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  • Official Trade Deadline Day Thread


    Seth Stohs

    At 3:00 central time today, the annual non-waivers trade deadline will pass. The Twins already made one move. Thursday night, they traded Eduardo Nunez to the San Francisco Giants for Adalberto Mejia. Will they be able to reach any more trade agreements today?

    Image courtesy of Jeffrey Becker, USA Today

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    Several Twins players have had their names mentioned in trade rumors over the last couple of weeks.

    The player seemingly most likely to be traded before the deadline is catcher Kurt Suzuki. He has been mentioned in rumors for a month, and teams can always use a backup catcher. Suzuki is putting together one of his best seasons with the bat and has always had a strong reputation for working with pitchers.

    When Jonathan Lucroy used his veto power to void a trade to Cleveland yesterday, it may have slowed the process. Cleveland is one possible destination for the Twins backstop, though there are several others that would be interested in Suzuki as well.

    At least two Twins bullpen arms are also garnering a lot of attention from scouts the last couple of weeks. Fernando Abad was terrific the first couple of months of the season. He hasn't been as good of late, but the left-hander should be of interest to some teams

    Brandon Kintzler, like Abad, came to the Twins on a minor league contract before the season. He began the season in Rochester. Since he has come up to the Twins, he has been terrific. Kintzler took over the closer's role and has been very good. He missed most of last season with a knee injury, but he has come back stronger this year.

    Since both players are under team control for at least another year, Rob Antony needs to weigh the return with what they believe the pitchers can be next year. On the other side of that coin, the Twins need to make room for the likes JT Chargois, Mason Melotakis and others.

    Could the Twins find a taker who wants Ervin Santana enough to take on the remainder (or most) of his contract and give the Twins a quality prospect or two? Toronto has reportedly shown a lot of interest of late.

    It's hard to imagine a Tommy Milone or Ricky Nolasco trade today, but could the Twins find a team to take them before the August waiver deadline?

    Could the Twins deal Brian Dozier for a big haul? Would they? Do they trust the potential of Jorge Polanco?

    If the Twins make a trade or three before the deadline, we will attempt to post a new article right away, but as rumors and other trades around the league occur, be sure to use this thread to discuss and make predictions.

    How many deals will the Twins make?

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    Have read Hutchison could headline Santana trade, has MLB experience but is in AAA right now. Would more than likely take Santana's rotation spot immediately. Throw in Reid-Foley and Pentecost and I think we should take it

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    Plan can change especially pending the returns they get and the pieces they move at the deadline. I wouldn't be surprised if they back off of the Duffey to the pen bit in favor of Chargois.

     

    To be clear, I'm fine with that.  I just think it would be strange to announce Duffey to the pen and then send him to Rochester a day later.

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    Pat Light has a walk rate of 6 per 9 in AAA between last year and this year. That's far worse than Alex Meyer, the poster boy for control issues. Seems far fetched that he'll suddenly learn to find the zone but could be useful if he gets that rate down below 4.

    You're absolutely right that he's not serviceable as is, but I'd rather see the Twins take the chance that a guy like Light learns control, rather than the chance that a control guy learns how to miss bats. The Twins seem to have taken the latter approach about as far as it can go.

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    If to Toronto, I would take:

    P-Sean Reed-Foley

    P-Conner Greene

    C-Max Pentecost

    I'd run with Reid-Foley and Greene only, if offered. I can't imagine the Blue Jays would give up both for Santana, let alone adding Pentecost. If it happens, do the Twins officially hire Antony as GM?

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    If they are currently a consensus top 100, it generally means something is going right for them.  You pretty much have to be playing well, with a bonus for top picks/signings who don't have much experience yet.  It's no sure thing, of course, but it's way better than a project (or even a bunch of them) like Pat Light.

     

    Nick Gordon was perhaps a "fringe" top 100 guy after 2014, Tyler Jay after 2015... Alex Meyer after 2011 (his draft year), etc.

     

    Agreed on your skepticism about this org's ability to develop that talent, but I don't want us to stop acquiring talent either.  Hopefully those issues get addressed this winter too.

     

    Just pointing out that the examples you listed are guys who broke into the fringe of the top 100 in their first year. Those types of guys are considered good prospects. That's a very different context from AAA/AA guys with 3+ years experience who are still barely in the top 100. Those types of players are likely approaching their ceiling.

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    The point is always five years from now. Even when they were good they were always looking five years in advance.

    The past doesn't really have any baring on what's happening right now.    New GM and organization in a completely different place

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    Have read Hutchison could headline Santana trade, has MLB experience but is in AAA right now. Would more than likely take Santana's rotation spot immediately. Throw in Reid-Foley and Pentecost and I think we should take it

    If Hutchinson is the headline, you can probably forget about either of the other 2 being included. I personally hope it's not Hutchinson, he's a typical low upside starter that we've seen over and over again these last several years. 

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    If Santana is on the move and it is to the Jays I would be asking for Reid-Foley, Greene, AND Pentecost. Or say no deal

    If you are getting significant salary relief, I don't think you'd have to insist on all 3 of those players.

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    You're absolutely right that he's not serviceable as is, but I'd rather see the Twins take the chance that a guy like Light learns control, rather than the chance that a control guy learns how to miss bats. The Twins seem to have taken the latter approach about as far as it can go.

     

    Agreed, and I'm not intending to poo poo the trade. This is likely what Abad was worth, and I'd rather shoot for upside over low ceiling/mediocre floor types. Just providing some context that he doesn't have just a "little" control problem, he's vintage Ricky Vaughn at the moment.

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    If Hutchinson is the headline, you can probably forget about either of the other 2 being included. I personally hope it's not Hutchinson, he's a typical low upside starter that we've seen over and over again these last several years. 

    I hope he isn't included either

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    If you can get just Sean Reid-Foley. You take it and run.

    With big salary relief too, I lean toward this.  Reid-Foley (at first I thought it was two guys :) ) is already "breaking out" according to Sickels, and I don't think he is talking about acne.

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    So the Twins trade for Pat Light, someone they drafted back in 2009 but couldn't sign.

    29th round pick, fireballer out of high school. The majority of those type of draft picks don't sign and end up in college anyways. Clearly it was the right move for Light.

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    If Hutchinson is the headline, you can probably forget about either of the other 2 being included. I personally hope it's not Hutchinson, he's a typical low upside starter that we've seen over and over again these last several years. 

     

    You should probably elaborate.  Minor league K rate over 9, keeps the ball in the park, and minimizes his walk rate.  Might not be that ace upside we want, but certainly looks like he could be a decent starter.  The bigger problem I see is that getting guys like that and Mejia, are they going to continue to trot Milone and Nolasco out...

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    Just pointing out that the examples you listed are guys who broke into the fringe of the top 100 in their first year. Those types of guys are considered good prospects. That's a very different context from AAA/AA guys with 3+ years experience who are still barely in the top 100. Those types of players are likely approaching their ceiling.

    Sure, but in the post I was responding too, no such distinction was made.

     

    Besides, most guys from AAA/AA with 3+ years of experience aren't going to stay in the top 100 if evaluators think they're near the ceiling.

     

    It's a game of chance with any prospect, but I think "top 100" is a useful generic construct.  Elite prospects rarely get deal, so it's useful to have a term for the next tier (beyond which might be 200-300 guys with fairly interchangeable cases).

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