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Article: Twins MLB Draft Preview: Pavin Smith, 1B


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I don't think it would be much trouble. But, even if is, that savings can come in handy later too.

 

Checkout this review of the 2015 draft. One in eight picks taken in rounds 11-20 didn't sign. Righthanded high school pitchers were particularly difficult to sign later in the draft.

 

http://www.minorleagueball.com/2015/7/17/8996381/unsigned-mlb-draft-picks-first-20-rounds-2015

Great article Willihammer.

Interesting that Kyle Cody was drafted in the 2nd round, didn't sign, then the next year was drafted in the 6th round.

Kyle Funkhouser was drafted in the 1st round, didn't sign, then the next year was drafted in the 4th round.

Nicholas Shumpert was drafted in the 7th round, didn't sign, then the next year was drafted in the 28th round.

 

Looks like some may have made an error in judgement. Was it the player, the team, both?

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Great article Willihammer.

Interesting that Kyle Cody was drafted in the 2nd round, didn't sign, then the next year was drafted in the 6th round.

Kyle Funkhouser was drafted in the 1st round, didn't sign, then the next year was drafted in the 4th round.

Nicholas Shumpert was drafted in the 7th round, didn't sign, then the next year was drafted in the 28th round.

 

Looks like some may have made an error in judgement. Was it the player, the team, both?

Funkhouser  did not have a great senior season and thus fell. The inconsistency factor by reports. So far in A+ he is doing well.   Cody did not develop so his stock dropped.  Funkenhouser lost 1.25 million with his gamble versus a negligible gain.  Cody lost a half million  versus a couple million gain if his off speed pitches had developed.

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Great article Willihammer.

Interesting that Kyle Cody was drafted in the 2nd round, didn't sign, then the next year was drafted in the 6th round.

Kyle Funkhouser was drafted in the 1st round, didn't sign, then the next year was drafted in the 4th round.

Nicholas Shumpert was drafted in the 7th round, didn't sign, then the next year was drafted in the 28th round.

 

Looks like some may have made an error in judgement. Was it the player, the team, both?

I'm not sure what the issues were with those players specifically. IIRC Funkhauser was an early top-10 pick by the industry but disappointed and he elected to go back his senior year rather than take #35 money. Evidently his senior year didn't go as planned.

It goes both ways, sometimes players who don't sign flop anyways. I'd rather have players than some bonus savings leftover though. If you look at Funkhouser now he's striking out 14.1 / 9 in A ball for Detroit.

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Great article Willihammer.

Interesting that Kyle Cody was drafted in the 2nd round, didn't sign, then the next year was drafted in the 6th round.

Kyle Funkhouser was drafted in the 1st round, didn't sign, then the next year was drafted in the 4th round.

Nicholas Shumpert was drafted in the 7th round, didn't sign, then the next year was drafted in the 28th round.

 

Looks like some may have made an error in judgement. Was it the player, the team, both?

Sure, some players lose out but others don't. Tons of HS kids turn down ML teams and get drafted much higher a few years later. And most of these guys can get insurance to cover some of the risks.

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Sure, some players lose out but others don't. Tons of HS kids turn down ML teams and get drafted much higher a few years later. And most of these guys can get insurance to cover some of the risks.

 

It worked out for Tyler Beede who is also starting to look like a bust.

 

Derek Fisher was also drafted fairly high his first go-round and later improved his draft position.

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If we're looking for a good-hitting 1B at 1:1, why wouldn't we just take the guy (McKay) who is the better hitter, and tell him he's getting drafted first overall so long as he agrees to give up pitching?

 

While only striking out 9 times is impressive, the fact that Smith's OBP is 60 points lower than McKay's suggests a big reason for the lower number of strikeouts is that he makes more weak contact. Color me not interested. I don't care that Sano strikes out 35% of the time, because he gets on 40% of the time, and murders the ball when he does hit it.

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