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Article: Santiago Starting To Turn Heads

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Until he actually plays in the OF, then his defensive shortcomings make him a liability.

 

How so? offensively, he is putting up about 2 WAR as a DH.....that's quite high, actually. He put up over 1 WAR even being historically bad on D last year, something I doubt he could repeat. But as a DH, he's actually above average.

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  • Taildragger8791
    Taildragger8791

    I flat out admit I don't understand anything about Santiago. The dude just seems to get the job done despite logic and stats saying it doesn't make any sense. Maybe he's the inverse Ricky Nolasco that

  • Brock Beauchamp
    Brock Beauchamp

    Some of Santiago's peripherals are concerning but he's another situation - an inverse Nolasco - where FIP is failing to account for something in the makeup of the player.   Santiago's career FIP is on

  • He had a really good deadline looking back. This and Nunez trade were solid, and the two other pieces he didn't move (Santana and Kintzler) have increased in value.  

 

How so? offensively, he is putting up about 2 WAR as a DH.....that's quite high, actually. He put up over 1 WAR even being historically bad on D last year, something I doubt he could repeat. But as a DH, he's actually above average.

That was my point Mike.  He has negative value in the field, whether that is as much as last season or not he is a poor fielder.  I am actually liking him at the DH position. Keep the bat in the lineup and the glove off the field.  Of course that raises issues about who the 4th OF would be but that is a different conversation.

 

That was my point Mike.  He has negative value in the field, whether that is as much as last season or not he is a poor fielder.  I am actually liking him at the DH position. Keep the bat in the lineup and the glove off the field.  Of course that raises issues about who the 4th OF would be but that is a different conversation.

One could also argue the following:

 

1. Grossman's bat is slightly more valuable in LF than DH

2. The Twins have three centerfielders already on the roster

3. Grossman crushes LHP

4. All of those centerfielders have questionable, bad, or terrible bats against LHP

 

If you play Grossman in a corner spot once a week against a lefty, is the 200 OPS points you gain with his bat offset by his decreased defensive ability?

 

I honestly don't know the answer to that question but I suspect it's not clearcut either way... and the offensive flexibility it affords the Twins to replace Santana with Vargas is pretty hard to resist.

 

I wouldn't rule it out entirely, no.

 

And you're talking about a .750-.770 OPS and I'm talking about an .800 OPS. That's about 7-8 hits scattered over the course of a season, or about one extra hit every 20 games.

 

Is that truly unreasonable?

 

The fact is that neither you nor I have any idea where Grossman will land when it comes to BABIP because he doesn't have the track record one way or the other.

You did say .800+ and the .750-.770 number was only for BAPIP drop. I said I expect him around .750. In addition his SLG is still higher than expected. And he is getting rested a lot vs RHP.

And don't discount what a 50 points of OPS is. It is the difference between a very good to great player and a good one.

 

You did say .800+ and the .750-.770 number was only for BAPIP drop. I said I expect him around .750. In addition his SLG is still higher than expected. And he is getting rested a lot vs RHP.

And don't discount what a 50 points of OPS is. It is the difference between a very good to great player and a good one.

Oh, not discounting it at all. My initial expectation for Grossman going into the season was, like you, around a .750 OPS.

 

All I'm saying is that I'm beginning to question that expectation. I'm still not sold on Grossman but I'm opening up to the idea that he's a lot better than I expected him to be.

 

One could also argue the following:

 

1. Grossman's bat is slightly more valuable in LF than DH

2. The Twins have three centerfielders already on the roster

3. Grossman crushes LHP

4. All of those centerfielders have questionable, bad, or terrible bats against LHP

 

If you play Grossman in a corner spot once a week against a lefty, is the 200 OPS points you gain with his bat offset by his decreased defensive ability?

 

I honestly don't know the answer to that question but I suspect it's not clearcut either way... and the offensive flexibility it affords the Twins to replace Santana with Vargas is pretty hard to resist.

I would argue the solution to that problem is a better 4th OF.  Then you can keep Grossman's .800 OPS bat in the lineup and not have a large drop in the OF defense.  Given the Twins flyball prone pitching this seems preferable to me.  

 

I would argue the solution to that problem is a better 4th OF.  Then you can keep Grossman's .800 OPS bat in the lineup and not have a large drop in the OF defense.  Given the Twins flyball prone pitching this seems preferable to me.  

But that doesn't fix the Mauer problem. Even when Joe is "rolling", he only tops out as an .800 OPS guy at this point in his career. Adding a quasi-platoon bat to spell both Mauer and Grossman from their daily roles seems like a good way to increase offensive capabilities overall.

 

The only reason I'd even consider this is because the Twins are in a rather unique situation. They have an elite guy in center and two guys at the corners who can hold their own in center.

 

I believe this opportunity affords the Twins a luxury few other teams enjoy: the ability to carry a fourth outfielder who can hit.

 

Because you're not going to get a fourth outfielder who can hit and field. Those guys are more commonly referred to as "starting outfielders".

I'm also not convinced Grossman would be that bad again this year.....I also don't get why he isn't practicing at 1B every day...

 

Given that ownership and the former GM both have stated in the past that budgets and money for the team don't work that way.....not really.

There is a new sheriff in town.

 

There is a new sheriff in town.

 

Well, every team has pretty much said they operate on an annual budget, this is not unique to the Twins.

 

Well, every team has pretty much said they operate on an annual budget, this is not unique to the Twins.

I believe every business in America has an annual budget, so what's your point?

 

I believe every business in America has an annual budget, so what's your point?

 

Baseball teams don't carry money over year to year, they operate on an annual basis, not carrying over unspent "capital" to future years like some other businesses do. So, if htey don't spend it this year, they just pocket it. That's what teams have communicated quite broadly over the last few years on many websites and interviews. 

 

Baseball teams don't carry money over year to year, they operate on an annual basis, not carrying over unspent "capital" to future years like some other businesses do. So, if htey don't spend it this year, they just pocket it. That's what teams have communicated quite broadly over the last few years on many websites and interviews. 

You are overgeneralizing. Neither you, nor I know what every baseball team does, or can do. Once again, there is a new sheriff in town.

Edited by howieramone2

 

You are overgeneralizing. Neither you, nor I know what every baseball teams does, or can do. Once again, there is a new sheriff in town.

 

Have you ever read anything other than this, on FG, ESPN, CBS, here, or anywhere? I haven't. And, as I pointed out, that's what they communicate, and hence what we know. We can't really know anything else other than what they say, and what they do. 

 

You are overgeneralizing. Neither you, nor I know what every baseball team does, or can do. Once again, there is a new sheriff in town.

Not really. The new sheriff decides how the money is spent. Pohlad decides how much is spent each year.

And how exactly did this start? About the 1M difference between what the Nolasco is being paid (including the part the Twins pay) and what Santiago is being paid?

It's not really worth arguing over, frankly.

 

They spent whatever they thought they'd save on Nolasco on Santiago. A decision I endorse. 

 

Not really. The new sheriff decides how the money is spent. Pohlad decides how much is spent each year.

And how exactly did this start? About the 1M difference between what the Nolasco is being paid (including the part the Twins pay) and what Santiago is being paid?

The old sheriff said on many occasions, every time he approached ownership about additional funds it was approved. No reason to believe the new sheriff is operating under different constrains. The point is a bad contract was eliminated, and we have plenty of money to spend. 

 

The old sheriff said on many occasions, every time he approached ownership about additional funds it was approved. No reason to believe the new sheriff is operating under different constrains. The point is a bad contract was eliminated, and we have plenty of money to spend. 

But the money was spent on Santiago (+/- 1M). The Twins might have plenty of money to spend but that has nothing to do with Nolasco other than they are getting something useful out of Santiago.

I think we can all agree that no matter what the Twins front office spends it isn't enough.

 

I think we can all agree that no matter what the Twins front office spends it isn't enough.

 

I don't see anyone agreeing to that.

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