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As the rotation currently stands, it isn't all that bad. In fact, it could be pretty good. Here is how the starters are currently projected to line up via Fangraphs.
- Kenta Maeda
- Jose Berrios
- Michael Pineda
- J.A. Happ
- Randy Dobnak
That is a rotation that should be expected to be productive, but not be in the top tier of the league. In Maeda and Berrios, you have two borderline aces that would be a clear number one for quite a few teams. Pineda and Happ would both make almost every rotation in baseball, and then you have the fifth spot.
Ideally, the Twins add one more player like James Paxton or Jake Odorizzi. It doesn't seem to be shaking out that way, as the team wants players on a one year or a minor league deal.
https://twitter.com/cyaeda18/status/1354510764804075520?s=20
https://twitter.com/DWolfsonKSTP/status/1354512936958636032?s=20
In the end the final rotation spot might be a battle between Randy Dobnak and a minor league signing like Mike Foltynewicz. That should be alright.
In last years 60 game season, the Twins had the second best rotation using WAR. That was without Pineda for a majority and we now replace Rich Hill with Happ. That should be an upgrade, but it's at least an even swap.
Having Pineda and Happ ready to go for a full 162 plus Berrios and Maeda being very good sets up nicely for the Twins. Minnesota currently is projected to have the 8th best rotation using WAR, so still top ten despite no big additions.
Overall, adding another big name pitcher would be ideal but it is not a necessity. I am excited to see how the team puts it all together to compete in 2021.
DISCLAIMER: IF THE TWINS DON'T SPEND ON STARTING PITCHING THEN THEY MUST SPEND ELSEWHERE! That was for you, Derek Falvey!
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