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jwestbrock11

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Everything posted by jwestbrock11

  1. <quote>And I have no idea what that means.<\quote> Basically, you're chance of losing any one game is 1/2 at it's simplest. Your chance of losing 2 games is 1/4, [WW, WL, LW, LL are all the pairs, one of the four is two loses or mathematically chance of losing game one (1/2) multiplied by chance of losing game two(1/2)=(1/2)^2=1/4] on and on, so the chance of losing some number, n, straight games is (1/2)^n. The average length of a losing streak is the length weighted (multiplied) by its chance of happening, so an 1 game streak is 1*(1/2), two game 2*(1/4), etc. To finish finding the average you add up the weighted chance of each (1*(1/2)+2*(1/4)+3*(1/8)+...) to find a total of each length of streak, which eventually approaches effectively 2.
  2. <quote>And I have no idea what that means.<\quote> Basically, you're chance of losing any one game is 1/2 at it's simplest. Your chance of losing 2 games is 1/4, [WW, WL, LW, LL are all the pairs, one of the four is two loses or mathematically chance of losing game one (1/2) multiplied by chance of losing game two(1/2)=(1/2)^2=1/4] on and on, so the chance of losing some number, n, straight games is (1/2)^n. The average length of a losing streak is the length weighted (multiplied) by its chance of happening, so an 1 game streak is 1*(1/2), two game 2*(1/4), etc. To finish finding the average you add up the weighted chance of each (1*(1/2)+2*(1/4)+3*(1/8)+...) to find a total of each length of streak, which eventually approaches effectively 2.
  3. Yeah, they saw their playoff rotations. The Dodgers had enough starters to be able to employ him as a relief weapon and had the side benefit of saving some money while making their bullpen deeper.
  4. Over on 1, 2, and 5. 2 and 5 are tied to assuming they'll bring back the bouncy ball, which they have every reason to and 1 is blind optimism. 3 and 4 are fun, but I think it's too short of a time frame for Arraez to adjust to the league adjusting to him. As for Cy Young, even if one of those three put up video game numbers, I assume one of the current "big names" in the East or West will put up close to the same numbers against "tougher competition"
  5. On the bright side, we know what next year's ball will be like now. And the narrative about how the pitcher's adjusted and balance has been restored or some garbage like that.
  6. I'm going to go out on a limb and say he's going to ask for that whether Odorizzi gets it or not.
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