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  • Around the AL Central (7/14): Sprinting Towards the Break


    Ted Schwerzler

    In the final update before we hit the All-Star Break, we saw the AL Central become the only division with just a single team above .500 following a Guardians loss on Wednesday. It’s been a weird year for the division, and competitiveness may be interesting when we get to October.

    Image courtesy of Jim Cowsert-USA TODAY Sports

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    The Standings:

    • Minnesota 49-41
    • Cleveland 43-44 (4.5 GB, 3.0 GB of 2nd Wild Card)
    • Chicago 43-45 (5.0 GB)
    • Detroit 37-52 (11.5 GB)
    • Kansas City 35-53 (13.0 GB)

    Chicago again continues to get in their own way while they have gained ground on Cleveland thanks to a horrid stretch from Terry Francona’s club. Detroit and Kansas City haven’t figured to be in play even before Opening Day and the question now is just how far they’ll fall by season’s end.

    The Stories:
    After a strong first-half performance by more than a few Minnesota Twins players, both Byron Buxton and Luis Arraez were named to the American League All-Star team. Buxton has a slugging-heavy OPS while Arraez looks like the second coming of Rod Carew. Kenta Maeda has thrown 85 mph in a recent bullpen and looks toward a return later this season. Following his most recent outing, Josh Winder was optioned to Triple-A St. Paul. It appears starter Chris Archer will rejoin the rotation and take the final turn against Chicago before the break.

    Just days after returning to the lineup for Chicago, Eloy Jimenez exited Wednesday with leg tightness. Yasmani Grandal is inching closer towards a return for the White Sox and is expected to rejoin the club following the All-Star break. He has been sidelined dealing with back spasms. Tony La Russa continues to be the gift that keeps on giving in terms of mind-boggling decisions. This week he had his pitcher walk Guardians star Jose Ramirez after getting behind 0-1 in a count while Chicago was trailing by 4.

    A couple of less than ideal contributors have their status currently up in the air for Francona’s club. Luke Maile took a foul tip to the catcher’s mask and it didn’t look good. Starter Aaron Civale has also been sent for an MRI after dealing with right wrist pain during his latest start. Jose Ramirez did make waves this week when he announced that he would participate in the Home Run Derby during the All-Star game festivities in Los Angeles.

    It’s been an up and down year for Detroit Tigers ace Tarik Skubal. Overall though, he’s nearly hit 100 mph and while he owns a 4.11 ERA the 3.02 FIP suggests he’s been even better. In a year lost for much of the team, he’s been a bright spot. Miguel Cabrera has been selected to participate in the All-Star game by way of Commissioner Rob Manfred.

    Very little has gone right for Kansas City this season and now they’ve entered the territory of self-inflicted wounds. Heading to Toronto for a final series prior to the All-Star break, Kansas City placed nearly 50% of their 26-man roster on the restricted list. That also includes key trade chip, Andrew Benintendi, who Jon Heyman now reports is not of interest to the Yankees because of the inability to compete.

    The Week Ahead:
    A fitting end to the first half for Minnesota, they’ll tangle with the Chicago White Sox. Despite expecting to battle with one another, the Twins own a 5-1 record with a +18 run differential against Chicago this season.

    After playing the Tigers in Detroit four times over three days last week, Cleveland closes out by welcoming them four a traditional four-game series.

    Mike Matheny’s Royals club goes north of the border to play the Blue Jays in Toronto. As mentioned, they’ll do so needing to replace a whopping 10 players on their active roster. For a team that’s already one of the worst in baseball, they’ll be a skeleton crew in Canada to close it out.

    What are you looking forward to this week? What’s your favorite part of the All-Star festivities?

     

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    I'm looking forward to the break this week. Admittedly I pay no attention to the ASG, but am very happy Buck and Arraez have well deserved honors this year.

    The next 10 weeks will be interesting. Central feels like a default division this year, Twins seem clearly the best of the bunch, but that in itself is not a lot of bragging rights. CWS have had injuries, but also just not a good team, probably most disappointing compared to expectations in MLB. Not expecting much to change with them. Detroit too just a dud season. If Twins can stay mostly healthy no reason why they should not be in 1st at the end.

    Looking ahead to October:

      AL Central vs AL west/east in playoffs since 2017: 3 wins, 17 losses.

       ALC vs E or W in AL playoffs 2010-2016: 34 wins, 23 losses.

      We need the pendulum to start swinging back to the midwest, here's hoping 2022 will be so?

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    Unless some trades are made before the deadline there's nothing to get excited about with this Twins team for the rest of this season. If they were in another divison they too would be under .500. I like watching the young players like Kirilloff, Miranda, Celestino, Larnach, Gordon, Winder, Ryan, Duran, Jax make major contributions but they are at least another season, maybe 2 from being what they need to be to become playoff worthy. Even if this team stays in 1st place and makes the playoffs this year I expect an early exit again.

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