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  • Contemplating A Platoon Advantage


    Cody Christie

    Teams are always searching for the a way to get a leg up on the competition. Analyzing spray charts to find the right placement for outfielders, shifting infielders to the right side against a power hitting lefty, or bringing in a LOOGY (left-handed one out guy) in the late innings. Baseball continues to evolve and the teams changing the fastest seem to find more success.

    Possibly one of the biggest flaws under the Ron Gardenhire regime was his refusal to platoon hitters. For example, take a look at Danny Valencia's tenure in Minnesota. During his rookie year, the right-handed hitter managed to hit .280/.303/.410 against righties which is pretty good. In 2011, his numbers dropped as his OPS dipped to .626 against righties while he posted a .822 mark against lefties. Gardenhire could have taken advantage of Valencia's strength and played him against lefties while utilizing another option against right-handed starters.

    Image courtesy of Jonathan Dyer- USA Today Sports

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    The Twins have an interesting opportunity facing them this season and it could be setting up to be a very nice platoon advantage for Paul Molitor. Byung Ho Park will almost assuredly make the team's 25-man roster when they head north. Oswaldo Arcia is out of options and it would make sense to have him at the disposal of the big league squad. Park is a right-handed batter and Arcia is a left-handed batter so the Twins might have a perfect solution.

    Arcia has been a very streaky hitter over the course of his career and that's one of the reasons the Twins let him toil in the minors for almost all of 2015. In nearly 100 minor league games last season, Arcia posted a .678 OPS versus righties which was 243 points higher than what he was able to do against lefties. This still wasn't that great as his OBP was under .280.

    In his time at the major league level, Arcia's splits are much better against right-handed hurlers. His OPS is almost 200 points higher against righties (.807 OPS vs. RHP) and only six of his 36 home runs have come against southpaws. Since Arcia has been a streaky hitter in the past, the best way to use him could be to get his at-bats exclusively against righties.

    Byung Ho Park will be facing a tough transition this season as he transitions from the KBO to the MLB level. Things have been going fairly well for him so far this spring but it's hard to take spring training numbers too seriously. Minnesota is going to want to take a long look at Park this season but his best option might be to step in more regularly against lefties.

    Last season, Park's batting average was 39 points higher against lefties and he posted a very respectable 24 to 21 strikeout to walk ratio. The right-handed slugger struck out 105 times in 343 at-bats versus righties. Park might be better suited to set-up more frequently against southpaws if the Twins want to avoid some of the struggles that come with transitioning from a foreign league.

    Overall, it seems more likely for the Twins to use Arcia in a role as fourth outfielder. This would allow him to get one or two starts a week and to step in if a player was injured. His bat coming off the bench would be a nice option but his time in Minnesota might be slowly sinking away.

    Park is going to get playing time this year as the club tries out their new acquisition. Molitor likely won't use a full platoon with Park and Arcia because this would mean playing Arcia more than Park since there are more right-handed pitchers in the baseball world.

    However, the team could benefit from giving Park the night off against tough lefties like Chris Sale and David Price.

    So, what do you think? Could the Twins take advantage of some platooning this season? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.

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    Could you make that just a wee bit bigger, I don't think the guy sitting 200 feet behind me could see it clearly......but, I get your point. Almost no one likes the Yankees.

    I use to about 60 yrs ago.

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    I'm not opposed to slowly transitioning in Park, like the Pirates did Kang, but he should be FT by the Break. That, and while I'd like to see Arcia thrive, so far he's been a streaky hitter who doesn't hit at all without regular playing time. I'm not sure he'd take well to starting 3 times a week based on what we've seen.

     

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    I'm not opposed to slowly transitioning in Park, like the Pirates did Kang, but he should be FT by the Break. That, and while I'd like to see Arcia thrive, so far he's been a streaky hitter who doesn't hit at all without regular playing time. I'm not sure he'd take well to starting 3 times a week based on what we've seen.

    What if Arcia is hitting righties with an OPS of .800 or so and Park is hitting them .730 or so? I think it is reasonable. Arcia has a career .807 OPS against righties.

     

    Park’s splits last year (limited data points)

     

    Righties .329, 30.6% k rate. 13% BB rate.

     

    Lefties .368, 25% k rate, 22% BB rate.

     

    http://eng.koreabaseball.com/Teams/PlayerInfoHitter/SituationsPitcher.aspx?pcode=75125

    Edited by tobi0040
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    IMHO, it doesn't send a good message to the players if you bring north a guy who couldn't hit in AAA, and has not hit this spring.

    So you'd rather just get rid of a guy who has a 104 OPS+ in his age 22 and 23 seasons? And in favor of who, Ryan Sweeney?

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    ==========================================================

    DrNeau, on 15 Mar 2016 - 12:55 PM, said:

        IMHO, it doesn't send a good message to the players if you bring north a guy who couldn't hit in AAA, and has not hit this spring.

    ==========================================================

    Who are you referring to? What players are you worried about offending?

    Not so much a matter of offense; the players understand the business aspect of the game.

     

    That being said, do you think it's a good business decision to promote players who are severely under-performing?

    Edited by DrNeau
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    =====================================================

    DrNeau, on 15 Mar 2016 - 12:55 PM, said:

        IMHO, it doesn't send a good message to the players if you bring north a guy who couldn't hit in AAA, and has not hit this spring.

    =====================================================

    Not so much a matter of offense; the players understand the business aspect of the game.

     

    That being said, do you think it's a good business decision to promote players who are severely under-performing?

     

    You didn't answer my question. I still don't know who or what you are referring to.  

     

    Did I think it was a wise baseball move to put Jason Bartlett on the Opening Day roster in 2014? No, because he didn't perform, wasn't an outfielder, and hadn't been a productive ML player in 5 years. 

     

    Do I think any of the 13 near lock position players in 2016 should be sent down or released if they don't hit during a few week span this March? No (though I'm not the biggest D Santana fan and am not going to lose any sleep if they waivered him)

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    Bah, I meant, no place did he even mention Murphy.....that should have been obvious.

    Should have been obvious but was not until after I responded.       Being a Twins fan and wishing a guy who is not a Twin to have success are not mutually exclusive but I was just curious about what motivated it.    Of course I am going to come across as cold and unfeeling but he really is just another millionaire playing for some other team to me and I literally wish you well just as much as I do Hicks.    I am more of a baseball and Twins fan than I am of any individual  player and there was noting all that compelling to me about Hicks, either as a player or as a person to favor him over any other player that has left.      I wish Murphy well because he plays for the Twins and while I have no animosity toward Hicks and in fact often defended him I don't want him to fail but have no desire to see him do fantastic and see more irrational criticism of Twins management in these posts.   Maybe I am cold.

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    Should have been obvious but was not until after I responded.       Being a Twins fan and wishing a guy who is not a Twin to have success are not mutually exclusive but I was just curious about what motivated it.    Of course I am going to come across as cold and unfeeling but he really is just another millionaire playing for some other team to me and I literally wish you well just as much as I do Hicks.    I am more of a baseball and Twins fan than I am of any individual  player and there was noting all that compelling to me about Hicks, either as a player or as a person to favor him over any other player that has left.      I wish Murphy well because he plays for the Twins and while I have no animosity toward Hicks and in fact often defended him I don't want him to fail but have no desire to see him do fantastic and see more irrational criticism of Twins management in these posts.   Maybe I am cold.

     

    Not cold, just a different kind of fan.....not a better or worse one, just different.

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    If you check a Yankees depth chart, Hicks is the 4th outfielder. He'll get lots of playing time, but he won't be a starter.

     

    Having said that, I wish him well as well. I also wish great things for Murphy.

    Yeah, I know that. I think he will be eventually, if not some time this year then next year.  Ellsbury is injury prone and Beltran is a FA next year.

    Edited by jimmer
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    I wonder why.   Not in a judging way but curiosity.     I was hoping he would have a fantastic career as a starting player for the Twins .  Or as a fantastic platoon player for the Twins.    Now I hope   Murphy has a fantastic career as a starting player.   

    I hope Murphy does as well, but I like Hicks and want him to do well too.

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    I still don't know who or what you are referring to. 

     

    ==========================================================
    DrNeau, on 15 Mar 2016 - 12:55 PM, said:
      IMHO, it doesn't send a good message to ANY OR ALL players if you bring north a guy (like Arcia) who couldn't hit in AAA, and has not hit this spring (Arcia/Vargas/Santana - choose any).
    ==========================================================

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    What if Arcia is hitting righties with an OPS of .800 or so and Park is hitting them .730 or so? I think it is reasonable. Arcia has a career .807 OPS against righties.

    Park’s splits last year (limited data points)

    Righties .329, 30.6% k rate. 13% BB rate.

    Lefties .368, 25% k rate, 22% BB rate.

    http://eng.koreabaseball.com/Teams/PlayerInfoHitter/SituationsPitcher.aspx?pcode=75125

     

    If Arcia can perform at that level I think it will sort itself out, honestly. That said, I haven't seen enough of him hitting when he doesn't play everyday to suggest that he will.

     

    But, to answer your question, if he can put up those numbers in a platoon role, of course they should play him.

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    You have to be smart about your 25 guys, no question.  Other teams have done it.  You can typically find corner OF guys in the $2-4m range that can play each corner, sometimes guys that can play in the infield as well that have nice splits and mix and match them. Super utility types.

     

    But it would take getting rid of this, player X is making this much and needs to play every day mentality.  When I was 10 we were at Disneyworld and my Dad made us all eat at Norway because they had a buffett.  Of course Norway has terrible food and we had to "get our moneys worth", so my brothers and I ate about ten pieces of lefsa.  It was gross but we did it.  We paid our money so we had to do it.

     

    The Twins are going to do the same with Park.  They made a 4 year commitment so he will hit against righties even though our team would be better off if Arcia did.

    Park is going to be better than board favorites Meyer, Pinto, and Arcia combined. Also, my grandmother's lefsa was to die for.

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    If Arcia can perform at that level I think it will sort itself out, honestly. That said, I haven't seen enough of him hitting when he doesn't play everyday to suggest that he will.

     

    But, to answer your question, if he can put up those numbers in a platoon role, of course they should play him.

    All he has to do is chill out. Take a deep breath. And if his career ends up being a platoon guy he can still play 80 percent of the time and make 20 million dollars.

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    1. Yes

    2. No. Max Kepler. 

    I don't think I've ever heard of a top 50 prospect, with minor league options remaining, and who has never played in AAA starting a season as a 4th outfielder. That seems like a poor development path.

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    I don't think I've ever heard of a top 50 prospect, with minor league options remaining, and who has never played in AAA starting a season as a 4th outfielder. That seems like a poor development path.

    Who said anything about 4th outfielder? I would start Kepler in RF and put Sano at 1B. Difference of opinion. Not that big of a deal.

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    ==========================================================
    DrNeau, on 15 Mar 2016 - 12:55 PM, said:
      IMHO, it doesn't send a good message to ANY OR ALL players if you bring north a guy (like Arcia) who couldn't hit in AAA, and has not hit this spring (Arcia/Vargas/Santana - choose any).
    ==========================================================

     

    The guy who posted an OPS+ of 100 at age 22, and 108 at age 23? And has hit 36 major league home runs before his 25th birthday, even with a lost season in there?

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    His exact words were "I'm hoping Aaron Hicks has a fantastic career as a starting player." so yes, Hicks was mentioned and in fact the focus of the entire post.

    As a world view I guess I want everyone to be happy and productive but if Hicks is a full time player it just means someone else is not and I am not really more attached to that unnamed player than I am to Hicks now that he is no longer a Twin.   I honestly would be just as happy if you were the starting outfielder for the Yankees and Hicks never played another inning in the majors.   Its not wishing Hicks to fail but rather not caring if he does or does not now that he is not a Twin.   I am way more of a Twins fan than individual player fan so if we trade Hicks for Murphy it is Murphy that I want to succeed and Hicks is as irrelevant to my life as Luke Hughes.  That's nothing against Luke Hughes but I don't spend my time hoping he has a fantastic career as a starting player.  .    I don't know why a Twins fan would want a not Twins player to have a fantastic career as a starting player unless there is more than just the connection that he used to play for the Twins.

    Am I cold and unfeeling?   I did give you an endorsement for being the Yankees starting outfielder.

     

    In many ways I agree with your sentiment.  After following these guys from the minors up to MLB and being so invested in their success it is hard to give up on them even if they move to another team.  Do I follow them as closely?  Probably not but I guess there is part of me that wants to believe I was right about that player. That he would be good or great if given more opportunity.  

     

    At any rate I get your point and agree that I spend far more time worrying about the players on the Twins than Ex Twins players.  So I think in many ways you are correct in your analysis.

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    Giving up on Oswaldo Arcia in March of 2016 is the kind of thing that has a high probability of biting the team in the ass... Not to the level of David Ortiz - that's extremely rare - but Oswaldo could easily turn into an .800 OPS guy if he sorts out a few relatively minor issues (which seem to approach-related, not any kind of physical deficiency).

     

    He should get at least 100 PAs before the team considers cutting bait with him permanently.

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    Giving up on Oswaldo Arcia in March of 2016 is the kind of thing that has a high probability of biting the team in the ass... Not to the level of David Ortiz - that's extremely rare - but Oswaldo could easily turn into an .800 OPS guy if he sorts out a few relatively minor issues (which seem to approach-related, not any kind of physical deficiency).

     

    He should get at least 100 PAs before the team considers cutting bait with him permanently.

    Especially give him a shot to exclusively hit against righties. He is making peanuts so what is the risk?

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    If you check a Yankees depth chart, Hicks is the 4th outfielder. He'll get lots of playing time, but he won't be a starter.

    Well, Beltran is almost 39 years old, and posted a -14 Rfield last year.  And as mentioned by another poster, he's a FA next winter, and Ellsbury missed significant time last year (and got benched for the wild card game).  And Gardner, the healthiest one, is just returning from an injury today himself, and has been the subject of trade rumors.

     

    I think it's quite likely that there could be a starting job there, very soon for Hicks, if his performance warrants one (as well as if/when there is an injury).

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    Especially give him a shot to exclusively hit against righties. He is making peanuts so what is the risk?

    Yep. He's a potent bat off the bench, something the Twins have been lacking for years.

     

    Really, I'm pretty happy with how the bench looks to start the season. A capable catching backup in either Suzuki or Murphy, a speedy futility guy in Santana, a classic bench guy with a decent bat in Nunez, and a potent bat-first guy in Arcia.

     

    That's a decent bench and if any of those players were better at baseball, they'd be starting. There isn't a black hole guy anywhere on that list; each player has a useful tool that can help the team win ballgames if used correctly.

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    But it would take getting rid of this, player X is making this much and needs to play every day mentality.  When I was 10 we were at Disneyworld and my Dad made us all eat at Norway because they had a buffett.  Of course Norway has terrible food and we had to "get our moneys worth", so my brothers and I ate about ten pieces of lefsa.  It was gross but we did it.  We paid our money so we had to do it.

    Are you sure you don't mean lutefisk (a jelly-like fish dish)?  Lefsa is just bread, and I've never seen it characterized as gross.  Lutefisk, on the other hand, is almost universally characterized as gross...

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    Are you sure you don't mean lutefisk (a jelly-like fish dish)?  Lefsa is just bread, and I've never seen it characterized as gross.  Lutefisk, on the other hand, is almost universally characterized as gross...

     

    Nope, Lefsa.  It was like a soft taco shell. Not neccesarily gross, but when you are told you need to fill up on it....the 10th one is pretty gross

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    Giving up on Oswaldo Arcia in March of 2016 is the kind of thing that has a high probability of biting the team in the ass... Not to the level of David Ortiz - that's extremely rare - but Oswaldo could easily turn into an .800 OPS guy if he sorts out a few relatively minor issues (which seem to approach-related, not any kind of physical deficiency).

     

    He should get at least 100 PAs before the team considers cutting bait with him permanently.

    Generally agreed.  Quentin and Sweeney can't even opt out of their minor league contracts until June 1, as I understand, so there is no real imperative to add them to the roster for opening day.  So we can easily afford another chance for Arcia.

     

    That said, Arcia is looking more and more like a bust every day.  It happens sometimes.  He obviously didn't have the past MLB success, but a lot of people here made a statement similar to yours about Joe Benson a few years ago.  Arcia is closer to Benson circa 2013 right now than he is to Ortiz circa 2002-2003.

     

    Arcia was already around replacement level even with his early career power.  If Arcia's power is gone (and it largely was in 2015, .107 ISO in MLB, .090 in the second half at AAA, .000 so far this spring), that's a pretty bad player.

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