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Minnesota's Offseason Report Card


Ted Schwerzler

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At this point, January is essentially in the books and February brings the realization that spring training is just around the corner. Pitchers and catchers will begin to report, and meaningful baseball will soon be here. After competing at a higher level than expected in 2015, the Twins have heightened expectations for the season ahead. The question is, how did they position themselves to compete this offseason.

 

Going into the winter, the most notable area of need for the Twins was in the bullpen. Once again at the bottom of the big leagues in strikeouts out of the pen (392), Minnesota needed to get better. The Twins owned the 10th worst relief ERA (3.95) and surrendered the 8th worst batting average against in 2015 among bullpens (.254). No doubt the biggest area of necessary improvement came in the form of left-handed relief.

 

Minnesota had relied on Brian Duensing too long, and in 2015 it caught up to them with him having posted a 4.25 ERA along with just a 4.4 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9. Void of other options until the acquisition of Neal Cotts late in the season (which resulted in just a 3.95 ERA and 5.9 K/9), Minnesota was downstream without a paddle.

 

To date, the Twins most glaring weakness has yet to be formally addressed, and that could prove costly. After seeing the relief market be filled with high dollar deals (Antonio Bastardo just signed with the Mets for two years and $12m), Terry Ryan decided to go a different route. Bringing in the likes of Buddy Boshers and Fernando Abad on MiLB deals, the Twins hope to shore up their deficiency with a low risk, low reward type.

 

It's Abad who appears destined for the left-handed pen role (outside of closer Glen Perkins). Just a year removed from a sub 2.00 ERA and coming off a second straight season of increasing strikeout rates (8.5 K/9 in 2015), Abad could end up being a great get for the Twins. With Taylor Rogers as an internal option as well, Minnesota decided to play the pen in a less certain fashion.

 

Moving the needle the most was the signing of a right-handed power bat, Byung Ho Park, from the Korean Baseball organization. Terry Ryan and the Twins ponied up nearly $13 million in posting fees to then bring in their new DH on a four-year, $12 million deal. Having clobbered more than 100 home runs in his previous two season in Korea, the Twins are hoping at least a portion of that power will translate to the big league game.

 

When it comes to signings, the minor league pitching deals along with the contract handed out to Park sum up the Twins activity. While agreeing to arbitration deals with all six of their eligible candidates, most notably Trevor Plouffe, the Twins have plenty of familiar faces returning to the fold.

 

From a roster standpoint, Ryan also helped to address an organization deficiency in dealing Aaron Hicks (from a position of surplus) to the Yankees for John Ryan Murphy. Now slated to backup and eventually supplant Kurt Suzuki, Murphy gives the Twins a legitimate option at the big league level. Minnesota no doubt hopes that Murphy will soon be joined by prospect Stuart Turner, and added depth with waiver claim John Hicks from the Mariners. While none of the catching options are sure things, the do provide potential answers going forward.

 

As a whole, the Twins offseason strategy appears to lean towards an aggressive movement of the young talent from within. Deciding not to make significant waves in the bullpen suggest that we could see the emergence of Nick Burdi, Jake Reed, or J.T. Chargois sometime soon in 2016. Should that be the route Ryan and Paul Molitor choose to go, it would be a commendable one, albeit needing to be seen to be believed.

 

Offensively, Minnesota will need to rely on a more consistent approach in the season ahead. Expecting to replicate success in "clutch" moments is a false hope, and the addition of Park should provide some added boost to an already blossoming lineup. The continued growth of top prospects like Miguel Sano and Byron Buxton will also be key for Minnesota to take the next step forward.

 

Although the Twins didn't make the waves those in the AL Central did around them, they may also have been best positioned to trust some of their internal options. The lack of a few key moves could come back to haunt them, and especially so if the aggressive approach internally isn't followed through upon. As a whole, the organization stood pat, and while it may work, the risk is going to be needing a big push for a significant reward.

 

Grade: C

 

For more from Off The Baggy, click here. Follow @tlschwerz

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I guess I'm more optimistic. I'd give it a 'B'. True, the Twins did not do a lot, but they could not do a lot with a full 40-man roster. One must realize that the 40-man roster has 40 players on it. That means the Twins were focused on protecting their key players in the minor leagues.

 

The Park signing was real good. How well it will pan out remains to be seen. But the signing was a surprise. Trading away Aaron Hicks was not too surprising, but acquiring CA John Ryan Murphy in the trade with the Yankees was a bit surprising. And a real good move – with both teams trading from strength.

 

Yes, some expected signings of FA relief pitchers. It didn't happen. I think in part because we have some solid minor league relief pitchers waiting for their chance – Nick Burdi and Taylor Rogers both pitched well in the AFL.

 

It's easy to criticize a lack of activity. But one must remember the Twins have several very good prospects - which needed to be protected. Hence the filled 40-man roster. Hence a lack of activity.

 

If we had signed a FA relief pitcher for big bucks, I can see critics hailing it at first, but when reality sets in, you realize the player is blocking a really good prospect. 

 

I fully expect to see Burdi in the major leagues this year, as a relief pitcher. They got Abad on a minor league deal. It would not surprise me if both of them ended up on the roster early in the season.

 

I think the Twins surprised some people this offseason by their lack of activity. But I think they will also surprise some people when they win more than 80 games this season – with no players on the MLB's top 10 list of players by position. Dozier might make it, but he will likely be the only one.

 

Can the Twins – with very few if any top-10 players by position – actually reach the playoffs in 2016? I say YES, because they have a balanced team.

 

MLB is, after all, a team sport.

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It appears as though you see a C as a negative grade when in fact it's middle of the road and average.

 

I agree with you, the Park signing was good, and I'm actually on board with offering MiLB deals. Why I gave them a C though is because much is still contingent upon what they do as the season plays. The grade is reflective of the moves made this offseason.

 

I believe the way the offseason was handled however has the potential to play out in a best possible scenario type narrative.

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You could have given them an incomplete! Because the grade will be determined by whether their decision makers promote young talent with an upside, or come north with this years version of Tim Stauffer, et al. After the inexplicable purchase of a DH, I would have traded Plouffe, preferably for a catcher. If I couldn't have gotten a suitable catcher for Plouffe, then I would have made the Hicks trade, and traded Plouffe anyway. Bottom line, someone should have gone after the Park deal. As for the SP, Ryan made his bed, and he's stuck with it. And I have no problem with the BP, we have the arms coming along. Let's use them. Whether they do, and the Buxton decision will determine this years outcome, and likely next years as well.

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You could have given them an incomplete! Because the grade will be determined by whether their decision makers promote young talent with an upside, or come north with this years version of Tim Stauffer, et al. After the inexplicable purchase of a DH, I would have traded Plouffe, preferably for a catcher. If I couldn't have gotten a suitable catcher for Plouffe, then I would have made the Hicks trade, and traded Plouffe anyway. Bottom line, someone should have gone after the Park deal. As for the SP, Ryan made his bed, and he's stuck with it. And I have no problem with the BP, we have the arms coming along. Let's use them. Whether they do, and the Buxton decision will determine this years outcome, and likely next years as well.

 

Address that initial sentiment in my bullpen belief piece today. I understand and am ok with the strategy as long as it's followed all the way through.

 

As far as trading Plouffe, I'll disagree. On a team up and coming, stockpiling talent is a must. If Sano is a massive trainwreck in the outfield and you have to make room for him, you can still deal Plouffe then. If everything goes as planned, not extending Plouffe will hurt as he's going to get $10m plus through arb a year from now.

 

Regardless, much of how this offseason played out can be further commented upon once the season is underway and the process plays out (or doesn't).

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