June 4, 201214 yr Ok, so the bonuses now are around $3M. If Appel-Boras are going to be asking for above slot, the team has to be wondering "Are we going to need to draft some signable nobody with our #2 pick just to get Appel? And is he just going to reenter the draft anyway next year at this point?" This could truly be bizarre. At what point do you risk it? Usually, the longer you wait, the less the risk. But with this system, the longer you wait, the risk can increase, because you're limited in how much bonus money you can spend.
June 4, 201214 yr Going back to Buxton for a second, what kind of ETA do people think he has? 2016, '17 Later?
June 5, 201214 yr Going back to Buxton for a second, what kind of ETA do people think he has? 2016, '17 Later?2016 for any normal MLB team. 2017 for the Twins.
June 5, 201214 yr Pittsburgh has a total bonus cap of $6.5M; how much of that do you think Appel is getting?
June 5, 201214 yr This is the Twins...and I'd guess at least 4.5 years from now, so 2017.Yeah, I'd say a debut in 2017 and a regular in 2018. Makes him under team control during what's likely to be his most productive years. I don't see them rushing him. Short season this year, One level per year after that.
June 5, 201214 yr Ha I find it hard to believe Boras engineered his client going to Pittsburgh! I guess we will see Appel here after all we just have togo to St. Paul
June 5, 201214 yr So Pirates take Appel. Slot is $2.9M. Pirates next is #46 at $1.1M. After that it's #69 at $750k. It'll be interesting to see what they do. Say they pick a guy at #46 that everyone thinks is a reach, should have gone do picks later. Maybe they save a few hundred thousand on him for Appel. Maybe they do the same at #69 and add another hundred thousand. Will that be enough? Would anyone be shocked if Boras just held him out for a year? If Boras does so, does he compound the problem next year? The Pirates GM just bit off a mouthful, I'm afraid.
June 5, 201214 yr So Pirates take Appel. Slot is $2.9M. Pirates next is #46 at $1.1M. After that it's #69 at $750k. It'll be interesting to see what they do. Say they pick a guy at #46 that everyone thinks is a reach, should have gone do picks later. Maybe they save a few hundred thousand on him for Appel. Maybe they do the same at #69 and add another hundred thousand. Will that be enough? Would anyone be shocked if Boras just held him out for a year? If Boras does so, does he compound the problem next year? The Pirates GM just bit off a mouthful, I'm afraid.He can always go back and play his senior year in college and try again next year. Problem is, he loses leverage then; drafted seniors have almost none.
June 5, 201214 yr Anybody worried about the reaction Buxton had?Not at all. Being on tv/radio is tricky. Dylan Bundy looked horrible last year when MLB was interviewing him.
June 5, 201214 yr I'm not worried about Buxton. He just became a millionaire and his whole town was screaming behind him. He was in shock. He'll sign for slot.
June 5, 201214 yr Anybody worried about the reaction Buxton had?I was a little, but it also sounded like he was having problem with his audio and couldn't hear what the studio was asking him, so it is probably nothing. I hope...
June 5, 201214 yr I think he was bummed out because his girlfriend had just asked to borrow his credit card as soon as the pick came in.
June 5, 201214 yr Buxton acted exactly the same a half hour earlier when they interviewed him. He seemed to have trouble hearing and like he was trying to be modest and low key (or maybe cool). He also does not have the gift of gab. IMHO, nobody should read anything into it about his feeling regarding the Twins.
June 5, 201214 yr Anybody worried about the reaction Buxton had?No. Initial reaction was fine. Then had to be cool in spite of background noise and high school classmates.
June 5, 201214 yr Yes. Buxton seemed overwhelmed by the whole thing. Nothing to reflect against the Twins. The nice thing about the way this is going so far (and the Mets just picked as I am typing this) is that there is plenty of pitchers for the Twins to grab with #32 and #42. And I think it will be Mitch Brown at #42 as this is going. If someone like Marcus Stromen or Michael Wacha are still availiable at #32, that would be pretty incredible haul... We'll see
June 5, 201214 yr Anyone know who's faster: Ben Revere or Buxton?Considering they say he might be the fastest right handed batter to 1B since Bo Jackson I might have to take Buxton
June 5, 201214 yr If Giolito falls to #32, would you gamble on being able to sign him? Especially given that Buxton probably isn't coming at a discount?
June 5, 201214 yr Absolutely. If the Pirates can make Appel fit, the Twins can do the same with Giolitto.
June 5, 201214 yr I love the Nationals drafting philosophy...STEALApparently the Nats are not scared of the elbow. They drafted another kid who throws 100 plus. You can clearly see the plan taking shape. I wish the Twins could say the same.
June 5, 201214 yr It's pretty easy to look like a great GM when you draft #1 two years in a row and Strasburg + Harper are sitting there.
June 5, 201214 yr What about Storen? Zimmerman? they have been picking well for the last 6 years or so.
June 5, 201214 yr Very true, but they've been drafting in the top-10 forever. Storen and Zimmerman went something like 9th and 4th overall. I realize drafting is highly risky and subjective, but there seems to be a lot less risk when you're drafting early every year.
June 5, 201214 yr So, if the next pick comes up, and the best player is another hitter, by say 10% or so (or 1 tier...), would you still take BPA?
June 5, 201214 yr So, if the next pick comes up, and the best player is another hitter, by say 10% or so (or 1 tier...), would you still take BPA?Yes. Best player available.
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