Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • entries
    891
  • comments
    3,675
  • views
    1,591,718

Twins Having A Power Outage?


Ted Schwerzler

1,177 views

 Share

Twins Video

There was a time prior to the 2016 Major League Baseball season that it was wondered whether or not the Twins may set some records. Those records were along the lines of a power surge that an exciting and intriguing lineup seemed to set itself up for. Fast forward to now, and the Twins have been anywhere but at the top of the home run charts, and the only record they're looking to set is in the loss column.

 

The question is, just where do they sit as far as home runs are concerned?

 

Well, the Power Index has been keeping things up to date during the season, but it's probably time to take a look and break things down a bit further. As things stand, Byung Ho Park leads the Twins in homers, and Miguel Sano trails him by one. Those two are the only players that have eclipsed double digits for Minnesota, and the team as a whole has totaled 76 long balls.

 

As things stand currently, Park is on pace for 28 homers, Sano is trending towards 25 long balls, and the Twins as a whole are on pace to club 176 taters. Respectable numbers to be sure, but far off from what was imagined prior to the season. With numbers resting where they are, the Twins currently have the 18th most home runs in the big leagues, and the 13th best total in the American League.

 

When diving in a bit deeper, the Twins aren't hitting balls out of the yard at anything that looks like an efficient clip either. Having developer some standards in the Power Index, it was determined that .16 home runs per strikeout was a solid baseline for power hitters. Among Twins batters, only Byung Ho Park (.17) and Brian Dozier (.18) are above the low water mark. With power hitters come strikeouts, but unfortunately the Twins are doing the latter far too often.

 

Four teams currently have 100 or more homers this season. A season ago, the baseline for team efficiency when it came to homers was .11 per strikeout. The big time home run hitting teams such as the Blue Jays and Orioles were at or above .16 HR/K. This season, all four of the teams at or above 100 homers are hitting them at a .16 HR/K clip or better. In fact, three of the four are launching homers at a .18 HR/K rate or higher.

 

I'm not necessarily sure that the Twins set out to hit a bunch of home runs, likely they didn't. What they did do however, was to employ a lineup that was slanted heavily towards a power output. Sure, Miguel Sano and Byung Ho Park are probably the only two true power hitters, but Brian Dozier, Trevor Plouffe, and a handful of others are more than capable of sending baseballs out of the park. Unfortunately, Minnesota didn't project the level of futility when not hitting homers to reach the levels it has.

 

To be fair, the Twins have slowed from their record strikeout pace they began the season on. Of the teams striking out more though, nearly all of them also have more homers on the season. It's probably not fair to question whether or not the Twins have a power outage, that's really never been their style in the first place. What was a lineup that looked to be full of boomsticks has been anything but though, and that's been a problem.

 

It took Minnesota 70 games to score double-digit runs for the first time in 2016, and it'll take them a handful more to reach the 100 home run plateau. Baseball has shifted to a game where teams can choose to live and die by the longball, and this season, it's done more harm than good for Paul Molitor and his crew.

 

For more from Off The Baggy, click here. Follow @tlschwerz

 Share

2 Comments


Recommended Comments

When a team chases pitches, there is no reason to challenge the hitter, through consistent heat where it can be hit, etc. etc. And if the team isn't operating on working the count, getting men on base, moving runners around, a pitcher can afford to make a mistake when you have one or two outs and no one on base (how many solo homers have the Twins hit in 2016?).

 

We know Park and Sano can do the job. But they need people to egt on base and pressure a pitcher to throw the ball over-the-plate. Both are capable of hitting 30+ You'd like to put Plouffe and Dozier in the 20+ range. Both of those guys, gone, means you have Polanco and Escobar struggling to hit 20 between themselves, and with the current outfield of Kepler, Grossman and Buxton, you might get another 20. That is where it is ncie to have an Arcia out there, or possibly someday a Walker. And if you don't want multiple centerfielders...you trade out Grossman for Rosario, who might give you a bit more punch, but not much else. Add in a weak catching situation now, and who knows what Mauer hits these days...the reduction of Plouffe and Dozier from the lineup CAN hurt if you are homer happy. But if the speedsters get on base, maybe the 30+ guys can hit 40+ and compensate, you can add a better bench bat, and still think Kepler might produce an all-around solid player in rightfield, or moved to first where he will surpass Mauer's current production in the future.

 

But this was the home run year for Target Field...if people would hit, as a whole, better than .240.

Link to comment

Plouffe could? have a chance to put up some numbers, but he isn't getting the soft stuff he used to, and he isn't a great FB hitter. Dozier as a long ball threat is cooked. He either goes the other way for doubles and the rare mistake HR, or he goes back to pull happy Brian. He still is kind of, the ground balls through the hole, and the foul ground balls down the line, are hiding it for now. It has been better, but anyone who thinks he's a changed man is listening to theTwins publicity machine. Park is still a lotto ticket. Huge uppercut. And seems to be a big guess hitter. The big time power is there. I have no doubt Sano and Buxton will be just fine. Only in TwinsWorld would this be considered a power lineup. Of course only in TwinsWorld would anyone put all these guys on the same team and expect results!

Link to comment
Guest
Add a comment...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...