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Offseason Blueprint: Let's Make a Trade


dbminn

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My 2020 Offseason Blueprint builds a Twins roster that can win the World Series within the next two years. I’ve tried to address the three weaknesses that TD staff have ably outlined in previous articles:

  • A rotation depleted by free agency and in need of a second front-line starting pitcher.
  • Poor infield defense.
  • An inability to attract first-tier free agents.

How do Falvey and Levine get the Twins that third World Series Title? Aggressive free agent signings and a blockbuster trade.

Pay for Pitchers

The Twins compete for a second level FA SP early and hard. The options are Bumgarner or Wheeler. Falvey signs Wheeler early in the offseason, inking him to a 5 yr/$90M contract. The first three years at $20 million, followed by two at $15M, with an opt-out after Year 2.

 

Pineda is resigned for 2/$24M. Graterol or Thorpe fill in until he returns from his suspension.

 

A Blockbuster Trade

 

Falvey firms up the middle infield and acquires another starting pitcher by trading from prospect depth. He agrees to a deal with the Colorado Rockies:

Twins get - Trevor Story (SS) and Jon Gray (SP)

Rockies get – Alex Kirilloff (OF), Jhoan Duran (SP), Ryan Jeffers ©, Nick Gordon (2B/SS), and Jorge Alcala (RP)

 

Story and Gray are both under control for two more years. At 27 and 28 years old, they are in the prime of their careers. Story averaged 5.5 fWAR in 2018 and 2019. He ranked in the top 3 of SS defense in 2019 and won the Silver Slugger award each of the past two years. Gray has racked up 12.2 WAR in 106 starts over the past four years. He has averaged a strikeout per inning.

 

In return, the Rockies replenish a farm system currently ranked 28th by Fangraphs. All of the prospects they receive have played at AA or higher. They will be big league contributors before the current crop of young Rockies become free agents.

 

(An alternate trade scenario would have the Twins send Royce Lewis, Duran and Alcala to the Rockies. Would you make this trade if it’s the best deal Falvey can make?)

Reorganize the Infield

With Story at SS, Polanco moves to 3B, Sano plays 1B and Cron is released. Arraez holds down 2B. Gonzalez and Adrianza remain as key multi-positional players.

Garver will start 100 games at C in 2020. Jason Castro is resigned at 2/$12M to back him up.

 

Bolster the Bullpen

Rogers, May, Duffey and Littell form a solid bullpen core. The Twins resign Sergio Romo (1/$4M) and successfully make the best offer for Drew Pomeranz (2/$12M).

The remaining two slots will be filled by Stashak, Romero, Thorpe and Smeltzer. Graterol starts the season in the rotation and moves to the bullpen after Pineda is reinstated.

The 2020 Roster

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I don't see the Rockies giving up Story in any deal, but I like the idea if the Twins could get it done. I would move Polaco to 2nd and Arraez to left and trade Rosario for a good starter like Glasnow if the Rays would do it.

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I don't see the Rockies giving up Story in any deal, but I like the idea if the Twins could get it done. I would move Polaco to 2nd and Arraez to left and trade Rosario for a good starter like Glasnow if the Rays would do it.

 

Trading Story is not out of the question. They went 71-91 last year with Story. They have only one prospect left that can help them in the next two years. They have no catchers anywhere in the organization and their OF sucks.

 

They do have some good young players on the team. They have 2 high-level prospects who play SS: Rogers and Hampson. The rest of their rotation, McMahon and Arenado will be around for several years. Kirilloff, Jeffers and Duran fit well with their needs. 

 

Then again, the Rockies front office hasn't done well with their roster. It's loaded down with Murphy, Desmond and Wade Davis. They seem to like signing old guys - so you're probably right!

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dbminn makes a GREAT point.  Their top prospect is a SS (Brendan Rogers) and he's blocked by Story.  Personally, I like this trade/plan better than the Mookie Betts speculation because Story stays a Twin for several years and he makes us better defensively.  The only thing I would do further is trade Eddie Rosario in a package to the D-Backs for Robbie Ray and Dinkel ?? (the kid who is just 25 and strikes everybody out.  I would still sign Pineda in this scenario and have a staff of:  Berrios, Wheeler, Gray, Odorizzi and Ray with Pineda to be available to start or relieve like Graterol.  That way you've got depth in the starting rotation and power arms in the bullpen.  If the Twins added Story, say hello to Kiriloff or Larnach in LF.  

1.  Arraez   3B

2.  Polanco 2B

3.  Cruz      DH

4.  Story     SS

5.  Kepler   RF

6.  Sano     1B

7.  Garver   C

8.  Kiriloff/Larnach  LF  (these 2 kids can flat out HIT)

9.  Buxton     CF

SP Berrios, Wheeler, Gray, Odorizzi, R. Ray

BP  T. Rogers, May, T. Duffey, Graterol, Pineda, Romo, etc...

 

This would be a HELL of a team !!!

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I like this idea but Ray is a free agent in 1 year (which is why they probably won't trade Dinkel) and I'm not sure why the D-backs would want Rosario. I think the Angels would trade a couple of their top prospects for Rosario which would give the Twins more trade chips to aquire starting pitching because everyone is going to be bidding their top prospects for Gray. The Twins will have to include either Kirilloff or Larnach to get him.

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Trading Story is not out of the question. They went 71-91 last year with Story. 

 

It was all a young, inexpensive shortstop with a 6.4 WAR's fault.  

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It was all a young, inexpensive shortstop with a 6.4 WAR's fault.  

 

They lost because the front office couldn't surround Story and Arenado with enough talent. 

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