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What If Sano In The Outfield Works?


Ted Schwerzler

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For the next couple of months, Target Field will have plenty of snow in the outfield. When the whether turns warmer and the Twins return home from spring training in sunny Fort Myers, there may be a different Sano in the outfield. Puns aside, what happens when Miguel Sano in right field for the Twins works out wonderfully?

 

Let's clear a couple of things up here. First and foremost, it appears Trevor Plouffe is not going to be traded. Terry Ryan has been adamant that the Twins don't have nay intentions of moving their third basemen, and after the year he had last year, it's hard to argue with him. I have been a proponent of giving Plouffe an extension, and while that notion has cooled, he's a bat they probably can't replace.

 

Secondly, there's a distant possibility that the Opening Day outfield for Minnesota could rival some of the worst in major league history. In this scenario, Byron Buxton starts the year at Triple-A Rochester, meaning the three big league spots would be filled by Oswaldo Arcia, Eddie Rosario, and Sano. There's no denying this construction has the makings of a horribly bad defensive unit. Logically though, I think it's a pretty sound bet that Buxton begins the year where he belongs, at the highest level.

 

Now that we have some parameters set, it's time to get into it.

 

The outfield utilized most often by the Twins a season ago featured Torii Hunter in right field. For everything he was as a veteran leader and statue of nostalgia, he was virtually that in the outfield, a statue. Hunter gave the Twins a -8 DRS (defensive runs saved) mark, as well as contributing just a 0.3 UZR (ultimate zone rating).

 

Providing some background understanding when it comes to UZR, here is how it breaks down. UZR is essentially how outfielders are quantified from a complete defensive value. Calculated by looking at how many runs are saved by an outfielder's arm, turning double plays, someone's range, and how many errors are committed in relation to league average, it's quite a comprehensive number. Looking at Hunter's mark, he was essentially a wash when it came to overall value.

 

Knowing that Plouffe staying at third gives the Twins a positive outcome when considering replacements, it's time to look at the expectations for Sano and his new role. As things stand right now, it appears Ryan and Molitor are split on where Sano would best be suited. Molitor has noted that Sano may be best fit in left, as he sees the ball off the bat in that situation at third. Ryan however, thinks that the ground needing to be covered in left would be best suited for the likes of a more natural outfielder, meaning Sano would be destined for right.

 

Regardless of which position he plays, Sano has a few things going for him. Last season, had the Twins gone with Eddie Rosario, Byron Buxton, and Torii Hunter for the entirety of the season, their DRS total would have been something like 26. That mark would have been good enough for the 5th best outfield in the big leagues (trailing just Tampa Bay, Arizona, the Royals, and Mets). Also, Hunter didn't set the bar incredibly high.

 

There's little doubt that on the field, Hunter's presence was most felt in the batters box. Despite the mass amount of times he's going to strike out, there's little reason to believe Sano won't be a superior hitter to the 2015 version of Torii Hunter in nearly every way. Defensively, Sano possesses better speed and quickness, while owning a significantly superior arm.

 

That brings us to what Sano's biggest deficiency is going to be. After having played infield for the entirety of his career, the Twins are asking a hulking 260 pound 22 year-old to play a position completely foreign to him. The outfield is far more than just getting under pop flies, and while learning the best routes to balls is a feat all its own, there's also understanding situations, cutoffs, and each stadium's quirks. Looking at what lies ahead of him, it's the instinctual part of the game that will provide the biggest challenge.

 

At the end of the day, Miguel Sano in the outfield for the Twins is quite the proposition. It's a scary one to say the least, and one that Byron Buxton not being to his side gets worse. The silver lining though is that it could actually work, and if it does, the Twins are much better positioned than they are if they move Trevor Plouffe simply to accommodate having too many pieces.

 

For more from Off The Baggy, click here. Follow @tlschwerz

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My only problem is having Sano play right field. With all the different parts of the wall it will be hard for a player playing a new position to also have to deal with. There are so many different surfaces on the wall the gives of a different ricochet in so many places. Just put him in left, hope Buston can turrn the corner and play center and have Rosario in right and platoon Arcia.

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My only problem is having Sano play right field. With all the different parts of the wall it will be hard for a player playing a new position to also have to deal with. There are so many different surfaces on the wall the gives of a different ricochet in so many places. Just put him in left, hope Buston can turrn the corner and play center and have Rosario in right and platoon Arcia.

 

I'm torn on which field i like him better in. Right field is tricky, but learning the quirks of each park is going to be a process no matter what corner he's in. Using him in left exposes his speed deficiency and doesn't utilize his plus arm as much.

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Rather than move everyone around I'd leave Rosario alone in left.  With Buxton's speed you can maybe shade him a little more over toward covering right-center to account for Sano being out there.  As long as Sano drops some weight and is willing to put in the work it really shouldn't be a big defensive downgrade over Hunter.  Eventually Sano moves to 3rd or 1st but a couple years down the road the Twins will have time to know what they have or don't have with guys like Park,Kepler, Walker, etc and Mauer will be on his way out.  

 

Trading Plouffe now in my opinion is too much of a risk unless they acquired a proven bat as well.  He's unspectacular but solid and in their lineup one of the only guys who isn't a major question mark.  I hope Park turns out to be a steal but if there was a consensus among scouts that he could be a middle of the order hitter in MLB it would have taken more than $12.85M to win a bid for the guy.  At this point he is nothing more than a lotto ticket.

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