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  • Minnesota Twins 2020 MLB Draft Recap


    Andrew Thares

    The 2020 MLB Draft will go down in history for not only being just five rounds long, but for the lack of scouting teams were able to do in the months leading up to the draft, thanks to the seasons being cut short by the coronavirus. This created a whole new set of challenges for MLB organizations like the Minnesota Twins. So, let’s take a look at how the Twins faired with their four picks in this year’s draft.

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    Prior to the draft, I looked into a number of different strategies that the Twins could use in this draft, specifically as how they could divvy up their signing bonus pool. One of the strategies outlined was a portfolio approach, where they would try to save money with their first couple of picks, in order to spread that money around into there last two picks, where the slot values are not as high.

    Aaron Sabato

    With their first-round pick, the Twins went to the college ranks to select UNC first-baseman Aaron Sabato. In his one full season in a Tar Heels uniform, Sabato put his powerful bat on full display, tallying 44 extra-base hits in just 64 games played. This included hitting for the cycle against rival North Carolina State on May 16th. Sabato is more than just raw power though, as he is a career .332 hitter at UNC, with a career .459 OBP in 83 games played.

    It is hard not to see how Sabato fits into the Twins overall draft philosophy of drafting big and powerful bats, joining the ranks of Brent Rooker, Trevor Larnach, Ryan Jeffers, Keoni Cavaco and Matt Wallner all taken in the early rounds in recent years. Since Sabato is a draft eligible sophomore, with a lot of potential, he likely will not sign for below the slot value of the 27th pick in the draft.

    If you would like to read up more on Sabato, and see what Scouting Director Sean

    Johnson had to say about him, you can do so here.

    Alerick Soularie

    Going into day two of the draft, the Twins had their sights set on Tennessee outfielder Alerick Soularie. He was a player that was circled high on their boards, and they didn’t feel like he would be there when they made their next pick after this one, a whole 69 picks later. Soularie began his college career at San Jacinto JC (the same JUCO that both Roger Clemens and Andy Pettite went to) where he lit up the competition on his way to a .402/.513/.745 slash line with 10 home runs in 59 games and lead his team to a third-place finish. This impressive performance opened the doors to a transfer to Tennessee, where he continued to have great success.

    In his only full season for the Volunteers Alerick Soularie hit for an impressive .357/.466/.602 slash line, while going up against SEC pitching for the first time. His numbers were down slightly to start the 2020 season, before it got cut short. It is hard to know for sure from an outside perspective, but it seems like Soularie is a pick that the Twins should be able to sign for below the $1.19 million assigned to that slot. Which would allow the Twins to spend over slot, in order to sign each of their final two picks.

    If you would like to read up more on Soularie, and see what Scouting Director Sean Johnson had to say about him, you can do so here.

    Marco Raya

    The only pitcher that the Twins selected in the draft was Marco Raya, a prep arm out of the state of Texas. Raya is a bit undersized, but he is a good athlete and excellent mechanics that helps him pump it up as high as 94 MPH without needing a lot of effort. Raya also throws two above-average breaking balls in a slider and curveball. Both pitches have potential to be plus pitches down the line. Finally, Raya also throws a pretty decent changeup, which gives him a rare four-pitch mix that not a lot of high schoolers have at this point in their development.

    It will be a few years until we really know who Raya is as an MLB prospect (he’s still only 17-years old), but he has a bright future ahead of him. Being a high school player, committed to Texas Tech, the Twins will likely need to use some of the money saved on Soularie in order to sing him.

    If you would like to read up more on Raya, and see what Scouting Director Sean Johnson had to say about him, you can do so here.

    Kala'i Rosario

    The Twins final selection in the 2020 MLB Draft was a high school bat, with a powerful profile in Kala’I Rosario. Rosario is a player that impressed a lot of scouts in the Area Code games last season. While there is a lot of work to do with his overall approach and swing at the plate, it is evident that Rosario has much raw power as any other prep player in the draft. While many other sites weren’t as high on Rosario, I fell in love with what this guy could potentially be if he is able to maximize his raw power, which is why he came in at number 73 on my final pre-draft rankings.

    While Rosario might be far from a finished product, he has plenty of time to develop (he won’t turn 18 until July), and already has some great upside tools. As was the case with Raya, the Twins will probably need to go above slot value to sign Rosario, but they are confident that they will be able to get a deal worked out.

    If you would like to read up more on Rosario, and see what Scouting Director Sean Johnson had to say about him, you can do so here.

    In total, it was a very good draft for the Minnesota Twins, all things considered. Not only were they limited in the number of picks and time to scout these players, but they also had the 4th smallest signing bonus pool, which hampers a lot of what they could do in the draft. However, they came into this draft with a plan, and executed that to near perfection, and now the minor-league system has four new potential stars of the future. Great work by all of the scouts and other members of the organization that had a hand in this draft.

    Let us know below what you thought of the Twins draft, and what letter grade you would give them.

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    I haven’t seen Jeffers catch but I did read articles about his improved defense at catcher from MLB, BA and this one during the spring.https://www.milb.com/news/toolshed-ryan-jeffers-trying-to-become-minnesota-twins-threat-313325916

    I don’t think the Twins see players as fixed in their skills but rather look for players who they believe can develop skills that can help. Jeffers was a poor defensive catcher at the time of the draft but that isn’t a label he needed to keep. Soularie may not be a starting CF or maybe there are things that are hard to see that he does really well like first step and routes. If not OF, do they see a starting 2B or see a utility guy that can be developed to fill in at 6 positions?

     

    Just wanted to add that I believe in a recent interview he stated he's never worked with an actual catching coach before coming to the Twins. And I think we've already heard and seen what a difference emphasis on that position is doing for the entire system.

     

    Throwing at least decently is still part of a catchers job, but the running game has been so de-emphasized in today's game as to make that aspect so less integral than it used to be. The Twins have made changes to stances behind the plate that keep a catchers more fresh, and allow them better access to low ball reception/blocking. We have certainly seen that in Garver at the ML level. At the end of the day, the most important part of a catcher's job is game calling, working and communicating with that guy in the mound, setting a good target, framing vs grabbing or reaching, and just keeping the ball in front of him. From reports, Jeffers has improved greatly in those areas.

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    Free college looks pretty good compared to 20K.

     

    Except it's only free for a few precious players. College baseball has something like 13 total scholarships to spread out over their entire roster. So most guys are on 1/4-1/2 athletic scholarship. Though to be fair, colleges seem to do a pretty good job finding grants and the such to help offset at least part of the remaining cost for some players.

     

    But I absolutely agree with Andrew that the vast majority of those who will sign for $20K are college seniors who don't want to go back, can't afford to go back, or have been attending a school that won't let them come back and certainly don't want to attempt to transfer to another school for 1yr.

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    I want to echo disappointment that the Twins didn't draft a single college pitcher when all reports I've read stated this class was very deep with viable arms. That's not a knock on the 4 guys selected to be clear.

     

    Here I go trying to seem intelligent again, but the FO has a thought process that is very clear at this point. And to be honest, from all I have witnessed and read, it appears history has shown that unless you select an arm in the first 5 spots, maybe 10, your odds of actually selecting a quality ML SP, much less a top of the rotation arm, diminish appreciably. And that's not to say the Twins WON'T select an arm at the top of the draft. After all, they have selected a few of them recently with supplemental and 2nd round choices.

     

    But think for a moment how volatile the projection part of the selection process for a HS arm at 18yrs old. Then think about a college pitcher. Have they maxed out? Do they have anything in their repitoire, not being top 5-10 selection worthy, that you feel good enough about future projectability to make them a later 1st round selection? And what about the injury factor? Despite all the advances, and continuing advances in medical science, a damaged shoulder, elbow, wrist, hand or labrum, etc, is still easier for a position player to overcome and reach their potential than for a pitcher.

     

    Again, not saying the Twins WON'T take an arm in the 1st round, or shouldn't, but I think their thought process is clear and understandable. They believe in using that top choice for a position player that has a chance, whether it be overriding skill set or particular skill set, and then grab pitchers that have "something" you really like and can build off of and develop.

     

    And they really seem to believe in the development system they have in place. And there have been a lot of stories including here at TD, about their approaches and individualized attention. Gone are the days of simplistic "everyman" mantras. And when you look at some of the young guys the FO has traded for...Chalmers could be a prime example...they are willing to take some risks based on potential via development.

     

    While I was really hoping for at least one college arm, and even speculated they might break traditional approach this weird season and select up to 3 because why not, I can't fault them for sticking to their guns. One thing I find interesting is how young each of the 4 selections is. All 3 position players have power, power potential, hit and OB potential even with some SO tendencies, but are banking on development.

     

    I'm with others when I'm actually mkre excited about Marco Raya than any other pick. He won't be 18yo until July, if I read it right. He is 6' and only about 170lbs but great mechanics and throws up to 94mph with movement and high spin rate. Reportedly, his slider and curve are already above average and his change is solid. He may or may not be one of those kids who would have gone to college and end up 6'2" and 210lbs and throw 98mph in 3yrs and be a top 5-10 selection. But if reports about all of his good qualities are accurate, what could he be in 3yrs with coaching and another 20+lbs of physical development thrown in?

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