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  • MIN 4, LAA 3: Throw Down


    Tom Froemming

    Byron Buxton made a beautiful defensive play — this time with his arm — but it ended with Mitch Garver being assisted off the field, not putting any weight on his left leg. It was the loudest Target Field has been all year, immediately followed by concern for Garver, who hit his ninth home run earlier in the game.

    Image courtesy of © Jordan Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Box Score

    Gibson: 5.2 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 5 K, 56.8% strikes (50 of 88 pitches)

    Home Runs: Garver (9)

    Multi-Hit Games: None

    WPA of +0.1: Parker .229

    WPA of -0.1: None

    Win514.png

    (chart via FanGraphs)

    With the Twins clinging to a one-run lead, Brian Goodwin sent a solid single into center field. Buxton corralled the in-between hop, set himself and fired a bullet to home plate, right on the money, to nail Shohei Ohtani trying to score the game-tying run. This play … wow.

    https://twitter.com/twinsbeisbol/status/1128491809896747008

    Garver did an excellent job at positioning himself wisely to make the catch and tag at home plate, but sometimes trouble just seems to find you no matter what you’re doing. Ohtani slid into his foot and Garver had to be assisted off the field.

    https://twitter.com/dohyoungpark/status/1128498451900194816

    According to old friend Rhett Bollinger, who is now the MLB.com beat writer for the Angels, that thrown from Buxton was 98.6 mph and traveled 253 feet. That play ended up being the difference in the game, as Blake Parker protected the one-run lead to earn his seventh save of the season.

    Gibby’s Strike Rate

    If there’s one number you can look at in regard to Kyle Gibson and have a pretty good indication of his overall performance it’s his strike percentage. When Gibson is able to throw a good amount of strikes, things typically go very well. If not, it tends to catch up with him eventually.

    This has typically been characterized as Gibson nibbling. I’m not so sure if that’s necessarily accurate, I think it has more to do with his command than his confidence. But whatever your takeaway with Gibson’s difficulties throwing strikes, the numbers don’t lie. Check this out:

    GibsonTable.png

    When Gibson has a strike rate of 60% or higher, which has happened in exactly half of his starts this season, he’s tremendous. Unfortunately, Tuesday was not one of those nights. Gibson carried a shutout into the sixth inning, but he gave up three runs on four hits and a walk before being pulled.

    RISP Review

    A couple games ago I touched on how much this team was struggling to hit in clutch situations. Eddie Rosario got things off to a great start in this game. With two down and a runner in scoring position in the first inning, Rosie drove in Jorge Polanco with a single. Buxton drove in the Twins’ second run on another hit with two outs and a runner in scoring position.

    Unfortunately, they couldn’t keep that mojo working. The Twins loaded the bases with two outs in the seventh inning, but C.J. Cron struck out to end the threat. Angels reliever Taylor Cole started the at bat with a slider out of the zone, threw a changeup that Cron fouled off, then amped it up to pound two 95 mph fastballs on the outside edge.

    Three-Pitcher Inning

    Rocco Baldelli used three pitchers in the seventh inning. Ryne Harper, who recorded the final out of the sixth inning, faced the first three batters. Tyler Duffey was called upon to face right-handed hitter David Fletcher. He gave up a single and Mike Morin was brought in to face left-handed hitter Tommy La Stella.

    Strange. I’m not sure I’ve seen a three-pitcher inning where they were all right-handers. Usually there’s a LOOGY in the mix somewhere. Maybe this tells us that Morin, who has a killer changeup, is effectively the Twins LOOGY right now.

    The Shift Works!

    Well … sometimes. After a poor run of luck on the shift last night and some good conversations in the comments section of the game recap, I tried to pay closer attention to when it did work and wanted to come away with some visual evidence :).

    There were a couple instances it worked, but the big one resulted in Mike Trout grounding into a double play.

    https://twitter.com/TFTwins/status/1128460871494176768

    Of course, the shift taketh and the shift giveth away. There were times it did not work, like when Shohei Ohtani hit a dribbler through the infield for an RBI single in the sixth inning.

    Postgame With Baldelli

    https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/1128501339950948352

    Bullpen Usage

    Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days:

    Bullpen514.png

    Next Three Games

    Wed vs. LAA, 12:10 pm CT (Odorizzi-Cahill)

    Thu at SEA, 9:10 pm CT (TBD-Swanson)

    Fri at SEA, 9:10 pm CT (TBD)

    Last Game

    LAA 5, MIN 4: More Missed Opportunities

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    The Players Project

    Brooks Lee

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    I doubt it will end up being a 60 day trip unless they find something significant in the further testing today.  I'm thinking 3-5 weeks.

    Edited by SomeGuy
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      On 5/15/2019 at 3:49 PM, Brock Beauchamp said:

    60 day?

     

    Ughhhhhhhhhhhhh.

     

    The Minnesota Twins: Can’t Have Nice Things Since 1961

    I only know high ankle sprains in relation to football... If a RB or WR gets one they're pretty much toast for the season. Hopefully it's different in baseball.

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    60 days is easily in play. High ankle sprains are notoriously slow to heal. He could maybe come back to DH sooner if he's careful on the bases, but catching duties will be a lot to ask. I saw the still image of the play and his foot was turned totally sideways. It's a miracle he didn't break/tear anything.

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    Stinks about Garver. He was absolutely killing it at the plate and doing a very solid job behind it too. but the lineup is actually the area where we are better suited to overcome an injury, so points to the FO on that one. If Cruz misses time too, you can slot Sano in for some DH time as well as 3B, Marwin keeps getting time at 3B, 1B, LF and we have better catching depth at MLB than we could hope for with La Tortuga & Castro, so it's not a disaster and injuries WILL happen.

     

    It will be interesting to see how Duffy performs.

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    Remember Francisco Lindor suffered a "moderate" high ankle sprain March 26th and returned April 20th.  We still need to know the severity but I'm not worried about 60+ yet.

     

    Baldelli says there was less pain than he was expecting for whats its worth.

     

    "We don't have a lot of the information. We will know a lot more tomorrow. Probably not in as much pain as I was expecting. But anything beyond that is speculation."

    Edited by SomeGuy
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    Garver seemed unstoppable this year ... it seemed to me the only way he was going to be stopped was via injury. Hopefully he comes back and can still smack around the ball at will.

     

    Perhaps this is a good lesson in why GMs don't typically dump all of their cash into the catcher position, the position that is the most stressful on the body and also the most dangerous to play.

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    Why is no one discussing the fact that Buxton came to a complete stop, took two little hop steps, and threw the ball 98.6 mph over 256 ft to get the runner out at the plate? That's amazing.

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      On 5/15/2019 at 4:06 PM, ashbury said:

    The 60-day IL doesn't necessarily get used when an injury is serious. Only if the team needs the use of that 40-man roster spot. When the 60 days are up, they then could have a roster decision to make, as to whom to DFA or whatever, in order to re-activate Garver, so I don't know if they make the move lightly, right now. Only if they want someone on the 25-man roster who isn't currently on the 40-man; that could well be a pitcher, but they also may prefer to leave room for Telis or other AAA catcher in case of a 10-day injury to someone, but not commit to that as yet.

    Right, I was trying to clarify (perhaps poorly) that officially he's on the 10 day. That doesn't preclude a move to the 60 day IL in the future or that he ends up on the IL for 60 days. 

     

    I interpreted Brock's post to show disappointment that a 60 day IL stint was a possibility at this point, which would certainly be disappointing and a different scenario.

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      On 5/15/2019 at 4:28 PM, wsnydes said:

    I interpreted Brock's post to show disappointment that a 60 day IL stint was a possibility at this point, which would certainly be disappointing and a different scenario.

    Agreed, and I guess I was trying to further spoil his mood by indicating that a trip to just the 10-day wasn't an indication of good news. :)

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      On 5/15/2019 at 4:31 PM, ashbury said:

    Agreed, and I guess I was trying to further spoil his mood by indicating that a trip to just the 10-day wasn't an indication of good news. :)

    Indeed. He was right to fret about the potential of an immediate 60 day IL stint. That would certainly be bad news.

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    I don't know how the 60 day thing got brought up. The Twins don't even know the extent of the injury yet, so of course he's not on the 60-day IL.

     

    If the Twins have to make a roster move in a month and a half and Garver is still injured, then you might see him moved to the 60-day. Not today.

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      On 5/15/2019 at 3:49 PM, Brock Beauchamp said:

    60 day?

    Ughhhhhhhhhhhhh.

    The Minnesota Twins: Can’t Have Nice Things Since 1961

    '87 & '91 were pretty nice  

     

    Injuries always happen, which is why teams need depth.  According to reports, they have a loaded minor league system, so this is a test for the front office on how they handle this.

    Edited by ken
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    "MRI was pretty positive No specifics still on timeline but could be shorter than longer" Baldelli

     

    He also said Sano has landed and will be at the stadium by game time.  Won't be in lineup.

     

    https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/1128701184884084736?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1128701184884084736&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fbleacherreport.com%2Fminnesota-twins

    Edited by SomeGuy
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