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The Twins Final Weapon


Ted Schwerzler

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August comes to a close, the Twins have rebounded from a lackluster middle of the summer, and an AL Wild Card spot is once again in the cards. Miguel Sano and Byron Buxton have paced the offense, and Paul Molitor's club is rolling. Heading into September, there's one more weapon the Twins have at their disposal however: La Maquina.

 

Spanish for "The Machine," La Maquina describes and defines Jose Berrios in a way no other phrase can. The Puerto Rican superstar has put together another amazing season in the Twins farm system, and Terry Ryan is running out of reasons not to deploy him. With Berrios laying waste to opposing hitters, he very well could be the final missing piece to helping the Twins capitalize on their good fortune this season.

 

A year ago, Berrios blitzed the Twins system. Generally regarded for slow-playing even the best prospects. Berrios pitched at three different levels in 2014. Making 16 starts for Fort Myers, followed by eight for New Britain, and finally a spot start for Triple-A Rochester, it appeared Berrios had arrived. Unfortunately, not everyone saw it that way.

 

Keith Law had Berrios in the 90's when it came to his top prospect list. The Twins invited him as a non-roster guy to Spring Training, but he was shipped out rather quickly. All of it has fueled Berrios' fire. In 2015, he's done everything possible to substantiate his impressive 2014. With a 3.08 ERA in 15 Double-A starts, he's actually been even better at Triple-A Rochester.

 

For the Red Wings, Berrios owns a 2.78 ERA across 10 starts and 64.2 innings. He's compiled a career high 155.1 IP and owns a 10.2 K/9 at the highest level of the farm. Since giving up four and five earned runs respectively in his first two Triple-A starts, Berrios has put together a run of 54.0 IP allowing just 38 hits, 12 runs (11 earned), walking nine, striking out 61, all to the tune of a 1.83 ERA. Opposing batters are slashing just .197/.252/.316 off of him, and it all adds up to Berrios being nothing short of dominant.

 

Since being under the microscope in August, Berrios has taken his game to yet another level. With a September call-up being a possibility, the Twins best pitching prospect has reeled off performances of 12, 10, eight, and nine strikeouts in his last four outings respectively. To put icing on the cake, it was the 12 strikeout, three hit performance on August 26th that general manager Terry Ryan was in the stands for.

 

Keeping Berrios at the Triple-A level is no doubt the business side of baseball. Not yet on the 40 man roster, the Twins would need to do some finagling to get him up to the big leagues. More than that however, his service time would begin, and Minnesota would lose out on an extra year of team control. Down the line, that no doubt could cost a team generally looking to maximize their spending.

 

On the flip side, the Twins absolutely had no business being in the spot they currently find themselves in. Beginning to compete a year ahead of schedule, and doing so with top prospects in tow, Molitor's boys have presented an intriguing situation. With a month left of games to go, it's Berrios that undoubtedly could provide the final boost to put the Twins over the top.

 

If the top prospect ends up being the pitcher the Twins expect him to be, he's going to need to get paid down the line. Minnesota will need to cough up the cash earlier than expected if his promotion happens, but maximizing winning potential when it's there may make sense. A worst case scenario may look like a Berrios promotion only to miss the playoffs, but that experience could prove vital in a more important 2016 season anyways.

 

How the Twins value future cash flow and contract status will likely be the determining factor, but considering how this club has performed against the odds thus far, Berrios would be a welcomed final piece. Terry Ryan dipped his toes in the water when he traded for Kevin Jepsen and Neal Cotts, but now it's time to dive in. Unleash La Maquina.

 

More: From Puerto Rico To The Pros: The Jose Berrios Story

 

For more from Off The Baggy, click here. Follow @tlschwerz

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I would be surprised if he brings him up. Ryan will likely lean on the innings limit thingy again. That said, someone else who called for his promotion made a point of mentioning Berrios use in high leverage situations. That is not normally the "Twins Way". And if they are not going to actually use him when it really counts, then they should not burn a year to use him in Graham type of work. This is not to suggest I think Berrios is not capable, it just means I don't think they will trust important innings to him. The Duffey experiment was so far successful. But it was driven by necessity. Without injuries, neither Duffey, Buxton, or I think even Hicks would even be here. TR prefers to dip his toes into well aged water.

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I would be surprised if he brings him up. Ryan will likely lean on the innings limit thingy again. That said, someone else who called for his promotion made a point of mentioning Berrios use in high leverage situations. That is not normally the "Twins Way". And if they are not going to actually use him when it really counts, then they should not burn a year to use him in Graham type of work. This is not to suggest I think Berrios is not capable, it just means I don't think they will trust important innings to him. The Duffey experiment was so far successful. But it was driven by necessity. Without injuries, neither Duffey, Buxton, or I think even Hicks would even be here. TR prefers to dip his toes into well aged water.

 

Having spoken to Berrios and his trainer, it sounds like his body has responded pretty well and they are both happy with where he's at. I'd guess he's got another 20 innings in him, or roughly three starts. I don't see the Twins bringing him up to pitch out of the pen. If they do, I believe he starts.

 

While being somewhat on the fence a week ago, I'd be on board with getting him up now. Losing the year of service time is a concern, but you are going to end up paying regardless if he's that good. Still contending while just tip toeing around aggressiveness, Berrios is a controllable move that could put you over that top.

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Note - a player and a player's trainer are always going to say that their player is ready for more. No question Berrios put in the work ,but the Twins need to keep him to 175, maybe 180 innings at most (in my opinion). 

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Note - a player and a player's trainer are always going to say that their player is ready for more. No question Berrios put in the work ,but the Twins need to keep him to 175, maybe 180 innings at most (in my opinion). 

 

This goes without saying...of course they are always going to side with taking on more.  As I mentioned, a realistic number would be 20 more innings, or the same 175-180 threshold you have him at.

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