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  • Danny Do It All, Santana The Utility Man


    Ted Schwerzler

    Prior to the 2015 Major League Baseball season, there was no Twins player I was more down on that Danny Santana. After exploding onto the scene in 2014, and garnering some AL Rookie of the Year votes, regression was looking him right in the face. Unsustainable production at the plate caused worry, and the fears turned out to be more than warranted. In 2016, there's a different tune, however. Santana could be one of the Twins most integral roster components.

    Image courtesy of Kim Klement, USA Today

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    In 2015, Santana produced an ugly .215/.241/.291 slash line for the Twins over 91 games at the big league level. His .405 BABIP from 2014 came crashing back to earth, and even swung heavily the other way, ending at .290 for the 2015 season. Given the starting shortstop role out of the gates, he was unpredictably terrible, and was given a much longer leash than imagined. Summarizing, the 2015 season is one that Santana will want to forget.

    Nothing could help him move on quicker though than what is to come in 2016. Santana who has been named to the 25-man roster for the Twins, now finds himself in a different role. Moved back to the outfield in principle, Santana has started games all over the diamond for the Twins through spring training. Having shown the versatility to play on both sides of the infield, as well as spelling uber-prospect Byron Buxton in center, Santana will have plenty at-bats come his way.

    Santana's approach at the plate has always been one that could lead to some struggles. Taking walks has never been a big part of Santana's game, and the 2.2% walk rate at the big league level in 2015 was a new career low. He swung at pitches outside of the zone over 43% of the time last season, and missed on swings nearly 13% of the time. Neither of those numbers are ideal (although they are better than 2016 regression favorite, Eddie Rosario), but a late-season surge may have seen things begin to click again.

    Prior to his promotion back to the big league club to end the season, Santana tore up Triple-A Rochester in the month of August. He slashed .333/.352/.506 over his final 20 games there. Posting eight extra-base hits, with three homers, the Dominican seemed to find his stroke once again.

    Through spring training, Santana has once again impressed at the plate. Given 52 at-bats, he owns a .327/.339/.462 slash line with a homer, and nine runs driven in. Utilizing his speed on the base paths, he's also contributed five stolen bases to the Twins' cause.

    Projecting forward for Santana, trends should be in his favor. The largest factor in his regression in 2015 was the inflated BABIP in 2014, largely a metric of luck. Santana owned a 26% hard hit rate a season ago, down just 0.5% from the 2014 season. His line drive rate dipped around 6% but there were still not any glaring abnormalities. What the numbers suggest is that Santana simply regressed to the mean, and the ball didn't bounce his way as often as it had the season before. Fortunately for him, in 2015 it bounced significantly against his way more often than not, and posting that poor of a BABIP once again in 2016 doesn't seem like a good bet.

    So if Santana should be expected to be better at the dish, that means half of his game is already looking to be headed in the right direction. As a utility fielder, the Twins are helping to make sure the rest of it follows suit as well.

    As mentioned earlier, Santana was given the starting shortstop gig out of the gate in 2015. Across 570 plus innings, he posted a -15 DRS and -8.0 UZR for Minnesota. For some comparison as to just how bad that is, not a single qualified shortstop posted worse than a -8 DRS in 2015, and that was Jose Reyes who played 996 innings. What the Twins found out is that Santana is not a shortstop, at least not in a full time role.

    Moving Santana away from short, and removing the 16 errors that came with it immediately helps the Twins defensively. It helps Danny too considering he's posted at least league average defensive numbers in the outfield. Playing over 500 innings in center field for the 2014 Twins, Santana held down the spot, even while being a bit below average when looking at range factors. Making a home in the outfield as a rotational type should allow Santana to settle in defensively. Subbing for Eduardo Escobar at short, Brian Dozier at second, or even Trevor Plouffe at third is a way to sprinkle Santana's glove into the infield without relying on him heavily.

    For the upcoming version of the Twins, a focus on the 25th man will be more heightened than it has been in recent memory. While I'm not suggesting that role is Santana's, the point is that having capable pieces off the bench is a must for a team looking to make the playoffs. Santana operating in a super utility role could be one of the nicest things afforded to the Twins in quite some time. While he isn't Nick Punto defensively, Danny Santana could round into having at least that much value with the mix of the bat, flexibility, and compatibility.

    If 2015 was the Twins relying on Santana to take a starting gig and run with it, 2016 will be about Minnesota hoping he can reinvent himself by being Danny-do-everything. Expect a jack-of-all-trades, master of none type approach, and thinking it will work out is a pretty good bet.

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    I confess, I have been down on Danny Santana. I have written several times on TD that I expected him to be sent down, passed through waivers. 

     

    But the last few days he has really picked up his offense. Maybe he's just not an every day player. 

     

    What can I say. I hope he has a great season, and my doubts were totally unfounded.

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    Home runs are not luck which is why they don't factor into BABIP right?  So the fact that he went from 7 to 0 leads me to believe something more significant was wrong with DanSan last year.  The eye test, to me indicated a player who lost confidence and was trying hard not to strike out.  Rather than trying to drive the ball, he was trying to guide it or just make contact. I think that cautious approach got him behind in counts, caused weaker contact, made him chase more, and slowed his bat speed.  You'd expect fewer to no home runs that way, and that's what we got.  Maybe Bruno can work in a little leg kick action for Danny.  The kids got talent and he's darn likeable.

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    I've said it before, I'll say it again. Maybe this guy can turn into a 21st century version of the late Toni Phillips. Play a lot of positions, switch hit, steal some bases and play acceptable defense. Phillips was more of a lead off hitter than DanSan likely ever would be, because of his patience and ability to draw walks, but Danny is faster and has the arm to play shortstop.

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    Just been watching the ST game against Toronto, where Santana had three hits. Very different at the plate this year. He looks a little bulked up in the upper body, and he's leading his swing with a good, hard hip turn. Turn the hip and let it rip. I sense the influence of one Tom Brunanski. Last season Santana was an arm hitter. This year, he's getting power from his legs and torso. Much, much better. 

     

    I'm really liking what I'm seeing from a lot of the Twins's hitters. They're swinging the bat harder, with better power mechanics. Santana looks like a good example of this positive trend. 

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    I've been a Santana fan for years, and have taken tons of grief from posters on this site. I just could never discount his awesome 2014 season.

    What happens if he continues to play well? You can't have too many good players!

    (He had 3 more hits today!)

    His base running gives the Twins a new dimension. It changed the outcome of today's game!

     

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    As an addition: Santana is a big reason why I don't understand why the Twins kept Nunez around, to their credit they did keep Santana around as well, but we already know that Nunez absolutely can't handle SS, he likely can't handle 2B at this stage, which makes him a weird bench guy since his bat isn't that great as well.

     

    They aren't paying him a lot, but I hope the Twins have a quick leash on Nunez who essentially is a sub .700 OPS hitter who really doesn't play any position well enough on D to legitimize him being on a playoff caliber team at this stage (or at least one with the talent of the Twins in the INF)

     

    I just don't see the role Nunez fits at this stage.

    MI replacement for a players day off/injury: Santana is better/more upside

    OF replacement: Santana is better/more upside

    PH: Better off with a pure PH like Quentin I guess, but you also already have Arcia as your everyday PH anyways.

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    He's looked great so far this spring.  I'm excited about that . A lot of guys never come back from the sophomore slump but some do.  Perhaps Santana is one of those guys.  Kid has pop to his bat too.  If he hits anything like he did in 2014 I'll take it.  the awesome thing about him is his ability to effectively play the outfield and infield.  In fact is anyone intrigued by a batting order that includes Buxton, Santana and Rosario?  

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    As an addition: Santana is a big reason why I don't understand why the Twins kept Nunez around, to their credit they did keep Santana around as well, but we already know that Nunez absolutely can't handle SS, he likely can't handle 2B at this stage, which makes him a weird bench guy since his bat isn't that great as well.

     

    They aren't paying him a lot, but I hope the Twins have a quick leash on Nunez who essentially is a sub .700 OPS hitter who really doesn't play any position well enough on D to legitimize him being on a playoff caliber team at this stage (or at least one with the talent of the Twins in the INF)

     

    I just don't see the role Nunez fits at this stage.

    MI replacement for a players day off/injury: Santana is better/more upside

    OF replacement: Santana is better/more upside

    PH: Better off with a pure PH like Quentin I guess, but you also already have Arcia as your everyday PH anyways.

    I think Nunez is an insurance policy. Like you, I hope the leash is relatively short and if the Twins are presented better options, they shouldn't think too hard about releasing him and eating the money.

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    I don't mind Nunez one bit, but I am struggling to find where this guy gets at bats this season if Santana keeps it up.

     

    Part of this is wondering also is the Twins play Sano at 3rd once in a while.

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    Along with another 2 hits today, he made a nice bare hand pick and threw out a speedy runner while playing third base. He's looking good, hopefully it carries over to the regular season.

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    I've been a Santana fan for years, and have taken tons of grief from posters on this site. I just could never discount his awesome 2014 season. What happens if he continues to play well? You can't have too many good players! (He had 3 more hits today!) His base running gives the Twins a new dimension. It changed the outcome of today's game!

    Santana is an excellent baserunner, good stealer, very fast, with a strong, accurate arm. The only thing missing was hitting. Now this spring Santana is getting good leg drive and hip turn, so he's driving the ball much harder than last year. He's hitting scorching line drives, which means he will be getting himself on base and knocking in runs. If he keeps this up, he could be one of the most dangerous players on the team.

     

    Pretty soon the question could be, who do we move out of the way to make room for red hot Danny Santana?

     

    PS: Today DSan made a beautiful barehanded scoop-throw on a bunt by speedster Trea Turner. I'm not sure Plouffe gets Turner on that play.

    Edited by jimbo92107
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