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Postseason Review--Brian Dozier


stringer bell

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In my book, Brian Dozier was the Twins best position player in 2013. He had a better year in 2014 and again I think he was the best everyday player on the team. Dozier is a study in contrasts--he isn't a big guy, but has led the team in home runs the last two years. He is a converted shortstop who has become totally comfortable as a second baseman. Most guys his size are told to "use the whole field", but he is perhaps the most pronounced pull hitter on the team, certainly among the right handed hitters.

 

Dozier had an up and down season. He started slowly, lifted his average through June and then tailed off. Dozier hit a bunch of homers early and continued hitting an occasional long ball until the All-Star break. The power tailed off from there and he was stuck on 20 homers for a long time. He finished with 23 long balls and 21 steals, one of only a handful of Twins all time to reach 20 in both categories.

 

One improvement Brian made throughout the season was his ability to take a free pass. He had 89 walks (3rd in the AL) and was hit by nine pitches giving him 98 walks to first base. Despite having nearly the same batting average, he increased his OBP by 33 points to .345. Dozier scored 112 runs (2nd in the AL), the most by a Twin in this century. He drove in 71 runs despite hitting first or second almost exclusively.

 

Dozier's defense was highly appreciated by TD regulars in 2013 and there was a carryover into 2014. He did make more than his share of web gems, but he committed too many errors (15). Dozier is a better than average defensive second baseman, but he needs to fight the urge to try to make the spectacular play sometimes.

 

While their personalities are polar opposites, Dozier reminds me of another Twins second sacker, Chuck Knoblauch. Each year Knoblauch added another facet to his game. Dozier added selectivity this year and I expect next year he'll be a better situational hitter or better bunter or perhaps win a Gold Glove. I think he has the desire to win and excel and the Twins need more of that.

 

Dozier has solidified his position with the Twins. If he doesn't improve at all, he still is a better than average player who can win a game with his bat, his glove and his legs on the bases. His durability, power, and defense and the fact that he'll be under team control for four more years make him desirable to other teams, but I believe he has great value for a Twins team that may be on it's way up. I expect Dozier to have another solid year in 2015 and be a major contributor when the Twins again are contenders.

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Well said. I am most encouraged that 2014 seemed to dispel 2013 as a fluke. Instead of "regressing" he did all of the good things from 2013 similarly or getter and improved in other ways. Definitely a guy to look forward to in 2015.

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Nothing but good things to say about the guy.  Plus, Gardy identified him as the leader of this team now.  Hopefully his improvement will be to cut down on his strikeouts and then we will have something special.

 

His fielding is as good as it gets - second base is really his spot.  All the athletic diving plays he makes just weren't possible when he was playing short.  He didn't have the time or the arm to pull off what he does at second.

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I didn't include some split information on Dozier.  His strong last week made his post-All Star numbers look pretty good after many had noted how he tailed off in the second part of the season.  Dozier's post All-Star OPS ended up at .739 (pre All-Star .776) and he actually improved his OBP (.352 post All-Star break).  Where Dozier slowed down was his power-speed numbers (five homers and five steals after the break).

 

In addition, Brian did a good job evening out his platoon splits in 2014.  His OPS vs. LH pitching was .804, while vs. RH pitching it was a still-solid .743.

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I won't condemn a player for errors made trying "too hard" to make a play. Further experience will make him even better. They dreaded "eye test" tells me he's a gold glove caliber defender, eventually at least. I attribute some second half slide in his production to being bounced around between 3 spots in the lineup, as well as perhaps needing a couple more days off here and there he didn't get, but could have between Escobar and Nunez. My future expectations would be a rise in BA but a dip in HR production. But I could live with the opposite if he keeps the OB and all the other numbers up.

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I don't know if it was his last error, but the one I remember clearly was Dozier ranging a long way to his left and trying to start a double play.  There was a runner on third (tying or lead run) and he really needed to take the safe out, but made a bad throw to second.  If the team was two runs ahead, it would be a no-brainer to throw to first.

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