Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • entries
    293
  • comments
    1,049
  • views
    246,408

Three trades the Minnesota Twins need to make right now: Part II


Thrylos

2,494 views

 Share

Twins Video

Originally published at The Tenth Inning Stretch

---

 

Yesterday, in the first part of this series, I suggested that the Twins trade Danny Santana, Mike Tonkin and Jake Reed to the Oakland Athletics for Ben Zorbrist and Tyler Clippard; and to promote Jorge Polanco as their starting shortstop. This will address the shortstop and right hand set up positions. They Twins would need to address their Catcher deficiency and they need another lefty in the pen to complement Brian Duensing, who has been unhitable this month, and his season numbers been victimized by a .448 Target Field BABIP. I do not believe that 27 year old Ryan O'Rourke with 18 innings pitched above AA, including his current stint with the Twins, is the answer to this position for a contender. The Twins will solve that problem and the catcher problem in this trade.

 

Trade Number 2:

 

Tommy Milone and Jason Wheeler to the Phillies for C Carlos Ruiz and LHP Jake Diekman

 

Why would the Twins do it?

 

 

 

Carlos Ruiz on paper is a aging catcher who is overpaid (singed until 2016 with about $12.5 million left in his contract) and under producing (.227/.316/.303 with a 74 OPS+). However, one needs to look closely at his production: In High Leverage situations, he is 8/27 with a .296 Batting Average, 5 BB and 3 K. He is hitting LHPs at a .276/.392/.448 pace. He is someone who thrives in competitive situations and someone who makes a team better. Pitchers love to throw to him. Defensively he is average, which is not something that can be said for the current Twins' starting catcher. Jake Diekman, whom I am certain is an unknown to most Twins' fans, will be in his first year of arbitration next season and had some inconsistency and butted heads with the previous Phillies manager, enough to be demoted to the minors. He will be arbitration eligible in 2016 for the first time. He is 28. So what is there to like? His 96-98 mph fastball, coupled with one of the most devastating lefty change ups in the business. The Phillies could see beyond his 5.19 ERA and the fact that he allowed 31% of the runners he inherited to score. His 3.40 FIP, 27.4 K% and .394 BABIP indicate that he is a prime candidate for a change of scenery. He does have closer stuff. Giving away Tommy Milone, in addition to being an addition by subtraction, bringing the Twins' FIP leader, Trevor May, back to the rotation, is a cash balancing move. He is making close to $3 million this season and he will be in the second season of arbitration next season. Jason Wheeler is a 24 year old LHSP with a career 36-26, 3.60 ERA (3.56 FIP), 1.362 WHIP, 6.2 K/9 record in 96 minor league games, who occupies a 40 man roster spot for the Twins, and does not have much future in the organization, other that a long reliever or bottom of the rotation starter.

 

 

Why would the Phillies do it?

 

The Phillies are rebuilding and they are in full fledged SALE mode, with the upcoming change in Front Office leadership. They will be saving enough money and getting a couple of young arms who they can potentially plug in their rotation right away and rely on them. Milone's staff might work better in the National League. Wheeler is a fastball, slider, changeup pitcher, with fastball being his best pitch and runs in the low 90s but with a lot of controllable movement. If one of his secondary pitches improves, he can actually be a serviceable starter or a bullpen piece, for a system that is really depleted of prospects.

 

http://www.rantsports.com/fantasy/files/2014/04/Carlos-Ruiz.jpg

----

 Share

3 Comments


Recommended Comments

You can't quantify high leverage situations as a reason to be offensively intrigued by a played unless you're willing to admit that a professional would try less hard in lower leverage situations. It's a non-repeatable situation and not something you would ever make a trade for.

 

On top of that, a 27 at bat sample size, with less than spectacular numbers, doesn't say much.

Link to comment
You can't quantify high leverage situations as a reason to be offensively intrigued by a played unless you're willing to admit that a professional would try less hard in lower leverage situations. It's a non-repeatable situation and not something you would ever make a trade for.

 

On top of that, a 27 at bat sample size, with less than spectacular numbers, doesn't say much.

 

There is truth to what you're saying, but it is theory. Why do the NBA players "seem" to try harder in the playoffs than the season? Why do at-bats seem to be thrown away in the middle innings, but the 9th inning they seem so much more focused? Shouldn't anyone be able to be a closer? All the innings are the same, right?

 

Having an incentive to play, whether you are a professional or not is a real thing. It may not be easy to quantify, but that doesn't make it less real. Apparently, you can't measure "clutch" either, but I am pretty sure I would like Mike Trout up with the game on the line even if the "data" didn't support it.

Link to comment

Hmm....  My first thought was "A 36YR OLD CATCHER?!?!?!" 

Then I thought, well why not, considering the current state of Twins catching.

I think I like the Diekman part more.

Link to comment
Guest
Add a comment...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...