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  • Twins 4, Orioles 3: Late Rally Leads to Second Straight Walkoff Win for the Twins


    Sherry Cerny

    The Orioles came into the game with an eleven-game losing streak at Target Field and left for the day with a twelve-game losing streak. But it is not as easy as it seems. The Twins waited until late in the game again before rallying for another walkoff win, their second in two days!

    Image courtesy of Jeffrey Becker USA Today July 2 2022

    Box Score
    SP: Sonny Gray 5 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 5 K (87 pitches, 53 strikes (61%))
    Home Runs:  Nick Gordon (4), Jorge Polanco (9)
    Top 3 WPA: Jorge Polanco (.354), Luis Arraez (.321), Jose Miranda (.179)

    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)

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    Sonny Gray made his first start since pitching coach Wes Johnson left the organization, and fans speculated as to how he would do without Johnson, whom he stated he was very close with. It did not take long to realize that Gray was not as sharp this game as he has been since returning from the Injured List. 

    Ryan Mountcastle has been a bit of trouble for the Twins this series and wasted no time hitting the first pitch from Gray, a slider, deep into leftfield for a double in the second inning. Tyler Nevin hit a two-seamer off of Gray deep into right field to score Mountcastle with the first run of the game.

    The Orioles only managed one run in the second, but Gray seemed to struggle to close out the inning, leaving with 34 pitches. 

    Both pitchers struggled with the strike zone with low strikeouts and high pitch counts. Gray struggled with his breaking ball as most of his pitches were just off the corner, newly-appointed pitching coach Pete Maki came to the mound after a home run in the third and a sac-fly in the fourth, to give Gray a pep talk. Gray managed to get out of the inning without giving up another run, but the Orioles posted their third straight one-run inning which put them up 3-0 heading into the bottom of the fourth.

    Gray took the mound in the fifth inning to this writer’s surprise. Also, as a surprise, Gray remembered who he is and what he is capable of as he blew through the fifth inning with eleven pitches, the lowest number of pitches he threw in an inning all day. His control and focus allowed the defense to be able to make plays, keeping the inning quick and scoreless. 

    Orioles starter Jordan Lyles found himself in jams the first four innings but managed to keep the Twins from scoring. Lyles found his stride and kept the Twins scoreless through the top of the seventh. The Twins were making contact with the ball, but as sharp as the hitting was, the Orioles defense was just as sharp. 

    It wasn’t until the seventh inning when Nick Gordon hit a bomb into the centerfield that the Twins got on the board prompting a pitching change for Baltimore. Dillon Tate closed out the inning, but not without Alex Kirilloff and Gary Sanchez making hard contact with the ball.  

    The Twins kept up the momentum in the eighth inning when Gio Urshela ripped a hit to right field for a single to start out the inning. In true Twins fashion, late in the game, Luis Arraez comes up to the plate and rips a ball into right field for his second double of the game with no outs, prompting another pitching change for Baltimore. Gilberto Celestino came on as a pinch-runner for Urshela and scored on a sacrifice fly from Carlos Correa. The inning ended with Max Kepler striking out, but another run on the board made it a one-run game. 

    Before we move to the ninth inning, it is important to note that Jharel Cotton replaced Gray in the sixth inning and tossed three scoreless innings. In fact, he gave up just one hit and kept the Twins in the ballgame. 

    Emilio Pagan, who has come under a lot of scrutiny over his past few games, came out for the ninth inning. He had command and pitched a perfect 1-2-3 inning. He needed just nine pitches (7 strikes) to close out the inning. It was something Twins fans haven't seen in what feels like a while. It was beautiful to watch. 

    One thing Twins fans are used to? Late-game rallies, and that is exactly what they did in the bottom of the ninth. Leading off the inning against talented closer Jorge Lopez, Jorge Polanco smashed a home run into centerfield to tie the game at three.

    Alex Kirilloff came up to bat with one out and doubled. It was followed quickly by a shattered-bat-single for Gary Sanchez into right field which advanced Kirilloff to third base.

    With runners on the corners and a tie game, there was only one out as Jose Miranda came up to bat. (Miranda entered the game at third base after Celestino pinch ran in the top of the inning)

    The cheering of the crowd was louder than the Baltimore announcers as Miranda walked off the Twins with a sharp single to the left field!! The Twins won with a walkoff off of a terrific closer for the second game in a row. It was Miranda's first walkoff of his career!

    What’s Next? 
    The Twins finish out their series with the Orioles tomorrow at 1:10pm before flying off to play the Texas Rangers where they will see old teammate Mitch Garver for the first time since the huge trade. 

    Pitching matchup tomorrow: 

    • Sunday 1:10 pm CST: Dustin Smeltzer (4-1, 2.86 ERA) vs RHP Tyler Wells (6-4, 3.23ERA) 

    Postgame Interview 

    Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet

     

      TUE WED THU FRI SAT TOT
                 
    Minaya 0 30 0 27 0 57
    Moran 34 0 20 0 0 54
    Pagán 22 14 0 0 10 46
    Cotton 0 8 0 0 38 46
    Duffey 12 0 28 0 0 40
    Jax 21 16 0 0 0 37
    Duran 0 33 0 0 0 33
    Thielbar 10 11 0 12 0 33
     

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    Cotton should be in the top 3 WPA.  He kept the Twins in the game.

    Gray didn't struggle because Johnson left but because Sanchez was catching him.  According to the radio broadcast this is the first time all season as apparently they did not do well together in New York. ?

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    1 hour ago, chpettit19 said:

    I think you're selling the Orioles staff, and Jorge Lopez's performance for the season, short. They're not world beaters, but they're not the same Orioles pitching that we've seen the last handful of years. They've had the 11th best ERA in baseball since June 1. 15th best since May 1. So, again, not world beaters, but you're not talking about the 25th-30th worst staff either.

    And before Friday's game Jorge Lopez hadn't given up an earned run since May 19th. If that's "the midst of a rough patch" sign me up for a Twins bullpen rough patch! Before that he hadn't given up an earned run since April 13th. He'd given up 3 earned runs all season before Friday. He wasn't in the midst of anything but complete domination before Friday. His previous appearance was 1 inning with 3 Ks. 2 appearances before that was .2 innings with 2 Ks. 2 appearances before that was 1.1 innings 4 Ks. He's been unbelievable. He had a .78 ERA and hadn't allowed a homerun in 37 innings pitched this year before Buxton got him. It feels unnecessarily negative to spin this as him going through a rough patch and not giving the Twins credit when he'd given up fewer runs in 37 innings pitched this year than he did in .1 innings pitched against the Twins.

    Or to say it this way, the Twins ARE Lopez’s rough patch. 

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    On 7/2/2022 at 8:19 PM, dxpavelka said:

    C'mon. We're not really blaming whether Gray was sharp or not sharp today on who the pitching coach was.  Are we?  We're smarter than that.  He's a grown man.

    I know. it was just hard to make that difinitive statement. I, like you, can assume and probably do believe it was because of Johnson's departure.

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    On 7/3/2022 at 1:15 PM, puckstopper1 said:

    Cotton should be in the top 3 WPA.  He kept the Twins in the game.

    Gray didn't struggle because Johnson left but because Sanchez was catching him.  According to the radio broadcast this is the first time all season as apparently they did not do well together in New York. ?

    yes. They barely played a handful of games in New York a lifetime ago. I know it's more than likely hard to move on in such a rooted sport, but I am hoping these two can get over their differences. I agree it was more of Sanchez than Johnson, but again, I couldn't definitively say, so I stayed safe with my assumptions. 

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    6 hours ago, Sherry Cerny said:

    I know. it was just hard to make that difinitive statement. I, like you, can assume and probably do believe it was because of Johnson's departure.

    I actually don't think it had anything to do with Johnson's departure.  Staff ERA since Johnson's departure is 2.19.  I don't think that has anything to do with Johnson's departure either.

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