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Article: 2019 MLB Draft Day 1 Thread


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If it was smart to just follow mlb.com rankings, teams sure could save a lot of money on amateur scouting!

 

There were major question marks around all the guys available at #13. That's why they were still available. Stott for instance has unusual swing and throwing mechanics and plays in a good hitters' environment (UNLV didn't hit all that well but their pitchers had a collective 5.85 ERA). 

 

With a younger player, especially with good athleticism, there is time to improve. Cavaco is almost 4 years younger than Stott. 

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Eh, I don't love the pick, but that's more because it'll probably take 4-5 years to see the kid as a Twin, and I want my instant gratification.

 

It would be wise for them to draft an overslot pitcher in the 2nd/3rd round. We need more arms that have the potential to be good starters; I'm pretty content with our talent at the major position groups in the minors.

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What Baseball America had to say about Cavaco:

 

 

 

One of the biggest pop-up players in the 2019 class, Cavaco wasn’t seen much over last year’s summer showcase circuit, though a few scouts saw him in the fall and were intrigued by his exciting toolset. Cavaco started turning heads quickly this spring, gaining the attention of crosscheckers and scouting directors thanks to a projectable, 6-foot-1, 185-pound frame and plus power. Cavaco has a chance to reach 70-grade power as he continues to fill out, but big power isn’t his only selling point. He’s currently an above-average runner with above-average defensive ability at third base, and he has plus arm strength as well. With above-average or better tools across the board, Cavaco offers plenty of upside, but his hitting ability is his biggest question mark and where teams are most split. Without an extensive track record, scouts are unsure how his bat will consistently play against high-level pitching. He has plus bat speed, but scouts have seen him swing and miss against average high school pitching a bit too much, and he currently doesn’t have the best plate coverage on the outer half. Cavaco has the tools to go as high as the back of the first round, but it might take a team with multiple Day 1 picks or a more optimistic report on his future hit tool to draft him that high given his lack of track record. He is committed to San Diego State.
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I'm down with the pick. Another sport, so maybe it won't hit but like the Wolves taking LaVine at 13 years ago, go for the home run.

 

No provens at that point, so shoot for the stars.

 

Will be fun to see what they do with the next one. Maybe they can get an Enlow-type where they can use some extra $ to nab an intriguing prospect.

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Personally, I would have gone with Carroll at this point but the power potential of Cavaco is very tempting and he's one of those guys with all the tools in the world...

I agree with you he was my pick there as well that 60 hit tool just feels like can't miss, and yet how many times do I chastise the FO not taking a risk on guys with high end tools.  They look pretty good after taking Jeffers where they did last year.  I don't think it was a horrible pick but it was a riskier pick IMO.  I am excited about this kid and hope the FO found a diamond in the rough here.  Also would be nice if they could save some bonus pool money as well.

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Twins Daily Contributor

 

Can't imagine the Simley kid Michael Busch will be around at 39, but the Forest Lake kid Wallner should be. 

I think Wallner would be an excellent pick for the Twins at 39. Like Cavaco he has great power upside and also has a tremendous arm that plays well in RF. Should fit well with the current Twins mold.

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I hope Lugo falls to 39. I love the idea of finding young, athletic guys who can hit and figuring out the position later. Hopefully they saved a little money on Cavaco to spend on this next pick. I’m not opposed to a college bat if they can’t afford another high school athlete, though. I trust the process with the Sean Johnson.

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They had better.  Stott was a much safer pick.  I still trust that their next two picks will reveal their strategy.

Yeah, but I got sick of the "safe pick" or to put in another format, the "twins way" picks ( like Wimmers and Micheal), here's to getting a Yellich or Trout in the first half of the draft.

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Well, Cavaco turned 18 yesterday, and Miranda is OPS'ing .627 as a 21 year-old in a league that Sano OPS'd 1.079 as a 20 year-old. I'll be pulling for Sano to hang at 3rd for a few more years yet.

Personally, I've felt all along that a re-dedicated, maturing Sano...and that is NOT a knock on him...would settle in at 3B for at least a few years. And I'm not looking to jack the thread and start a debate, I just really believe he's going to settle in there and be just fine. How good he can be is for a different time and place. But you don't always draft for need. Realistically, in a couple of years, 3B COULD be manned by manned by Miranda, Javier, or even another super talented athlete like Lewis.

 

Never know what the future could have in store, injuries, position moves, trades, etc. So when you draft, you draft for tools and potential and see what you can do with the guy. Reading various reports, it seems he has the glove and arm for 3B with power and good speed. An athlete who has to hone his swing.

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They had better.  Stott was a much safer pick.  I still trust that their next two picks will reveal their strategy.

 

Agree. I thought Stott should have been the pick there. Stott had nearly identical junior year numbers to Mitch Garver. Both played in the same college conference. Plus by the sound of it, Stott sounds like a plus defender at SS.

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Eh, I don't love the pick, but that's more because it'll probably take 4-5 years to see the kid as a Twin, and I want my instant gratification.

 

It would be wise for them to draft an overslot pitcher in the 2nd/3rd round. We need more arms that have the potential to be good starters; I'm pretty content with our talent at the major position groups in the minors.

Forgetting BPA, whatever that means, for a moment, it feels to me the FO feels really good about the changes they have been implementing organization wide. I think they believe a lot in tools, and ceilings, and their ability to truly develop those tools. It's easy to say Lewis was a safe pick, for example. And maybe he was. But he also wasn't a consensus pick.

 

But to your second point, the Twins probably/hopefully will not be picking this high for a few years. PERFECT TIME to roll the dice on a high upside arm or two and trust in their new way of doing things.

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