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  • The Twins Know They Need Pitching, Right?


    Ted Schwerzler

    Thus far this offseason the Minnesota Twins have largely operated in a Carlos Correa or bust vacuum, at least from what we’ve seen. There’s still plenty of work to be done, and one of the most important aspects remains finding a capable pitching addition.

     

    Image courtesy of Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

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    Carlos Correa was the focal point of the Minnesota Twins offseason thus far, and while they may have pivoted to Dansby Swanson, both are now gone and heavy lifting needs to be done. Joey Gallo is a fine addition to the offense, but it’s on the mound that we’ve yet to see anything of substance.

    There was never a reason to believe that Jacob deGrom or Justin Verlander were going to come pitch for the Twins. You could make an argument that Chris Bassitt or Noah Syndergaard made a good deal of sense, however. Derek Falvey has now provided the system with a decent amount of depth, to the point that a Jameson Taillon or Taijuan Walker contract may have been unnecessary, but top of the rotation help is still needed.

    With Sonny Gray, Tyler Mahle, Kenta Maeda, and Joe Ryan firmly entrenched in the Opening Day rotation, finding someone to join the highest level of that group is a must. Earlier this month I reported that the Twins were in talks with the Miami Marlins regarding Pablo Lopez. Sandy Alcantara is certainly not on the table, and although the Marlins are open to moving Edward Cabrera and Jesus Luzardo, it’s the already established pitcher that caught Minnesota’s eye.

    You can certainly debate whether Lopez is as good as Gray, but the two are much closer than one may think. Lopez has largely flown under the radar playing for an organization stuck in mediocrity, and he brings multiple years of team control to an acquiring team as well. Getting in the fold with a more progressive-thinking Twins organization could help him to unlock another gear, and considering the current state of performance, that’s a pretty exciting reality.

    Like it or not, the Marlins discussions with regards to Lopez largely hinged on the acquisition of Luis Arraez. Miami needs bats, and although Max Kepler could also fit there, he’s not enough to move the needle. From what I’ve now been told, much of this trade has been scrapped. The two sides haven’t had recent discussions, and although they could resume at any time, the Twins have since begun looking elsewhere.

    For the front office, elsewhere could mean plenty of things. What it likely doesn’t mean is the free agent market. Only former Boston Red Sox pitcher Nathan Eovaldi would seem to push the ceiling for Minnesota, and there’s been little reported that either side is moving in a positive direction toward one another. Zack Greinke and Corey Kluber remain available as veteran types, but again it’s hard to consider either a guaranteed lift to Minnesota’s group.

    The biggest trade chip possessed by the Twins is probably that of Arraez. His value across the league is not at all that of what is presumed by most Twins fans, but he could still be packaged to acquire a talented arm. That probably is not true of Kepler, and I don’t get the sense that Minnesota wants to dangle someone such as Jorge Polanco at this time. Maybe the depth pieces like Simeon Woods Richardson, Bailey Ober, or Josh Winder could be turned into someone with a Major League track record, but that seems unlikely as well.

    Given the state of free agency, it still seems most likely that Minnesota will flip pieces to get their pitching acquisition. How they go about that, given the recent moves sending guys like Chase Petty, Spencer Steer, and Christian Encarnacion-Strand all out, will be interesting in and of itself. Having spent most of the winter watching from the sidelines as they awaited a Correa decision, the Twins now have their work cut out for them, and we’ll need to be patient seeing what they can pull off.

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    19 hours ago, laloesch said:

    I know some will disagree with this but i think the Twins could have used Rodon, but like Correa i think he was looking to play in a big city market so it was a moot point.

    Yeah, it does seem that a preferred destination or geographic region ends up getting leaked for some players at the very top of the free agent market. This year it was Rodon (New York) and Trae Turner (East Coast). It seems exceedingly rare that when those locations get leaked, that a guy doesn't ultimately end up somewhere in that vicinity.

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    On 12/22/2022 at 10:25 AM, Nashvilletwin said:

    If the FO had recognized their pursuit of CC as the pipe dream it was, they basically could have had Anderson and Bassitt (or close equivalents) on minimum three year deals for the price of CC and Gallo.

    With ‘23 looking grim, this is how you build for the future. Instead of trying to kick save the Maeda, Mahle, and Gray ‘23 strategy, it would have been smarter to invest in the Bassitt, Anderson plus one (or two) extension(s) of the three  ‘24-25 strategy. You start Maeda in the pen in ‘23 and wait for Mahle and Gray to break down to give Ober, Winder, SWR starter innings. At the deadline you move any or all of the three (Gray, Maeda, Mahle) who will not be extended.

    This not only positioned the rotation for a more open window in ‘24-25, but also would actually have significantly increased the probability of contending in ‘23.

    This FO is like the woman who backed into the airplane propellor: a disaster.

     

    Sounded good until the propeller comment. Moving on, If we trade somebody it should be Keppler - Pitching prospect - Larnach (or similar) so we actually get a good pitcher. Nobody is sending any decent return at any position just for Max.

    I thought Bassitt was obvious sign for us. No activity that I recall.

    Sign Eovaldi & do as you suggest, unload starters that are ineffective or we can’t extend next July. Sign a starter & move Maeda to pen - agreed.

    I think a signing of Fulmer (or like) is needed!!!!

    Good points. If we add pitching we will be competitive, i.e. Cleveland of 2022.

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    I think the team needs to play more aggressive baseball so they are more fun to watch. Steal more bases, hit and run etc. Maybe even take a chance that the starting pitcher goes through the opposing lineup for a third time. Waiting for them to hit a 3 run home run is boring. Don't play afraid to lose.

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    Twins treat free agency like a disease or the plague.  One good thing about free agents is the don't generally cost you any player talent in return.  You can keep your " prospects" even if they aren't any good.  I also get a kick out of how people say we have starting pitching depth.  Where is it?  Depth, to me implies good reliable pitching.  While Gray has been decent and Ryan gives hope, what about the rest of them Mahle? Possibly.  Over, Winder, Varland, SWR, have proved nothing so far at the major league level.  I full expect the Twins to go post Christmas discount shopping for starting pitching again.  It's sad because there were a couple of pitchers out there that they could have had.  The one thing this FO has shown is that they work off the gullibility of their fans.  Dangle something out there, then don't sign him or anyone else of any significance, just under the pretext of looking like you know what they are doing.  To me they currently look like frauds.

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    Last time I checked Bundy, Archer, Smeltzer and Duffey were still all available. $44 million should be enough to get them all back on the roster. The Twins like to give out $11M contracts to guys that can't hit so they'd be perfect additions. Throw in the fact that they can't pitch either and it's a match made in heaven.

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    8 hours ago, Whitey333 said:

    Twins treat free agency like a disease or the plague.  One good thing about free agents is the don't generally cost you any player talent in return.  You can keep your " prospects" even if they aren't any good.  I also get a kick out of how people say we have starting pitching depth.  Where is it?  Depth, to me implies good reliable pitching.  While Gray has been decent and Ryan gives hope, what about the rest of them Mahle? Possibly.  Over, Winder, Varland, SWR, have proved nothing so far at the major league level.  I full expect the Twins to go post Christmas discount shopping for starting pitching again.  It's sad because there were a couple of pitchers out there that they could have had.  The one thing this FO has shown is that they work off the gullibility of their fans.  Dangle something out there, then don't sign him or anyone else of any significance, just under the pretext of looking like you know what they are doing.  To me they currently look like frauds.

    They love spending FA cash on hitters, but avoid paying pitching like the plague. They rarely pay FA starters anything more than a one year deal, and despise paying relievers. I understand why with how often they bust, but the alternative approach also isn't working. Imagine if Correa inked the deal they offered, the Falvine regime's spending on pitching compared to hitting would be something like 80% to 20%.

    Darren Wolfson had reported that they were nowhere close to matching Michael Fulmer's price on the market, so it looks like they are nickeling and dimeing the relieving market again.

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    1 minute ago, Danchat said:

    They love spending FA cash on hitters, but avoid paying pitching like the plague. They rarely pay FA starters anything more than a one year deal, and despise paying relievers. I understand why with how often they bust, but the alternative approach also isn't working. Imagine if Correa inked the deal they offered, the Falvine regime's spending on pitching compared to hitting would be something like 80% to 20%.

    Darren Wolfson had reported that they were nowhere close to matching Michael Fulmer's price on the market, so it looks like they are nickeling and dimeing the relieving market again.

    They don't really pay hitters either. Vazquez, Donaldson traded after two years. That's it for multi year deals?

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    55 minutes ago, Mike Sixel said:

    They don't really pay hitters either. Vazquez, Donaldson traded after two years. That's it for multi year deals?

    Jason Castro, Marwin Gonazlez, Nelson Cruz was technically a two year deal if you include the option. Maybe 'love' is too strong of a term, but it seems like every offseason they spend 60%+ of the available cash on hitting.

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