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Aaron Hicks 2.0 Is Ready


Ted Schwerzler

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In the spring of 2013, the Minnesota Twins promoted former first round pick, Aaron Hicks, to the Opening Day roster following spring training. That spring, he hit .370/.407/.644 with four home runs and 18 runs batted in across just 73 at bats. After dealing Denard Span and Ben Revere during the offseason, Minnesota needed their next ceneterfield, and they believed Hicks was the future. Fast forward to 2015, and you know how the story went. Fortunately for Hicks, the next chapter is yet to be written, and it looks like it's going to be must read.

In his first two big league seasons, Hicks has spent time between the major leagues, and different levels of the farm system. At the big league level, he has hit just .201/.293/.313 over the course of 150 games (or roughly one full season). There's no doubt that fans have grown cautious about expecting much more from a guy who's looked overmatched at the plate, and disinterested in the field. That all noted, it's time that the next chapter of Hick's story gets written.

 

Following a demotion to Double-A in 2014, Hicks had a significant reality check. After being shown what major league life looks like, he was sent back to the doldrums of the farm system, and forced to travel to games by bus. If you were unconvinced that would motivate the former first round pick, Hicks' numbers the rest of the season should calm those nerves. Ending 2014 playing in 67 minor league games (43 at Double-A New Britain and 24 at Triple-A Rochester), the centerfielder hit .291/.387/.441. Despite looking at abandoning his switch-hitting ways, Hicks focused and succeeded at the plate.

In being sent to Double-A in 2014, Hicks experienced a first in his professional career. He had never gone from Double-A to Triple-A in succession. While some prospects can skip the highest level of the minors, others benefit significantly from the continued progression. With Double-A often housing the higher prospects, it is in Triple-A where pitchers generally can pitch more than simply throw, and hitters are forced to deal with more refined breaking pitches each at bat. Hicks' struggles at the major league level were being reworked correctly for the first time in his career. After being promoted due to a strong spring and by need in the outfield, the Twins were putting Hicks in a position to best succeed.

 

Spring training kicked off for 2015, and Hicks didn't light anything on fire. As we've seen before however, numbers are rarely indicative of how a regular season is going to go. No doubt the bigger issue this spring for Hicks was his lack of focus at certain times in games. Not knowing situations or seeming disinterested was never going to be a good impression to place on first year manager Paul Molitor. Despite arguably being the best option to start in center for the Twins, Minnesota sent Hicks to Rochester to begin the season. Jordan Schafer and Shane Robinson were brought north, and Hicks was sent another message.

For the Twins in 2015, Robinson has done everything asked of him. He's played a strong defensive outfield, and he's surprisingly been an asset at the plate. On the flip side, Schafer has been anything but. Looking overmatched in the outfield, his .189/.218/.226 line does Minnesota no favors at the plate either. While his speed is valuable, he has been unable to use it struggling to get on base. With no stolen bases through the first month, it's time Minnesota moves on from Schafer and puts Hicks back in his role. This time however, the big league club should expect it to be different.

 

Through the first month of the season, Hicks has hit .289/.375/.494 for the Rochester Red Wings. He homered twice, drove in 13 runs, stolen two bases, and owns a 15/12 K/BB rate. After the success shown in Double and Triple-A last season, combined with his start in 2015, the Twins should be expecting a new Aaron Hicks, 2.0 if you will. While Molitor may still have to invoke some professionalism on the young man (just 25 years old), there's no doubt the Twins could use Hicks' talent on their roster.

Despite early returns not being where the club would have liked, 150 games prior to conventional promotions should not be the end of Aaron Hicks story. There's no doubt Target Field should be calling Hicks' name soon, and Twins fans should finally expect to be the better for it. Aaron Hicks 2.0 appears to be ready.

 

For more from Off The Baggy click here. Follow @tlschwerz

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I agree that it will be soon - but probably not before the end of May. Robinson has been better than expected and Schaefer has struggled, but provides a counter to Hicks" weaknesses against right handed pitching.

 

While Hicks may be ready - the prospect of DFAing either Robinson or Schaefer could bring back the sour memories of the Alex Presley/Darin Mastroianni debacle of last year.  

 

The front office is probably thinking that the next promotion of Hicks will be his last. As a result, they are going to want to be super comfortable making the move, which translates to a more conservative approach.  

 

It may take an injury to an outfielder to make this happen.

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While Robinson has been better than expected, it's best to remember the sample size. Take a look at Schafer's numbers after he was claimed by the Twins last year. There's no doubt in my mind Hicks should be up before June, as he should have been the opening day option for the reasons I mentioned above. Arcia's injury could expedite that.

 

The only reason I mention DFA'ing Schafer is becauSE I'm admittedly not sound with options. If he has one, sure send him down. He's not a quality enough defensive option to be a fourth OF over Robinson in my book however.

 

There's no doubt that this promotion for Hicks needs to be the last time he is sent down. Based upon the numbers he's put up and the success he's shown over the course of a more practical appraoch to the big leagues, I think he succeeds this time around.

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Outside of different results, I am not sure what makes him a 2.0.  I haven't heard a peep about attitude or work effort. I hope he has changed.

 

But we should promote him.  Buxton is on fire at AA.  The window of reps is not huge here.

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It seems people often struggle to separate past results with different plans of action. Hicks has not ever progressed through the system as he has currently, and the results suggest it's been a good thing. While his attitude has always been an issue, it's hardly the reason for lack of production.

 

The expectation should be that he will produce, and Molitor can rear his attitude in the right direction. As far as reps, Jordan Schafer is currently the Twins starting CF'er...sounds like plenty of replaceable opportunities to me.

 

Hicks and Buxton are mutually exclusive. If/when Hicks succeeds, his long term role is in LF, not CF.

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I agree that it will be soon - but probably not before the end of May. Robinson has been better than expected and Schaefer has struggled, but provides a counter to Hicks" weaknesses against right handed pitching.

 

While Hicks may be ready - the prospect of DFAing either Robinson or Schaefer could bring back the sour memories of the Alex Presley/Darin Mastroianni debacle of last year.  

 

The front office is probably thinking that the next promotion of Hicks will be his last. As a result, they are going to want to be super comfortable making the move, which translates to a more conservative approach.  

 

It may take an injury to an outfielder to make this happen.

Since neither Mastroianni nor Presley is in the big leagues now I feel that we can safely say we're over them.  Maybe even to the point of not calling that situation a debacle.

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Since neither Mastroianni nor Presley is in the big leagues now I feel that we can safely say we're over them.  Maybe even to the point of not calling that situation a debacle.

 

Organizationally, it was an issue considering depth. I'd tend to agree however that outside of a body, it wasn't an issue. The Twins have more than just bodies at this point as well.

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Outside of different results, I am not sure what makes him a 2.0.  I haven't heard a peep about attitude or work effort. I hope he has changed.

 

But we should promote him.  Buxton is on fire at AA.  The window of reps is not huge here.

You're right, we don't know what has changed.  And if you're also right that the only thing that's changed is results, then I'm good with that.

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You're right, we don't know what has changed.  And if you're also right that the only thing that's changed is results, then I'm good with that.

 

That's similar to where I was coming out of spring training. Considering Molitor is a new voice, and one that seems more demanding than Gardy, I put the onus to change attitudes on him. Hicks needs to/may have/still can mature, but the results alone were indicative of him being the best option from the get go.

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Doubt Schaefer has options, otherwise the Braves wouldn't have waived him last year.    However, I am happy to be corrected on this point.

 

While Robinson's numbers are suspect.  He has played a strong defense. 

 

There is probabably a bit of, "it ain't broke . . ."  in the Twins clubhouse, combined with the roller coaster ride that is Hicks, I just don't see them pulling the trigger soon.  

 

I would like to be wrong, but I think they have been fooled too many times with glimpses from Hicks that they are going to be very deliberate on the next decision. 

 

He is only 25 after all.   Lorenzo Cain did not play regularly for KC until after that age.

 

 

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Yeah, I'd guess he'd need to be DFA'd too, but that's not something that would be a deterrent for me. There's organizational depth that spans further than simply bodies.

 

Robinson is hitting far better than he should be, but defensively he makes sense. Schafer has been more liability than positive in the outfield, thus making Robinson a more ideal 4th outfielder given the current situation.

 

Hicks has built up a significant amount of negative when it comes to his body of work. There's no doubt that plays into this to some level. However, to for the club to continue to dismiss the positive that would result in him being brought up in exchange for a guy with a sub 1.0 War over six years isn't a glaring endorsement of your confidence in development either.

 

Like I mentioned, his "too many times" is a comprehensive amount that equates to virtually one season. He's 25, that's far off from time I'm giving up on an athlete like that.

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 If/when Hicks succeeds, his long term role is in LF, not CF.

Hicks should be a RIGHT-fielder with one of the strongest throwing arms in the organization.

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"On the flip side, Schafer has been anything but. Looking overmatched in the outfield, his .189/.218/.226 line does Minnesota no favors at the plate either. While his speed is valuable, he has been unable to use it struggling to get on base. With just two steals through the first month, it's time Minnesota moves on from Schafer and puts Hicks back in his role. This time however, the big league club should expect it to be different."

 

Schafer has zero steals this year so far, and was caught stealing yet again on Monday night, for 0/3 now for the year. In spring training, he was only succesful in 3 of 6 attempts as well. All that speed and he can't buy a steal so far. He is getting worse at stealing. He did, however have a good night at the plate for a change and made a great diving catch to save a run in the eighth, but he usually looks lost in the outfield with terrible routes to the ball. That inside the park homer the other night was because he just can't seem to gauge where the ball is going.

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 If/when Hicks succeeds, his long term role is in LF, not CF.

Hicks should be a RIGHT-fielder with one of the strongest throwing arms in the organization.

 

No doubt he'll be in one of the corners. I think LF makes sense, but if Arcia is going to stick, you probably need Hicks in RF.

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"On the flip side, Schafer has been anything but. Looking overmatched in the outfield, his .189/.218/.226 line does Minnesota no favors at the plate either. While his speed is valuable, he has been unable to use it struggling to get on base. With just two steals through the first month, it's time Minnesota moves on from Schafer and puts Hicks back in his role. This time however, the big league club should expect it to be different."

 

Schafer has zero steals this year so far, and was caught stealing yet again on Monday night, for 0/3 now for the year. In spring training, he was only succesful in 3 of 6 attempts as well. All that speed and he can't buy a steal so far. He is getting worse at stealing. He did, however have a good night at the plate for a change and made a great diving catch to save a run in the eighth, but he usually looks lost in the outfield with terrible routes to the ball. That inside the park homer the other night was because he just can't seem to gauge where the ball is going.

 

Sorry, definitely a typo there. Meant to say he was caught stealing twice on the season. Agreed however that he brings very little value to this club. With Hicks looking like an ideal CF option at Triple-A, the Twins should be considering their 4th OF options. With Robinson hitting and defensively sound, he is much more of an asset than anything Schafer has brought to the table.

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