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First Cut at the Twins' 25-man Opening Day Roster and Analysis of Remaining Spring Training Battles


Thrylos

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Twins Video

Originally published at The Tenth Inning Stretch

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After the 18 recent cuts the Twins made (some of them unannounced yet) yesterday, the camp roster was trimmed to 43 players. I did provide a break down of those players by position yesterday, also mentioning whether they have options or whether they are on the 40-man roster. Based on these numbers, I am taking a preliminary look at the Twins' potential opening day roster, position by position:

 

Position players (13)

 

Catchers (2/3)

 

Suzuki, and one of Pinto/Fryer/Herrmann. Herrmann might be added as a third catcher/Utility. Fryer is not on the 40-man roster

 

Infield (6/7)

 

Mauer, Dozier, Santana, Escobar, Plouffe. One or both of Vargas and Nunez. Nunez is out of options

 

 

Outfield (4/5)

 

Arcia, Hunter and two or three of: Hicks, Rosario, Robinson, Schafer. Schafer is out of options, Robinson is not on the 40-man roster.

 

Pitchers (12)

 

Starting Pitchers (5)

 

Hughes, Santana, Nolasco, Gibson; one of Milone, Pelfrey, May, Meyer. All have options, but Pelfrey has to accept assignment.

 

 

Relief Pitchers (7)

 

Perkins, Duensing, Fien

 

one or two of Milone, Pelfrey, May, Meyer

 

two or three of Pressly, Stauffer, Thielbar, Tonkin, Achter, Graham, Thompson, Boyer, Pryor, Hamburger. Stauffer and Graham (rule 5) have no options, Boyer and Hamburger are not on the 40 man roster.

 

These are the major battles right now in the Twins' camp:

 

The Starting Centerfielder and fourth outfielder: Hicks/Scafer/Rosario/Robinson. The first two have higher probability to win the CF starter. If Scafer wins, both Hicks and Rosario will be optioned because they will need to play daily, making Robinson the fourth outfielder. If Hicks or Rosario win the starting position, both Schafer and Robinson can make it as a fifth outfielder. Robinson is on the 40-man roster, but might take Graham's spot if he does not stick. Verdict: Too early to tell, but looks like Hicks & Scafer will be the 2 who are going north

 

The backup Catcher: Pinto, Herrmann and Fryer are fighting for one spot. Fryer is not on the 40-man roster, thus having a bigger mountain to climb. Herrmann will be in the utility fight as well. Verdict: Too early to tell, both Herrmann and Pinto have been good with the bat this Spring, Fryer has not, but has been very good with the glove. This might go until the last days.

 

The Utility Position: Nunez, the one of Schafer or Robinson who did not make the cut in the Outfield and Herrmann will be fighting for one position. Verdict: Too close. Scafer and Nunez are out of options, Robinson is not on the 40-man roster.

 

The 5th Starter and one or two bullpen positions: Milone, Pelfrey, May and Meyer are fighting for one spot. Verdict: Milone and Pelfrey are the forerunners here, in a battle that will be bought to the end with the loser going to the pen. I think that Meyer will likely start at Rochester; May has a chance to make the Twins' pen, thus getting 2 pen positions from this group.

 

The final 2-3 bullpen positions: Pressly, Stauffer, Thielbar, Tonkin, Achter, Graham, Thompson, Boyer, Pryor, Hamburger. The three most veteran pitchers in this group (Pressly, Stauffer and Tonkin) have been the Twins worst pitchers in Spring Training, while Hamburger, Pryor, Graham and Thompson have been shining. Verdict: This can go both ways. The safest would be to option May, and start with Stauffer, Thielbar and Graham. Would it be the best? Likely not, based on what Stauffer and Thielbar have shown. Will be interesting to see how this will shake out as well. This decision will also be very telling about Molitor's and Allen's philosophies.

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I'm pretty sure Milone has an option remaining. Further, I don't think he profiles as a reliever at all. IMHO, either he makes the rotation or he goes to Rochester (grudgingly).

 

I think Herrmann and Rosario were ticketed for Rochester, but have inserted themselves into the conversation with good performance to date. They have to be better than their competition to win a job going north.

 

I'm not happy about it, but I think both Meyer and May are going to Rochester to start the season. Stauffer has to pick it up or the Twins will walk away from his free agent contract. Graham is a wild card. If Pelfrey continues to throw well, he could make the rotation.

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Indeed re: Milone; thanks! Fixed it.  Did not realize that he was a Sept. callup in 2011 and did not go down at all in 2012.

 

Also agree with you about Herrmann and Rosario.  

 

As far as the others go, we have 3 weeks left of Spring Training.  The bullpen situation is the most unclear right now, because 2-3 good or bad games can move people one way or another...

 

Also, there might be trades.

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I still wish we had a better backup for catcher if Pinto needs to start at AAA.

 

I would almost go with Beresford over Nunez, depending on the outfield. If Santana goes to the outfield, then Escobar is not the backup.

 

Don't keep any pitcher because of salary. If even Nolasco sucks, let him walk. Sorry. Or if Gibson has a tough spring - AAA. 

 

Put together the best roster possible, including bench/backups and overall bullpen needs. Keep i mind that there ARE bodies in the minors than can contribute sooner rather than later...not quite ready to break camp but ready to ride the bench or start if someone goes down.

 

We don't need to keep giving jobs to journeymen who won't be around at all in 2016 or beyond.

 

 

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I'm glad Gibson has pitched well, because with competition for this final spot of the rotation, I'm not convinced Gibson might not have been one of the guys optioned. Looks like Milone is a couple lengths clear of the field to this point. 

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NEVER thought Rosario was in the mix for a day one spot. And yet...I'm starting to believe he has a shot. THAT would be a huge surprise. And not an unpleasant one.

 

Pinto is almost assuredly the backup at catcher barring just bad play, IMO.

 

I like Herrmann, always have. Always felt there was potential there as a solid bad and OK versatile position player. It's between he and Nunez for the final spot.

 

Nothing against Milone, but I want May or Meyer and the other to come up when Nolasco proves himself and gets traded. Right now, I think Milone is the man.

 

I don't think Stauffer is a given at all at this point. But Graham might be. So might be Pelfrey. That could leave Tonkin or someone taking Stauffer's spot. Kind of strange to feel the roster is almost set already.

 

Is that good or bad?

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