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  • Twins Daily 2019 Top Prospects: 16-20


    Tom Froemming

    It’s not easy for a prospect to crack the Twins top 20 rankings these days. This system has been picking up steam in recent years, and as you’ll see in this segment of our list, trades have helped make significant strides. Three of the five players we’ll look at today were acquired via trades. Let’s get into it ...

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    20. Jose Miranda, 2B/3B

    Age: 20 (DOB 6/29/1998)

    2018 Stats (A/+A): 552 PA, .264/.319/.417, 16 HR, 82 RBI

    ETA: 2021

    2018 Ranking: NR

    Since joining the Twins as the 73rd overall pick in 2016 draft, Miranda has been getting his feet wet all around the infield. This past season, the product of Puerto Rico basically split time between second base and third base with a couple appearances at shortstop mixed in.

    At the plate, Miranda provides an intriguing mix of power and contact skills. He actually had the lowest strikeout rate of any Midwest League hitter with at least 400 plate appearances last season. The really crazy thing is he struck out even less after he was promoted to Fort Myers, dropping from 11.62 K% to a 9.73 K%.

    “No, I don’t like striking out,” Miranda emphatically told SD Buhr in June. “I hate it. Since I was little, I’ve tried to battle.”

    And it’s not like he sacrifices power to do it, as Miranda finished fourth in the system in both doubles (27) and home runs (16). He was second to Alex Kirilloff in RBIs with 82 and even ranked second in the system by getting hit with 12 pitches. Miranda capped the season by making a huge impact in Fort Myers’ championship run, going 10-for-25 with three doubles and two home runs in the postseason.

    19. Jorge Alcala, RHP

    Age: 23 (DOB 7/28/1995)

    2018 Stats (AA/+A): 99.1 IP, 3.81 ERA, 9.4 K/9, 4.4 BB/9, 1.34 WHIP

    ETA: 2020

    2018 Ranking: NR

    Alcala came to the Twins this July in the trade that sent Ryan Pressly to Houston. Prior to the deal, Alcala had a 3.29 ERA and 1.21 WHIP over 79 1/3 innings in the Astros’ system, but finished things out in Chattanooga pitching to a 5.85 ERA and 1.85 WHIP in 20 innings. So, not the best first impression.

    Armed with a fastball that’s been clocked as high as 102 mph, his slider doesn’t give batters much time to react either. That’s a late-breaking pitch ranging in the upper 80s. He seemed to learn how to put batters away last season, boosting his strikeout rate from 7.8 K/9 in 2017 to 9.4 K/9 last year.

    Alcala’s secondary offerings have some work to do in terms of consistency, which has put some uncertainty around his future role. Of his 24 outings on the season, 13 were for four innings or fewer. Even if the consistency with the full repertoire doesn’t develop, Alcala could make for a very exciting relief prospect.

    18. LaMonte Wade, OF

    Age: 25 (DOB 1/1/1994)

    2018 Stats (AAA/AA): 495 PA, .257/.360/.380, 11 HR, 48 RBI

    ETA: 2019

    2018 Ranking: 14

    Wade doesn’t have any especially loud tools but he also lacks any clear weaknesses. His true calling card is the ability to grind out at bats. He actually had more strikeouts (74) than walks (64) for the first time in his career last season, but he certainly makes pitchers earn it. His two-strike approach is outstanding and he’s not above choking up on the bat. Here’s a look back at one of his impressive plate appearances from spring training last year:

    https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/967919766269722625

    Wade was hitting .278/.388/.419 (.807 OPS) through July, then had a really tough final 25 games of the season that put a damper on his final year-end numbers. He gave right-handed pitchers all kinds of trouble, hitting .281/.391/.409 (.800 OPS), but had just a .563 OPS against same-sided pitching.

    Wade has seen a fair amount of time in center field over his pro career, but he seemed to settle into left field with some right field mixed in last season. He also played some first base back in college. Wade was added to the 40-man roster this offseason, and while he’s a bit buried on the current depth chart, there’s a chance we’ll see him at Target Field in 2019.

    17. Zack Littell, RHP

    Age: 23 (DOB 10/5/1995)

    2018 Stats (MLB/AAA/AA): 149.1 IP, 8.7 K/9, 3.5 BB/9, 1.31 WHIP

    ETA: Debuted in 2018

    2018 Ranking: 11

    Littell got knocked around in his first taste of the big leagues, posting a 6.20 ERA in 20 1/3 innings for the Twins, but he put together a strong season down on the farm. Only Lewis Thorpe racked up more strikeouts among Twins minor league pitchers. Littell boosted his K/9 rate a full strikeout from 8.1 in 2017 to 9.1 during his time in the minor leagues in 2018.

    Littell was the youngest player to surface with the Twins last season and faced batters who were older than him 96 percent of the time through the course of the year (629 of 655 plate appearances). He's never picked up much steam in prospect circles due to a relative lack of velocity, but Littell actually topped out at 96 mph during his time with the Twins, per Baseball Savant. It's rare for him to reach back with that kind of heat, he typically sits more like 92, but it appears he could be on the verge of unlocking something extra.

    Littell lacks a true plus secondary offering, but the curveball can really shine some days and he has enough of a changeup to keep hitters off balance. Wrap in solid command and you’ve got an excellent baseline package to continue to build upon.

    16. Gilberto Celestino, CF

    Age: 19 (DOB 2/13/1999)

    2018 Stats (AA/-A/Rk): 268 PA, .287/.341/.406, 5 HR, 34 RBI

    ETA: 2022

    2018 Ranking: NR

    Speaking of the Ryan Pressly trade, Celestino was the other piece to the deal that was simply just too good for the Twins to turn down. A premiere athlete, this Dominican import is considered among the top defensive outfielders in the minor leagues. He’s regarded as having excellent instincts, good range and a strong arm.

    Celestino also uses his speed effectively on the basepaths. He’s 47-for-54 in stolen base attempts in his career, an 87 percent success rate. In addition to his athleticism, he also already has an idea of what he’s doing at the plate. He has a career .345 on-base percentage, a strikeout rate under 19 percent and a walk rate of over nine percent. Pretty solid stuff coming from a guy who’s faced older pitchers in nearly 95 percent of his plate appearances.

    Similar to Alcala, Celestino didn’t make the greatest first impression with the Twins. Luckily he had the opportunity to more than make up for it in the postseason. After posting a .656 OPS in 27 regular games with Elizabethton, Celestino reached base safely 12 times in five postseason games, going 7-for-19 with four walks and a hit-by-pitch.

    Twins Daily 2019 Top 20 Prospects

    Honorable Mentions

    Prospects 11-15 Coming Soon

    Get to know more about these five Minnesota Twins prospects and much more in the 2019 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook. It’s available in paperback or as an eBook.

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    A great set up man, followed by a better catcher, followed by another good RP.....moves aren't in a vacuum. Your question seems to be: should we care they don't add one more good player, if one more good player won't help them win it all.

     

    IMO, we should care if they have good players, and are always adding more good players. Maybe in 3 years these guys will matter. In the meantime, the FO decided not to sign FA RPs, and I'm guessing we'll see 3-4 guys throw negative WAR innings, all of which Pressley could have absorbed. 

    We don't add good players because we don't know if we are going to be good or not. If we find the answer to that question is we actually were good then we don't add because the price that the other team wants is too high. Or we don't know if that player will make us that much better. 

     

    We are only given excuse after excuse for reasons why not to get better. The sad part is many fans are willing to accept those excuses as valid and not hold the org accountable and give it a free pass time after time.

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    They could use a good RP this year, on a team projected to win 82-84 games. When do they play for the present? Take their worst relievers, and replace those innings with Pressley...

     

    Good point.  Technically if they were willing to spend a little money they could have replaced his production via Free Agency.  Unfortunately I don't think the arms they added are as good as what they lost in Pressley.  So they didn't have to lose present opportunity if they didn't want to.

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    Good point.  Technically if they were willing to spend a little money they could have replaced his production via Free Agency.  Unfortunately I don't think the arms they added are as good as what they lost in Pressley.  So they didn't have to lose present opportunity if they didn't want to.

    Right now the replacement for Pressley would be Blake Parker. Parker is not even close to the pitcher that Pressley is.

     

    Again, no excuse for not having taken advantage of this seasons RP market. Parker would have been a fine 3rd piece to add, but not our top add up until now.

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    I'm' really high on Miranda. I think he's got tremendous power potential and 3B is his likely home. 

    I am high on Miranda as well. Not mentioned in the blurb (perhaps blessedly!) is the horrible start he got off to in low-A. Through May 12th (in 103 AB), his line was:

    Avg: .165

    OBP: .232

    Slg: .232

    That gave him an OPS of .455! He got a few days off, and whatever he did worked, as he came back on May 15th and proceeded to hit .315/364/.507 over the next ~300AB.

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    A great set up man, followed by a better catcher, followed by another good RP.....moves aren't in a vacuum. Your question seems to be: should we care they don't add one more good player, if one more good player won't help them win it all.

     

    IMO, we should care if they have good players, and are always adding more good players. Maybe in 3 years these guys will matter. In the meantime, the FO decided not to sign FA RPs, and I'm guessing we'll see 3-4 guys throw negative WAR innings, all of which Pressley could have absorbed. 

    In a season where our lineup is relying heavily on multiple breakout seasons I would rather trade that year of Pressly but that's just me.  I'm not saying we had to dump him, just that we were right to take a good deal like this if it came along.

     

    I take it you're also taking the strides Pressly took with Houston as what we are missing out on in 2019.  Not sure how much of that is Houston's coaching.  If we are looking to replace the 3.40 ERA (4.70 in 2017) it is a much less daunting replacement.  Blake Parker could be argued for that.

    Edited by SomeGuy
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    In a season where our lineup is relying heavily on multiple breakout seasons I would rather trade that year of Pressly but that's just me.  I'm not saying we had to dump him, just that we were right to take a good deal like this if it came along.

     

    I take it you're also taking the strides Pressly took with Houston as what we are missing out on in 2019.  Not sure how much of that is Houston's coaching.  If we are looking to replace the 3.40 ERA (4.70 in 2017) it is a much less daunting replacement.  Blake Parker could be argued for that.

     

    Parker should be replacing the guys behind Pressley......they need 7-8 RPs. IMO, of course.

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    Some Rankings:

     

    Celestino: Seth (13th), Nick (15th), Tom (19th), Cody (19th)

    Littell: Seth (18th), Nick (NR), Tom (11th), Cody (14th)

    Wade: Seth (21), Nick (17), Tom (21), Cody (20)

    Alcala: Seth (19), Nick (18), Tom (17), Cody (26)

    Miranda: Seth (16), Nick (NA), Tom (16), Cody (24)

     

    Note - Tom,, Cody and my Top 50s are in the Twins Prospect Handbook. 

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    Parker should be replacing the guys behind Pressley......they need 7-8 RPs. IMO, of course.

    Replacing an entire bullpen seems like a stretch.  I wanted 2-3 but giving a spot to Romero and/or Mejia fills my expectations. 

     

    Dan Hayes just said he thinks we might see the Twins enter the Kimbrel sweepstakes but that is mostly speculation and I highly doubt it.

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    Some Rankings:

     

    Celestino: Seth (13th), Nick (15th), Tom (19th), Cody (19th)

    Littell: Seth (18th), Nick (NR), Tom (11th), Cody (14th)

    Wade: Seth (21), Nick (17), Tom (21), Cody (20)

    Alcala: Seth (19), Nick (18), Tom (17), Cody (26)

    Miranda: Seth (16), Nick (NA), Tom (16), Cody (24)

     

    Note - Tom,, Cody and my Top 50s are in the Twins Prospect Handbook. 

    Thanks Seth.  My mind had wandered and I forgot which thread I was in.  And I say that knowing I was one who helped dump gasoline on the Pressley angle.

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    These 5 are all about the same spots in my list. I agree that Acala and Miranda should be in the 16-20, but I could easily see them both being top 10 on the midseason list. That is what makes this system fun. A lot of high ceiling guys in the teens and outside top 20. 

     

    I could see 2 of these 5 turning into really good MLB players.

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    Some Rankings:

     

    Celestino: Seth (13th), Nick (15th), Tom (19th), Cody (19th)

    Littell: Seth (18th), Nick (NR), Tom (11th), Cody (14th)

    Wade: Seth (21), Nick (17), Tom (21), Cody (20)

    Alcala: Seth (19), Nick (18), Tom (17), Cody (26)

    Miranda: Seth (16), Nick (NA), Tom (16), Cody (24)

     

    Note - Tom,, Cody and my Top 50s are in the Twins Prospect Handbook. 

    Interesting - obviously Cody has a lot of surprises in his list since two players would not be in the top 20 and two are barely in.

     

    But I was most interested in the wide spread over Littell.  I have had the feeling that he is AAAA and is a tease for the team.  When I see 18, NR, 11, 14 it would seem that he is a mystery for your group as well.

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    Interesting - obviously Cody has a lot of surprises in his list since two players would not be in the top 20 and two are barely in.

     

    But I was most interested in the wide spread over Littell.  I have had the feeling that he is AAAA and is a tease for the team.  When I see 18, NR, 11, 14 it would seem that he is a mystery for your group as well.

    Littell is the one guy imo who isn't in the top20. That's not to say that he is disregarded as a prospect but that others have passed him by in intrigue and potential.

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    Interesting - obviously Cody has a lot of surprises in his list since two players would not be in the top 20 and two are barely in.

     

    But I was most interested in the wide spread over Littell.  I have had the feeling that he is AAAA and is a tease for the team.  When I see 18, NR, 11, 14 it would seem that he is a mystery for your group as well.

    Littel looks that way to me too, AAAA, but then you look at his age and some good results/numbers maybe he's got a chance.

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    Right now, today, I'd rather have Pressly and Escobar, and have them extended. I really liked/like both of them and feel we'd be better off with both of them. But I also get the realities of building the entire organization, the depth, and offers that were too good to pass up. And the more I read about the returns, the more I like them.

     

    Depth is awesome for building, and for competition. But at some point, that depth also means opportunity for trades. I hope this FO will take advantage of that going forward.

     

    What impresses me about this list is how many really nice looking young ballplayers are in the honorable mention area, or not mentioned even there. Between what is on the roster now, and what will be arriving over this season and next, I admit to being pretty excited.

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    I was very discouraged by Littell's initial appearances in the majors, but honestly watched very little Twins baseball in September.  Did his curve improve at all against major leaguers?  He seemed incapable of getting whiffs with it in his first few appearances, but I know his numbers improved some in September.

     

    I can't see him ever having success in the majors without a better secondary.  Gonsalves, for example, I could see having success throwing a higher rate of secondaries, but I think hitters will continue to sit on either Littell's fastball or curveball and the results won't be pretty for him.

     

    I haven't watched much of Littell, so it wouldn't be very fair for me to comment on his potential, despite reports or milb numbers. But what I did see was a guy who just looked nervous, rushed, and wasn't ready yet. I remember one game where he was brought in from the pen with the bases loaded and lost the game. I want to say he walked in the winning run, but not sure i remember correctly.

     

    Hopefully he can embrace his 2018 experience and learn from it and build on it.

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    this list is just showing how lower end the Twins farm system was after the 4 - 5 players graduated from it over the past 4 years.  And very little pitching has come out of the system.  Hopefully that will change over time.

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