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  • 4 Things to Watch During Louie Varland's Debut


    Cody Christie

    Louie Varland is scheduled to make his big-league debut on Wednesday in Yankee Stadium. Here are four things to keep an eye on during his much-anticipated debut. 

     

    Image courtesy of Rob Thompson, St. Paul Saints

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    Louie Varland's rise from 15th-round pick to top pitching prospect has been well documented at Twins Daily. Since the Twins drafted him, there have been over 50 articles where he has been tagged at the site. Varland, a St. Paul native, will be debuting for his hometown team with the added pressure of being in a tight division race. Here are some things to watch as he debuts against the New York Yankees. 

    1. Fastball Velocity
    Throughout his collegiate career, Varland topped out in the low 90s with his fastball. With no 2020 minor league season, he used his time to rework his arm action to put less stress on his joints. These changes allowed him to see a significant jump in velocity as he averaged 94 mph during the 2021 season, and he can now reach into the high 90s. He will likely have some adrenaline pumping during his debut, so he will likely be able to reach back and hit the higher end of his velocity range. 

     

    2. Strikeout Totals
    Striking out batters in the minor leagues differs from attacking hitters at the big-league level. Throughout his professional career, Varland has posted 11.3 K/9, including 10.4 K/9 in 2022 at Double- and Triple-A. He has struck out seven or more batters in three of four Triple-A appearances. Unfortunately, the Yankees don't strike out much as their 22.2 K% ranks 7th in the American League. Varland can hope that New York will be unfamiliar with his repertoire since none of their batters have faced him. 

    3. Minimizing Home Runs
    Yankee Stadium is famous for its short outfield porch that allows for more regular home runs. As a right-handed hurler, Varland will likely face multiple lefties in the Yankees line-up. During the 2022 season, lefties have hit .249/.320/.385 (.704) with eight home runs against Varland. For his career, he has allowed 0.8 HR/9, including 15 home runs in 24 appearances this season. Luckily, many of the Bronx Bombers' best hitters are right-handed, including Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and DJ LeMahieu. Judge's bat in this series has already hurt Minnesota, so Varland needs to minimize the damage done by the long ball. 

    4. Enjoy the Moment
    Pitching at Yankee Stadium can be a thoroughly unenjoyable experience, but players only get one chance to make their big-league debut. Varland has been a great story to follow throughout the last two seasons. The Twins named him the organization's minor league pitcher of the year last season, and he has a chance to win back-to-back honors. He and his family also have deep roots in the Twin Cities. Varland was born in St. Paul and attended college at the same school as his brother, a prospect in the Dodgers organization. Twins fans have clamored for this front office regime to produce pitching prospects, and Varland is one of the best starting pitchers produced under their watch.

    What will you keep an eye on during Varland's debut? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. 

     

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    5) Throw strikes. The reason the Yankees don't strikeout is that they force the pitchers to throw strikes. They have plenty of hitters who are capable of striking out, but when the pitchers fall behind, as Magill experienced, the party's over. (Unless, one chooses to intentionally walk Judge...which is understandable, but if you're not going to throw him a strike, just wave him down to first base. Don't dink around trying to get him to swing at a bad pitch and then hang one. Just give him the free pass. Besides, that will get the booing started at Yankee Stadium, which is something I would relish.)

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    One more thing I am going to watch is how his off speed pitches work through this lineup.  He has a good fastball, but that won't be enough against this team; he will need his other pitches to be working as well.

    And I hope he doesn't get too much adrenaline going for him; it can make a pitcher a little wild.  Actually, I am glad he is making his debut on the road.  The home crowd and all his entourage would make him even more nervous.  

    Go get em kid!!  :)  

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    What a way to enter the big leagues.   Yankee stadium is the most intimidating place in MLB and the pressure there is more than any where else - ask Sonny Gray.  A lot of pitchers are overwhelmed by being in the place.  So that combined with the fact that it is his debut means that the most important aspect of his start is how he controls his emotions. 

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    Last night was great for Twins fans....they didn't lose to the Yankees! Wouldn't break my heart if any rainout against the Evil Empire is not made up. Two games today. Is there ANY way Twins win one of them? With our current lineup its not likely. But to level the playing field a little....please DO NOT throw one single strike to Aaron Judge,  unless you still want that death wish.

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    Poise on the mound, and his follow-through. If Varland keeps his head and just throws whatever his catcher asks for, he could do well. Otherwise, if he over-throws his heater, he'll barf up some damaging walks and leave the team in a big hole. The Yankees are as good as anybody at picking on a rookie pitcher. 

    Whatever happens, it'll be interesting.

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