April 25, 201412 yr Throw in 14 unearned runs on that tally and the evidence is overwhelming that this is flukey production so far. The approach can be maintained and that's the encouraging part, but there is simply no way you can look at the peripherals of this offense and suggest the Twins have been anything other than extremely lucky. I wouldn't say extremely. They lead the league in walks and OBP, two indicators of offensive sustainability. They're about a standard deviation above the typical for unearned runs. That's not sustainable, but it's not extreme.
April 25, 201412 yr This could easily be "second verse, same as the first". "Oi',m losing in the eighth, Oi am. Losing in the eighth Oi am Oi am." Hope not, though.
April 25, 201412 yr I wouldn't say extremely. They lead the league in walks and OBP, two indicators of offensive sustainability. They're about a standard deviation above the typical for unearned runs. That's not sustainable, but it's not extreme. Ok, but walks and OBP are strongly related. They're 19th in slugging. 13th in BA. 10th highest SO total. Their BaBIP is .316. Fangraphs projects that if all things stayed the same they'd go from scoring 5.5 runs a game to 4.01 runs per game. It's a very sizable bit of luck they are having.
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