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  • Twins 8, Tigers 2: Smeltzer and Kepler Dominate as Twins Take Game One of Doubleheader


    Andrew Mahlke

    The Twins got great starting pitching, some great defense, and a few timely hits, and they were able to tie the series up at one in game one of Tuesday’s doubleheader with an easy 8-2 victory.

    Image courtesy of Rick Osentoski/USA Today

    Box Score
    SP: Devin Smeltzer: 6.2 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 4 K, (101 pitches, 71 strikes (70.3 %))
    Home Runs: Gary Sanchez (6)
    Top 3 WPA: Devin Smeltzer (.154), Trevor Larnach (.140), Max Kepler (.135)

    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)
    sJdXNsMVH-Y2FMRodGpVlJkkB7wdv5_rSDKA84_dPwBO1E0pBAS8GBMnch4qpDohjdtw2eoL-YtR--dX-xh1I_R9lVHEZHypanOVnMe6dgseNqNCvCwsWYsn-ipwh69YoIaTHbeANWGaxXFA8g

    Pregame Notes
    After a tough loss Monday, the day got even tougher as it was announced that during Monday’s game, the Twins received news that Carlos Correa had tested positive for COVID. This will be extremely difficult given that the Twins play seven games in the next six days and Correa is such a vital piece of the team. 

    This news would be easier to handle if the Twins hadn’t recently placed Royce Lewis on the injured list due to a bone bruise in his right knee. This leaves the Twins sparse with shortstop options, as they will probably give some games at shortstop to Nick Gordon and Jorge Polanco. A minor league option that they recalled Tuesday morning is Jermaine Palacios, who has hit .262/.325/.376 (.701) with eight doubles and three home runs through 163 plate appearances in St. Paul thus far in 2022. Palacios will make his debut Tuesday, batting ninth and playing shortstop. With the debut, Palacios will become the first Twin to ever wear the number 87.

    This is also increasingly difficult because the Twins will travel to Toronto to play three games starting on Friday, and five unvaccinated Twins will be unable to travel with the team, leaving them with major questions about their depth and they will have to bring several inexperienced players across the northern border with them.

    Smeltzer Excellent Once Again
    Left-hander Devin Smeltzer turned in another very good outing for the Twins, going six and ⅔ innings while only allowing two earned runs, walking no batters, and striking out four. In 2022, Smeltzer has allowed only four earned runs in 24 innings, good for an ERA of 1.50. With uncertainty about Sonny Gray’s health, the Twins need someone to step up in a starter role, and they should look no further than Smeltzer, who has been excellent.

    Larnach Stays Hot
    Smeltzer was gifted a two-run lead before ever taking the mound in the top of the first when Trevor Larnach roped a double off the wall in right-center, scoring Luis Arraez and Max Kepler who both singled. Larnach is now hitting .259/.382/.667 (1.049) with five extra-base hits in nine games since returning from the injured list on May 22.

    Quad Not a Problem For Kepler
    After leaving Saturday’s game due to an issue with his right quad, Max Kepler took Sunday and Monday off. In game one Tuesday, he returned to the lineup as the designated hitter, and his impact was immediately felt, as he singled and came around to score in his first at-bat on Larnach’s double. In his second at-bat, he roped the first pitch he saw into the right-field corner for a double to score Byron Buxton from first base and later came around to score. In the seventh inning, Kepler came up with two runners in scoring position and hammered a single through a drawn-in infield to extend the Twins’ lead to seven runs.

    Kepler has absolutely destroyed Tiger pitching this year, going 8-for-25 (.320) with two doubles, four homers, 12 RBI, and eight runs scored. He has posted a 1.313 OPS against the Tigers in 2022, his best against any opponent.

    Don’t Let Gary Get Hot
    The last thing that opposing pitchers want to see is Gary Sanchez on fire. After homering Monday, Sanchez came up with two runners on base in the third inning on Tuesday, got a hanging curveball, and didn’t miss it. Gary unloaded on it and hit it 381 feet to left field for a three-run homer to give the Twins an early six-run lead. Sanchez now has six home runs on the year.

    Other Notes
    - Luis Arraez went 2-for-5 and extended his hitting streak to 11 games.
    - Devin Smeltzer got the sixth win of his career and his second career win against the Tigers.

    What’s Next?
    The Twins will have a quick turnaround, as they take on the Tigers again at 6:10 CST. Right-hander Cole Sands (0-0, 6.75 ERA) will take the mound for the Twins as they hope to complete the doubleheader sweep. The Tigers will counter with left-hander Joey Wentz (0-1, 20.25 ERA). Wentz only has two and ⅔ career MLB innings, so the Twins will look to feast on an inexperienced pitcher and go deep into the Tiger bullpen in game two.

    On Wednesday, the Twins play the Tigers at 6:10 CST as they send 6’9” Bailey Ober (1-1, 3.25 ERA) to the mound against the Tiger ace Tarik Skubal (3-2, 2.44 ERA) who enters Wednesday’s contest with the second-best FIP among qualified major league pitchers. He is also second among all major league pitchers in fWAR at 2.0 only two months into the season.

    On Thursday, the Twins will finish their series with Detroit at 12:10 CST. The Twins will send right-hander Chris Archer (0-2, 4.19 ERA) to the mound to oppose the Tigers' right-hander Alex Faedo (1-2, 3.00 ERA)

    And on Friday, the Twins head north of the border for a tough three-game set with the Blue Jays. The Twins will have a depleted team because of COVID restrictions, so it will be interesting to see the roster moves made for the weekend.

    Postgame Interview

    Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet
     

     

    FRI

    SAT

    SUN

    MON

    TUE

    TOT

                 

    Megill

    26

    0

    0

    34

    0

    60

    Moran

    0

    34

    0

    0

    0

    34

    Smith

    18

    0

    0

    16

    0

    34

    Minaya

    0

    31

    0

    0

    0

    31

    Thielbar

    1

    0

    22

    0

    0

    23

    Duffey

    0

    20

    0

    0

    0

    20

    Jax

    0

    0

    20

    0

    33

    53

    Duran

    19

    0

    0

    0

    0

    19

    Pagán

    3

    0

    12

    0

    0

    15

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    This game was the mirror opposite of last game, good defense, good pitching and good clutch hitting. Smeltzer had another good game, we would've been sitting better if he had been called up from the beginning. He's not flashy but he gets the job done. Another long outing sure helped the BP.

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    We don’t know the vaccination status of the players who currently are on the IL with Covid. Worst case is the players on the IL with Covid are vaccinated and therefore we could be down 8 players against Toronto, plus any others who would get Covid in the interim. 
     

    Edited to change 7 to 8 as I had forgotten about Ryan. 

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    Without intentionally restating comments already posted....a few observations:

    1.  As much as Rocco insists on alternating Sanchez and Jeffers, can that trend shift to Sanchez getting the majority of starts--at least 4x each week?  The numbers justify this as Sanchez has a .457 slug% with 6 jacks and 25 RBI.  Jeffers continues to scuffle------.321 slug/ 3 HRs/ 14 RBI.

    2.  Good to see Kepler return with a solid game.  His performance over the course of the season, imo, has been a key part in our success.  He needs to be hitting in the middle of this lineup.

    3.  The continued struggles of Polanco.  I realize Baldelli's options are limited at this time, but if he insists on playing Polanco daily can he at least drop him down in the lineup?  Over last 9 games, Polanco is 8-36 (.222) with only 1 extra basehit.  His defense at 2B continues to be excellent.  A move down to the 6/7 hole might be a benefit.

    4.  Smeltzer:  This dude just continues to impress.  I credit his composure and maturity by taking his demotion to AAA to start the season like a professional.  Finally healthy this season, Smeltzer is pitching with confidence.  Great to see his production as he shows he is a real pitcher.  Our left-handed Brad Radke!

    5.  Larnach:  Also showing he's determined to stick in this lineup after his IL stint.  His production and solid defense have been critical in dealing with the plethora of injuries.

    6.  Griffin Jax:  Very solid outing today!  When Jax's command is "on"---he's demonstrated he can be a trusted late inning (I think he's moved ahead of Duffey in the pecking order) option.

    7.  Rooting for Cole Sands tonight, but his AAA numbers suggest Rocco better have a clear plan to get him out early if he struggles.  Majority of pen is rested.  Would be nice to get Duran some work as he hasn't pitched since Friday.

     

     

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    Is there any POSSIBLE way we could retrain from calling people dumb especially players we cheer for and support and or other commentators and or implying who may or may not have a lower IQ for being vaccinated or not?  These are human beings with there own personal decisions with underlying factors.  Thankyou

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    For a guy who won't make his MLB debut until Wednesday, Palacios had a decent game today.  Scored a run, took a walk, and had no errors playing SS.  I can't wait until he actually debuts!!! ???

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    14 minutes ago, terrydactyls said:

    For a guy who won't make his MLB debut until Wednesday, Palacios had a decent game today.  Scored a run, took a walk, and had no errors playing SS.  I can't wait until he actually debuts!!! ???

    Ha! Updated.

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    16 minutes ago, se7799 said:

    Is there any POSSIBLE way we could retrain from calling people dumb especially players we cheer for and support and or other commentators and or implying who may or may not have a lower IQ for being vaccinated or not?  These are human beings with there own personal decisions with underlying factors.  Thankyou

    I don't know if you were referring to the article or the comments, but if you were referring to the article, I did not make a statement or state an opinion about the COVID vaccine, I just stated that unvaccinated players won't be able to travel to Toronto so they will need a few reinforcements that they may not usually have in the big leagues.

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    19 minutes ago, Andrew Mahlke said:

    I don't know if you were referring to the article or the comments, but if you were referring to the article, I did not make a statement or state an opinion about the COVID vaccine, I just stated that unvaccinated players won't be able to travel to Toronto so they will need a few reinforcements that they may not usually have in the big leagues.

    No I was referring to a comment.  I think your article was informative and helpful.  Thankyou for the info.

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    2 hours ago, rwilfong86 said:

    It's kind of amazing how just making a few key changes, like getting rid of Donaldson and that contract has done to boost the chemistry and success of this team. It seems like every day there is a new who steps up and comes up big. 

    What I find amaizing as you said Donaldson is still helping us win!

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    2 hours ago, Eris said:

    We don’t know the vaccination status of the players who currently are on the IL with Covid. Worst case is the players on the IL with Covid are vaccinated and therefore we could be down 8 players against Toronto, plus any others who would get Covid in the interim. 
     

    Edited to change 7 to 8 as I had forgotten about Ryan. 

    since my recent post regarding covid was pulled I do not think I can comment

     

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    3 minutes ago, mikelink45 said:

    And you can guarantee that?

    Looks like your original quote has been deleted or removed.  But yes I have had the blessing to meet personally alot of these players.  How would you personally feel if someone referred to one of your family members in such a bad way.  

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