Article: Roster Projections Part 1: Pitchers and Catchers

[ashbury]

Then have Gibson start and have a designated reliever in the majors. If the reliever gets tired, call up the next guy from AAA....you know, use AAA for flexibility, like other teams do.

 

You've also got a third-string catcher with a live arm who'd love to get into games...

[Rosterman]

Brunett and Swarzak are the guys on the bubble. If Pressly shows stuff, he could make Swarzak expendable. Brunett still has options. Use them, Twins. I would rather see Roeincke or Wood be a palcesetter in 2013 and give us another season of Burnett, otherwise, consider him gone when he enters arbitration year 2 anyways. I do wish we had anyone but Butera as the third catcher/bench bat. It is a weakness the Twins don't need.

[cmathewson]

Because if he's going to be a starter long-term, keeping him on a starter's routine is more important.

 

Then he hits the 130 inning peak and is shut down in August, using up most of his inning in AAA and not progressing like he needs to. Think of Santana as a model fo a guy who transitioned from the bullpen to the rotation. It's not that difficult.

[cmathewson]

If Harden is healthy and pitching anything like he used to he will be on the roster, a couple of big "ifs" though.

 

It wasn't rotator cuff surgery, so I think there's a better than 4% chance. I'd say it's as good as any of the other non-roster invitees.

[FrodaddyG]

Then he hits the 130 inning peak and is shut down in August, using up most of his inning in AAA and not progressing like he needs to. Think of Santana as a model fo a guy who transitioned from the bullpen to the rotation. It's not that difficult.

Bullpen routine is completely different from starter routine. He's coming off of a major injury. The best thing that can happen to him this year is that he gets locked in his routine and gets his strength built back up with an eye towards the long term. Having him spend a chunk of the year not knowing if he's throwing that day, the next day, or whenever isn't useful in his buildup towards starting.

 

Santana pitched out of the pen initially as a way to hide him on the roster. Then he spent the better part of the next two years relieving as well. That was his routine, and then he worked over to starting. Minus a few rehab outings, Gibson has been starting exclusively his whole career, and should remain on his starter's routine. Period. His 130, 150, or however many innings he throws this year aren't make or break for the Twins' 2013 fortunes, but keeping him healthy and progressing towards a full workload next year and beyond is certainly going to be a much bigger factor in their successes in those seasons.

[johnnydakota]

If Ron decides to keep Drew , our bench could posibly be Butrea,Escobar,Clete Thomas and Florimon.....another murders row in the making? And why, because of maybe 2-3 at bats over the entire season?

[jay]

The article is great, there's actual names projected at the bottom, and we all get the point of the percentages, but I do wish Seth would take just a few extra minutes to have the math add up right.

 

Seth, I was wrong and apologize. I think you're including the possibility that a few guys are brought north on the DL (Pelfrey, Diamond, Swarzak, etc) and your numbers are just fine. It would be weird/confusing to show the probability for those guys at far less than what you think it will be to account for the possibility they get DL'ed.

[ScottyB]

Any thought on Perez's chances of making the opening day roster?