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  • MIN 18, SEA 4: Sharks Eat Mariners


    Tom Froemming

    Back in 2006, Ozzie Guillen compared the Twins’ lineup to piranhas due to its ability to relentlessly small ball a team to death. This 2019 Twins lineup is more like a frenzy of sharks with their rows of razor-sharp teeth and incredibly powerful jaws. This lineup smelled blood in the water and devoured Seattle’s pitching staff tonight.

    Image courtesy of © Jennifer Buchanan-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Box Score

    Berrios: 4.2 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 0 BB, 6 K, 66.7% strikes (70 of 105 pitches)

    Home Runs: Cron 2 (12), Buxton (4), Sano (1), Schoop 2 (8)

    Multi-Hit Games: Schoop (3-for-5, 2 HR), Gonzalez (3-for-5, 2B), Rosario (3-for-6), Cron 3-for-6, 2B, 2 HR), Buxton (2-for-4, HR)

    WPA of +0.1: Buxton .194, Cron .144

    WPA of -0.1: None

    Win518.png

    (chart via FanGraphs)

    I’ve run out of superlatives, so let’s cut the fluff and get right to the numbers. The Twins won their fifth straight game and are 30-15. They scored 18 runs. They hit six more home runs. No team in baseball has scored more or hit more home runs than the Twins.

    This is reality, right? I’m not dreaming, am I? Somebody pinch me.

    At this point, there really is no need to get cute about trying to analyze the Twins’ season so far. Just look at the standings. Just look at the leader boards.

    I honestly don’t even know what to say at this point. This team is insane. They are grinding Seattle into dust so far this series, outscoring them 36-11 through three games. They’ve done all this without Nelson Cruz or Mitch Garver.

    C.J. Cron and Jonathan Schoop each hit two home runs, Byron Buxton hit a grand slam and Miguel Sano hit his first homer of the season. The sharks combined for 19 hits, 10 of which went for extra bases. They also went 6-for-13 with runners in scoring position and drew six walks.

    https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/1129939817511305216

    Despite being spotted a 15-0 lead, Jose Berrios slogged through this start tonight. Berrios was removed from this game after giving up four runs in the fifth inning. He went only 4 2/3 innings, and it took him 105 pitches to get that far. But Berrios still threw a good amount of strikes, did not walk a batter and only gave up one extra-base hit.

    Of the 16 balls in play the Mariners hit off Berrios, eight went for hits. I wouldn’t expect a .500 BABIP to be sustainable. It was a weird start. Jose also had a near exact split between all four of his pitches. He threw 28 two seamers, 27 curveballs, 26 four seamers and 24 changeups, per Baseball Savant. That’s the most changeups he’s thrown in a start this year.

    Luis Arraez made his major league debut. He took over at shortstop, moved over to second base where he made a fine diving stop and went 1-for-2 with a double at the plate. Here’s a link to a spotlight I did on him yesterday at the site that includes some video.

    Austin Adams made his Twins debut and first MLB appearance since 2016. He topped out at 97.5 mph and his slider hit 89.5 mph. If you were wondering why Derek Falvey likes this guy, well there you go. Adams gave up one hit and struck out four batters in two scoreless innings.

    Postgame With Buxton and Sano

    https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/1129993415288975361

    Bullpen Usage

    Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days:

    Pen518.png

    Next Three Games

    Sun at SEA, 3:10 pm CT (Gibson-Kikuchi)

    Mon at LAA, 9:07 pm CT (TBD)

    Tue at LAA, 9:07 pm CT (TBD)

    Last Game

    MIN 7, SEA 1: Venezuelan Night in Seattle

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    What are they going to do with Cron? An .841 ops and on pace for 48 dingers? Looks like he's ARB 3 next year so we have basically an option on him an Perez. Damn these moves look good! With a complete free agent washout last year but a reset button for this year. Pinch me. The one holdover was Addison and they didn't waste any time (or losses) on eating that deal. Again pinch me!

     

    Actual question here: does it work that way? I was walking around assuming that once a team non-tenders you, you are a free agent and are contract-to-contract forevermore.

     

    But I agree that Falvine decided on a simple definition of low-risk contract: two years or less. And be willing to cut bait on a poor performer even within that short time frame. A simple concept - merit based pay, but it is working out spectacularly.

     

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    Actual question here: does it work that way? I was walking around assuming that once a team non-tenders you, you are a free agent and are contract-to-contract forevermore.

     

    But I agree that Falvine decided on a simple definition of low-risk contract: two years or less. And be willing to cut bait on a poor performer even within that short time frame. A simple concept - merit based pay, but it is working out spectacularly.

    According to Sportrac he's ARB 3 in 2020.
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    In the postgame interview, the way Byron looked at Miguel when the latter was speaking, followed by Byron calling Miguel his brother, pretty much can not be faked. Just two of the guys, so I'm extrapolating, but looks like the chemistry you want after a big win - everyone happy for each other, not just for themselves.

     

    I remember an article about them in the STrib - maybe 5-6 years ago when they were both playing A ball. They used to hang out and go fishing together down in Florida during the season to kill time and hang out before games and on off days. They've been tight for a while.

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    Actual question here: does it work that way? I was walking around assuming that once a team non-tenders you, you are a free agent and are contract-to-contract forevermore.

     

    But I agree that Falvine decided on a simple definition of low-risk contract: two years or less. And be willing to cut bait on a poor performer even within that short time frame. A simple concept - merit based pay, but it is working out spectacularly.

    He didn't reach free agency though. The Twins claimed him off waivers. Had he gone unclaimed instead, he'd then have become a free agent, and would no longer be arbitration eligible.

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    Did you watch the game?

    Duffey was really good.

    He came in with two runners on base and got an easy foul ball pop up that Sano dropped. Instead of folding he fought back to strike out the batter leaving the two inherited runners stranded.

    In his second inning a great pitch busts the bat of the lead off hitter and the balls falls weakly just over Cron’s glove for a hit. The second guy hits an easy come backer and he throws to second for a possible DP. Arraez drops the throw. He doesn’t fold and strikes out two of the next three with the third out being an easy come backer to the mound.

    Two nit-picks here. Cron wasn't on the field except to hit (DH last night) and Duffey was fine, but threw a lot of pitches. I didn't think he was dominant, but he did get the job done.

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    Two nit-picks here. Cron wasn't on the field except to hit (DH last night) and Duffey was fine, but threw a lot of pitches. I didn't think he was dominant, but he did get the job done.

    It was Gonzalez at 1B. My mistake.

     

    As for pitches that is all on the defense. Sano catches the pop up and Arraez catches the ball at second and it is many fewer pitches. He lost two (or three outs if they get the DP) due to bad defense on routine plays. It would take a good play from the 1B but that is another out he might of got on that broken bat. The alternative was needing to strike guys out and face extra batters at the cost of more pitches.

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    Did you watch the game?

     

    Duffey was really good.

     

    He came in with two runners on base and got an easy foul ball pop up that Sano dropped. Instead of folding he fought back to strike out the batter leaving the two inherited runners stranded.

     

    In his second inning a great pitch busts the bat of the lead off hitter and the balls falls weakly just over Cron’s glove for a hit. The second guy hits an easy come backer and he throws to second for a possible DP. Arraez drops the throw. He doesn’t fold and strikes out two of the next three with the third out being an easy come backer to the mound.

    no I missed it, thanks for the recap!
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    He didn't reach free agency though. The Twins claimed him off waivers. Had he gone unclaimed instead, he'd then have become a free agent, and would no longer be arbitration eligible.

    Byron and Miguel are getting the band back together.

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    What are they going to do with Cron? An .841 ops and on pace for 48 dingers? Looks like he's ARB 3 next year so we have basically an option on him an Perez. Damn these moves look good! With a complete free agent washout last year but a reset button for this year. Pinch me. The one holdover was Addison and they didn't waste any time (or losses) on eating that deal. Again pinch me!

     

    If he stays healthy and performs like he has this year. You go to arbitration with him and pay it. Too many other holes to fill. It would be an incredibly risky move to let Cron go and just hand it all to Kiriloff or Rooker. The roster will be deeper and better with Cron and (Kiriloff or Rooker) on it, if they earn the way North. 

     

    The Twins will have to (potentially) fill:

     

    Three Rotation Spots (Odorizzi, Pineda, Gibson). Not to mention we don't know the health or performance out of Berrios or Perez come winter. 

     

    Schoop at 2B

     

    Castro at C

     

    That's why it's critical that Arraez plays when he is up. That's why it's critical that Garver and Astudillo get plenty of looks behind the plate. That's why it is going to be critical to see what Kohl can do... Maybe get a look at Graterol, Thorpe and Gonsalves. If the rotation is full... get them multiple inning work out of the pen. 

     

    The Twins need to know where they need to allocate dollars because we all know the dollars will never be endless. 

     

    Lots of talk about Kimbrel... I'd love to see him on the roster but if you had to prioritize between Kimbrel and Kuechel. When you look at next year and the fragile health of most starting pitchers... Kuechel might be the priority. 

     

    Yes we need to prioritize this year... but I think you can prioritize this year and next year at the same time. 

     

    Welcome everyone at Twinsdaily to what we call the "open window". The Window may be open for awhile. 

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    In the postgame interview, the way Byron looked at Miguel when the latter was speaking, followed by Byron calling Miguel his brother, pretty much can not be faked. Just two of the guys, so I'm extrapolating, but looks like the chemistry you want after a big win - everyone happy for each other, not just for themselves.

    Do you recall the year when Sano was recovering from TJ surgery and Buxton was off all year with an injury I don't recall.  Read once that much of the summer was spent by the two going to the complex to work out in the morning, then fishing together in the afternoon.  Yes, I suspect they do feel like brothers.

     

    [sorry bighat, didn't see your post until after I did this one]

    Edited by rdehring
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    According to the box score Berrios was lifted after giving up two runs but with at least two runners on base. Duffey let two inherited runners score. I listened for a while and indeed it was a tough slog for Berrios, but I think we do need to keep a sharp eye on those inherited runners scored. Earned runs is hiding deep flaws in this bullpen. Falvey needs to get reinforcements fast.

     

    Berrios had been on the bench for a LONG time with those back-to-back 5-run innings by the offense. I figured he would not be able to last 5 innings with the way the Twins were hitting.

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    Do you recall the year when Sano was recovering from TJ surgery and Buxton was off all year with an injury I don't recall.  Read once that much of the summer was spent by the two going to the complex to work out in the morning, then fishing together in the afternoon.  Yes, I suspect they do feel like brothers.

     

    [sorry bighat, didn't see your post until after I did this one]

     

    Plus, they played together frequently in the minors.

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    If he stays healthy and performs like he has this year. You go to arbitration with him and pay it. Too many other holes to fill. It would be an incredibly risky move to let Cron go and just hand it all to Kiriloff or Rooker. The roster will be deeper and better with Cron and (Kiriloff or Rooker) on it, if they earn the way North. 

     

     

    You can't even think about moving on from Cron at this point. Better defense than that provided by his predecessor- which wasn't even advertised when he was signed.

     

    In one-fourth of the season done, he has the same WAR as his predecessor achieved in a full season.

     

     

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