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  • Twins Designate Oswaldo Arcia


    Seth Stohs

    Danny Santana's rehab was nearing an end, so the Twins had a difficult decision to make for how to get him back on the 25-man roster.

    Following the Twins loss at Target Field to the Yankees, Paul Molitor announced that the team had designated Oswaldo Arcia for assignment.

    Image courtesy of Jesse Johnson, USA Tdoay

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    Let's start with the decision on Thursday. Obviously this decision wasn't made just today. It is likely something that the front office has been pondering for a week or more.

    By designating Arcia for assignment, he is immediately removed from the team's 40- man roster. The team will have ten days to trade him, place him on waivers or release him.

    What other options did GM Terry Ryan have in this case?

    Well Byron Buxton and Max Kepler have options left. They could have been sent down to Rochester. A case certainly could be made that they could both use continued time at AAA. At least for now, the Twins are clearly looking to the future, a future that includes Buxton and Kepler in the starting lineup almost every day. In mid-June of a losing season, it's hard to argue that.

    You could DFA Robbie Grossman. I mean, he's been arguably the Twins best hitter since he signed with them almost a month ago. I can't imagine anyone would think that's a good idea.

    They could have designated Danny Santana for assignment, but with his speed and versatility, he is able to do more things in a backup role for the Twins.

    The team could have gone down to a 12-man pitching staff, but with the worst pitching staff in baseball and many short starts, it's hard to justify that.

    At that point, the best - though not easy whatsoever - decision was to DFA Oswaldo Arcia.

    Frankly, he hasn't been given much opportunity this season and because he 1. can't hit left-handed pitching, 2. can't hit breaking balls, and 3. can't play very good defense, he just doesn't give a manager many options.

    Now that's not to say that this may not be the best thing that could have happened for Arcia too.

    He could go to a statistically strong organization which will use him solely against right-handed pitching. That team could use him in the outfield, or if it's an AL team, he could be a strong DH. Again, against right-handed pitching.

    There is little question that when he is on, Oswaldo Arcia - still just 25-years-old - has the ability to be a dangerous, impact hitter in the major leagues. There is so much strength and so much talent.

    Consider that in 103 games for the Twins in 2014, he hit .231 with 16 doubles and 20 home runs. His minor league track record certainly indicated that he had the ability to hit. He hit well - for average and power - at each and every minor league level including AAA, with the exception of his horrific 2015 season.

    He knew he needed to put together a strong spring training to remain with the Twins. He put in the work in the offseason. I don't think anyone will question that. He came to camp in really good shape. Despite some good moments, he just wasn't getting any consistently playing time.

    Was it the right decision by the Twins? Probably.

    Was it probably the best situation for Oswaldo Arcia? I think so.

    In my mind, the perfect scenario for Arcia would be in Milwaukee. His younger brother, Orlando, is one of baseball's best prospects and is pretty much ready to take over shortstop for the Brewers. Maybe being around his brother would help push Arcia to some success. But also, Miller Park is a good place for power hitters. If utilized properly, I have little doubt that Arcia can be a 20+ home run guy in the big leagues again.

    Consider Danny Valencia. When he left the Twins, he was able to crush left-handed pitching but really struggled against right-handers. When he went to Toronto, they used him almost solely against left-handers and he put up great numbers. He went to Oakland and the same thing, he crushed southpaws. Then after some transactions, he started playing against right-handers too. Now he is hitting well overall. I see Arcia being able to do something very similar.

    Again, that doesn't mean that this move was bad, or wrong... The Twins have options for their future in the outfield that we think are going to be better, and right now those guys need to play. This is a classic case where a change of scenery might just be the best thing for Oswaldo Arcia.

    I hope it is.

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    When I think of Gardenhire, I think of a good yet frequently exasperating .500 manager who lost to the Yankees in the playoffs a lot and then lost to everyone in the regular season a lot. 

    FTFY. :)

     

    Gardy, 28-76 vs the Yankees overall.  Started with a 13 game losing streak against them (2002-2003), and had another 12 game losing streak against them later (2009-2010).

     

    https://twitter.com/aarongleeman/status/520646779822694400

     

    And Molitor is now 2-8 against them.

    Edited by spycake
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    FTFY. :)

     

    Gardy, 28-76 vs the Yankees overall.  Started with a 13 game losing streak against them (2002-2003), and had another 12 game losing streak against them later (2009-2010).

     

    https://twitter.com/aarongleeman/status/520646779822694400

     

    And Molitor is now 2-8 against them.

    Yeah, I thought about excluding the word 'playoffs' but figured that including it was a way to be fair to Gardy and at least indirectly credit him for putting the Twins winning enough to be in a position to be crushed in the playoffs.

     

    But yes, at this point the only good thing about the Twins' ongoing concession of the 21st century to the Yankees is that not having them in the Central has prevented the Twins from claiming the Cleveland Spiders' worst record throne.

    Edited by LaBombo
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    Since World War II, there have been only two ways to keep your MLB manager job after just three consecutive 90 loss seasons: work for an expansion team, or work for Terry Ryan.  Gardenhire was let go after four clunkers because even the Twins eventually needed to hold someone accountable for a terrible product.

     

    And you're right, we'll never know how the 2015 Twins would have performed with Gardy managing, but the point is that NO team would know, because as a matter of unerring historical trend they would have fired him after 2013.

     

    Molitor has been an enigma and an occasional source of consternation (bunt-o-rama offense, 'Wheel of Misfortune' bullpen) in his brief tenure, but i can't imagine how anyone could be so put off by him that they would miss a guy who any other team in baseball would have canned a year before the Twins did.

     

    When I think of Gardenhire, I think of a good yet frequently exasperating .500 manager who lost to the Yankees in the playoffs a lot and then lost to everyone in the regular season a lot.  Time will tell how Molitor is remembered, but my bet is that it won't be as 'the guy the Twins should have never hired instead of keeping Gardenhire'.

    One thing we should have learned from all of those Gardy post-season losses and the ensuing last 5 years is that I'll take a post-season drubbing 10 times over what we've been exposed to since 2011.  At least June, July, August & September were entertaining. Funny thing about that bullpen.  It's ERA is just shy of a full run better than that of the starters.  Just sayin

    Edited by dxpavelka
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    Enlighten me on what you've seen in 2016 to convince me it was.

    Molitor could have coaxed a few more wins out of this team. Although some of these decisions like Sano in the OF for example I think were not his call.

     

    I was just noting that we switched coaches and are actually losing more. So it seems the last person still sitting in their chair is Terry Ryan.

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    Probably so the Twins could have said "they were in" on Park had he turned out good. Let me be clear, this is not aimed at you at all. But the Twins have been defended because they "didn't think they would win" the Park bidding and it altered their plans. Really a lame excuse. Don't bid then.

    It is such the Twins Way of doing things. Of course, we react differently in the blogosphere than most people do who come to Twins games and see the Twins spending money on free agent pitchers, playing the international market, making choices in trades for pitching at the expense of a luxury of outfielders, working to put a competitive team on the field that will stay in the game and all. Plus, Target Field is a great game day experience, we have new bars, different foods and, did I say, a great place to watch a ballgame.

     

    Yes, the put in bids to be a part of the action, so to speak. They make a trade addressing weaknesses, but what do we really know about the whys and true needs of the team. They spend money on guys that look halfway decent, but only if you are a halfway decent team. But dollar dogs are great, we have all these scoreboard games, kids sing he national anthem, the flag is raised with fireworks, and we have a radio station that shuts down soon after the game and the airwaves, as a while, are void o discussion of the Twins above and beyond their marketing strategy which is to run THEIR OWN AADS during games?!?

     

    They may look like a major league team, smell like a major league team, but are they truly a major league team?

     

    Let's try a year of Mike Veeck at the helm which an indy league general manager wannabe given the golden opportunity. AT least it would be fun! And cheap!

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    Molitor could have coaxed a few more wins out of this team. Although some of these decisions like Sano in the OF for example I think were not his call.

    I was just noting that we switched coaches and are actually losing more. So it seems the last person still sitting in their chair is Terry Ryan.

    If Molitor could coax a few more wins out of this team I would strongly suggest he do so.  The is not going to have the luxury of coming out of the gate with a World Series ring or 3 straight post-season appearances.  If TR gets bumped out of his chair the new guy may not give a rip about the fact that he's a Hall of Famer or one of us.

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    If Molitor could coax a few more wins out of this team I would strongly suggest he do so.  The is not going to have the luxury of coming out of the gate with a World Series ring or 3 straight post-season appearances.  If TR gets bumped out of his chair the new guy may not give a rip about the fact that he's a Hall of Famer or one of us.

    Neither of those are qualifications or requirements for a big league manager, so that would be a refreshing approach.

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    I'm sure most don't care, but BaseRuns says we should have 5 more wins (which would still have us last in the AL).  For those who prefer Pythag, it says we should have 2 more wins than we have now.

     

    Additionally, for reasons passing understanding, we are projected to go 44-48 the rest of the way.  I think whoever did that projection should take a pee test, but that's what's there.

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    I'm sure most don't care, but BaseRuns says we should have 5 more wins (which would still have us last in the AL).  For those who prefer Pythag, it says we should have 2 more wins than we have now.

     

    Additionally, for reasons passing understanding, we are projected to go 44-48 the rest of the way.  I think whoever did that projection should take a pee test, but that's what's there.

    I certainly think that the Twins could go .500 the rest of the way. There's more talent than the last Gardy teams and there's a chance that a couple of guys could go nuts (Sano, Kepler, Rosario, Buxton) in the second half. As was written above, the big issue is pitching. The veterans on the staff can fill the back end and the back end of the bullpen needs to be established. That is a lot of work. Regression to the mean would garner more close wins and also from some players.

     

    If the right amount of trades are made at the deadline, the club could emerge from this disaster of a season with some palpable improvement. Not sure that will happen, but I still have hope.

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    Additionally, for reasons passing understanding, we are projected to go 44-48 the rest of the way.  I think whoever did that projection should take a pee test, but that's what's there.

    Fangraphs actually says 42-50 now, which at .462 is just a bit under our preseason projection there (.481).

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    I certainly think that the Twins could go .500 the rest of the way. There's more talent than the last Gardy teams and there's a chance that a couple of guys could go nuts (Sano, Kepler, Rosario, Buxton) in the second half. As was written above, the big issue is pitching. The veterans on the staff can fill the back end and the back end of the bullpen needs to be established. That is a lot of work. Regression to the mean would garner more close wins and also from some players.

     

    If the right amount of trades are made at the deadline, the club could emerge from this disaster of a season with some palpable improvement. Not sure that will happen, but I still have hope.

    I don't see it happening without quite a few moves and a few things working their way like you pointed out, but if some of the young guys come up and succeed it may not be insane to see them do that.  

     

    I personally don't think it'll happen, mainly because I don't think the necessary moves will be made.  I think the talent is there for the position players.  Like has been pointed out, the pitching is what needs to improve in order for them to have even a remote chance of approaching a .500 clip.

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    Fangraphs actually says 42-50 now, which at .462 is just a bit under our preseason projection there (.481).

    They must have just updated it, because when I wrote it, it said other-wise.  Either way, neither looks reasonable.

    Edited by jimmer
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    They must have just updated it, because when I wrote it, it said other-wise.  Either way, neither looks reasonable.

    Sounds like you might prefer their "season to date stats mode" which projects only a .383 winning percentage the rest of the way, 35-57 for a final record of 57-105:

     

    http://www.fangraphs.com/coolstandings.aspx?type=1&lg=div&date=current

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    Sounds like you might prefer their "season to date stats mode" which projects only a .383 winning percentage the rest of the way, 35-57 for a final record of 57-105:

     

    http://www.fangraphs.com/coolstandings.aspx?type=1&lg=div&date=current

    yes, but not many know about that and there's so much pushback on here for anything that isn't the most basic info that I didn't even bother showing that.  I mean, we saw someone chide OPS+ on another thread when someone used it to compare OPS for players who played in different times and parks. :-)

     

    Edited by jimmer
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    Neither of those are qualifications or requirements for a big league manager, so that would be a refreshing approach.

    They aren't but there are quite a few rubes who seem to think that being a Hall of Famer somehow makes Molitor a better manager.  They don't seem to grasp the fact that no manager who has been elected to the HOF as a player has subsequently gone on to win a World Series as a manager.

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    Arcia traded to TB for cash or a PTBN.  I hope he hits 20 home runs this year

    TB is one of the teams I thought would be interested.  Their DH issue is a problem.  Love to see him succeed over there as the primary DH.

    Edited by jimmer
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    I'd be good with Kevin Cash!!

    And here I thought it was this guy we got:

     

    http://media.jrn.com/images/420111021200821001_6099389_ver1.0_640_480.jpg

     

    (We run through this routine every time ... :) )

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    Can I get a preemptive list of the excuses we'll see to let the Twins off the hook when Arcia becomes a valuable player?

     

    And yes, before you ask, I'll absolutely eat crow if he busts out.

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