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There were several disappointments in Twins territory in 2020, but nothing let us down quite like the offense. Three hitters in particular really ate most of the regression, and their rebounds will be key for the Twins to remain a juggernaut in 2021.
3. Mitch Garver
Garver had one of the weirdest seasons of any of the Twins in 2020. We heard reports of Garver dominating summer camp after his .995 OPS and 155 wRC+ in 2019. Instead of an encore, Garver cratered to a .511 OPS and 41 wRC+ mark. He showed the same game changing skills when it came to plate discipline and exit velocity, but struggled to make consistent contact. We may never know what happened to Garver in 2020, but he did go down with an oblique injury mid season that some hypothesize may have been an issue for longer than reported.
We’d love to see Garver perform even at 80% of his 2019 level, but his doing so isn’t of the utmost importance on this list. The Twins have a great defender and solid young bat behind the plate in Ryan Jeffers. The best case scenario is a fantastic catching tandem, but Garver’s 2021 worst case scenario may not quite leave the Twins hands completely tied.
2. Max Kepler
The main thing weighing down Kepler’s 2020 was his success against left-handed pitching. His .880 OPS and 129 wRC+ in 2019 against southpaws dropped to a putrid .378 OPS and 5 wRC+. Lefties typically struggle against left handed pitching to some extent, but Kepler’s 2020 marks were simply a disaster. This could probably be attributed to the small sample size of 60 games, as Kepler has had multiple seasons of performing better against same handed pitching and looked to heat up to end 2020.
That being said, Kepler was a huge reason for the Twins struggles against left-handed pitching last year at the top of the lineup. He’s going to continue to be relied upon heavily and his ability to even put up respectable splits would go a long way in helping the Twins offense as a whole. In terms of his career success, Kepler needs to return to his 2020 ways to become the superstar we’ve hoped for. No matter how athletic he is in the field and how hard he hits righties, an inability to hit lefties will hold him back. Here’s hoping Kepler readjusts in 2021.
1. Jorge Polanco
If Kepler’s splits were a disaster, Polanco’s 2020 offensive performance has no fitting definition. The 2019 All Star shortstop was one of the worst regulars in the Twins lineup with a .658 OPS and 80 wRC+. Polanco appeared to avoid strikeouts at all costs in 2020. His career low K rate was accompanied by a career low walk rate and slugging percentage. The good news is that this change at the plate may not have been a conscious adjustment by Polanco. The bad news is that it may have been a result of Polanco’s ailing ankle that required his second ankle surgery in as many years.
Polanco is a player the Twins need to contribute. Short of signing a free agent, there’s no immediate contingency plan at shortstop with Royce Lewis’ timeline in question. A return to All Star form would be welcomed, but even a rebound to league average offense at the bottom of the order for Polanco would make all the difference. Jorge was a plenty valuable hitter even before the 2019 breakout. His 2021 may be completely dependent on his health.
2021 will be an interesting season when it comes to seeing what we really have as a core. After several disappointments in 2020, the Twins ceiling of success may ride heavily on some bounce backs. Do you agree with the top three players listed? Do you feel confident about rebounds from all or any of them? Let us know below!
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