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Shortstop, A Cry For Better Days


Ted Schwerzler

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Heading into spring training, and throughout much of it, there was talk that the Twins standout rookie Danny Santana could be challenged or even removed from the shortstop role due to the emergence of Eduardo Escobar. At the time, it was crazy talk, and it still remains in that context. The Twins absolutely needed to allow their surprising rookie to validate his performance, but now that fact is that he simply hasn't. Heading into the heat of the summer, Minnesota has a very important decision to make.

Looking at the baseball field as a whole, two positions can lay claim to a higher importance in the field than most; centerfield and shortstop. Both roles act as a field general of sorts and typically are manned by some of the best athletes on the team. Minnesota finds itself in a position where its shortstop ranks amongst the leagues worst in several defensive categories, and is offering little value elsewhere to boot.

 

After slashing an inflated .319/.353/.472 (mostly due to an unsustainable .400+ BABIP) in 2014, Danny Santana owns a paltry .226/.244/.305 slash line in 2015. He's walked just twice on the season, while accumulating 45 strikeouts. Despite being regarded as a speed threat, he has stolen just four bases while being caught three times (after being caught just four times in 24 attempts in 2014). On the defensive side of the ball, he's made 11 errors (just two in 34 games at SS in 2014), is worth -10 DRS (defensive runs saved), and owns a -5.1 UZR (Ultimate Zone Rating). All totaled, Santana is currently worth -0.7 fWAR (Wins Above Replacement) after posting a 3.3 value a season ago.

You absolutely had to expect a certain level of regression to hit Santana, his 2014 was otherwordly in context. What he's doing into 2015 however isn't regression. To put it simply, he's fallen off of a cliff. At this point, the Twins are nearing a crossroads where they must make a decision, and there's really only two options to consider. The first comes from within.

 

Jorge Polanco debuted with the Twins in 2014, making the leap from Single-A Fort Myers. Over the course of five games, he got eight plate appearances and collected a double and triple for his only two hits. This season in Double-A Chattanooga, he's continued his hot streak. The every day SS for the loaded farm team, Polanco owns a .323/.355/.435 slash line. He's hit four home runs, driven in 24 RBI, walked 10 times, and struck out in 30 at bats. His nine errors are somewhat indicative of his arm strength (or lack thereof), and being a better fielder is something he will need to continue to refine (35 errors in 119 games at SS in 2014).

Minnesota could take a long look at a Polanco for Santana swap sometime in the near future, but it may not rectify all of the issues. There's reason to believe Polanco could be a better hitter at the big league level, but he too could cede too many runs for the pitching staff's liking. That leads us to option number two, going outside of the organization.

 

Looking at what the Twins will do with promotions in 2015 and beyond, there's no shortage of logjams. From players like Polanco and Max Kepler, to pitchers like Stephen Gonslaves and Chih-Wei Hu, the Twins have plenty of other prospects not named Miguel Sano or Byron Buxton. Knowing that they may not be able to advance all of them through the system in it's current state, it may be time to deal some assets for immediate help.

Defensively, shortstop is a position that the Twins need to be sound. You probably need to go back to 2001 Cristian Guzman for a time you could point at the Twins having a true asset at the position. In going for a splash, the Twins could target a player like Andrelton Simmons to fill their vacancy. Not the aged All-Star that Troy Tulowitzki is, and potentially not commanding the same return that the Cubs Starlin Castro may require, Minnesota may find a match.

 

Undoubtedly, I'm not one to suggest trade scenarios, it's just not something I'm well versed in. That being said, Minnesota could be presented with pursuing that scenario on their own should they deem Polanco not the immediate answer. No matter what happens, the thing that remains most clear is that Danny Santana is not the option to roll with currently.

As the summer draws on and this team jostles for position, it will be in how the next few weeks play out that determine how the Twins position themselves for the stretch run.

 

For more from Off The Baggy, click here. Follow @tlschwerz

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I was lucky enough to go to three home games this last week. In every at-bat, Santana looked like he was swinging just to not miss the ball. There was no authority in the swing, no snap: each swing- regardless if it was the first pitch or a 1-2 count- looked like a defensive, "let-me-just-get-a-piece-of-it" swing. He needs to go down to get some confidence back in his swing, ala Vargas and Arcia.

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While a definite issue, it's not even so much that confidence is the biggest problem. Even when hitting, he's not an ideal asset. He's a hack defender and a black hole when it comes to OBP. While Polanco may bring a bat that helps us forget Santana, he too struggles on defense.

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What about Plan C.... Escobar?

 

Going into spring training I seem to remember a debate between Ryan and Molitor about what to do with Santana and Escobar. (Admittedly you really have to read between the lines in their public statements.) seemed like Ryan was ok with Santana back in CF as a stop gap and Escobar as full time SS, but Molitor's idea won out, with Santana getting a full time audition at SS and Escobar as utility. I agree completely that Santana should be moved off short. Two months is plenty of time to show something. You might have seen the game last Friday when the Jays pounded Trevor May and came back to win. Right before Donaldson's three run bomb, a Jays player hit a line drive to short which Santana (good positioning, by the way) jumped for, but didn't catch. It hit the bottom heel of Santana's glove, as opposed to the top of the webbing. Might have been one less run scored against us if Santana makes that nice catch. Little plays like that don't show up in the box score. I think Santana also got picked off by Buehrle that game too.

 

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I like giving Escobar some reps there with Polanco up as well and having them split time. Suggesting Escobar as the guy though doesn't do much for me. He's not a great hitter (despite what playing him as a DH would suggest) and he's a utility player at best. In over 770 innings last season at SS, Escobar was worth -6 DRS, that's not good either.

 

If the Twins are going to look to upgrade at a position near the trade deadline, and pair with their incoming depth, it should be the SS position. Polanco profiles as a guy who may hit, but shouldn't be expected to field either. Nick Gordon may someday be able to field the spot, but he's struggling to stay about .220 in the Midwest league at the plate.

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It's not like Danny was tearing up AAA in 2014. It was a fluke that he came up, was installed in centerfield when the Twins had NO outfield prospects on the 40-man, and he ran with it and excelled. The other plus was that Escobar ran with playing short and excelled.

 

Danny may never be as good as he was in 2014. He was exceptional. He was out of position. But did he really have a position with the Twins. Where was he truly ranked in their longterm prospect structure.

 

We keep going with Escobar. Yes, a vet over a prospect. Hope Polanco can get some facetime still this year in the majors. Bring back Danny as a reserve...the next...Escobar.

 

 

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