: 6.1% (4th)
    Team SP K%: 22.5% (14th)
    Team SP WPA: 1.31 (4th)
    Team SP LOB%: 81.9% (2nd)

    It’s fair to say this group has greatly exceeded expectations through the first 19 games. Dylan Bundy, Chris Paddack, and rookie Joe Ryan have led the rotation, combining for 53.0 IP and 1.8 WAR (0.6 WAR each).

    Relief Pitching: Weakness
    The Twins’ relief staff was one of the main contributors the the team’s early collapse in 2021 (Mostly due to a reliever who shall not be named blowing several saves). While it hasn’t been as much of a burden on the team so far in 2022 as it was in 2021, it has been a problem and the numbers reflect that:
    Team RP ERA: 3.94 (21st)
    Team RP Opp BA: .241 (27th)
    Team RP WAR: -0.3 (28th)
    Team RP WHIP: 1.38 (27th)
    Team RP HR/9: 1.39 (28th)
    Team RP K%: 23.8% (16th)
    Team RP BB%: 10.8% (25th)
    Team RP WPA: 0.15 (18th)
    Team RP LOB%: 80% (5th)

    One of the main reasons that this group has struggled is that Tyler Duffey and Caleb Thielbar have struggled, despite being effective for the Twins in the past. Tyler Duffey has a team worst -0.76 WPA, and Caleb Thielbar has a -0.35 WPA. If this group is going to be league average, those two are going to need to figure it out.

    Offense: Middle of the Road
    This Twins offense had potential to be one of baseball’s most explosive units. In some ways it has. In other ways it hasn’t.
    Team Batting RS: 75 (17th)
    Team Batting BA: .225 (20th)
    Team Batting OBP: .314 (13th)
    Team Batting SLG: .369 (16th)
    Team Batting OPS: .683 (17th)
    Team Batting: wRC+: 107 (15th)
    Team Batting K%: 24.6% (25th)
    Team Batting BB%: 10.6% (4th)
    Team Batting HR: 20 (9th)
    Team Batting WAR: 2.1 (17th)
    Obviously this group has its strengths and weaknesses. It’s fair to say that it was expected that this offense would rank high in HRs. But what really sticks out to me about this group so far is the BB%. They ranked in the 15-20 range every year from 2019-2021, but they’ve jumped all the way to 4th in 2022. I don’t know what caused this large leap, but I do know that more walks lead to a better offense.
    And in case you didn’t hear, Byron Buxton is good at baseball.
    The biggest problem with this group by far has been the K%. They rank 25th in the MLB with a 24.6 K%.

    If you add all of the stats up, the Twins’ offense has been middle of the road. If the Twins want their offense to be Top 10 in MLB, they’ll need to lower the Team K% and increase the Team BA. As the weather gets warmer, that may very well happen. We’ll see.

    Defense: Middle of the Road
    From Jorge Polanco’s terrible defense at SS to Luis Arraez’s terrible defense at 3B, defense has been a problem for the Twins over the last couple of years. In theory, this defense should be pretty good. A speedy Buxton in CF combined with Carlos Correa at SS and Max Kepler in RF sounds awesome.
    So far in 2022, the Twins’ defense has a FP of 98.8% (11th) and has committed 4 Errors (12th). There isn’t a lot to say here. The Twins’ defense has been about average and hasn’t made any game-losing blunders thus far.

    To recap, the Twins’ starting rotation is the main reason for their winning streak. Their relief staff has coughed up multiple leads. Their offense and defense have been up and down. If the Twins want to be a contender in 2022, they will need to shore up their relief staff and lower their strikeout numbers. Their starting staff will also need to continue to perform well.
  11. Like
    cHawk got a reaction from wsnydes for a blog entry, Through 19 games, what are the strengths and weaknesses of this team?   
    Our Minnesota Twins start the 2022 MLB Season at 11-8 and are 1st Place in the American League Central Division.

    It’s a Small Sample Size, but the Twins have shown both areas of strength and areas of weakness in their first 19 games. Today, we’re going to analyze the following four items and label each as either a strength or a weakness:
    • Starting Pitching
    • Relief Pitching
    • Offense
    • Defense

    Starting Pitching: Strength
    One of the biggest surprises for the Twins thus far in 2022 has been the starting pitching. The Twins’ starting rotation was predicted by many to be an average to slightly above group. However, the numbers say this group has greatly exceeded expectations in the first 19 games. A few stats for you:
    Team SP ERA: 2.39 (2nd)
    Team SP Opp BA: .205 (5th)
    Team SP WAR: 1.9 (5th)
    Team SP WHIP: 1.01 (3rd)
    Team SP HR/9: 0.80 (8th)
    Team SP BB%: 6.1% (4th)
    Team SP K%: 22.5% (14th)
    Team SP WPA: 1.31 (4th)
    Team SP LOB%: 81.9% (2nd)

    It’s fair to say this group has greatly exceeded expectations through the first 19 games. Dylan Bundy, Chris Paddack, and rookie Joe Ryan have led the rotation, combining for 53.0 IP and 1.8 WAR (0.6 WAR each).

    Relief Pitching: Weakness
    The Twins’ relief staff was one of the main contributors the the team’s early collapse in 2021 (Mostly due to a reliever who shall not be named blowing several saves). While it hasn’t been as much of a burden on the team so far in 2022 as it was in 2021, it has been a problem and the numbers reflect that:
    Team RP ERA: 3.94 (21st)
    Team RP Opp BA: .241 (27th)
    Team RP WAR: -0.3 (28th)
    Team RP WHIP: 1.38 (27th)
    Team RP HR/9: 1.39 (28th)
    Team RP K%: 23.8% (16th)
    Team RP BB%: 10.8% (25th)
    Team RP WPA: 0.15 (18th)
    Team RP LOB%: 80% (5th)

    One of the main reasons that this group has struggled is that Tyler Duffey and Caleb Thielbar have struggled, despite being effective for the Twins in the past. Tyler Duffey has a team worst -0.76 WPA, and Caleb Thielbar has a -0.35 WPA. If this group is going to be league average, those two are going to need to figure it out.

    Offense: Middle of the Road
    This Twins offense had potential to be one of baseball’s most explosive units. In some ways it has. In other ways it hasn’t.
    Team Batting RS: 75 (17th)
    Team Batting BA: .225 (20th)
    Team Batting OBP: .314 (13th)
    Team Batting SLG: .369 (16th)
    Team Batting OPS: .683 (17th)
    Team Batting: wRC+: 107 (15th)
    Team Batting K%: 24.6% (25th)
    Team Batting BB%: 10.6% (4th)
    Team Batting HR: 20 (9th)
    Team Batting WAR: 2.1 (17th)
    Obviously this group has its strengths and weaknesses. It’s fair to say that it was expected that this offense would rank high in HRs. But what really sticks out to me about this group so far is the BB%. They ranked in the 15-20 range every year from 2019-2021, but they’ve jumped all the way to 4th in 2022. I don’t know what caused this large leap, but I do know that more walks lead to a better offense.
    And in case you didn’t hear, Byron Buxton is good at baseball.
    The biggest problem with this group by far has been the K%. They rank 25th in the MLB with a 24.6 K%.

    If you add all of the stats up, the Twins’ offense has been middle of the road. If the Twins want their offense to be Top 10 in MLB, they’ll need to lower the Team K% and increase the Team BA. As the weather gets warmer, that may very well happen. We’ll see.

    Defense: Middle of the Road
    From Jorge Polanco’s terrible defense at SS to Luis Arraez’s terrible defense at 3B, defense has been a problem for the Twins over the last couple of years. In theory, this defense should be pretty good. A speedy Buxton in CF combined with Carlos Correa at SS and Max Kepler in RF sounds awesome.
    So far in 2022, the Twins’ defense has a FP of 98.8% (11th) and has committed 4 Errors (12th). There isn’t a lot to say here. The Twins’ defense has been about average and hasn’t made any game-losing blunders thus far.

    To recap, the Twins’ starting rotation is the main reason for their winning streak. Their relief staff has coughed up multiple leads. Their offense and defense have been up and down. If the Twins want to be a contender in 2022, they will need to shore up their relief staff and lower their strikeout numbers. Their starting staff will also need to continue to perform well.
  12. Like
    cHawk reacted to Will Goodwin for a blog entry, Twin it to Win it?   
    There’s still patches of snow on the ground in the Twin Cities, and there was already a postponement before a pitch has been thrown. Welcome back, Minnesota Twins baseball.
    The Mariners are in town this weekend, followed by the Dodgers next week; but a six-game homestand isn’t the most captivating storyline this week. Rather, did the moves the front office made during the lockout-shortened offseason put this team in a position to rise from the ashes and shake the forgettable 2021 season? 
    Fox Sports’ pundit Colin Cowherd often says “aggressive wins” in sports today. Think about the 2019 Toronto Raptors, 2020 Los Angeles Lakers, 2020 Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 2021 Los Angeles Rams, 2020 Los Angeles Dodgers (lots of LA teams in there, what’s up with that?), and 2021 Atlanta Braves. Every single one of these teams won their respective league championships by taking risks and being aggressive. The ‘21 Braves were under .500 and 5 games back in a weak NL East at the trade deadline. Understanding the wackiness of the MLB playoffs and how just getting into the tournament sometimes is all you need to go on a World Series run (1987 Twins, anyone?), the Braves took a big swing. They traded for an embarrassment of outfield riches to mend their tattered outfield: Adam Duvall, Eddie Rosario (ED-DIE!, ED-DIE!), Joc Pederson, and Jorge Soler all came to the ATL [1]. How’d that work out for them? Well, Rosario won NLCS MVP, Soler World Series MVP (pretty sure it was mostly because of this), and Joc Pederson’s pearls made even grandmas envious. Moral of the story: be aggressive and be rewarded.
    Were Derek Falvey and Co. aggressive enough this offseason? Well, it’s complicated. Unless you’ve been living under a rock, you’ve heard that they acquired arguably the top free agent on the market, Carlos Correa, and paid him the highest annual salary for an infielder ever [2]. That seems aggressive enough. They traded away 2019 Silver Slugger winner Mitch Garver and 2015 American League MVP Josh Donaldson, ultimately receiving back two serviceable everyday players and a bunch of open cap space (parting the waters for the Correa deal)[3]. Definitely aggressive, slightly risky. Their most glaring hole, however, was starting pitching. Due to the departure of Jose Berrios at the 2021 trade deadline (just a reminder in case you tuned out the team last year) and Kenta Maeda’s Tommy John surgery sidelining him for most, if not all of 2022, the Twins were basically left with two diaper dandies in Bailey Ober and Joe Ryan, who combined have only pitched in 25 Major League games for a total of 119 innings [4] [5]. Recognizing that five starters are generally required to field a team, Falvey brought in Chris Archer, Dylan Bundy, Chris Paddock (a trade that lost Minnesota their All-Star closer in Taylor Rogers), and Sonny Gray, four pitchers with varying levels of previous success; but due to injuries and natural decline from age, all are unlikely to perform at said levels. Throw in a couple moderate-impact bullpen moves, and Twins are where they are as Opening Day awaits. Sort of aggressive? 
    So, were these moves enough to compete with the White Sox (don’t sleep on Detroit this year either) for the AL Central and possibly more in 2022? 
    The Twins have an offense that will keep tomorrow’s starting pitcher awake at night. Carlos Correa, Byron Buxton (based on his spring, I’d just walk him every time this year), Jorge Polanco lead a group that is a force to be reckoned with. The jury’s still out on whether Max Kepler can be 2019 Max Kepler again, but I’d have no interest pitching to Miguel Sano’s biceps (he’s better than you think), Alex Kiriloff’s smooth stroke, or Luis Arraez’s slappy stick.
    The bullpen should be fine. Losing Rogers definitely hurts, and you could make a legitimate argument that the Twins are worse off for this season than they were before the deal. Emilio Pagan arrived in the Rogers-Paddack deal, Caleb Thielbar was sneaky good last year, Joe Smith’s sidearm delivery can still baffle professional hitters, and a couple rookie flamethrowers could be x-factors.
    And we’re back to starting pitching. Thankfully there is a full rotation now, but in order to really make the rotation stalwart, more was required. There were plenty of free agent aces available this winter, but the Twins waited out the market so as to not overpay, and ultimately lost out on all the big names: Robbie Ray, Noah Syndergaard, Marcus Stroman, and Carlos Rodon all signed elsewhere [6]. On the other hand, in order to make a splash in the starting pitcher trade market, the Twins likely would have been asked to give up a considerable haul of their nearly-major-league-ready prospects in return, something they don’t seem willing to do. 
    Maybe the Twins’ hesitation to really go all in on starting pitching is justified. Yes, Carlos Correa has an opt-out after each season of his contract, so he could jump ship if this team isn’t competitive enough to his liking. But considering the required cost to fill the rotation, coupled with multiple top pitching prospects chomping at the bit for their shot, maybe this year wasn’t the year to push all the chips in. Maybe doing enough to be relevant again while betting on some of those aforementioned, almost-ready, super-promising prospects to provide an impact was the right move.
    This team will be fun and highly competitive (if they stay healthy, which is a big “if”) in an ever-weak AL Central. Winning consecutive division titles is harder than you think (just ask the 2021 Twins), so just because Chicago owned the division last year doesn’t guarantee anything. And don’t forget: all it takes is sneaking into October. Anything can happen then.
  13. Like
    cHawk reacted to Ted Schwerzler for a blog entry, 2022 AL Central Division Projection   
    We are less than two weeks away from the 2022 Major League Baseball regular season. The free agent frenzy was every bit the excitement we had hoped for following the lockout and teams are largely complete at this point. The American League Central Division had just one Postseason participant, but the hope would be for two with the field expanding to 12 teams.
    The Chicago White Sox return as the division winners and will look to carry that crown for a second season. While there’s no juggernaut here, it should be expected that there’s no cellar dweller either.
    Here’s how I see the division shaking out with PECOTA projections in parentheses.
    Chicago White Sox 89-73 (91-71)
    Chicago really didn’t do a whole lot this winter, but they also really didn’t need to. Having Luis Robert and Eloy Jimenez for a full season will represent the greatest benefit they could gain from the offseason. Kendall Graveman makes an already good bullpen better, and Joe Kelly only enhances that. They should still have a very strong lineup, and the hope would be continued dominance from the rotation. There’s no doubt that they are the favorites here.
    Minnesota Twins 85-77 (86-76)
    If there’s a team that could go up or down more than almost any other in baseball it could be Minnesota. Byron Buxton is a superstar, and now he has a partner in Carlos Correa. How much resurgence could Gary Sanchez or Gio Ursehla find in their new home? Sonny Gray is a dependable arm, but from there it’s questionable veterans and untested rookies. If things go bad, it will likely be because the arms simply weren’t enough. This could be a very good team, a mediocre team, or a relatively bad team virtually all tied to what happens on the mound.
    Detroit Tigers 77-85 (67-95)
    Javier Baez’s deal with Detroit surprised many because of the assumed tie between Carlos Correa and A.J. Hinch. Baez has plenty of flaws but some of them are a bit overstated. He gives a winning presence to a team on the cusp. Riley Greene and Spencer Torkelson should be in the lineup soon, and Akil Baddoo turned out to be a bad man last year. I don’t know how well they’ll pitch, but acquiring Eduardo Rodriguez was a smart move.
    Kansas City Royals 75-87 (70-92)
    Prospects are the name of the game for the Royals. Bobby Witt Jr. looks like a superstar as does both M.J. Melendez and Nick Pratto. Salvador Perez put up insane numbers a season ago and will look to replicate that performance. Pitching is questionable here too, and I’m not sure Zack Greinke has much left in the tank. The bullpen is uninspiring, and there’s plenty of lineup holes. They’re getting better, but not there yet.
    Cleveland Guardians 73-89 (77-85)
    You don’t have to look much further than the newly named Guardians to find the Central’s most rudderless team. The farm system isn’t elite, but the Major League roster is also barren. Jose Ramirez is amazing, and a healthy Shane Bieber is lights out, but beyond that there’s very little to like here. A lot of post-hype prospects and guys that have ceilings they never got close to touching reside on this roster. Alongside their lack of spending this offseason, deciding not to blow it up was a weird path forward.
    For more from Off The Baggy, click here. Follow @tlschwerz
  14. Like
    cHawk got a reaction from Heiny for a blog entry, Baldelli: Pros/Cons and what I think about his future with the Twins   
    With the Buxton turmoil recently and much of the negative eye on the FO, there hasn’t been much talk about Baldelli. However, Baldelli has received just as much heat from this site over the past 7 months as the FO has. I’ve touched on Baldelli before in this thread, but that was incredibly one sided toward Baldelli and I never really talked about some of my criticisms toward Baldelli. Also, that was written in May. It is now November. Time has passed and we have more to look at. Baldelli now has his first losing season.
    I’m going to look at some of the things I think make Baldelli the right guy for this team and I’m also going to look at some of the things I think make Baldelli not the right guy for this team.
    Why he’s the right man for this team
    The Twins had a real clunker of a season in 2018. Paul Molitor was fired as a result, and Baldelli was hired. Many other changes were made to the coaching staff as well. In 2019, the team looked much better and played really well throughout the year, en route to 101 wins. The team simply played much better under Baldelli, which implies good things about the manager. Even if you include the awful 2021 season, the team has averaged 88.6 wins per season (162 games) throughout three years under Baldelli. That’s better than any season they had from 2011-2018.
    This might not look like much in terms of the things going for Baldelli, but the case here is that it doesn’t need much explanation.
    Why he’s not the right man for this team
    My first critique of Baldelli is that his team, particularly in 2021, looked poorly prepared. IMO, it hasn’t been talked enough how much this team struggled with the fundamentals of baseball. Failing to make the most basic of plays. I watched every game through late May (after May not every game, but most games) and I saw this team fail at the fundamentals, comedically at times. This could be attributed towards a coaching staff as a whole, but Baldelli is a pretty big part of that.
    I talked about how the team performed better under Baldelli in the Pros section, but there are times where I wonder if Baldelli is getting less out of his team than the sum of its parts. To me, the biggest example of this is the 2020 Wild Card Series against the Astros. The Twins were favored to win, but they didn’t even show up to the ballpark. They lost the series without a single victory. Many on this site lamented about poor relief work, and while I agree that the bullpen was not good, you can’t overlook the fact that this team scored 2 runs in 2 games against a pitching staff composed entirely of Zack Greinke, Ryan Pressly, and a bunch of rookies. The Twins offense was underwhelming in 2020, but they were at least competent, especially at home. This is not a case of an incapable lineup being exposed, this is a case of everyone performing well below their talent level in a situation of high magnitude. It’s been obvious since January of 2020 that Mike Zimmer would consistently get less out of his Vikings than the sum of their parts, and I’m wondering if the same thing is happening with Baldelli. The 2020 Wild Card Series isn’t the only example of this, I also think that parts of the 2021 season are an example. This team had dog**** offensive performance after dog**** offensive performance for much of the beginning of the season, with the occasional 12-run blow-up.
    All and all, those are my thoughts about Baldelli. What do I think his future should be on the Twins? As of right now, IDK. I want to say he would be on the hot seat for 2022 but right now, next season is on the FO. They need to untangle themselves with the Buxton situation and fill out a pitching staff. If they can do that, Baldelli should then be on the hot seat at the start of the season. But if they can’t and decide to punt 2022, it wouldn’t be Baldelli’s fault if the team doesn’t do well.
    That was a lot. I think I’m going to go eat a cookie now.

  15. Like
    cHawk got a reaction from nicksaviking for a blog entry, Baldelli: Pros/Cons and what I think about his future with the Twins   
    With the Buxton turmoil recently and much of the negative eye on the FO, there hasn’t been much talk about Baldelli. However, Baldelli has received just as much heat from this site over the past 7 months as the FO has. I’ve touched on Baldelli before in this thread, but that was incredibly one sided toward Baldelli and I never really talked about some of my criticisms toward Baldelli. Also, that was written in May. It is now November. Time has passed and we have more to look at. Baldelli now has his first losing season.
    I’m going to look at some of the things I think make Baldelli the right guy for this team and I’m also going to look at some of the things I think make Baldelli not the right guy for this team.
    Why he’s the right man for this team
    The Twins had a real clunker of a season in 2018. Paul Molitor was fired as a result, and Baldelli was hired. Many other changes were made to the coaching staff as well. In 2019, the team looked much better and played really well throughout the year, en route to 101 wins. The team simply played much better under Baldelli, which implies good things about the manager. Even if you include the awful 2021 season, the team has averaged 88.6 wins per season (162 games) throughout three years under Baldelli. That’s better than any season they had from 2011-2018.
    This might not look like much in terms of the things going for Baldelli, but the case here is that it doesn’t need much explanation.
    Why he’s not the right man for this team
    My first critique of Baldelli is that his team, particularly in 2021, looked poorly prepared. IMO, it hasn’t been talked enough how much this team struggled with the fundamentals of baseball. Failing to make the most basic of plays. I watched every game through late May (after May not every game, but most games) and I saw this team fail at the fundamentals, comedically at times. This could be attributed towards a coaching staff as a whole, but Baldelli is a pretty big part of that.
    I talked about how the team performed better under Baldelli in the Pros section, but there are times where I wonder if Baldelli is getting less out of his team than the sum of its parts. To me, the biggest example of this is the 2020 Wild Card Series against the Astros. The Twins were favored to win, but they didn’t even show up to the ballpark. They lost the series without a single victory. Many on this site lamented about poor relief work, and while I agree that the bullpen was not good, you can’t overlook the fact that this team scored 2 runs in 2 games against a pitching staff composed entirely of Zack Greinke, Ryan Pressly, and a bunch of rookies. The Twins offense was underwhelming in 2020, but they were at least competent, especially at home. This is not a case of an incapable lineup being exposed, this is a case of everyone performing well below their talent level in a situation of high magnitude. It’s been obvious since January of 2020 that Mike Zimmer would consistently get less out of his Vikings than the sum of their parts, and I’m wondering if the same thing is happening with Baldelli. The 2020 Wild Card Series isn’t the only example of this, I also think that parts of the 2021 season are an example. This team had dog**** offensive performance after dog**** offensive performance for much of the beginning of the season, with the occasional 12-run blow-up.
    All and all, those are my thoughts about Baldelli. What do I think his future should be on the Twins? As of right now, IDK. I want to say he would be on the hot seat for 2022 but right now, next season is on the FO. They need to untangle themselves with the Buxton situation and fill out a pitching staff. If they can do that, Baldelli should then be on the hot seat at the start of the season. But if they can’t and decide to punt 2022, it wouldn’t be Baldelli’s fault if the team doesn’t do well.
    That was a lot. I think I’m going to go eat a cookie now.

  16. Like
    cHawk reacted to Ted Schwerzler for a blog entry, Jose Berrios Stings Again for Twins   
    The Minnesota Twins dealt Jose Berrios to the Toronto Blue Jays during the 2021 Major League Baseball season. Today he signed a seven year deal worth $140 million to stay in Canada for the bulk of his career. The wound is opened again. 
    When the Twins flipped Berrios to the Blue Jays, they did a great job acquiring prospect capital. Austin Martin and Simeon Woods-Richardson are both top-100 prospects. Despite Martin looking more like a centerfielder than a shortstop, his talent still plays up the middle. Woods-Richardson will get a shot to re-establish himself after competing in the Olympics last season. If Minnesota wasn’t going to sign Berrios, then getting that type of haul was nice.
    In seeing the deal get struck with Toronto, it’s very clear that Minnesota’s sticking point was the duration. As Darren Wolfson points out, the front office is not keen on offering seven year pacts to players. That’s a fair stance, even with someone who’s been as durable as Jose, and even though he’s just 27-years-old. What remains to be seen is how they will compete for those top talents otherwise. If you’re taking a hard and fast approach on avoiding length, then you must make a more aggressive push on value.
    A $20 million average annual value for Berrios seems like a fair amount. That’s below what Noah Syndergaard will get, albeit on a one year deal, despite pitching just two innings since 2019. Should Minnesota look to mitigate risk by avoiding length, they’ll need to tack on a percentage above market rate to lure free agents into their organization. 
    We’ll very quickly get an idea how this plays out for Derek Falvey and Thad Levine. Ultimately, they “saved” the money on Berrios by flipping him for outstanding prospects. Instead of breaking up the $20 million annually across two or three pitchers, they must be willing to spend that type of coin on one arm that fills the void. They’ll be hoping the length of the deal is shorter, but banking that salary flexibility, or trying to patch it together through multiple players is not something that should be met with praise. 
    As I’ve harper on for months, this offseason is going to be the most important in determining the true ability of the front office, and they should be judged accordingly.
    For more from Off The Baggy, click here. Follow @tlschwerz
  17. Like
    cHawk reacted to AChase for a blog entry, Non-tendering Taylor Rogers Would Be a Huge Mistake   
    I'm seeing a lot of discussion suggesting the Twins may consider non-tendering Taylor Rogers. There's no debate about Rogers's ability or performance, but the concern seems to be whether or not he's worth his projected ~$7MM salary in his final year of arbitration (per MLBTradeRumors).
    I believe Rogers is worth it and then some. It's not close. Non-tendering Taylor Rogers would be a huge mistake.
    Below are the 22 free agent contracts offered to relief pitchers in the last three offseasons with and average annual value of $7MM or more:

    First, note that $7MM is clearly not an exorbitant amount for a quality relief pitcher. On average over these three years, about 7 relievers achieve that AAV or more.
    But how does Rogers compare to those elite arms? On a rate basis, Rogers has been worth 2.0 WAR/60IP. As shown above, this is matched by only 2 players: Liam Hendriks at 2.4 and Andrew Miller who ties Rogers at 2.0. It's the same story in FIP (unsurprisingly); Rogers's 2.62 is bested by only Miller's 2.16 and Hendrik's 2.17. By just about any measure, Rogers can be considered a standout among these relievers. In fact, he would be would be one of the very best RPs to enter the FA market in recent years. He's been that good.
    There's more to like about Roger's recent performance too. His velocity on both pitches has continued to climb, reaching new highs with his fastball (95.7) and his slider (84). He posted a new career high in K% at 35.5, easily improving his 2020 performance of 26.4 and his previous best of 32.4. Only four RPs in 2021 can claim a better K-BB% than Rogers, and his groundball rate of 50.0% is a return to form.
    All of this leads to a career best FIP of 2.13. In fact, only Josh Hader and former teammate Ryan Pressly finished 2021 with a FIP- better than Rogers's 50 (minimum 40 IP). I'd make a case that Taylor Rogers has been easily one of the top 5 left-handed relievers in baseball at any point over the last 4 years. On a counting or rate basis, only Hader has been better by WAR.
    Projections like Rogers as well. ZiPS has projected him to be worth 1.1 WAR in 2022, his age 31 season (and 2023). The usual suspects are ahead of him: Edwin Diaz, Hendriks, and Hader as the only other lefty. These projections were prepared prior to the 2021 season, so it remains to be seen what the projection systems think of him after his season. On one hand, he did have his best year as a big leaguer. On the other, he did end his season injured, leaving a cloud over his status for 2022.
    If he stacks up well in such elite company, how much is Rogers worth in the free agent market? It's tough to say, especially with his recent injury. I will point out that Hendriks and Miller, the two pitchers in the last three years with an obviously better free agent case than Rogers, combined to receive 6 years and $88.5MM for a $14.75MM AAV. All together, the 22 contracts above average almost exactly 2 years and $20MM, a $10MM AAV. Rogers is also younger than many of the names above at the time of their contracts, and he has a longer track record of elite performance than almost all of them. I think it's reasonable that a healthy Rogers would receive something north of $10MM annually for 3+ years.
    Rogers's finger injury really is the only question here. We all know a healthy Rogers is worth more than his arbitration figure, but we don't know how much this injury will impact his game in 2021, if at all. Only the Twins and Rogers can know for sure, and we can only speculate until the day Rogers is offered arbitration, signs a deal, or not. And any team interested in his services for next year should be concerned.
    However, it's worth pointing out two things: Rogers has been exceptionally durable through his entire career, and he may be be worth his arbitration amount either way. Look at the list of names above again. There's a lot of serious arm injuries in there. Betances landed a deal with the Mets despite him appearing in just one game the previous season as he recovered from his shoulder impingement and a torn Achilles. Trevor Rosenthal got two of these deals. He received the first after missing more than a season recovering from Tommy John surgery. The second contract came after he recently passed through waivers unclaimed.
    Even if you think poorly of his prospects in 2022 due to injury, perhaps it would be a perfect time to work out a multi-year extension based around vesting options. They may not get a ton of value next year, but he would have time to make up for it into the future.
    My point is this: Rogers is one of the very best relievers in the game, especially from the left side. For a Twins team desperate for pitching, replacing his production would be very costly in either dollars, prospects, or both, and there's almost no one in the league who could replace him anyway. It's worth mentioning too that he's smart, regarded as a leader, and well liked by teammates, media, and fans alike. Sure, his injury is worrisome. But in a similar way as Buxton, that risk is one of the only ways the Twins may be able to afford real, impact talent for this roster. If the Twins don't take that risk, there will be several teams that will, just as they have shown in the past.
    Sign Taylor Rogers. You'll likely come to regret it if you don't.
  18. Like
    cHawk reacted to weinshie for a blog entry, Good reasons why Red-Cross Rocco should be let go   
    By David Weinshilboum
     
    In 2013, the Golden State Warriors basketball team seemed on the verge. A franchise that had been a laughingstock for decades had been to the playoffs two years in a row. Led by coach Mark Jackson and a young injury-prone sharpshooter by the name of Stephen Curry, the steam had suddenly thrust itself into relevancy.
     
    Yet, just three days after a playoff loss in 2013, the Warriors fired Jackson (who had a year left on his contract). He was a good coach who had many positive attributes. The team was headed in the right direction. Why fire him?
     
    The Warriors hired Steve Kerr who implemented a new offense that maximized Curry’s long-range shooting abilities. The team went on to win Championships in three of the next four seasons. As the tired sports cliché goes, the rest is history.
    The Minnesota Twins – until this train-wreck of a year—were a team and organization on the rise. Then rookie manager Rocco Baldelli led the Twins to a 100-win season in 2019 and another division championship in the pandemic-shortened 2020 season.
     
    Today the Twins are mired in a disaster season that simply isn’t going to get better. Their best player is injured and half a dozen others are playing well below expectations (Sano, Maeda, Kepler, Polanco and, sorry to put this in print, Colome). When the Twins 2021 season comes to a close, they will be a failure: no playoffs and well below expectations of 90-plus wins.
     
    In October, the Twins will have to ask themselves an important question: is Baldelli the leader who can take this team and franchise to the next level? I would argue that, for some very rational, logical reasons, the answer is no.
     
    The Twins Twitterverse wants Rocco’s head now, and a few days ago, during a television broadcast, a fan wandered behind home plate and held a sign calling for a managerial change. There’s a lot of emotion going into the Fire Rocco movement. Baldelli has NEVER been a good in-game manager, oftentimes making fans scratch their heads or, at times, yank tufts of hair from scalp. His choice of defensive substitutions, pinch hitters and pinch runners feels arbitrary at best. The most obvious example was a couple weeks ago in Oakland when, in extra innings, Baldelli pinch ran Travis Blankenhorn for Josh Donaldson. The move compromised defense in a big way. And Baldelli made matters worse when he put second-baseman Luis Arraez at third and Blankenhorn at second – eroding the leather at TWO positions instead of just one. The game ended when Blankenhorn booted one grounder and Arraez air-mailed a routine throw to first.
     
    Another reason fans might dislike him is his press conference demeanor: he is dullard diplomat who makes former Vikings Coach/statue Bud Grant look emotional. Worse, he never calls out terrible plays – both physical or mental – and seems to dismiss garbage baseball as “part of the game.”
     
    Neither of these negative attributes are fireable offenses, though.
     
    Baldelli is a good manager. Players love him. They want to play for him. He is flexible and allows them to select preparation that fits their needs. He maximized player abilities in 2019, getting the most out of Miguel Sano, Mitch Garver and Max Kepler.
     
    All good things must come to an end, though. And Baldelli’s millennial approach to players might not be as conducive to good baseball as it once was. This year, many players aren’t properly prepared for games. Too often, players seem to be using their first at-bat to “learn” about a pitcher’s repertoire instead of reviewing the scouting reports. Players appear ok with early-inning strikeouts since they’ve seen the stuff. It’s not a stretch to assume many Twins are taking advantage of Rocco’s laissez faire approach to being game ready.
     
    Also, Rocco’s concern for injured players seems incredibly detrimental to the team, particularly given how the roster has been assembled. The Front Office has routinely preferred more pitchers and a short bench. But Red-Cross Rocco sits players if they report a hangnail. Worse, he won’t even consider them for pinch hitting or late-inning defense. There have been over a dozen instances this season when Baldelli has chosen to pinch hit a weaker bat instead of a resting star who is at 90 percent. All for the sake of future health. In a year where rosters are 26 players deep, the Twins have been playing with 22 or 23 players.
     
    Is Baldelli having a bad year? Absolutely. When the leader of the team forgets how many mound visits have been made, it’s a bad, bad look. The Twins in many ways have played the way Baldelli has managed this year: haphazardly, unevenly and obliviously. Baldelli certainly has the ability to manage better than he has. But when his contract ends, the Twins must decide whether he is the best fit for the club. Their decision will be huge because this team is on the precipice of irrelevancy.
     
    David Weinshilboum lives in California and bemoans this year’s Twins ineptitude from afar. Follow @weinshie on Twitter.
  19. Like
    cHawk reacted to stringer bell for a blog entry, Ch-ch-changes?   
    The Twins play their 30th game this afternoon and are currently 11-18. They've been beset by bad luck, bad play and have taken a beating with two rule changes (extra-inning runner on second, 7-inning games for doubleheaders). How do they get out of this funk? I'm sure many in the organization will preach patience and they may be right, but that isn't any fun. Here are some possibilities for change that might help the team:
     
    Role change. We've already seen one role change. At least temporarily Alexander Columé is not going to see high-leverage innings. Columé has been a huge disappointment and even when he has worked scoreless innings, he's been shaky. The problem is that taking Columé out of high leverage situations leaves the Twins with few good options, particularly when going 6 or more innings for a starter is a rarity. I think one pitching role change that should be made is to use Taylor Rogers in non-save high leverage situations as happened early in 2019 and sometimes use him for multiple innings. Rogers shouldn't be used in back-to-back days. Moving Alcala to high leverage situations seems to be gradually happening. If things continue to go bad, it makes sense to have him give a shot as a closer. Position players--it seems to me that both Polanco and Kepler should have their roles diminished from full-time regular to something different. Kepler can play a corner and center and Polanco has played short and second, maybe Max should be slotted as the fourth OF or at least platooned with Garlick. I think giving Polanco the role of three-position infielder wouldn't be a stretch. He could get some at-bats as a platoon partner for my choice of regular second baseman (Arraez) and left-handed at-bats in place of Simmons and when Donaldson takes a day off (or is injured).
     
    Promotions/demotions. Assuming that Alex Kirilloff is in the big leagues to stay, when healthy the Twins have one extra position player and someone will have to be sent to the minor leagues or released. Discussion has centered on Jake Cave. Several others could be sent down and that doesn't begin to discuss the pitching staff. Many pitchers'performances could merit their demotion.
     
    Trades. It is unlikely that anyone will make a significant trade this early in the year. However, the Twins would be a good candidate for a major trade nearer the trade deadline. They have some redundancy (left handed hitting corner outfielders) and holes that need patching (bullpen, perhaps catching) and many candidates to trade. They also have a lot of players who would be free agents after this season. I do wonder if someone who was considered a cornerstone (Polanco, Kepler, Sanó) could be traded. None of these guys have performed remotely well so far but an uptick could make them more marketable. I have to believe that the Twins will bring in new pitchers either in the bullpen or the rotation. What they have at this time in the bullpen just hasn't worked.
     
    Personally, I think the Twins will need to do a little bit of everything to turn the corner. I am a proponent of changing roles. I think Kepler and Polanco could be candidates to have limited roles. The Twins need to add at least one strong arm in the bullpen, most likely by trade and Trevor Larnach is reputed to be nearly as much a sure thing as a hitter as Alex Kirilloff, plus he is a better outfielder. There is too much talent for the club to continue to play sub.400 baseball, but I think they need to make changes immediately.
  20. Like
    cHawk reacted to Ted Schwerzler for a blog entry, The Twins Are Good, Right?   
    I have been a big proponent of retiring anything to do with the Bomba Squad moniker from 2019. Let seasons evolve on their own. The 2021 team was supposed to be good, they are on paper, but will it take shape?
     
    We are not yet through the month of April and I keep harping on the runway left for the 2021 season. Minnesota has played just over 12% of their games, and they are chasing a White Sox team that is just 4.5 games clear of them right now. That’s all to outline the current positioning isn’t dire. The problem is that the production just hasn’t been there.
     
    Rocco Baldelli has gotten less than nothing from his catching tandem, and the left field situation has been a mess. Expecting Byron Buxton, Josh Donaldson, and Nelson Cruz all to be good was a pretty solid bet, and that’s played out as expected. Miguel Sano is currently on the IL, and while the numbers haven’t yet worked in his favor, the process is more than working.
     
    The point we’re quickly getting to is wondering when things click?
     
    If there’s three chief areas of concern, it’s the two previously outlined and the bullpen. Alex Colome was always going to regress from his otherworldly 2020 numbers, but his career production suggested that a baseline was hardly something to scoff at. Instead, he’s been historically bad while being more hittable than at any point during his career. The middle relief looks inept and holding onto small deficits just hasn’t been doable.
     
    Looking at the lineup, Baldelli can’t continue to get an empty lineup spot from multiple positions. Mitch Garver no longer punishes lefties or fastballs, and while Alex Kirilloff is just a few games in to his first promotion, he’s currently dealing with an 0-fer. Whether it’s a longer leash for Ryan Jeffers, who has also been bad, or a big game for Kirilloff, the Twins need things to break their way.
     
    This hasn’t been the Bomba Squad for quite some time, and the lineup doesn’t need to launch balls into the seats for opportunity to win. Luis Arraez and Andrelton Simmons provide plenty of good contact-based opportunities, and it’s on Minnesota to start capitalizing with what’s in front of them. Despite having the second worst record in baseball, the run differential is only -9 and the pythag presents a better 9-11 story.
     
    Maybe it’s been bad luck, but it’s time to start creating their own. If the expectation was for this team to be good coming into the year, 20 games shouldn’t change that. At some point though, results have to follow.
     
    For more from Off The Baggy, click here. Follow @tlschwerz
×
×
  • Create New...