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  • Which Hitter Will The Twins Call Up?


    Seth Stohs

    In Monday night’s Twins game, the team had 14 pitchers on their 25-man roster. That means - do the math with me - they had just 11 position players. That meant a bench of just two players. While in most games, that will be just fine, it’s certainly not an ideal situation over the course of the season.

    Very soon, the Twins will likely make a move to get down to 13 pitchers which is still more than they would like to have, or than they started the season with. So, which hitters could be on the verge of a promotion to the Twins.

    Image courtesy of Brad Mills, USA Today

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    How They Got To 14

    As Nick wrote on Monday afternoon, the Twins got into this situation with a series of transactions. They activated Danny Santana, recalled Alex Meyer and optioned both Byron Buxton and Max Kepler to Rochester.

    The other issue right now is the physical status of pitchers Ervin Santana and Tyler Duffey. Duffey was promoted to the Twins to make the start on Sunday in place of Santana who was experiencing a stiff back. If the Twins knew that Santana would be able to make his next start, Duffey could be sent back to Rochester. However, the fact that Duffey took the line drive off of his shoulder means that the Twins couldn’t just send him back to Rochester without making sure he was OK.

    As much as there are other pitchers in Rochester who could (maybe even ‘should’) come up to the Twins, right now is not the time.

    Current Situation - Hitters

    Here are the hitters currently on the Twins 25-man roster:

    Kurt Suzuki - Catcher

    John Ryan Murphy - Catcher

    Joe Mauer - First Base

    Byung Ho Park - First Base

    Brian Dozier - Second Base

    Eduardo Escobar - Shortstop (Third Base, Second Base)

    Eduardo Nunez - Third Base (Shortstop, Corner Outfield)

    Oswaldo Arcia - Left Field (Right Field)

    Eddie Rosario - Left Field (Center Field, Right Field)

    Danny Santana - Center Field (Right Field, Third Base, Shortstop)

    Miguel Sano - Right Field (Third Base)

    (Secondary positions listed in parentheses)

    1. No need for a catcher right now.
    2. No need for a first base/DH/Corner outfield guy right now.
    3. Santana and Rosario can play center field.

    There isn’t one single position where they don’t have at least 2-3 options, so it’s really just about adding depth, allowing for managerial decisions, feeling more comfortable with substitutions, etc.

    PROMOTION OPTIONS

    Darin Mastroianni - 55% - I would say the most likely to be added to the 25- and 40-man rosters would be Mastroianni. He had a tremendous spring training. While he is hitting just .200 (in 71 plate appearances), he’s been on base 35.7% of the time. And, as it relates to the Twins, he would immediately come in and be their second best outfielder, behind only Eddie Rosario.

    James Beresford - 35% - This is where a blogger can admit his bias. I would really like to see James Beresford get an opportunity with the Twins. Consider, he signed with the Twins in August of 2005. He’s gradually worked his way up the system. Last year in Rochester, he was a midseason and postseason All-Star. He returned to the organization this offseason for the third time when he could have left as a free agent. He has primarily played second base in the last couple of years, but the Twins played him mostly at third base and first base in spring training. He, along with Mastroianni and Juan Centeno, spent the entire spring training with the big league club. Despite a slow start, he is now hitting .288/.333/.385 (.718) with three doubles and a triple. In other words, if the Twins chose to call up the 27-year-old, it would NOT just be a courtesy call-up. He’s earned it.

    Wilfredo Tovar - 10% - The Twins signed Tovar as a 6-year minor league free agent in the offseason. He is known for his glove at shortstop, but he’s played all three infield spots in his career. In 54 plate appearances this year, he is hitting .292/.358/.333 (.692) with two doubles. He’s also just 24 years old.

    Also note, Byron Buxton, Max Kepler and Jorge Polanco can’t be recalled to the big leagues for ten days (from when they were sent down) unless a position player were to be added to the disabled list.

    The Twins may have been surprised when David Murphy decided to opt out of his minor league contract rather than join the Twins, but in my mind, any of the above three players would make more sense to the Twins 25-man roster than Murphy would have.

    So now it comes down to whether you believe the Twins need to add an outfielder or an infielder for depth.

    If they want to get down to 12 pitchers again, it’s possible two of these guys could come up for bench depth, but then there would need to be another 40-man roster decision too.

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    Frankly, this is a conundrum the Twins shouldn't be facing. How a professional organization couldn't plan even a bit better in regard to their roster management is beyond me. I know the Santana/Duffey situation is rather unexpected, but to make Polanco, Buxton and Kepler all unavailable is mystifying.

     

    There is certainly an arguement for Beresford and his tenure with the organization, the fact he probably more than deserved a shot last September, and positional flexability.

     

    But, with Santana back, available to play all over, and Plouffe reportedly back soon, and with more questions in the OF, I'd pick Mastroianni. He's nothing special overall, to be sure. But he plays good defense, including CF. He's sort of a known quantity. He had a good ST and is still getting OB, despite a poor BA at Rochester. He would be the most intelligent choice at this point.

     

    Either him, or you make a DL move to allow he and Polanco both to come up.

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    No love for Mastrionni. He has struck out 25% of the time so far at AAA this year, which would somehow be an improvement but ... His OPS is .575.

    I do believe he provides good defense so there's that.

     

    Why not give Palka a shot. He's 24.5 years old and he's been doing seriously damage to minor league pitchers for the last 3 years.

    Edited by ScrapTheNickname
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    If you need an insignificant bat (during this stretch) on the bench, why not put a game changer on the bench instead of your typical better than average OBP or single hitting option.  A guy who can get to 1st base isn't going to help this Twins team score more runs.  They need to be able to replace a Suszuki or Murphy or Santana late in the game with runners on and down by 2 or 3 - with a player who can actually change the game.  Nothing to lose by bringing up Walker for this purpose alone.  I assure you that any other option you choose will be a reach as well and add very little impact at this point.

     

    Why not a guy who averages a HR or Double every 9 AB in 5 minor league seasons?

     

    Why not a guy who averages an RBI every 5 AB in 5 minor league seasons?

     

    The season is young, but Walker already has more XBH's in 10 games than the Twins had all last season with their pinch hitters.  My obvious short term filler.

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    This isn't little league. Everybody doesn't get to play.

    Are you sure about this?

     

    The last game of my Little League "career," I was pitching for Dairy Queen against the vaunted First Bank and Trust, who were older, bigger, and we had no business beating. It was the bottom of the last inning (6th), two outs, and I got a comebacker. A short flip to Chad at first for the win. However, I airmail the throw. A few batters later (with me still pitching) we lose the game.

     

    Eerily similar to Sunday.

     

    Anyway, I'd go 50/50 Vargas/stay at 14 pitchers. Because adding both of those options would make the least sense roster-construction-wise.

    Edited by AM.
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    If Santana can't go, for his next start, then Duffey can stay and Polanco can return for him. I suppose the Twins could disable Duffey if he has more than a bit of soreness. Santana hasn't pitched since last Tuesday, so he would only have to miss one more start. I'd do that unless he's absolutely 100%. I still think the 40th roster spot should go to Juan Centeno, who has hit OK for Rochester and is a LH hitter. He should replace Murphy on the active roster.

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    Are you sure about this?

     

    The last game of my Little League "career," I was pitching for Dairy Queen against the vaunted First Bank and Trust, who were older, bigger, and we had no business beating. It was the bottom of the last inning (6th), two outs, and I got a comebacker. A short flip to Chad at first for the win. However, I airmail the throw. A few batters later (with me still pitching) we lose the game.

    Buddy, you gotta let it go.....or visit your therapist.

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    . I still think the 40th roster spot should go to Juan Centeno, who has hit OK for Rochester and is a LH hitter. He should replace Murphy on the active roster.

    I think it should go to Stuart Turner. He is hitting as well as he ever has in Pro Ball and his confidence in his hitting may never be this high again.
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    If the Twins do indeed add 2 players (hitters), who are your candidates to take off the 40 man? Dean, perhaps?

    The dearly departed John Hicks was the first casualty, and Pat Dean should be the second one....IMO.
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    14 pitchers, 11 non- pitchers.  I haven't played in a long time but aren't there only 8 positions besides pitcher?  The Twins have three players on the bench, not two.  Not that having only three is a good idea, but at least the math is correct.

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    14 pitchers, 11 non- pitchers. I haven't played in a long time but aren't there only 8 positions besides pitcher? The Twins have three players on the bench, not two. Not that having only three is a good idea, but at least the math is correct.

    We are not playing in NL parks anymore. You are forgetting the DH.

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    For a bench player, Mastro. He can pinch run, and play defense. I don't think Plouffe will be back quite as soon as some think. There is no sense to bring up Vargas or ABW. the Twins are overloaded with corner IF and OF players, and even if ABW were on the bench, Kurt would still hit with the bases loaded and down 4, two outs in the ninth!

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    If this was a jigsaw puzzle we would all be gathered around the table wondering why all the pieces are in the sky and we seem short on the body and in particular the edges that define the picture.  Plouffe down means we should have gone to Polanco and kept him so that we had the position filled.  Escobar may have had a career year last year and SS does not look particularly well manned.  Then there are the positions with so many options that no one knows which direction to turn their piece so that it will fit. 

     

    I want a trade that clears some of the excess.  I think we have two puzzles mixed together and Terry Ryan is not the man I want trying to do the sorting.

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    I have a really difficult request of the Twins. I am not overly worried who they bring up. But I am about how they use him.

     

    If it is a AAA lifer over 28, let him ride the pine in case someone breaks an arm.

     

    If it is a top prospect, like Max Kepler or a 24 year old that has shown some promise, play them every day.

     

    Capish?

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    .718 in AAA means he's earned it?

    This isn't little league. Everybody doesn't get to play.

     

    I wouldn't worry about 3 weeks of playing time, and yes, when talking about a utility infielder called up for depth, it means less. He's been playing well of late, and he can play solid defense at 3 places. 

     

    Also, it can be about the entirety of his work, and what he did in 2015 and in spring and other intangibles. 

     

    Also, compared to the other options, he's earned it just as much, if not more.

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    Either him, or you make a DL move to allow he and Polanco both to come up.

     

    The problem there is that to get Polanco up now, it would have to be a position player going on the DL, which wouldn't solve the numbers issue.

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    No love for Mastrionni. He has struck out 25% of the time so far at AAA this year, which would somehow be an improvement but ... His OPS is .575.

    I do believe he provides good defense so there's that.

     

    Why not give Palka a shot. He's 24.5 years old and he's been doing seriously damage to minor league pitchers for the last 3 years.

     

    Do they really need a 1B/Corner Outfielder though? Might as well call up Vargas then (though I don't want to see him in the outfield!). 

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    Are you sure about this?

     

    The last game of my Little League "career," I was pitching for Dairy Queen against the vaunted First Bank and Trust, who were older, bigger, and we had no business beating. It was the bottom of the last inning (6th), two outs, and I got a comebacker. A short flip to Chad at first for the win. However, I airmail the throw. A few batters later (with me still pitching) we lose the game.

     

    Eerily similar to Sunday.

     

    Anyway, I'd go 50/50 Vargas/stay at 14 pitchers. Because adding both of those options would make the least sense roster-construction-wise.

    Don't beat yourself up. Chad should have made that play. Chad...

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    The Twins really screwed this up by demoting Polanco.   Seems like Plouffe will go for a short rehab assignment any day now and will be ready to come up 5/3.

     

    They need Mastroianni and his .575 AAA OPS as much as they needed D. Murphy and his .562 AAA OPS.

    I'd go to AA and grab Levi Michael.  He deserves it more than Beresford and Tovar, has an actual ceiling and is hitting .293/.406/.362 after 2 seasons in a row of 800+ OPS in AA. 

     

    It's about time that Dozier and his .287 OBP ride some pine.

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    If Santana can't go, for his next start, then Duffey can stay and Polanco can return for him. I suppose the Twins could disable Duffey if he has more than a bit of soreness. Santana hasn't pitched since last Tuesday, so he would only have to miss one more start. I'd do that unless he's absolutely 100%. I still think the 40th roster spot should go to Juan Centeno, who has hit OK for Rochester and is a LH hitter. He should replace Murphy on the active roster.

     

    I can't remember exactly when Jorge Polanco was sent down, but it hasn't been close to 10 days, has it? In other words, he can't be called up unless a position player is added to the Disabled List. So, if Ervin Santana is DLd, ,they can't bring up Polanco to replace him.

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    Frankly, this is a conundrum the Twins shouldn't be facing. How a professional organization couldn't plan even a bit better in regard to their roster management is beyond me. I know the Santana/Duffey situation is rather unexpected, but to make Polanco, Buxton and Kepler all unavailable is mystifying.

    There is certainly an arguement for Beresford and his tenure with the organization, the fact he probably more than deserved a shot last September, and positional flexability.

    But, with Santana back, available to play all over, and Plouffe reportedly back soon, and with more questions in the OF, I'd pick Mastroianni. He's nothing special overall, to be sure. But he plays good defense, including CF. He's sort of a known quantity. He had a good ST and is still getting OB, despite a poor BA at Rochester. He would be the most intelligent choice at this point.

    Either him, or you make a DL move to allow he and Polanco both to come up.

     

    I'm not sure planning better is the issue here, with the one exception of why Murphy wasn't added to the 40 man when Hicks was removed.  Beyond that though, the 40 man roster exists for these reasons.  It allows for callus when injury happens and those callus will come.

     

    What I suspect presently is that none of the guys Seth listed will be added.  They will stay at 39 for now with the idea of perhaps stealing a waiver claim on someone at some point... who knows.  I think if they need another hitter, I'd start looking at guys on the 40 man who can be called up for a cup of coffee.  ABW might be a candidate here.  Travis Harrison (who I believe is on the 40) would be another one. 

     

    If they add a guy, I'll submit a wildcard name:  Levi Michael.  If they want a 3rd catcher, Centeno might be that guy.

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    It all goes back to the irrational love for Danny Santana - if they just saw him for what he was, a back-up, they would have kept Kepler up to play CF every day, at least until Plouffe was back.  Danny Santana would be the utility infielder, Rosario the 4th outfielder.  

     

    But because they have convinced themselves Danny Santana isn't the trainwreck that we all see, they had to send Kepler down so DSan could play CF most days. 

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    Also note, Byron Buxton, Max Kepler and Jorge Polanco can’t be recalled to the big leagues for ten days (from when they were sent down) unless a position player were to be added to the disabled list.

    Seth, I am pretty sure the 10 day recall rule is position agnostic.  That is, we could put a pitcher on the DL and recall a position player.  The rules laid out here are pretty thorough:

     

    http://www.thecubreporter.com/book/export/html/3506

     

    They state that the position player or pitcher distinction matters for injury replacements during a playoff series, but make no mention of that distinction applying to any regular season transactions.

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    Also, compared to the other options, he's earned it just as much, if not more.

    Maybe so.

     

    And maybe that's an example of how and why an organization sits at 6-14, loses 390 games in a four year stretch, and has won one playoff series in two decades under the current GM.

     

    This is the major leagues. It's a zero sum game, and some organizations are only too happy to get the W at your expense if you run around thinking otherwise.

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    However, the fact that Duffey took the line drive off of his shoulder means that the Twins couldn’t just send him back to Rochester without making sure he was OK.

     

    The rules page that I linked above indeed says "An injured player cannot be optioned to the minors" so that general idea is not in dispute.

     

    However, I believe you are wrong about the sequencing.  Optioning a player has never required an absolute determination of health first, or every player getting optioned would need to undergo a thorough physical examination, every time.  That is clearly not the standard practice.

     

    A quick Google search turned up what I think is the more likely process:

     

    http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/baseball/cubs/chi-tony-clark-will-watch-cubs-closely-20150227-story.html

     

    "The Cubs fell under scrutiny last summer when they optioned rookie reliever Neil Ramirez, who had a sore shoulder. But Ramirez's option to Triple-A Iowa was rescinded because injured players cannot be optioned, and he was placed on the major league 15-day disabled list."

     

    So, the Twins could definitely option Duffey.  But if he was found to be unhealthy enough to play at AAA, he would be required to retroactively go on the MLB disabled list.  The Twins do not have to roster Duffey until his arm is deemed fully healthy.

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