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yarnivek1972

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Everything posted by yarnivek1972

  1. Supposedly, there was going to be a ST set up by the MLBPA to help FA get in to game shape for the season. If Lynn didn’t do this, that doesn’t say much for his work ethic IMO.
  2. Not sure I understand the logic of using a high FIP as an argument to stay away from Lynn. He would be coming to a team with one of the best defenses in MLB. Would seem to suggest that he would benefit from an elite defense.
  3. I still don’t believe Gibson has “turned things around”. I’ll believe it when he actually posts a sub 5 ERA for an entire season. I made the point last year that Gibson’s “turnaround” coincided with him facing some of the worst offensive teams in MLB down the stretch. Granted, he fared better against those dregs than other Twins starters, but I still want to see him pitch well against a half way decent offense a few times in a row before declaring him an asset. I was surprised he was tendered for 2017 and more surprised for this year, even given the lack of viable internal options. Kyle Gibson couldn’t have compiled two more similar seasons back to back if he tried. The likely conclusion is that is simply what he is IMO.
  4. Who’s to say pitchers pitch to Dozier the same way if he hits somewhere in the middle? His numbers with runners on are noticeably worse than his numbers with no one on. He has a .780 career overall OPS. It drops to .754 with runners on. IMO that likely has a lot to do with why Dozier leads off.
  5. Depends on who is in the bullpen. If one or two of those guys can be a spot starter (perhaps Tyler Duffy for example), yes I think 4 starters would be fine until the 19 game stretch.
  6. Sano only started 87 games at any position last year and only 79 at 3b. If he starts 110 games at 3b this year (or frankly any year) I’ll be stunned. 100 might be pushing it.
  7. I’m not excited. He’s not an “exciting” player. He doesn’t have the blazing speed of Buxton. He won’t hit homeruns like Dozier. He’s not Ozzie Smith on defense. Polanco may be the least exciting player on the team. And that’s okay. Because you know what he will do? Win games for the team.
  8. Twins need Grossman in case Kepler still can’t hit LHP. They don’t need really Granite’s defense.
  9. As someone who is overweight, I feel I know what the disadvantages are. Lack of stamina. More prone to nagging aches and pain. Granted, that’s me at 45, not 25. But I’m also not being asked to be a professional athlete. I don’t know if his “ideal” weight is 240 or 290. I really don’t care. I do care that he has missed roughly 1/3 of the team’s games the last two years. Is that all because of his weight? No. Some of it? Probably. But there is no way I am going to build a franchise around a player that can’t stay on the field. His best chance of doing that is being in shape, whatever that means for him. He is a pro athlete. His livelihood depends on his body being able to perform. He needs to get that.
  10. Will you care if he averages 115 games per year for his career at $25 mil plus?
  11. There aren’t a lot of 300 pounders in MLB playing any position. Mo Vaughn in his last few years. But really no one has carried that kind of weight through an entire successful career. I personally don’t consider Sandoval to have had a successful career. One season of 80 RBI. Injuries and mediocrity since the age of 24. Ortiz wasn’t in the 300 range for most of his career. Maybe the last 4-5 years of it. Yes, Vargas is there now, but he really hasn’t had much of a career either.
  12. He needs to prove he can actually stay healthy enough to be in the middle of the lineup.
  13. Weight wasn’t an issue for Hrbek at 24. He played 140 plus games all but one season until 1991 (the year after he turned 30). And that was playing 100 plus games on the old fashioned astroturf. Not only at home, many many other stadiums had it during nearly all of Hrbek’s career.
  14. It’s interesting that they both employ the splitter. As I recall, it was a pitch the Terry Ryan regime actively discouraged prospects from throwing (claiming it was more likely to lead to injury). Personally, I always thought the Twins discouraged prospects from throwing it because it led to strikeouts which tends to lead to bigger paydays.
  15. Some on this board still believe Kyle Gibson isn’t a 5 ERA pitcher, despite the results the last 2 1/2 seasons.
  16. Brad Radke did it. Granted, on a team that was not planning to contend. But he remains the most successful starting pitcher to come up through the system in the last 30 years. Maybe 40. By far.
  17. IDK, if you get 6 shutout innings on the road from your # 3, I’d say your chances of winning that game are pretty good.
  18. This. Exactly. Smart teams trying to contend aren’t likely to trade away a good starting pitcher before the season starts. Especially when they have no glaring deficiencies at the MLB level that trading McHugh would solve.
  19. I’m not sure I agree with the almost presumed assesment that “this is the time”. Still an awful lot of uncertainty on the roster IMO. Which Byron Buxton will show up this year? Will Kepler hit LHP? Is Rosario really what he was last year? Will Sano stay healthy? Will he be suspended for a large chunk of time? Will Berrios remain consistent? What about after him? Not much there, even with a Darvish. A two man rotation might get it done in the playoffs, but you have to get there first. Even with Darvish, the opening day # 3 had a 5 plus ERA the last two years. Still bullpen questions. Plenty of new faces. How will it all shake out? Awful lot of pressure on Hildenberger and Rogers, two still extremely green relievers. Say the Twins get Darvish but it turns out Sano is on the DL more than he plays the next 5 years, Kepler never hits LHP, Rosario and Buxton slide back. Now you have a great ace on an otherwise lousy team. Still a lot of unknowns I think to say “this year is our shot”.
  20. FWIW, there have been a few players and at least one agent (not surprisingly, Scott Boras) who have shall we say “speculated aloud” that something less than random is happening. The counter argument is extremely valid: next year’s class could be much more attractive and the increased use of analytics means that the same type of mindsets are making these decisions. 5-7 contracts for 30 year olds who aren’t uber stars may be a thing of the past.
  21. Conspicuous by his abscence of the list of good Twins baserunners: Eddie Rosario. Which kinda confirms what our eyes were telling us last season. He’s plenty fast, decision making is poor, and that’s being kind.
  22. That’s the most recent example of teams being CAUGHT (and punished) for collusion. There have been rumblings since then. Mid 2000s or so was one of the more recent. But nothing was ever proven in years since. I saw sn article on mlbtraderumors that said there have been half as many transactions to this point in the offseason as the 2012-13 offseason. Half. It certainly whiffs of collusion.
  23. I remember I called a 9 th inning lead off walk off homerun. Don’t recall what board that was or exactly when.
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