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Sano Is More Than A Superstar For Twins


Ted Schwerzler

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July 2nd, 2015 is a day that will likely go down in the archives of the Minnesota Twins history books. With Minnesota looking to capitalize on some early-season, out-of-nowhere success that had them in the middle of a Wild Card race, the organization called on a 22-year-old prospect. Miguel Sano made his major league debut, and since, there's been no turning back.

 

I was under the impression that Sano's power was real, that in and of itself was pretty evident. The expectation that he could have started the season with the Twins and clubbed 20+ home runs was a pretty fair assessment. He probably would have hit around the Mendoza Line, but the power was going to play. What he has done though, is something that makes him so much more than the Twins next superstar.

 

To this point in the season, Sano owns a .284 average and has a .949 OPS. In just 34 games, he's crushed seven home runs (with one multi-home run game). Sano has accumulated 10 doubles, and has plated 25 runs. While he's struck out a healthy amount (47 times in 141 plate appearances), he's also walked a respectable amount (23). As a whole, Sano's production has equaled a 1.1 fWAR mark. That fraction of a season sample size is impressive, but it carries some real weight when given a full season look.

 

Averaged out across 162 games, Miguel Sano's pace is as follows: .284 avg 81 runs 157 hits 48 doubles 33 home runs and 119 runs batted in. It all adds up to a 5.2 fWAR (or one of the top 25 best players in the game).

 

Those numbers alone put Sano into another realm of stardom. Minnesota has not had a 30+ home run output since 2012 (Josh Willingham 35), and while Brian Dozier is on pace to join the club this season, it's Sano who profiles as a yearly producer. His 119 RBI would be the most since Justin Morneau plated 129 runs in 2008. Most impressively, it's not the numbers alone that elevate Sano for the Twins.

 

Sano is a charismatic individual that has the personality to be the face of a franchise. With Joe Mauer stepping aside to usher in the next wave of youth, the Twins young stars will become the emulated ballplayers of the future. Sano's smile, personality, and approach to the game is everything Terry Ryan and the Twins could have possibly hoped for.

 

As Miguel Sano continues to settle into the rigors of the big league lifestyle, he will only become more comfortable. What once looked like an exciting power hitting prospect, is rounding out to be one of the best young players in the game right before our eyes.

 

What may make things even all that much more exciting for Twins fans is the fact that an even bigger name is preparing to break loose. His name, Byron Buxton.

 

For more from Off The Baggy, click here. Follow @tlschwerz

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Do we not remember what happened to Danny Santana and Kennys Vargas after great debut years last year?  Superstar status doesn't happen after 1 season, let alone 34 games.

Of course it doesn't. Comparing guys that were considered fringe level prospects to a top 5 prospect in MLB though probably isn't a great plan of action...

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Of course it doesn't. Comparing guys that were considered fringe level prospects to a top 5 prospect in MLB though probably isn't a great plan of action...
Arcia was arguably as good a hitter in the minors, and is back there. And Dozier is finding out that if you only hit one pitch out of the park, it leaves an awful lot of plate to cover. I do agree Sano will be awfully good. But I think the annointment might be premature. Plus, since that epic day in July, I think the Twins are about 15-20.
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Arcia was arguably as good a hitter in the minors, and is back there. And Dozier is finding out that if you only hit one pitch out of the park, it leaves an awful lot of plate to cover. I do agree Sano will be awfully good. But I think the annointment might be premature. Plus, since that epic day in July, I think the Twins are about 15-20.

 

The Win-Loss record has nothing to do with Sano or any individual player. Obviously it takes more than one player for a team to win on any given day or over any period of time. 

 

Also, check the Walk:Strikeout rates of the Santana, Vargas and Arcia trio compared to Sano. Much better knowledge of the strike zone.

 

Obviously, he'll have to make a bunch of adjustments over time. 

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First off, I don't recall mentioning Santana or Vargas in my comment. That said, I am not sure if your data represented minor league or MLB numbers or both. Either way, Sano does draw walks, and does strike out a lot. I don't need advance metrics to tell me that he is not the free swinger that Oswaldo is. As Nelson pointed out in his article, Arcia had 34 HR's in his part time seasons, third most for anyone under 24. That's not chump change. His numbers when he got injured were decent, and unlike everyone else when his medical issues cleared, he just got left in Rochester. Something is amiss there, as his hot streak numbers nor his cold streak numbers seem Immaterial to his return. Back to Sano. I love him. I went to Beloit just to see him play. My comments were meant to address that the fawning may be slightly premature. I am not sure he has even been to all the parks in the AL Central yet?

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First off, I don't recall mentioning Santana or Vargas in my comment. That said, I am not sure if your data represented minor league or MLB numbers or both. Either way, Sano does draw walks, and does strike out a lot. I don't need advance metrics to tell me that he is not the free swinger that Oswaldo is. As Nelson pointed out in his article, Arcia had 34 HR's in his part time seasons, third most for anyone under 24. That's not chump change. His numbers when he got injured were decent, and unlike everyone else when his medical issues cleared, he just got left in Rochester. Something is amiss there, as his hot streak numbers nor his cold streak numbers seem Immaterial to his return. Back to Sano. I love him. I went to Beloit just to see him play. My comments were meant to address that the fawning may be slightly premature. I am not sure he has even been to all the parks in the AL Central yet?

 

My point is much simpler than you are trying to make it however. You don't compare Brian Dozier or Oswaldo Arcia as a measuring stick to Sano at any point in the minor league careers. Arcia and Dozier were nowhere near the same level of prospect.

 

Sano has an incredibly small sample size yea, he also has an incredibly high ceiling that his success has only pushed higher.

 

As far your comment about Arcia production being disregarded in relation to how he's handled, wait til September. He had a hot HR streak but struck out a ton and did little else. Now he can't hit his was out of a paper bag and is hurt. I wouldn't be surprised if he gets a shot in September because the Twins have to make a decision on him in 2016, but I wouldn't be shocked if he was looked over either.

 

At its core though, Miguel Sano and Oswaldo Arcia shouldn't be compared in projecting past results or future success.

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Sano is a charismatic individual that has the personality to be the face of a franchise. With Joe Mauer stepping aside to usher in the next wave of youth, the Twins young stars will become the emulated ballplayers of the future.

 

Have to question the Mauer stepping aside statement.  I'm not seeing Mauer stepping  aside willingly for the next 3 seasons given he has $23M reasons not to.  A lot can happen between now and then.

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