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Dioner Navarro a Twin?


Chance

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Peter Gammons says that Navarro is close to a deal with an undisclosed team. The Blue Jays and Twins are thought to be possible suitors.

 

Navarro's stats last season: .300/.365/.492 with 13 home runs in 89 games.

 

Do you hope it's the Twins? What would you think the contract should be if it is?

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If they did sign him, you would think he would split time with Pinto. Navarro's other seasons have not been too hot; he's played in only 225 and he's been with a different team every year since 2010. Sounds like a back-up/platoon catcher to me.

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I'd take him over Salty. Especially for the price that Navarro would claim. He was a beast for Tampa in the playoffs a few years back. He speaks Spanish (he's from Venezuela) as well, something many here are waiting in a veteran. Spanish speaking coach on the field and mentor to Pinto, who is also Venezuelan.

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Therein lies the rub....there are no good defensive catchers available that can hit at all. I'd rather have Navarro than Salty. Actually, I'd rather play Doumit, trade him at the deadline and sink or swim with Pinto, et al.

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The Twins appear to agree with the view point listed above.

 

I disagree. I don't believe that Doumit can possibly hit well enough to make up for the runs he costs with his defense.

 

Mike Fasts study of a few years ago and the various studies since lead several teams to put a priority on receiving the ball. Joe Maddon said last winter that Molina saved them over 50 runs. They gave him another contract and he can't hit. Doumit is the other end of the spectrum.

 

I hope the Twins are correct and the Rays, Yankees and Pirates are wrong. I am not confident in that hope.

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The Twins appear to agree with the view point listed above.

 

I disagree. I don't believe that Doumit can possibly hit well enough to make up for the runs he costs with his defense.

 

Mike Fasts study of a few years ago and the various studies since lead several teams to put a priority on receiving the ball. Joe Maddon said last winter that Molina saved them over 50 runs. They gave him another contract and he can't hit. Doumit is the other end of the spectrum.

 

I hope the Twins are correct and the Rays, Yankees and Pirates are wrong. I am not confident in that hope.

 

Defensive catcher that can't hit. Is Drew still available?

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The Twins appear to agree with the view point listed above.

 

I disagree. I don't believe that Doumit can possibly hit well enough to make up for the runs he costs with his defense.

 

Mike Fasts study of a few years ago and the various studies since lead several teams to put a priority on receiving the ball. Joe Maddon said last winter that Molina saved them over 50 runs. They gave him another contract and he can't hit. Doumit is the other end of the spectrum.

 

I hope the Twins are correct and the Rays, Yankees and Pirates are wrong. I am not confident in that hope.

 

I don't believe for a second that Molina saved 50 runs. He may have technically framed 50 pitches for called strike threes, but in reality umpires have such a wide zone that 2/3 of them would probably have been called anyway.

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Defensive catcher that can't hit. Is Drew still available?

 

If Drew is an elite defensive catcher, he will have a major league job. He is probably a little above average. That isn't enough to make up for his bat. The work done on framing numbers suggest that the difference between his defense and Doumit's is greater than the difference in their bats, but that has more to do with Doumit.

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The Twins appear to agree with the view point listed above.

 

I disagree. I don't believe that Doumit can possibly hit well enough to make up for the runs he costs with his defense.

 

Mike Fasts study of a few years ago and the various studies since lead several teams to put a priority on receiving the ball. Joe Maddon said last winter that Molina saved them over 50 runs. They gave him another contract and he can't hit. Doumit is the other end of the spectrum.

 

I hope the Twins are correct and the Rays, Yankees and Pirates are wrong. I am not confident in that hope.

 

We've gone round and round over pitch framing. I have a hard time believing it can impact 8-10% of runs allowed but I think we can both agree on one thing:

 

Ryan Doumit is a horrible catcher and no playoff team would put him behind the dish 80+ times a season. I think he has a lot of value as someone who can DH, pinch hit, and catch ~30-40 times a season but no way in hell should he be the go-to guy at catcher.

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Yeah, Doumit's value is as a DH, pinch hitter (from both sides, adds value) and as that third catcher on the roster that can fill-in as backup catcher for a DL stint from one of the other two catchers (so they don't have to call another player up). There is some value there.

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Yeah, Doumit's value is as a DH, pinch hitter (from both sides, adds value) and as that third catcher on the roster that can fill-in as backup catcher for a DL stint from one of the other two catchers (so they don't have to call another player up). There is some value there.

 

If he's hitting at, say, a .750 clip, I think he's a very capable backup catcher. He won't kill you behind the dish 30 times a season because of his bat... But he has to hit, something he didn't do last season. To me, his defense is offset because of his versatility, which allows a team to carry a more versatile bench... Again, if he's hitting.

 

In the AL or NL, I think the added versatility of allowing the team to carry another MI, OF, or P because of Doumit can be worth a lot. If he's hitting.

 

Did I mention that he needs to hit to have value?

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I think it makes so much more sense than signing Saltallamacchia, if it's in the 2 year, $7-8 million range. He's a guy who could start 110 games if necessary, but if he winds up catching just 70-80 games because Pinto becomes very good and needs to catch a little more (95-110 games), he isn't costing 8 digits. I'd be good with that.

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The Twins appear to agree with the view point listed above.

 

I disagree. I don't believe that Doumit can possibly hit well enough to make up for the runs he costs with his defense.

 

Mike Fasts study of a few years ago and the various studies since lead several teams to put a priority on receiving the ball. Joe Maddon said last winter that Molina saved them over 50 runs. They gave him another contract and he can't hit. Doumit is the other end of the spectrum.

 

I hope the Twins are correct and the Rays, Yankees and Pirates are wrong. I am not confident in that hope.

 

The fallacy in the conclusion by Fast is that a strike one or two that should have been a ball leads to outs. They did not investigate the number for called third strikes. How many batters did the Twins lose with a 2 strike count?

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Signing Navarro means the Twins believe in Pinto enough to bank on him for the future. after the last 2 seasons I see no reason Pinto can not succeed at the major league level. Plus I think Navarro strikes out around 50% less than Saltalamacchia. I think this plays more into the Twins Philosophies. I think the main reason the Twins would be interested in Salty is RH power and he played for some winning teams, but his cost is getting up there.

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If he's hitting at, say, a .750 clip, I think he's a very capable backup catcher. He won't kill you behind the dish 30 times a season because of his bat... But he has to hit, something he didn't do last season. To me, his defense is offset because of his versatility, which allows a team to carry a more versatile bench... Again, if he's hitting.

 

In the AL or NL, I think the added versatility of allowing the team to carry another MI, OF, or P because of Doumit can be worth a lot. If he's hitting.

 

Did I mention that he needs to hit to have value?

 

If he's hitting .750 his shatty defense will definitely be offset by his hitting. Put him at short in that case

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I think it makes so much more sense than signing Saltallamacchia, if it's in the 2 year, $7-8 million range. He's a guy who could start 110 games if necessary, but if he winds up catching just 70-80 games because Pinto becomes very good and needs to catch a little more (95-110 games), he isn't costing 8 digits. I'd be good with that.

 

Signing Salty allows Pinto to improve defense on a lesser stage(AAA), when he is ready he can catch the majority while Salty hits enough to DH and catch 60 games in 2015 and 2016.

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We've gone round and round over pitch framing. I have a hard time believing it can impact 8-10% of runs allowed but I think we can both agree on one thing:

 

Ryan Doumit is a horrible catcher and no playoff team would put him behind the dish 80+ times a season. I think he has a lot of value as someone who can DH, pinch hit, and catch ~30-40 times a season but no way in hell should he be the go-to guy at catcher.

 

I think that pitch framing could impact 8-10% of the AB which would likely affect 8-10% of the runs scored, It may not change the number of runs scored but change the AB in which the runs are plated, set up, runners advance.....

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