This strategy of giving up an out is pretty disproven. For example, Sean Dolinar of Fangraphs says that, between 2011 and 2013, there was a 41.13% chance of scoring a run with a runner on first and no outs and a 39.37% - yes, smaller - chance of scoring one run with a runner on second and one out. This is not a theory, or old school vs. new school, or even advanced analytics. Yet for some reason Molitor, despite knowing he has a team of bad bunters, continues to prefer giving up the out.

 

But bad bunters turn into good bunters by bunting! Pretty soon... batting order filled with bunting samurai!

 

"This {stuff} is chess, it ain't checkers"

 

It's not even new news, as the numbers have been known (and have remained similar) since the Internet was young.

 

http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/users/brooks/public_html/feda/datasets/expectedruns.html

The Twins just started using video in the minors a couple of years ago, because they wanted be sure that 21-year olds knew how to work with video. Do you think they're worried that people over 40 won't know how to use the internet, so they haven't introduced it yet?

This strategy of giving up an out is pretty disproven. For example, Sean Dolinar of Fangraphs says that, between 2011 and 2013, there was a 41.13% chance of scoring a run with a runner on first and no outs and a 39.37% - yes, smaller - chance of scoring one run with a runner on second and one out. This is not a theory, or old school vs. new school, or even advanced analytics. Yet for some reason Molitor, despite knowing he has a team of bad bunters, continues to prefer giving up the out.

That's only the half of it. How often do batters just sac atempt-themselves into two strike counts? These figures compare hitting with a man on first to the *best case* scenario of the sac atempt, and still comes out behind.

Edited September 11, 201610 yr by Willihammer

I love September games when teams actually have benches and can pinch-hit more than once or twice. How about rosters of 28? (Of course, the Twins would probably just have/need a pitching staff of 16.)

Edited September 11, 201610 yr by PDX Twin

That's only the half of it. How often do batters just sac atempt-thrmselved into two strike counts? These figures co compare hitting with man on first to the *best case* scenario of the sac atempt-thrmselved, amd still comes out behind.

Well, you see, the underlying theory is that if you follow a bad strategy, but only with people who are bad at executing it, the two bads will cancel each other out and you'll end up with a positive. Fourth grade math.

I really like licorice caramels.

Molitor, this is your queue. 

Get. In. Rosie's. Face.

What kind of at bat was that?!

 

What kind of at bat was that?!

 

Rosario's? Three quarters of it was laudable. The last quarter ruined it all. 

 

What kind of at bat was that?!

Dog****. It was a dog**** at bat. 

 

On a positive note, my daughter just got on the big screen while I was in the restroom.

On a positive note, my daughter just got on the big screen while I was in the restroom.

I thought they closed those after the 9th inning?

Anyone else experiencing the occasional seizure with that insane psychedelic background they put on the scoreboard behind the pitcher between pitches?

Thank god! I thought it was the brownies?

And then they come home looking for money. It's just not fair.....

http://www.hercampus.com/sites/default/files/2016/03/14/sad%20kitten%202_1.jpg

If they're like your kids, they may change their mailing address, but they never really leave!

Edited September 11, 201610 yr by Platoon

Mauersie! Yay!!

Well done Mauer

Way to go!!!

Oh man ... say what you will about Mauer, but that was the most awesome at bat.

Joe. Mauer.

Cool, I guess that balk really helped! 

 

Also, Chargois just got his first career win!

Edited September 11, 201610 yr by Danchat

Happy ending for once!

Happy ending for once!

What? You've only had a happy ending once? That's ... kinda sad.

 

Oh man ... say what you will about Mauer, but that was the most awesome at bat.

I had just got done yelling obscenities at him after letting that meatball go for a strike.  

Edited September 11, 201610 yr by jimmer

Shocked and amazed: D&B say that was Mauer's first walk-off hit since 2007, and only his 2nd ever? Preposterous....

I suppose as the board's Mauer apologist/homer, I should say "Wohoo!"

Mauer being the only player on the team who can have a game winning hit and still get bad mouthed after doing so :-)

 

I suppose as the board's Mauer apologist/homer, I should say "Wohoo!"

I thought I got labeled as that, but cool :-)

And I think Big Kitty has found his home. The people who came by tonight really liked him.

 

Mauer being the only player on the team who can have a game winning hit and still get bad mouthed after doing so :-)

 

 

I'm not badmouthing him. I'm pretty sure i saw him win a game vs. Boston and Papelbon with a homer  during the MVP season , 2009.

 

The shock and amazement are legit :-0

Mauer being the only player on the team who can have a game winning hit and still get bad mouthed after doing so :

 

Anybody else thinking about what might happen if Palka or Walker II were available to pinch hit?

Just think if they had brought Vargas up?