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  • Here is How the Minnesota Twins Can Save Their Offseason


    Ted Schwerzler

    The past few years the Minnesota Twins have warranted a celebratory toast for the way in which they positioned their offseason additions. If we were to evaluate the front office right now, we’d be able to say they accomplished anything but that going into 2023. How do they save it?

     

    Image courtesy of Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports

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    There was no question that Carlos Correa was the focal point for Derek Falvey and Thad Levine this winter. Rocco Baldelli wanted him back, as did superstar Byron Buxton. Everyone said the right things, but when the dust settled the Twins presented an offer that was never going to get it done and came up $65 million short.

    Then Carlos Rodon went to the New York Yankees. Then Dansby Swanson went to the Chicago Cubs. Every top tier free agent Minnesota could have realistically been involved with sought other alternatives.

    No longer is there a plethora of starting pitching, and the shortstop group is the same holdovers that Kyle Farmer was likely acquired to help avoid. Unless Jose Iglesias draws the eye of the front office, or some alien-induced reunion with Andrelton Simmons is on the docket, there aren’t better options up the middle either.

    Joey Gallo is a decent addition for a team that needed offense far too often last year, and while he likely makes moving Max Kepler a certainty, that should be viewed as a net gain. Christian Vazquez works behind the dish, and he’ll take pressure off of Ryan Jeffers. There are still holes, however, and at least $40 million needs to be spent on filling them.

    So what happens? How can the Twins try to salvage this offseason? 

    1. Sign Nathan Eovaldi
    Eovaldi will be 33 years old in 2023, and he’s been healthy for a whole season just once since 2014. That said, he represents a player with the amount of risk Minnesota should be comfortable taking on. Whether Baldelli initially employs a six-man rotation or not, Eovaldi could find himself with opportunities for extra rest throughout the season thanks to depth such as Bailey Ober, Josh Winder, Simeon Woods Richardson, and others. When healthy, the former Red Sox starter can be elite. The velocity is still strong and his strikeout numbers are solid. He gave up too many home runs last year, but is just a season removed from Cy Young contention. With what is still out there, the Twins may have just one last shot to sign a starting pitcher.

    2. Sign Will Smith
    Really, there are still more than a handful of solid relievers left on the open market. The Twins goal should be to acquire at least two with high-leverage ability. I don’t think they make sense as a landing spot for aging veterans such as Aroldis Chapman, Craig Kimbrel, or Zack Britton. Someone like Smith or a reunion with Michael Fulmer could work. Trevor Rosenthal may fit in this space if he’s healthy, but it’s the Astros World Series winner that should be prioritized. Smith has previously had multiple 30-save seasons, and although he has a 4.21 FIP the past two seasons, he was incredible with Houston down the stretch. There are lots of strikeouts to be had here, and Smith could certainly help Minnesota’s relief corps as a whole.

    3. Sign Brad Hand
    The fit is a natural one. Hand is a Minnesota native and would give the Twins another lefty out of the pen. He posted a strong 2.80 ERA for the Phillies last season, and while his secondary numbers were down, the Twins could make some tweaks to return strikeout performance back to where it was previously. Hand hasn’t lost much in the way of velocity, and he’s a big slider guy which is something this front office has consistently targeted.

    4. Trade for Willy Adames
    There were a few names I considered here. Brandon Crawford is being pushed off shortstop in San Francisco, but I can’t see the Giants pulling the band-aid off and flipping a fan favorite like that. Ha-Seong Kim could be available with the Padres acquiring Xander Bogaerts, and while they have Fernando Tatis Jr. returning at some point, the trio could be kept with Manny Machado having an opt out and Tatis likely moving to the outfield. Milwaukee has been linked to talks of shedding salary, and while they now don’t seem to be trading Corbin Burnes or Brandon Woodruff, Adames could still be available.

    Adames is in line for a $9.2 million salary through arbitration per MLB Trade Rumors projections, and he owns a career 111 OPS+. His 31 homers were a career-high last season, and although Farmer brings a bit of pop to Minnesota’s lineup, this would take that to another level entirely. Someone has to replace Correa’s production, and that was already in the context of a lacking offense. Adames has only played shortstop, and maybe the Twins don’t love that, but neither Royce Lewis or Brooks Lee are a slam dunk to stay there.

    Although this isn’t close to what fans would’ve hoped for at the beginning of the offseason, would this be enough to satisfy going into the year?

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    2 hours ago, mickster said:

    I would like to see Fullmer and Hand added to the BP.   Eovaldi would be nice, but price is a question mark.   I am in the minority and like the Gallo signing IF Kepler is dealt.  Both are winners with the shift going away - and I think Gallo is a better defender and maybe will be allowed to run when he walks.   I would like to see us add Brandon Drury as he can play all over the INF and gives us some RH pop at DH

    You lost me at Gallo is a better defender.  Are you putting him in LF?  Because being better than Max in right field is quite the stretch.

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    2 hours ago, awmonahan said:

    After putting a dent in the farm system and coming in third, I don't see the FO losing a pick signing Eovaldi and trading prospects for Adames in this off-season. 

    If they can get Adames, they should. He's under control for three more years (or two, not sure. If two, then I don't trade for him). 

    This is a fine set of ideas. I don't like Eovoldi as much as some here do, but I get why some do.

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    4 hours ago, Mark G said:

    I could live with any or all of the above.  My only nay in the entire article is suggesting signing Gallo and moving Kepler is a net gain.  If I am proven wrong I will take my crow medium rare, but I have serious doubts about that one.  Otherwise, I would like to see us bring those guys here; would be nice additions.

    Kepler vs Gallo is arguable. Kepler has the higher floor, Gallo has the higher ceiling. Personally I'd think Kepler has more value, but 11 million dollars says Gallo has value too. 

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    3 hours ago, tony&rodney said:

    Some fair suggestions but Adames is off the table as far as Milwaukee is concerned and Eovaldi is a stretch in cost. If the Twins were in on Eovaldi, they would have had an interest in Swanson (not that Swanson was). One of Will Smith or Brad Hand is worth a shot. The trade market is what is left and I hope the Twins only use their 40 person players to acquire players. More and more it seems it is time to see what the young bucks have at the MLB level. Alas, Max Kepler is as good as gone. Maybe the Yankees send us Oswaldo Cabrera for Max.

    Not sure how Swanson ($177M SS vs. a $60M pitcher) compare on any level but do think Eovaldi brings value. We could sign 39 year old Greinke or Wacha or another ?? with J. Winder type of upside…….seems we should error on the side of talent. Eovaldi has 221 starts in 11 seasons - including 9 starts in Covid year of 2019. Also includes 6 in his first year. Didn’t pitch at all in 2017.

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    With the current roster size, a trade is likely coming. I think Eovaldi is the only real SP left in free agency that could provide serious quality, and another high-end reliever for the pen would be good. I think we still have issues on offense, you need to seriously improve the left side of the infield and get another righty OF, hopefully one that can improve center field.

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    9 hours ago, JD-TWINS said:

    a $60M pitcher

    What is the name of the last $60 million Twins pitcher? Their only long term signing is Randy Dobnak. The Twins have enough mid rotation arms. If the Twins canot get someone to slot in to the top spot, give the leftovers to Ober, Winder, Varland, and Woods Richardson. Let them learn what it takes to be a pitcher in the major leagues.

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    Most of these moves I agree with.  I'm just not certain what the FO has in mind. At this point it looks to me like it's a let the kids play plan and not worry about competing for the division. If that is where it ends up then 1 year contracts is all I would expect from this FO, Eovaldi isn't really worth the lost pick and Adames doesn't make much sense then.

    The Twins are stuck in-between being completive and burning it down. So many key young players injured last season. That cost them a year of cheap control and no answers on most of them. Who knows what the young guys will do in a full season. Now throw in most of best starters are gone after this season..

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    1 minute ago, weitz41 said:

    Most of these moves I agree with.  I'm just not certain what the FO has in mind. At this point it looks to me like it's a let the kids play plan and not worry about competing for the division. If that is where it ends up then 1 year contracts is all I would expect from this FO, Eovaldi isn't really worth the lost pick and Adames doesn't make much sense then.

    The Twins are stuck in-between being completive and burning it down. So many key young players injured last season. That cost them a year of cheap control and no answers on most of them. Who knows what the young guys will do in a full season. Now throw in most of best starters are gone after this season..

    Truth.

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    On 12/20/2022 at 10:24 AM, MarcF said:

    If Eovaldi wasn't long past his prime, he would have been signed by another team long ago. 

    He’s 33 - 4th best WAR last year of all free agent starting pitchers …..he’s a risk, but he’s 100-140 innings of decent quality performance. Spots of high end performances here & there. Sounds a lot like Sonny Gray.

    I am concerned though that after Vázquez signed he hasn’t been able to get much activity on this front as his former battery mate. Maybe telling FO to go elsewhere?

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