Ranking the Twins Top-5 Power Tool Prospects

I agree with four of your selections, but I would put Emmanuel Rodriguez ahead of Cavaco by a pretty substantial margin.  Cavaco has something like 4 or 5 homeruns in his career and is older than Rodriquez and has many more at bats.  Rodriguez hit 10 last year in somewhere around 125 at bats.  I know a lot of prospect sites have Cavaco as a 55 and Rodriguez as a 50 in power, but in my humble opinion those ratings are not correct.  But, I might be missing something, Cody.  What do you think of Rodriguez?

Next I would love a look at the best bats for getting on base - I still like 300 hitters.  Looking back at Mantle, Mays, Aaron, Clemente...they hit the HRs, but they also hit singles, doubles, and triples.  I miss that.

I really just disagree with Cavaco making this list in general, and the fact that Royce's future power potential (70) is rated as higher than Sabato's (60) is way off in my opinion. 

56 minutes ago, Devilsadvocate said:

I really just disagree with Cavaco making this list in general, and the fact that Royce's future power potential (70) is rated as higher than Sabato's (60) is way off in my opinion. 

Yeah, it's really hard to put Cavaco on any list right now when he's closer to busting out of the system entirely than anything else. He's still young, so there's time, but I'd rank Kala'i Rosario or Rodriguez ahead of Cavaco for power projection right now. It's a bit of a coin flip on who actually has the bigger power projection between Wallner & Sabato: they both have huge power. Both have significant issues with contact. But when they do get the bat on the ball it flies a long damn way, as far as anyone.

For all that the Twins are accused of going to big swinging sluggers...there's actually not a ton of them progressing through the system right now? Some of that is guys like Rooker, Kirilloff, & Larnach graduating, and some of it has been a focus on pitching, but right now there aren't a ton of sluggers really rising in the system right now.

On board with all but Cavaco, he is still all projection, at some point he needs to produce results.

Great power comes great responsibility, catch phrase of Old Uncle Ben:

Where do you get your rankings? Are you using someone elses? or are these your evaluations?

Lewis seems to be insanely high.  The highest I see him ranked was at 55, and most have him at 50.  so a current 60 seems high, and a future 70 seems a bit insane.

would be nice if Cavaco would ever reach his potential, would be a good trade piece

I'm just gonna take your word on this. Thanks

2 hours ago, Karbo said:

Hitting for power is great, but to be great you have to be able to hit the ball! Compare these guys strikeout rates to Killebrew and its shameful. I guess this is the new "sexy" way of hitting, but I'll take a guy that hits .280 with 25 HR over that guy that hits .220 with 40 HR all day.

I'd be curious to know - Assuming that both of these hypothetical hitters have the same defensive performance, what if your .280 hitter has an OBP of .325, while the .220 hitter has an OBP of .360 - would you still prefer the .280 hitter?

4 hours ago, Karbo said:

Hitting for power is great, but to be great you have to be able to hit the ball! Compare these guys strikeout rates to Killebrew and its shameful. I guess this is the new "sexy" way of hitting, but I'll take a guy that hits .280 with 25 HR over that guy that hits .220 with 40 HR all day.

EXPLANATION OF RPA (baseballthinkfactory.org)

Your player with a higher average on 600 plate appearances would have 36 more hits but contribute less runs

Miranda: 30 homers and 32 doubles is a 55? 

I don't get it.

I'm guessing this was based directly off of the Fangraph's rankings, correct? And raw power vs. game power?  Or did you also look at Game Power and combine them somehow?

In that sense, can't really "argue" about the way they were ranked.  But interesting to see where Fangraph has some of them ranked. 

It does look like 60 game raw power potential includes Rosario and Mercedes, which makes sense.
Any reason why Rosario wasn't listed as number 4 instead of Miranda? (55/60 vs 55/55?)

I think Cavaco surprises a lot, but game power is what fans see in the box scores, which is only 35/55 right now.  So kind of exciting to think he still has that potential power to tap into.  Below are the hitters ranked in order of game power.  Ends up with the same order mostly except Miranda drops a few based on potential game power.  After looking at those guys, Cavaco seems like the only surprising 55 player.

Wallner - 45/60

Lewis - 40/60

Sabato - 40/55

Cavaco - 35/55

Rodriguez - 25/55

Rosario - 25/55

Mercedes - 20/55

Miranda - 45/50

Urbina - 30/50

Julien - 35/50

Soularie - 35/50

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/minnesota-twins-top-39-prospects-2022/