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Brief Overview: Again, I previewed this team before (funny how division rivals work) and not much has changed for this squad except that they have gotten slightly worse after selling Homer Bailey, Jake Diekman, and Martín Maldonado. This is a team that wants to lose just as much as the Twins want to win and at 70 losses already, they are doing a fine job at that. Maybe the Twins can help them in their endeavors. What They Do Well: This team is still very fast! Despite the baseball meta shifting toward power and away from speed, the Royals stand as one of the few teams who refuse to evolve. They have swiped 91 bases and have four players with double-digit steals, a major difference in philosophy compared to the Twins who prefer smacking home runs and staying put (the Twins of course lead the league in homers but also are dead last in steals). Along with stealing, this team still plays excellent defense as their team defense rating on FanGraphs is the second highest in baseball and the highest in the AL. It shall be interesting to see if the Twins lose out on some scoring chances because of a nice diving catch or a well-played stop in the infield. Prepare to be annoyed. What They Do Not Do Well: How long do I have? Oh man… Well, this team is very poor in many ways. The first of which is that their starting pitching is the fifth lowest in MLB by fWAR. After trading Homer Bailey, only one of their starters has more than 1.0 fWAR (Brad Keller) and only two have tossed more than 100 innings so far this year. They have the fifth lowest starter K/9 in baseball but they make up for not being able to strike people out by walking them too much as their BB/9 is the seventh highest in baseball. They have decided to bring back the Mike-Montgomery-as-a-starter experiment and so far he has struck out just five in 11 1/3 innings. Amazing. On the hitting side of things, their 86 team wRC+ isn’t just Kurt Suzuki’s Twins wRC+, but also the fifth worst in baseball. Not being able to hit or get quality starting pitching is like trying to build a Lego house on a beach as a tsunami comes screaming in at you while you blissfully stay focused on your soon-to-be meaningless task. I suppose that makes the Twins the tsunami in this scenario which is kind of mean but hopefully not fully inaccurate. Individuals Of Note: I’m being somewhat mean so I’ll let up here. Their positional core of Whit Merrifield, Hunter Dozier, and Adalberto Mondesi is more than respectable as all have already reached the 2.0 fWAR mark this year. Although Mondesi has been on the IL since the middle of June and his status for the series is in question. Beyond them, they also have Jorge Soler who has put up a solid 116 wRC+ this year thanks in part to his 28 home runs. He represents their major power threat and will no doubt be in the middle of the lineup when he plays. They have also called up Bubba Starling somewhat recently and he is a very interesting player. Starling was the fifth overall pick in 2011 but saw his prospect status crater after he hit a wall at AA in 2015-2016. He stayed in the farm for much longer than he and the team anticipated, but now he is finally in the majors after years of waiting. His numbers so far are uninspiring, but he still holds some very interesting tools and is one of the few players whose athleticism could be compared to Byron Buxton with any hint of seriousness. On the pitching side of things, Brad Keller has been by far their best starting pitcher as he sits at the 1.7 fWAR mark. Despite striking out just 16.6% of batters, a number that even Pat Dean and his 16.7% Twins K rate scoffs at, Keller makes it work by getting an elite amount of ground balls as his 51.5% GB rate is the ninth highest among all qualified MLB starters. Ian Kennedy remains one of the very best relievers in baseball this year as he is eighth among all relievers in fWAR. It is somewhat surprising that basically no trade rumors came about focused on him but his contract probably discouraged some teams and so he remains a dominant force in the back-end of the Royals pen. Recent History: The Twins have played three series against the Royals this year and are 6-3 against them on the year. The Twins swept a two-game series in KC in April, then took two of three at home in June, and then split a four-game series in KC the same month. Recent Trajectories: The Twins are 8-8 over their last five series while the Royals are also 8-8. The Royals over that stretch swept the White Sox in a four-game series, took two on the road against the Braves, and also got swept in three at home against the Blue Jays, I have no clue what to make of that. Pitching Match-ups: Friday: Pérez vs Sparkman Saturday: Gibson vs Duffy Sunday: Odorizzi vs Keller Ending Thoughts: The Twins finally saw their schedule soften up a bit as they played the White Sox and the Marlins in back-to-back series and now they get another chance to pounce on a weak team. In my eyes, this team is on the verge of breaking out and getting back in the form we saw earlier in the year where they were taking care of teams with such a ruthless efficiency that hit-men around the globe nodded in approval. Now, before I predict what the series is, I must bring up the fact that I am a perfect 6-for-6 in my predictions so far, good thing I can use my clairvoyance for something as useful as this. The great news? I am feeling a sweep for the Twins as they take all three games against KC this weekend. You’re welcome.
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- minnesota twins
- kansas city royals
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Ah, the glorious feeling of coming home for an extended home stand and seeing the Kansas City Royals as your opponent. The Twins took care of business on the road and got rewarded with a great opportunity to put some distance between them and Cleveland. Unfortunately for me, Kansas City has yielded a low amount of known music acts so I am forced to make a Charlie Parker reference in my title. It was either this, Tech N9ne, or Puddle Of Mudd, I chose well.Brief Overview: Again, I previewed this team before (funny how division rivals work) and not much has changed for this squad except that they have gotten slightly worse after selling Homer Bailey, Jake Diekman, and Martín Maldonado. This is a team that wants to lose just as much as the Twins want to win and at 70 losses already, they are doing a fine job at that. Maybe the Twins can help them in their endeavors. What They Do Well: This team is still very fast! Despite the baseball meta shifting toward power and away from speed, the Royals stand as one of the few teams who refuse to evolve. They have swiped 91 bases and have four players with double-digit steals, a major difference in philosophy compared to the Twins who prefer smacking home runs and staying put (the Twins of course lead the league in homers but also are dead last in steals). Along with stealing, this team still plays excellent defense as their team defense rating on FanGraphs is the second highest in baseball and the highest in the AL. It shall be interesting to see if the Twins lose out on some scoring chances because of a nice diving catch or a well-played stop in the infield. Prepare to be annoyed. What They Do Not Do Well: How long do I have? Oh man… Well, this team is very poor in many ways. The first of which is that their starting pitching is the fifth lowest in MLB by fWAR. After trading Homer Bailey, only one of their starters has more than 1.0 fWAR (Brad Keller) and only two have tossed more than 100 innings so far this year. They have the fifth lowest starter K/9 in baseball but they make up for not being able to strike people out by walking them too much as their BB/9 is the seventh highest in baseball. They have decided to bring back the Mike-Montgomery-as-a-starter experiment and so far he has struck out just five in 11 1/3 innings. Amazing. On the hitting side of things, their 86 team wRC+ isn’t just Kurt Suzuki’s Twins wRC+, but also the fifth worst in baseball. Not being able to hit or get quality starting pitching is like trying to build a Lego house on a beach as a tsunami comes screaming in at you while you blissfully stay focused on your soon-to-be meaningless task. I suppose that makes the Twins the tsunami in this scenario which is kind of mean but hopefully not fully inaccurate. Individuals Of Note: I’m being somewhat mean so I’ll let up here. Their positional core of Whit Merrifield, Hunter Dozier, and Adalberto Mondesi is more than respectable as all have already reached the 2.0 fWAR mark this year. Although Mondesi has been on the IL since the middle of June and his status for the series is in question. Beyond them, they also have Jorge Soler who has put up a solid 116 wRC+ this year thanks in part to his 28 home runs. He represents their major power threat and will no doubt be in the middle of the lineup when he plays. They have also called up Bubba Starling somewhat recently and he is a very interesting player. Starling was the fifth overall pick in 2011 but saw his prospect status crater after he hit a wall at AA in 2015-2016. He stayed in the farm for much longer than he and the team anticipated, but now he is finally in the majors after years of waiting. His numbers so far are uninspiring, but he still holds some very interesting tools and is one of the few players whose athleticism could be compared to Byron Buxton with any hint of seriousness. On the pitching side of things, Brad Keller has been by far their best starting pitcher as he sits at the 1.7 fWAR mark. Despite striking out just 16.6% of batters, a number that even Pat Dean and his 16.7% Twins K rate scoffs at, Keller makes it work by getting an elite amount of ground balls as his 51.5% GB rate is the ninth highest among all qualified MLB starters. Ian Kennedy remains one of the very best relievers in baseball this year as he is eighth among all relievers in fWAR. It is somewhat surprising that basically no trade rumors came about focused on him but his contract probably discouraged some teams and so he remains a dominant force in the back-end of the Royals pen. Recent History: The Twins have played three series against the Royals this year and are 6-3 against them on the year. The Twins swept a two-game series in KC in April, then took two of three at home in June, and then split a four-game series in KC the same month. Recent Trajectories: The Twins are 8-8 over their last five series while the Royals are also 8-8. The Royals over that stretch swept the White Sox in a four-game series, took two on the road against the Braves, and also got swept in three at home against the Blue Jays, I have no clue what to make of that. Pitching Match-ups: Friday: Pérez vs Sparkman Saturday: Gibson vs Duffy Sunday: Odorizzi vs Keller Ending Thoughts: The Twins finally saw their schedule soften up a bit as they played the White Sox and the Marlins in back-to-back series and now they get another chance to pounce on a weak team. In my eyes, this team is on the verge of breaking out and getting back in the form we saw earlier in the year where they were taking care of teams with such a ruthless efficiency that hit-men around the globe nodded in approval. Now, before I predict what the series is, I must bring up the fact that I am a perfect 6-for-6 in my predictions so far, good thing I can use my clairvoyance for something as useful as this. The great news? I am feeling a sweep for the Twins as they take all three games against KC this weekend. You’re welcome. Click here to view the article
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- minnesota twins
- kansas city royals
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The Royals current record is 25-48, albeit with a pythag W/L of 31-42 that suggests some bad luck, but they still find themselves in the basement of a poor AL Central. What They Do Well The Royals have stolen the most bases in baseball and it isn’t even really particularly close (70 swipes, second place is 61). The main culprit has been Adalberto Mondesi whose 27 swipes is more than the entirety of 10 teams so far. After that, both Billy Hamilton and Whit Merrifield clock in with more than 10 steals. None of the three catchers who the Twins have employed rank notably well in pop time or arm strength according to Statcast so the Royals will certainly look to cause some havoc on the base paths against them. Defensively, the Royals rank as the fifth-best defensive team in baseball according to Fangraphs thanks in large part to their excellent range that FanGraphs has as the fourth best in MLB. Their defense is cemented by two great defensive catchers in Cam Gallagher and Martin Maldonado, great up-the-middle defense thanks to shortstop Adalberto Mondesi and second baseman Nicky Lopez, and the speedster Billy Hamilton in center who can make Twins fans understand what other fans feel whenever Byron Buxton robs someone of a hit. A great defense can be frustrating to play against both as a fan watching and as a team playing against said defense so I assume the Royals figured they might as well be annoying if they aren’t going to be good. What They Do Not Do Well Generally, when you compliment a team and the only two things you can come up with are speed and defense, that's a sign that you aren’t talking about a good team. The Royals have the eighth-worst wRC+ at 87 (as well as Danny Valencia hit with the Twins), their team FIP is the 12th worst in baseball at 4.56 (Grant Balfour’s Twins FIP was 4.54), their offense walks at a 7.7% clip (Denny Hocking or Matthew LeCroy, take your pick), and their pitchers strike out eight guys per nine (Matt Belisle’s Twins run has them beat at 8.04). To put it simply, this team is below average to bad in most offensive and pitching categories. Individuals Of Note Not to be incredibly down, the Royals do have a few interesting players of note. Hunter Dozier has accumulated 2.3 fWAR over 216 plate appearances this year (but he is currently on the IL and his status for the weekend makes it seem like he is unlikely to play), Adalberto Mondesi has continued to do well with his interesting combo of power (.172 ISO, 11th best among qualified SS) and speed (the aforementioned 27 steals), and Whit Merrifield is still the quality player at the bat and in the field that Twins fans have come to expect. On the pitching side of things, Homer Bailey is enjoying a strange renaissance as he sits at a 4.09 FIP on the year, a good .73 points below his ERA, and Ian Kennedy has had a resurgence as a reliever and he currently holds a 2.06 FIP thanks in part to a 30.4 K%. Recent History The last time these two teams played was … last series! The Twins took two of three at home with all three games being decided by two runs or fewer. The last time the Twins played Kansas City in Kansas City was the quick two-game series all the way back on April 2 and 3. The Twins took both games thanks to late heroics in both matches but would probably like to avoid needing that this time around. Ending Thoughts The Royals are tanking, yes, but divisional games on the road are never a given no matter the talent difference and a split series (in my opinion) would not be all too surprising. But as long as the Twins play like the Twins we know and love, they should be able to win some games against a Royals team that has no desire, nor much ability, to win this year.
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Minnesota is off to a great start after winning their first two series. Lots of things seem to be working in the Twins favor, but there is a lot of season left to be played. One of the biggest concerns came in Tuesday night’s extra-inning win in Kansas City. Byron Buxton went hurdling into the wall trying to make a catch. He ended up in a pile on the ground and had to be removed from the game. This isn’t the first time Twins fans have seen their young star come up injured on an aggressive play. Is it getting to the point where Buxton is being reckless?Aggressive Being aggressive is one of the reasons Buxton was able to walk away with a Platinum Glove in 2017. His ability to get to almost any baseball is what makes him one of the game’s best defensive center fielders. He can make highlight reel catches look effortless and defensive metrics support his superior defensive ranking. He added over 20 pounds of muscle this off season and even joked about running into walls at TwinsFest. “If I want to play the way that I want to play and run into walls, I’ve got to have a little bit more cushion,” he said. This was his first off-season where he made adding weight a focus. Luckily for Buxton and the Twins, he was able to get into the game on Wednesday. He started the game on the bench, but he was used as a late inning pinch runner. Buxton showed little sign of the injury bothering him as he was able to steal second base. Then, he came around to score the game-winning run on Eddie Rosario’s single. Minnesota has an off-day on Thursday before playing Bryce Harper and the Phillies on Friday. Buxton’s aggressiveness might not have cost the team anything this time around. In case you missed the play on Tuesday, here is a look at how Buxton was injured. Reckless At this early juncture of the season, Buxton seems to have more confidence at the plate, and he’s had some key hits for the club. Minnesota has a better offensive and defensive line-up with him on the field. This is one of the reasons diving into walls is a reckless decision. The calendar has barely turned to April. In the course of a 162-game season, one play isn’t going to be the difference in the outcome of the team’s season. Buxton suffering a serious injury could have greater consequences for the club. There was little chance of Buxton catching the ball. He could have played the ball off the wall and held Adalberto Mondesi to an extra-base hit. Tuesday’s play was reminiscent Buxton jumping into the wall at Yankee Stadium during the 2017 Wild Card Game. That was a winner take all game in October. At that time of year, it makes sense to try for a diving catch to keep the game close. It doesn’t make sense to try a similar play against a rebuilding Kansas City club on April 2. Buxton’s professional career has seen multiple injuries, but he seems to have made some great changes leading in to this season. It might be in his best interest to make another change this season. Try to find a balance between aggressiveness and recklessness so he can stay on the field for the entire year. What do you think about Buxton’s outfield play? Is he aggressive? Reckless? Or maybe a little of both? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. Click here to view the article
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- byron buxton
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Aggressive Being aggressive is one of the reasons Buxton was able to walk away with a Platinum Glove in 2017. His ability to get to almost any baseball is what makes him one of the game’s best defensive center fielders. He can make highlight reel catches look effortless and defensive metrics support his superior defensive ranking. He added over 20 pounds of muscle this off season and even joked about running into walls at TwinsFest. “If I want to play the way that I want to play and run into walls, I’ve got to have a little bit more cushion,” he said. This was his first off-season where he made adding weight a focus. Luckily for Buxton and the Twins, he was able to get into the game on Wednesday. He started the game on the bench, but he was used as a late inning pinch runner. Buxton showed little sign of the injury bothering him as he was able to steal second base. Then, he came around to score the game-winning run on Eddie Rosario’s single. Minnesota has an off-day on Thursday before playing Bryce Harper and the Phillies on Friday. Buxton’s aggressiveness might not have cost the team anything this time around. In case you missed the play on Tuesday, here is a look at how Buxton was injured. https://twitter.com/Royals/status/1113272380967849984 Reckless At this early juncture of the season, Buxton seems to have more confidence at the plate, and he’s had some key hits for the club. Minnesota has a better offensive and defensive line-up with him on the field. This is one of the reasons diving into walls is a reckless decision. The calendar has barely turned to April. In the course of a 162-game season, one play isn’t going to be the difference in the outcome of the team’s season. Buxton suffering a serious injury could have greater consequences for the club. There was little chance of Buxton catching the ball. He could have played the ball off the wall and held Adalberto Mondesi to an extra-base hit. Tuesday’s play was reminiscent Buxton jumping into the wall at Yankee Stadium during the 2017 Wild Card Game. That was a winner take all game in October. At that time of year, it makes sense to try for a diving catch to keep the game close. It doesn’t make sense to try a similar play against a rebuilding Kansas City club on April 2. Buxton’s professional career has seen multiple injuries, but he seems to have made some great changes leading in to this season. It might be in his best interest to make another change this season. Try to find a balance between aggressiveness and recklessness so he can stay on the field for the entire year. What do you think about Buxton’s outfield play? Is he aggressive? Reckless? Or maybe a little of both? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
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- byron buxton
- eddie rosario
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