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yarnivek1972

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Everything posted by yarnivek1972

  1. yarnivek1972
    I think he needs to learn to use all fields. I think that has caused his ridiculously low career .266 BABIP. He makes contact at a solid enough rate, draws his share of walks, hits line drives at a good clip. The next step is using all fields. Given the way he seems to have solved lhp in one offseason, I certainly think it is a step he is capable of making.
  2. yarnivek1972
    Kepler is fine. His BB and K rates are career bests. His LD % is right at his career norm. Extra base % also is career best. His BABIP is low, even for him. He’s got a .255 BABIP now, compared with .266 overall. I suspect shifts account for most of his low BABIP career wise. But that it is even LOWER when nearly all his peripherals are better suggests lousy luck at play. He does need to start working all fields to negate the shifts. I think he will in time. He made the adjustment vs LHP. This is the next step IMO.
  3. yarnivek1972
    Are you really sure Buxton is worthy of a “big” extension? This is a guy that many on this board want to see demoted to AAA (when/if he gets healthy).
  4. yarnivek1972
    To continue with the Trek analogy, the last resort is to eject the core. Not quite there yet, but anti-matter containment field strength is critically low.
  5. yarnivek1972
    Is it league average for the teams actually in contention for the playoffs? I actually don’t know but my guess is the “good teams” are better than average in this stat.
  6. yarnivek1972
    Difference being you are talking about guys who were overweight post 30. As has been mentioned, Sano is 24. If he can’t control his weight at that age, how likely is it to happen as he gets older and his natural metabolism slows?
  7. yarnivek1972
    What about his history suggests he is capable of doing so?
  8. yarnivek1972
    Rogers appeared in 69 games and had 55 IP. That's not even close to overuse.
  9. yarnivek1972
    Doug Mientkiewicz wasn’t very tall. I know he was listed at 6’2”, but that was not accurate. Somewhere I have a picture of him and me. I’m 5’10”. He’s barely taller than me. There was also a picture of Rivas, Guzman, Doug and Koskie standing near second base (after Koskie moved on). They are all about the same height except Koskie, who at 6’3” towered over them. Rivas and Guzman were both under 6’.
  10. yarnivek1972
    Twins have three (not one, not two, but THREE) relievers in the top 25 in MLB for relief IP. Keep in mind that no team has played fewer games than the Twins. Pressly has appeared in 32 of 58 games. Reed 29. Hildenberger 28. So, again 3 relievers that have appeared in basically half the games. That’s a recipe for disaster. Either those guys will physically break down and land on the DL or their effectiveness will be adversely affected. Or possibly both.
  11. yarnivek1972
    Injuries are part of the equation for every team. Good teams are adequately prepared for them. As for the suspension, Polanco did next to nothing in the first half last year. Point being his abscence isn’t why the offense is struggling. Again though, there was literally no plan B. 3 good starters at the MLB level for 2b, 3b and ss. One capable replacement. After that the dropoff was/is severe. That’s simply not how teams that win construct their roster.
  12. yarnivek1972
    Where’s Brian Buchanan when you need him? I know he’s been out of the league for a decade and a half, but he could probably still hit LHP.
  13. yarnivek1972
    I guess I don’t understand the QO process. Is it seriously one amount for every player? That seems ridiculous. Back in the “old days” players were graded A, B or C once they hit arbitration. It would seem to make more sense to do that and use those grades to establish tiered QO levels. If it is one QO fits all, the only players who will ever receive them are top level FA. And in reality that level of player is a rarity on the FA market. Why has MLB always had the compensation system that makes the least sense of any pro sport?
  14. yarnivek1972
    If all the Twins can do is split at home against the White Sox, they aren’t catching anyone. btw, they still have to win today just to do that.
  15. yarnivek1972
    That Pressly has 32 appearances on June 6 (58 team games) really explains a lot of his struggles IMO. The Twins are dealing with the repurcussions of carrying 2 useless pitchers for the first 4-5 weeks of the year. The Twins have 3 relievers in the top 25 for reliever IP, Pressly, Hildenberger and Reed. The only other MLB team that does is the Mets. Keep in mind that no team in MLB has played fewer games than the Twins (Yankees and Cubs also have 58).
  16. yarnivek1972
    Mauer’s contract wasn’t exactly front loaded, but it maintained a set dollar amount every year. I think the MLBPA would balk at a contract that got smaller as years went on. Just on principle. Also, they use comparable players’ salaries to set arbitration awards. A contract that got smaller (noting that is not what you are suggesting) would affect that. Front loading with a “signing bonus” might be the way around it. Lot of season left, obviously, but I don’t know how hard I would be looking to extend Buxton. Certainly not if the season ended today. I’m a little wary of Sano as well. Mostly his ability (or lack thereof) to stay on the field.
  17. yarnivek1972
    I don’t believe you are interpreting the rule correctly. I think it means they can’t stay on a rehab assignment forever. “Recalled from rehab” isn’t the same as activated from the DL. Common sense says that activating injured players would be ridiculous. Setbacks during rehab happen all the time. Those players aren’t activated. They are shut completely down for a minimum of 5 (7 for pitchers) days.
  18. yarnivek1972
    Meh. He’ll be back for the double header and likely will only throw bullpen sessions in between. In fact, I doubt the Twins even actually have him report to Rochester.
  19. yarnivek1972
    But the question is are Sano and Buxton really underperforming, or is this who they are? Take away Buxton’s strong finish last year and Buxton has a career OPS+ in the 70s. Miguel Sano since his rookie year (after teams had a chance to get a “book” on him) has an OPS+ in the upper 110s range. That’s not bad, but it certainly isn’t a game changing type hitter. Obviously neither is even doing that now, but to expect those two to be substantial contributors might not be accurate.
  20. yarnivek1972
    If the Twins don’t have coaches that can help Buxton, Sano and whoever else at the MLB level, then they need different coaches. IMO there is no value in sending Sano or Buxton to AAA. Everyone knows they destroy AAA hitting. Falvine needs to find out NOW if they can hit MLB pitching. Because if they can’t, Falvine will have to decide what they want to do about that THIS offseason. I’m definitely in the “sell” camp. Too much underperformance and add to that players not playing at all for various reasons. The Indians are too talented to play poorly all year. Indeed, they are 7-3 last 10, while Twins went 4-6. Those 7 games against the Indians in the next 3 weeks will likely put the nail in the 2018 coffin.
  21. yarnivek1972
    Run differential. Indians are +31, 5th best in the AL, yet just 4 games above .500 with the 7th best record. Seattle is 12 games over .500 at +9. The Brewers are 15 over at +33. That suggests the Indians should have a few more wins and they have been underperforming, or unlucky. Meanwhile, the Twins are -18. They should be several games below .500, and they are.
  22. yarnivek1972
    The CAREER MLB and MiLB numbers for Recker are better than Wilson’s. Not much, but that is exactly why I said “not much”.
  23. yarnivek1972
    Garver is still extremely inexperienced behind the plate. He has fewer than 3000 innings caught as a professional. John Ryan Murphy, who is actually a few months YOUNGER, has over 5400, close to DOUBLE. Garver may or may not ever get better, but to expect him to be a polished receiver now is simply not realistic. Through no fault of his own. Why Anthony Recker wasn’t retained this offseason is a curiosity only Falvine can explain. Would he be a better hitter than Wilson? The numbers say yes. Maybe not much, but likely some.
  24. yarnivek1972
    That’s called regression to the norm. Anyone who thinks he is going to be a 120 OPS + hitter is deluding themselves.
  25. yarnivek1972
    Many of the Twins own prospects have done little to establish that the Twins player development strategies are working. It will tske Falvine time to get their people into key spots and even longer for those changes to impact prospects.
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