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  • 2022 Prospect Previews: Christian Encarnacion-Strand


    Jamie Cameron

    No player the Twins drafted in 2021 made a stronger first impression than Christian Encarnacion-Strand. Read up on the Oklahoma State slugger, his profile, and what 2022 has in store.

    Image courtesy of Thieres Rabelo

    Twins Video

    While the MLB lockout continues to stagnate the offseason, minor-league players are preparing to travel to Florida and Arizona to begin preparation for their seasons. In this series, I’ll look at some of the Twins' notable picks from the early rounds of the 2021 draft. I’ll dig into scouting reports and storylines to look for ahead of the 2022 season. Next up, Christian Encarnacion-Strand, a right-handed corner infield out of Oklahoma State University.

    Scouting Grades: Hit: 50 | Power: 55 | Run: 50 | Arm: 55 | Field: 50 | Overall: 45  (grades courtesy of Baseball America)

    Signing and Scouting
    The Twins selected right-handed hitter Christian Encarnacion-Strand with their fourth-round pick in the 2021 draft (128th overall) out of Oklahoma State University. Encarnacion-Strand signed for an exact slot bonus of $442,000. Encarnacion-Strand was ranked as the 93rd overall prospect coming into the draft by Baseball America. MLB.com ranked him at 208 overall.   

    Encarnacion-Strand was just the second hitter taken by the Twins with their first five picks. MLB.com’s lower pre-draft rankings were due to scouts citing an unconventional load and uphill bat-path which would leave him vulnerable to high velocity and plus breaking pitches. Baseball America, meanwhile, thought highly of Encarnacion-Strand, suggesting his bat-speed is more than enough to catch up to high-velocity fastballs. Make of the conflicting scouting reports what you will.

    What is undeniable is that Encarnacion-Strand has mashed anywhere he has played, ever. In two seasons at Yavapai Junior College in Arizona he hit 33 home runs in 81 games. After transferring to Oklahoma State, he immediately became their best hitter, winning the Big 12 Newcomer of the Year Award. He ended the season in the top five in the conference in batting average (.362), slugging percentage (.665), and home runs (15).

    Encarnacion-Strand stands at 6’0 and 225 pounds. His overall hitting skill set is strong, with excellent bat speed, the ability to drive the ball to all fields, and solid plate discipline. What somewhat limits his ceiling as a prospect is the lack of a defensive home with upside. Encarnacion-Strand has a good arm and hands but pre-draft scouting reports suggested he would be a fringy third-baseman defensively. Still, that’s a challenge the Twins can work on developing a solution to further down the road.

    Encarnacion-Strand made his professional debut in 2021 and guess what? He absolutely raked. In 22 games at Fort Myers (not a hitters paradise) he hit .391/.424/.598 with four home runs and 52 total bases, although he did strike out 26 times. Of all the prospects drafted by the Twins in 2021, Encarnacion-Strand has the best power tool and had arguably the best pro-debut (although an argument could be made for Cade Povich). 

    Likely to Start At: Fort Myers Mighty Mussels (A) or Cedar Rapids (A+)

    Conclusion: Encarnacion-Strand began his professional career with a 20 game hit streak and managed hits in 21 of his 22 games at Fort Myers. He’s certainly a prospect to watch for the Twins this year. While his defensive home is uncertain, a bat with 25 home run power plus ought to render that an afterthought. If Encarnacion-Strand carries his 2021 start into 2022, he could be knocking on the door of top 100 prospect lists by the end of the season.

    Who is the most intriguing of the four draft picks discussed so far? What are your thoughts on Christian Encarnacion-Strand ahead of the 2022 season?

    Previous Prospect Previews
    Twins Prospect Preview: Chase Petty
    Twins Prospect Preview: Noah Miller
    Twins Prospect Preview: Steven Hajjar
    Twins Prospect Preview: Cade Povich

     

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    Let me just say I wasn't enamored with the pick when the Twins made it. Another potential positionless player with a high K rate but good hard hit rate. His numbers are a bit deceiving as his BABIP was .526 he is not going to keep up that pace so regression is in his future.  The K rate is still a concern at nearly 30% and he didn't walk much like at a 5% or 6% rate.  So he has things to work on as he moves up.

    The thing I have to say I didn't see at the time of the draft is his good contact rate.  He is a bit Miranda like in his ability to get the bat to the ball.  His K rate is much higher than Miranda so he is not quite that level but anyone that can do what he did at that level where lot's of players struggled you have to dream on him a bit.  

    I think Seth had him ranked pretty high and I too think he could end up a top 5 prospect in the Twins system before he heads to MLB.  I think that was a very solid pick for the 4th round.  Still has to work on that eye at the plate and make sure pitchers throw him good strikes to hit.  If he does that I think he will be OK.

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    Another good entry in the series.  I think he was a great prospect to take a chance on in the 4th round.  He obviously can mash the ball as his consistent performance at all levels demonstrate.  It appears that his ceiling will depend on 2 things.  First, is there too much swing and miss in his game to make it tougher for him as the quality of pitching he faces gets better and better as he climbs the ladder.  In that case he may be similar to Adam Brett Walker.  Second, can he find a defensive home that will allow him to be a position player.  If not, his bat will have to play well enough for him to DH.  Whatever happens, he is the type of player that it is fun to watch, and the Twins were right to give him a shot in my humble opinion. 

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    I never like to compare prospects to proven players directly, but I've never been afraid to as a reference point or potential comp. And in this case, I'm going to stick within the Twins organization, even though it wouldn't be hard to look elsewhere as well. Gaettit was, IIRC, a SS when drafted but placed at 3B. He wasn't a bad athlete and had a strong arm, but hands of stone initially. Koskie was probably an even better athlete, but larger, and considered potentially too large and stiff to remain at 3B. Both turned out to be outstanding defensive 3B with time, work, and experience. I'm going to accept CES's arm ...and hands as legitimate 55 rankings. That tells me he sticks at 3B, and should be kept there as long as possible, to work on his defense. The most important thing he can do defensively...even if he has questionable range...is catch what he gets to and use that arm. Good positioning can help some, and a strong arm can help cover limited range to a degree as well.

    Offensively he surprised me as a rookie in Ft Myers which can be a tough place to hit at times. (See Sabato, but he also pretty much had a year off). I almost wonder if he should have been pushed to Cedar Rapids, but hard to argue a rookie, even a college rookie, not getting half a season at A- to begin his career.

    The power is real. He seems to have a solid hit tool and makes some decent contact despite the SO numbers. Right or wrong, my initial thought is a smaller and potentially better defensive version of Sano. I don't see how that would be a bad thing at all. Now, it's very possible Miranda could block him at 3B, but that's down the road and not a concern at this time. You need to draft bats as well as pitchers and SS. I think he's a potentially exciting 4th rounder with some defensive aptitude. I don't think he's JUST some 1B/DH bat.

    I'm a little unsure about the 2020 draft right now, even though there's some interesting guys there who have been limited so far, but I'm pretty excited about 2019 and 2021.

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    12 hours ago, DocBauer said:

    That tells me he sticks at 3B, and should be kept there as long as possible, to work on his defense. The most important thing he can do defensively...even if he has questionable range...is catch what he gets to and use that arm. Good positioning can help some, and a strong arm can help cover limited range to a degree as well.

    In this era of defensive shifting it is much harder to stick at 3B with poor range.

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    1 hour ago, DJL44 said:

    In this era of defensive shifting it is much harder to stick at 3B with poor range.

    Maybe, maybe not.  I would counter with that he doesn't need to be Brooks Robinson and get to literally EVERYTHING within a mile of 3B (or wherever he's positioned), he just needs to get to the ones he can and make the plays (routine) that's he's supposed to. 

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