January 12, 201511 yr Career records as GMs: Amaro: 519-453 (.534)Ryan: 1278-1406 (.476) Not. Even. Close.Ws and Ls are all that matter. Simply. Not. True. For. Everyone.
January 12, 201511 yr I get that. But, would it surprise you if this particular group of married ballplayers did?Yes. Other than Joe who by all accounts is a pretty low key guy. Boys will be boys etc
January 12, 201511 yr Baseball fans forget this is a business. From an ownership perspective, profitability and building team value/market price is somewhere very near the top of evaluation criteria for a GM. The Houston Astros and St. Louis Cardinals were the most profitable teams in baseball in 2013. I would rather do it the way the Cardinals did but the Astros were very profitable while at the same time building a strong farm system. I would imagine the Astros will also be the most or among the most profitable in 2014 when those results are published. This year they will add 2 top 5 choices to an already deep farm system. They have built a talented management staff and they are on the front edge of statistical analysis. While they were at the bottom in terms of wins/losses, Jeff Luhnow has done well. Edited January 12, 201511 yr by Major Leauge Ready
January 13, 201511 yr Seems there might be something to TK's theory about HBPs I looked at three measures of power: home runs per plate appearance, slugging percentage, and isolated power. I correlated these metrics to hit batters per game for the period 1980-2013. If Brian’s hypothesis is correct, there should be a negative correlation–as power increases, hit batters decrease. However, the opposite was true: 0.84 correlation coefficient between hit batters per game and homers per plate appearance, 0.55 for slugging percentage, 0.65 for isolated power. Maybe my endpoints were wrong? I checked 1970-2013 and got pretty much the same results: Correlation coefficients of 0.84 for HR/PA, 0.66 for SLG, 0.73 for ISO.http://www.fangraphs.com/community/rising-hbp-rates-seeing-the-symptom-seeking-the-cause/
January 13, 201511 yr FWIW the Twins 2014 leaders by HBP rate Name PA/HBPJosh Willingham 39.7Kurt Suzuki 55.9Oswaldo Arcia* 68.3Kennys Vargas# 78.0Brian Dozier 78.6Eric Fryer 81.0Chris Parmelee* 135.0Danny Santana# 143.3Trevor Plouffe 145.5Jason Kubel* 176.0Josmil Pinto 197.0Eduardo Nunez 213.0Chris Colabello 220.0Eduardo Escobar# 232.5Joe Mauer* 518.0
January 14, 201511 yr This is slightly cathartic but I have Another theory. What do Mauer, Dozier, Plouffe, Suzuki, Perkins, Duensing, Gibson, Hicks, Swarzak, Willingham, and Correia have in common? They're all married. Nolasco isn't married. New city, doesn't know anyone. Bunch of cash (this part isn't cathartic). 1 day a week work schedule. And all his bros head straight home lights out by 12. Bor-ing! That could be part of it - the doesn't know anyone - but for 12 million a year, not much of an excuse. I don't know what it was for Mauer, but getting married hasn't seemed to correlate to better performance for him, didn't seem to help Correia much, and it seems to be making Perkins chubby. Nolasco's future is on the line, and I sure hope he figures it out and quick, either to pitch here or to help get him moved so he can take it elsewhere.
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