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    Jeremy Nygaard

    The second half of the season kicks off on Friday. The Twins have used a recent hot stretch to propel themselves to only 20 games out of first in the AL Central, making up three games on the Indians over their last ten games.

    So it goes without saying that the playoffs aren't what we fans have our minds on. So what should we have our minds on?

    Image courtesy of Brad Rempel / USA Today Sports (Erv, where will you be on August 1st?)

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    In the order in which they'll be answered (hopefully):

    Friday's signing deadline - The Twins have nearly a quarter of a million dollars - SIXTH ROUND MONEY! - to throw at any single unsigned player. The problem is that they've already signed 33 (of 42) picks and there aren't any great (deserving or affordable) options left. There's a very strong chance the deadline comes and goes and the Twins didn't spend every last dime in their pool and, while that's ok, fans will likely be very upset. When asked recently about it, a Twins source told me they "would try" to spend it, but that kids just don't think $250K is that much money anymore. <insert crying Jordan emoji here, I think>

    (Sidenote: I offered to take $125,000, play as a feel-good story in the GCL for the rest of the summer and accept being cut the day the season is over... I'm still waiting for the team's counteroffer.)

    Byron Buxton - Last we saw of Buck, he's was being wheeled off the field on a John Deere. Is he healthy? Can he build on his recent still-not-great-but-not-terrible-either streak? I really hope so.

    The non-waiver trade deadline - Pushed back to August 1st this season, the Twins (and all other teams) have one extra day to negotiate trades that don't involve players clearing waivers.

    Ervin Santana will likely be the Twins most appealing trade chip. From where I'm sitting, I'd have a hard time betting on any players beside Santana and (fingers-crossed) Kurt Suzuki getting moved in the next two and a half weeks. Fernando Abad would have made a great addition to the list had he not, you know... sucked as of late.

    Jorge Polanco and Jose Berrios - I need to see both of these guys get extended major league looks. Can Polanco be the next Danny Santana (and by that I mean, "the next Ben Zobrist")? Give him some run everywhere but first base.

    Jose Berrios is going to be in the rotation for the better part of next year. Let's get him acclimated to the big time. If all that's standing between him and stardom is better results (sounds funny doesn't it?) - he's the most confident pitcher in the system - he's going to be a star.

    The other trade deadline - The month of August, assuming he can come back, is going to be huge for Trevor Plouffe. Miguel Sano is the future of third base. Trevor Plouffe's future is likely elsewhere. He would certainly clear waivers, but the question is: How good will he be?

    Could the Twins look to move any of their other guys in August? Ricky Nolasco maybe? (I'm looking at you, Dodgers.) Would Joe Mauer consider waiving his no-trade to play in the playoffs again? (Short answer: No.)

    Roster expansion - Maybe a bigger deal to me than most, but I love to see who the September call-ups are each year. Will we get to see Adam Brett Walker's or Daniel Palka's power? Will Nick Burdi (or JT Chargois or Zack Jones) finally make the Target Field radar gun touch triple-digits for the hone team? Will James Beresford get that major league cup of coffee?

    The Little Things (that might be really Big Things) - What's up with Byung Ho? And opposite of that... what's up with Kennys Vargas? Is Max Kepler going to keep this run going? Eduardo Nunez can't be capable of this all year... can he?! Who's the real Eddie Rosario? 2015 Eddie or first half of 2016 Eddie?

    Who's going to lead this rotation? Kyle Gibson has to continue to move forward, right? Will last year's Tyler Duffey return? Trevor May.... starter or reliever? Please tell me the bullpen doesn't forget how to strike people out.

    As we turn the page to the second half, what are you most anxious to see?

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    Yeah, I've kind of lost hope on him too, as being any kind of impact player on a contending team. Players need to be judged in two main ways: 1) what's his ceiling, and 2) how often does he reach that ceiling. There are a lot of ways the latter question can be answered disappointingly, without it reflecting on the player's character. But, if you never know if you're going to see the Good Kyle or the Bad Kyle on the mound for you, well, maybe a .500 pitcher is an improvement when you are trying to avoid a 100-loss season, but not an asset when you are ready to shoot for 100 wins. I'm sure Kyle understands all this, but for whatever reason, he can't find the week-to-week consistency that is required.

    I think the 2nd half is big for Gibson.  I still view him as a solid #3 starter and a #2 type when he is on.  His first half was injury plagued and inconsistent.  I still view him as a long-term piece to the rotation.

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    I see E. Santana and Dozier as the biggest trade chips. We'll see what the Twins can get for them. Although... something tells me Dozier won't be traded. He and Mauer are the two remaining veterans among the position players, and the Twins need his leadership. I kind of hope either Escobar or Nunez gets traded for some prospects, and then they'll bring up Polanco.

     

    If E. Santana is traded then Berrios should be called up. I would not be surprised, however, if Gibson was traded. 

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    After his first 3 relief apperances here were the numbers on Carlos Rodon:

     

    6 IP, 2 ER, 4 BB, 8k.

     

    He was moved to the rotation.

     

    Start 1: 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 BB, 8k

     

    Start 2: 4 IP, 5 ER, 6 BB, and 5 k

     

    Start 3: 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 BB, 4 K.

     

    Total 22 IP, 4.09 ERA, 19 BB, and 25 k. He proceeded to stay up and pitch 139 innings that year.

     

    Berrios through his 15 IP had a higher ERA at 10.2 driven by his last 7 ER start, but his k rate was better (20k in 15 IP) and his BB rate was lower (12 BB in 15 IP). Back to the farm kid.

    Really fascinating stats Tobi. Good stuff. You are very brilliant.

     

    I also noticed today that Carson Fullmer is being called up by the White Sox. Did you know that he has basically the same innings and k numbers as Berrios, with a much higher ERA (4.76 to 2.59)? Except those are Fullmer's AA numbers compared to Berrios's AAA numbers.

    Edited by tobi0040
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    Really fascinating stats Tobi. Good stuff. You are very brilliant.

     

    I also noticed today that Carson Fullmer is being called up by the White Sox. Did you know that he has basically the same innings and k numbers as Berrios, with a much higher ERA (4.76 to 2.59)?

    Wow. I didn't see that. Thank you as well for the post. Great insight. You are also brilliant.

     

    Cheers.

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